Issued 2026-09-16 at $14.57 · now $14.57 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, XE has typically landed between $9.15 and $21.20 — a range of −37.2% to +45.5% from the issuance price $14.57.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
79 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-04-24 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($14.57) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where XE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $14.57 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $14.57 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $11.93 (-18.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $9.74–$14.11
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $9.15–$21.2
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-05-11 | −45.6% | −45.6% | +0.0% |
| 2026-05-12 | −41.0% | −43.2% | +0.0% |
| 2026-05-13 | −40.0% | −41.9% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-07-16 | +51.7% | +0.0% | +64.4% |
| 2026-07-15 | +50.9% | −8.2% | +50.9% |
| 2026-07-17 | +45.9% | +0.0% | +62.1% |
79 overlapping windows · 2026-04-24 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | HYLE KATHLEEN W | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $23.00 | $230K | +8.5% of holding | −28.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 127,640 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-27 | GARCIA LAURA | officer | Purchase | 1,200 @ $23.00 | $28K | +0.6% of holding | −28.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 196,822 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-27 | Wallace Michael J Wallace | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $23.00 | $23K | +1.4% of holding | −28.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 71,161 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-27 | Duling Joel | officer | Purchase | 100 @ $23.00 | $2K | +0.0% of holding | −28.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 552,699 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
12 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Ghaffarian Kamal Seyed | director | Other acquisition | 279,438 | 5,308,515 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Ghaffarian Kamal Seyed | director | Other acquisition | 279,438 | 5,308,515 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Ghaffarian Kamal Seyed | director | Other acquisition | 279,438 | 5,308,515 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | GARCIA LAURA | officer | Award / grant | 43,478 | 240,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Gross Daniel Andrew | officer | Award / grant | 246,665 | 1,025,183 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Gross Daniel Andrew | officer | Award / grant | 332,615 | 1,605,770 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | HYLE KATHLEEN W | director | Award / grant | 6,522 | 134,162 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | SONNENSCHEIN EDWARD | director | Award / grant | 6,522 | 820,114 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | Wallace Michael J Wallace | director | Award / grant | 6,522 | 77,683 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | Ghaffarian Kamal Seyed | director | Award / grant | 6,522 | 1,240,543 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | Goff Gregory James | director | Award / grant | 6,522 | 124,162 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-28 | GINTHER CHRISTOPHER | director | Award / grant | 6,522 | 124,162 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.