XERSXeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc.Healthcare · Biotechnologyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.78 · now $7.78 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, XERS has typically landed between $5.99 and $10.34 — a range of −23.1% to +32.9% from the issuance price $7.78.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,049 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-06-21 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.78) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where XERS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.78 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$5.99worst · -23.1%$10.34best · +32.9%
  • now $7.78 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $8.04 (+3.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $7.19–$8.89
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.99–$10.34
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,049 windows spanning 2018-06-21 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-06−68.5%−68.5%+0.0%
2020-02-07−67.0%−68.2%+0.2%
2020-02-18−65.6%−65.6%+8.8%
3 best
2020-04-23+216.9%+0.0%+216.9%
2020-04-24+185.2%+0.0%+206.9%
2020-04-22+171.3%+0.0%+171.3%

2,049 overlapping windows · 2018-06-21 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
38%
−7.0%
n=8
Feb
63%
−3.1%
n=8
Mar
50%
−3.3%
n=8
Apr
50%
+3.4%
n=8
May
75%
+15.1%
n=8
Jun
50%
−2.4%
n=8
Jul
56%
−0.6%
n=9
Aug
67%
+19.0%
n=9
Sep
33%
−6.6%
n=9
Oct
50%
−0.4%
n=8
Nov
50%
−2.5%
n=8
Dec
63%
+5.2%
n=8

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$10$52026-09-01: 3 insider sales, $311K — Hecht Beth, McCulloch Kevin, Pieper Steven2026-08-12: 1 insider sale, $43K — Pieper Steven2026-08-03: 2 insider sales, $254K — Hecht Beth, McCulloch Kevin2026-07-07: 1 insider sale, $235K — Pieper Steven2026-07-06: 1 insider sale, $148K — Pieper Steven2026-07-01: 2 insider sales, $856K — McCulloch Kevin, Hecht Beth2026-06-04: 3 insider sales, $311K — HALKUFF DAWN, BORMANN-KENNEDY BARBARA-JEAN ANNE, JOHNSON JOHN2026-06-03: 1 insider sale, $91K — PERSKY MARLA2026-06-01: 1 insider sale, $101K — Hecht Beth2026-05-01: 1 insider sale, $104K — Hecht Beth2026-04-01: 1 insider sale, $100K — Hecht Beth2026-03-30: 1 insider sale, $60K — Brady James Aloysius2026-03-02: 2 insider sales, $104K — Hecht Beth …2026-02-02: 1 insider sale, $124K — Hecht Beth2026-01-08: 1 insider sale, $120K — McCulloch Kevin2026-01-05: 1 insider sale, $176K — Shannon John Patrick Jr2026-01-02: 1 insider sale, $124K — Hecht Beth2025-12-19: 1 insider sale, $977K — JOHNSON JOHN2025-12-12: 1 insider sale, $106K — BORMANN-KENNEDY BARBARA-JEAN ANNE2025-12-01: 1 insider sale, $117K — Hecht Beth2025-11-13: 1 insider sale, $173K — Shannon John Patrick Jr2025-11-11: 1 insider sale, $123K — Hecht Beth2025-09-11: 1 insider sale, $120K — PERSKY MARLA2025-08-28: 1 insider sale, $335K — SHERMAN JEFFREY W2025-08-13: 1 insider sale, $786K — JOHNSON JOHN2025-08-12: 1 insider sale, $309K — HALKUFF DAWN2025-08: 3 open-market sales, $1.4M2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $120K2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $297K2025-12: 3 open-market sales, $1.2M2026-01: 3 open-market sales, $420K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $124K2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $164K2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $100K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $104K2026-06: 5 open-market sales, $503K2026-07: 4 open-market sales, $1.2M2026-08: 3 open-market sales, $296K2026-09: 3 open-market sales, $311K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Hecht Beth — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed same dayofficer McCulloch Kevin — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed same dayofficer Pieper Steven — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed same dayofficer Pieper Steven — Sale on 2026-08-12, filed same dayofficer Hecht Beth — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer McCulloch Kevin — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Pieper Steven — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed same dayofficer Pieper Steven — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer McCulloch Kevin — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hecht Beth — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HALKUFF DAWN — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BORMANN-KENNEDY BARBARA-JEAN ANNE — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector JOHNSON JOHN — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector PERSKY MARLA — Sale on 2026-06-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Hecht