Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.78 · now $7.78 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, XGN has typically landed between $5.42 and $11.45 — a range of −30.3% to +47.1% from the issuance price $7.78.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,735 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-09-19 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.78) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where XGN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.78 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $7.78 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.59 (-2.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.48–$8.71
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.42–$11.45
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-07-25 | −49.3% | −49.5% | +0.0% |
| 2022-09-15 | −48.7% | −48.7% | +0.0% |
| 2024-12-13 | −47.1% | −48.1% | +3.8% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-11-13 | +110.2% | +0.0% | +110.2% |
| 2024-11-14 | +106.9% | +0.0% | +106.9% |
| 2024-11-12 | +105.4% | −1.4% | +105.4% |
1,735 overlapping windows · 2019-09-19 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Black Jeffrey G. | officer | Sale | 20,614 @ $7.22 | $149K | −6.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 323,339 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | ABALLI JOHN | director | Sale | 15,698 @ $3.62 | $57K | −2.2% of holding | −8.8% | +95.0% | 687,299 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | ABALLI JOHN | director | Sale | 11,430 @ $3.61 | $41K | −1.6% of holding | −17.8% | +93.9% | 702,997 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Black Jeffrey G. | officer | Sale | 1,584 @ $3.61 | $6K | −0.6% of holding | −17.8% | +93.9% | 267,442 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-16 | ABALLI JOHN | director | Sale | 31,787 @ $11.82 | $376K | −4.3% of holding | −25.2% | −82.5% | 714,427 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-02 | Black Jeffrey G. | officer | Sale | 20,466 @ $9.79 | $200K | −7.1% of holding | +9.6% | −70.3% | 269,026 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-25 | NMSIC Co-Investment Fund, L.P. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 350,000 @ $3.30 | $1.2M | −16.6% of holding | +56.6% | +163.7% | 1,758,958 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
22 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Black Jeffrey G. | officer | Award / grant | 1,571 | 324,910 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | McKhann Chas | director | Award / grant | 37,500 | 45,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | KAHN SCOTT D | director | Award / grant | 37,500 | 46,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Stokes Frank | director | Award / grant | 37,500 | 112,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Kim Paul | director | Award / grant | 37,500 | 46,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Robertson Bruce C | director | Award / grant | 37,500 | 55,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | ABALLI JOHN | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 175,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Black Jeffrey G. | officer | Award / grant | 75,000 | 342,442 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Black Jeffrey G. | officer | Award / grant | 50,000 | 60,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | ABALLI JOHN | director | Award / grant | 150,000 | 839,834 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | ABALLI JOHN | director | Award / grant | 2,535 | 689,834 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Black Jeffrey G. | officer | Award / grant | 1,511 | 343,953 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | KAHN SCOTT D | director | Award / grant | 9,000 | 9,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Kim Paul | director | Award / grant | 9,000 | 18,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Hooker Ana | director | Award / grant | 9,000 | 9,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Nova Tina Susan | director | Award / grant | 13,500 | 13,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Stokes Frank | director | Award / grant | 9,000 | 9,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-28 | ABALLI JOHN | director | Award / grant | 8,621 | 746,214 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | ABALLI JOHN | director | Award / grant | 75,000 | 75,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Black Jeffrey G. | officer | Award / grant | 10,000 | 10,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | ABALLI JOHN | director | Award / grant | 112,500 | 737,593 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Black Jeffrey G. | officer | Award / grant | 15,000 | 289,492 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.