Issued 2026-09-16 at $84.23 · now $84.23 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WYNN has typically landed between $71.56 and $99.38 — a range of −15.0% to +18.0% from the issuance price $84.23.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($84.23) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where WYNN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $84.23 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $84.23 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $83.43 (-0.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $77.9–$88.97
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $71.56–$99.38
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −67.5% | −67.5% | +2.0% |
| 2020-02-19 | −65.5% | −68.1% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-20 | −60.7% | −67.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-06 | +102.7% | +0.0% | +102.7% |
| 2009-03-30 | +98.9% | +0.0% | +106.0% |
| 2009-03-31 | +96.4% | +0.0% | +97.9% |
4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.
$10.1B
market cap
$3.49
EPS (TTM)
27.8
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-04
next earnings
Revenue$7.1B
'20'25
Net income$327M
'20'25
Free cash flow$692M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr4.6%
'20'25
ROE · by yr-118.8%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr-44.62
'20'25
Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.
iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 50 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.- DCF (intrinsic)$268.95
- Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 23.8× · n=50$83.14
- Analyst target · range $120.00–$146.00$133.50
- Current price · last close 2026-09-16$84.23
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
61%
+2.9%
n=18
Feb
68%
+1.9%
n=19
Mar
42%
−1.2%
n=19
Apr
68%
+9.5%
n=19
May
37%
−2.8%
n=19
Jun
26%
−4.0%
n=19
Jul
68%
+5.4%
n=19
Aug
42%
−1.8%
n=19
Sep
47%
−1.6%
n=19
Oct
61%
+0.9%
n=18
Nov
56%
+3.6%
n=18
Dec
56%
+0.4%
n=18
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $4.59 | $459K | −50.0% of holding | −13.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $4.35 | $435K | −50.0% of holding | −13.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $4.12 | $412K | −50.0% of holding | −13.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-30 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 157,000 @ $4.53 | $711K | −50.0% of holding | −9.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 157,000 | Form 4 · filed 13 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-30 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 30,000 @ $6.02 | $181K | −50.0% of holding | −9.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,000 | Form 4 · filed 13 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-27 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $4.18 | $418K | −50.0% of holding | −4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-27 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $3.94 | $395K | −50.0% of holding | −4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-27 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $3.72 | $372K | −50.0% of holding | −4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-24 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 300,000 @ $3.96 | $1.2M | −50.0% of holding | −0.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 300,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-23 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 300,000 @ $3.83 | $1.2M | −50.0% of holding | −0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 300,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-10 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $4.58 | $458K | −50.0% of holding | +0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-10 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $4.34 | $434K | −50.0% of holding | +0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-10 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $4.10 | $410K | −50.0% of holding | +0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $4.30 | $430K | −50.0% of holding | −7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $4.07 | $407K | −50.0% of holding | −7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $3.85 | $385K | −50.0% of holding | −7.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 300,000 @ $4.94 | $1.5M | −50.0% of holding | −11.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 300,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-09 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 125,000 @ $7.36 | $920K | −50.0% of holding | −9.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 125,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-09 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 125,000 @ $6.29 | $786K | −50.0% of holding | −9.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 125,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-05 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 125,000 @ $5.20 | $650K | −50.0% of holding | −7.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 125,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-05 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 125,000 @ $4.47 | $558K | −50.0% of holding | −7.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 125,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 250,000 @ $5.11 | $1.3M | −50.0% of holding | −8.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 250,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 300,000 @ $5.67 | $1.7M | −50.0% of holding | −8.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 300,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 161,900 @ $5.50 | $891K | −50.0% of holding | −0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 161,900 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 83,000 @ $5.25 | $436K | −50.0% of holding | −0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 83,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 225,000 @ $4.08 | $917K | −50.0% of holding | +1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 225,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 225,000 @ $3.85 | $865K | −50.0% of holding | +1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 225,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 200,000 @ $4.37 | $875K | −50.0% of holding | +3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 200,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 200,000 @ $3.66 | $731K | −50.0% of holding | +3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 200,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 300,000 @ $3.57 | $1.1M | −50.0% of holding | +8.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 300,000 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-17 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 246,000 @ $7.48 | $1.8M | −50.0% of holding | −16.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 246,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-14 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 275,000 @ $4.68 | $1.3M | −50.0% of holding | −15.