Beth — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hecht Beth — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed same dayofficer Hecht Beth — Sale on 2026-04-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Brady James Aloysius — Sale on 2026-03-30, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Hecht Beth — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Hecht Beth — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Hecht Beth — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed same dayofficer McCulloch Kevin — Sale on 2026-01-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Shannon John Patrick Jr — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hecht Beth — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 3 days after the tradedirector JOHNSON JOHN — Sale on 2025-12-19, filed same daydirector BORMANN-KENNEDY BARBARA-JEAN ANNE — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Hecht Beth — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Shannon John Patrick Jr — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Hecht Beth — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector PERSKY MARLA — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SHERMAN JEFFREY W — Sale on 2025-08-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector JOHNSON JOHN — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HALKUFF DAWN — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Hecht BethofficerSale16,666 @ $8.49$141K−1.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,127,796Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-01McCulloch KevinofficerSale15,000 @ $8.49$127K−0.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,639,208Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-01Pieper StevenofficerSale5,000 @ $8.50$43K−0.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,356,053Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-12Pieper StevenofficerSale5,000 @ $8.50$43K−0.4% of holding−11.2%not yet — horizon still open1,361,053Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-03Hecht BethofficerSale16,666 @ $8.01$134K−1.4% of holding+3.1%not yet — horizon still open1,144,462Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-03McCulloch KevinofficerSale15,000 @ $8.02$120K−0.9% of holding+3.1%not yet — horizon still open1,676,126Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-07Pieper StevenofficerSale27,600 @ $8.52$235K−2.0% of holding−12.2%not yet — horizon still open1,366,053Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-06Pieper StevenofficerSale17,400 @ $8.50$148K−1.2% of holding−4.8%not yet — horizon still open1,393,653Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-01McCulloch KevinofficerSale90,000 @ $8.03$723K−5.1% of holding+0.8%not yet — horizon still open1,691,126Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-01Hecht BethofficerSale16,666 @ $8.03$134K−1.4% of holding+0.8%not yet — horizon still open1,161,128Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-04HALKUFF DAWNdirectorSale20,000 @ $6.09$122K−17.4% of holding+46.4%not yet — horizon still open95,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-04BORMANN-KENNEDY BARBARA-JEAN ANNEdirectorSale16,000 @ $6.09$98K−11.2% of holding+46.4%not yet — horizon still open126,500Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-04JOHNSON JOHNdirectorSale15,000 @ $6.09$91K−2.1% of holding+46.4%not yet — horizon still open683,083Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-03PERSKY MARLAdirectorSale15,500 @ $5.90$91K−10.9% of holding+42.2%not yet — horizon still open126,500Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-01Hecht BethofficerSale16,667 @ $6.06$101K−1.4% of holding+33.2%not yet — horizon still open1,176,506Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-01Hecht BethofficerSale16,667 @ $6.23$104K−1.4% of holding−9.9%not yet — horizon still open1,193,173Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-01Hecht BethofficerSale16,667 @ $5.99$100K−1.4% of holding−6.0%not yet — horizon still open1,209,840Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-30Brady James AloysiusdirectorSale10,834 @ $5.54$60K−10.8% of holding−5.1%not yet — horizon still open89,166Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02Hecht BethofficerSale16,567 @ $6.24$103K−1.3% of holding+1.3%+27.9%1,226,607Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02Hecht BethofficerSale100 @ $7.06$706−0.0% of holding+1.3%+27.9%1,226,507Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-02Hecht BethofficerSale16,667 @ $7.45$124K−1.3% of holding−16.0%−0.2%1,243,174Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-08McCulloch KevinofficerSale15,000 @ $8.00$120K−0.9% of holding−15.0%−8.9%1,685,426Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-05Shannon John Patrick JrdirectorSale24,907 @ $7.08$176K−0.9% of holding+0.1%+13.3%2,705,346Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-02Hecht BethofficerSale16,667 @ $7.43$124K−1.3% of holding−1.1%+11.6%1,308,103Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-19JOHNSON JOHNdirectorSale135,400 @ $7.22$977K−16.2% of holding+2.4%−7.5%698,083Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-12BORMANN-KENNEDY BARBARA-JEAN ANNEdirectorSale15,000 @ $7.09$106K−9.5% of holding+4.2%−14.4%142,500Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-01Hecht BethofficerSale16,667 @ $7.01$117K−1.2% of holding+12.2%−26.9%1,320,176Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Shannon John Patrick JrdirectorSale23,242 @ $7.46$173K−0.9% of holding−4.2%−27.8%2,643,153Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-11Hecht BethofficerSale16,667 @ $7.40$123K−1.2% of holding−6.7%−24.4%1,336,843Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-11PERSKY MARLAdirectorSale15,500 @ $7.72$120K−9.8% of holding+4.5%−30.2%142,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-28SHERMAN JEFFREY WdirectorSale42,232 @ $7.92$335K−16.2% of holding−0.3%−30.2%219,188Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-13JOHNSON JOHNdirectorSale107,500 @ $7.32$786K−11.4% of holding+0.9%−11.3%833,483Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-12HALKUFF DAWNdirectorSale42,500 @ $7.28$309K−27.0% of holding+2.9%−13.6%115,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-13McCulloch KevinofficerPurchase25,000 @ $4.38$109K+1.5% of holding+16.1%+50.0%1,708,585Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-20Hecht BethofficerSale40,000 @ $5.43$217K−2.9% of holding−17.1%+23.8%1,353,510Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

94 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-01Shannon John Patrick JrdirectorWithheld for tax36,6452,898,933Form 4
2026-08-01McCulloch KevinofficerWithheld for tax21,9181,654,208Form 4
2026-07-01KREHER NERISSAdirectorAward / grant37,91037,910Form 4
2026-07-01KREHER NERISSAdirectorAward / grant33,58233,582Form 4
2026-06-04BORMANN-KENNEDY BARBARA-JEAN ANNEdirectorAward / grant32,99632,996Form 4
2026-06-04HALKUFF DAWNdirectorAward / grant32,99632,996Form 4
2026-06-04Brady James AloysiusdirectorAward / grant32,99632,996Form 4
2026-06-04JOHNSON JOHNdirectorAward / grant32,99632,996Form 4
2026-06-04Kong GarhengdirectorAward / grant32,99632,996Form 4
2026-06-04PERSKY MARLAdirectorAward / grant32,99632,996Form 4
2026-06-04Brady James AloysiusdirectorAward / grant24,193113,359Form 4
2026-06-04BORMANN-KENNEDY BARBARA-JEAN ANNEdirectorAward / grant24,193150,693Form 4
2026-06-04HALKUFF DAWNdirectorAward / grant24,193119,193Form 4
2026-06-04JOHNSON JOHNdirectorAward / grant24,193707,276Form 4
2026-06-04Kong GarhengdirectorAward / grant24,193238,337Form 4
2026-06-04PERSKY MARLAdirectorAward / grant24,193150,693Form 4
2026-03-12McCulloch KevinofficerOption exercise48,89443,773Form 4
2026-03-12McCulloch KevinofficerOption exercise48,8941,777,721Form 4
2026-03-12McCulloch KevinofficerOption exercise41,777,725Form 4
2026-03-12McCulloch KevinofficerOption exercise479,996Form 4
2026-03-05Pieper StevenofficerOption exercise27,8911,394,904Form 4
2026-03-05Pieper StevenofficerOption exercise14,0361,408,940Form 4
2026-03-05Pieper StevenofficerOption exercise27,8910Form 4
2026-03-05Pieper StevenofficerOption exercise14,0360Form 4
2026-02-24Nguyen Anh TuofficerWithheld for tax29,300395,023Form 4
2026-01-31Shannon John Patrick JrdirectorWithheld for tax118,1343,157,949Form 4
2026-01-31Pieper StevenofficerWithheld for tax111,7651,460,782Form 4
2026-01-31Shannon John Patrick JrdirectorWithheld for tax111,6213,046,328Form 4
2026-01-31Shannon John Patrick JrdirectorWithheld for tax110,7502,935,578Form 4
2026-01-31Hecht BethofficerWithheld for tax98,3751,331,021Form 4
2026-01-31McCulloch KevinofficerWithheld for tax68,4541,785,435Form 4
2026-01-31Pieper StevenofficerWithheld for tax66,4501,394,332Form 4
2026-01-31Hecht BethofficerWithheld for tax46,9141,284,107Form 4
2026-01-31McCulloch KevinofficerWithheld for tax30,2891,755,146Form 4
2026-01-31McCulloch KevinofficerWithheld for tax27,3191,727,827Form 4
2026-01-31Pieper StevenofficerWithheld for tax27,3191,367,013Form 4
2026-01-31Hecht BethofficerWithheld for tax24,2661,259,841Form 4
2026-01-30Pieper StevenofficerAward / grant207,207207,207Form 4
2026-01-30Pieper StevenofficerAward / grant154,9861,572,547Form 4
2026-01-30Shannon John Patrick JrdirectorAward / grant639,639639,639Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.