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 275,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-08 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $5.09 | $509K | −50.0% of holding | −6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-08 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $4.53 | $453K | −50.0% of holding | −6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-08 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $3.96 | $396K | −50.0% of holding | −6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-08 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $3.39 | $339K | −50.0% of holding | −6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 200,000 @ $4.37 | $874K | −50.0% of holding | −6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 200,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 200,000 @ $3.90 | $780K | −50.0% of holding | −6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 200,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-25 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 300,000 @ $4.25 | $1.3M | −50.0% of holding | −5.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 300,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 200,000 @ $6.34 | $1.3M | −50.0% of holding | −1.5% | −31.3% | 200,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 200,000 @ $5.23 | $1.0M | −50.0% of holding | −1.5% | −31.3% | 200,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 200,000 @ $4.66 | $932K | −50.0% of holding | −1.5% | −31.3% | 200,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 200,000 @ $3.99 | $799K | −50.0% of holding | −1.5% | −31.3% | 200,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 200,000 @ $3.64 | $728K | −50.0% of holding | −1.5% | −31.3% | 200,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 200,000 @ $4.94 | $988K | −50.0% of holding | +1.3% | −27.4% | 200,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 200,000 @ $3.75 | $750K | −50.0% of holding | +1.3% | −27.4% | 200,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,000 @ $6.21 | $466K | −50.0% of holding | +1.3% | −27.4% | 75,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,000 @ $4.42 | $331K | −50.0% of holding | +1.3% | −27.4% | 75,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,000 @ $3.64 | $273K | −50.0% of holding | +1.3% | −27.4% | 75,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,000 @ $2.64 | $198K | −50.0% of holding | +1.3% | −27.4% | 75,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 150,000 @ $4.83 | $725K | −50.0% of holding | +3.2% | −24.1% | 150,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 150,000 @ $3.72 | $558K | −50.0% of holding | +3.2% | −24.1% | 150,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $5.33 | $533K | −50.0% of holding | +1.4% | −25.1% | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $4.10 | $410K | −50.0% of holding | +1.4% | −25.1% | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $3.09 | $309K | −50.0% of holding | +1.4% | −25.1% | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 300,000 @ $7.62 | $2.3M | −50.0% of holding | −7.3% | −26.2% | 300,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 300,000 @ $5.98 | $1.8M | −50.0% of holding | −7.3% | −26.2% | 300,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 150,000 @ $6.69 | $1.0M | −50.0% of holding | −7.3% | −26.2% | 150,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 150,000 @ $5.09 | $764K | −50.0% of holding | −7.3% | −26.2% | 150,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | FERTITTA TILMAN J | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 250,000 @ $6.21 | $1.6M | −50.0% of holding | −7.8% | −24.0% | 250,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
128 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | KRUM JACQUI | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,171 | 49,130 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | SATRE PHILIP G | director | Option exercise | 10,827 | 33,293 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | SATRE PHILIP G | director | Option exercise | 10,827 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | SATRE PHILIP G | director | Award / grant | 4,266 | 4,266 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | SANFILIPPO ANTHONY MICHAEL | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 158,420 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | ATKINS BETSY S | director | Award / grant | 1,177 | 11,936 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | ATKINS BETSY S | director | Award / grant | 4,266 | 4,266 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | STROM DARNELL O. | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 19,361 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Mulroy Patricia | director | Award / grant | 8,531 | 8,531 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Webb Winifred Markus | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 26,860 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Byrne Richard J | director | Award / grant | 2,354 | 23,908 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Liu Paul Albert | director | Award / grant | 8,531 | 8,531 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | SATRE PHILIP G | director | Award / grant | 1,177 | 22,466 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-06 | Fullalove Craig Jeffrey | officer | Award / grant | 3,249 | 25,146 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-06 | Fullalove Craig Jeffrey | officer | Award / grant | 1,857 | 1,857 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-06 | Fullalove Craig Jeffrey | officer | Award / grant | 1,062 | 21,897 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-28 | Billings Craig Scott | director | Withheld for tax | 3,914 | 262,335 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-28 | Billings Craig Scott | director | Withheld for tax | 3,388 | 266,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-28 | Billings Craig Scott | director | Withheld for tax | 3,293 | 269,637 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-28 | CAMERON-DOE JULIE | director | Withheld for tax | 794 | 41,795 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-28 | CAMERON-DOE JULIE | director | Withheld for tax | 687 | 42,589 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-28 | CAMERON-DOE JULIE | director | Withheld for tax | 629 | 43,276 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-28 | KRUM JACQUI | officer | Withheld for tax | 532 | 51,301 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-12 | Billings Craig Scott | director | Withheld for tax | 4,939 | 199,070 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-12 | CAMERON-DOE JULIE | director | Withheld for tax | 943 | 27,075 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-12 | KRUM JACQUI | officer | Withheld for tax | 383 | 41,685 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Billings Craig Scott | director | Withheld for tax | 5,081 | 277,869 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | CAMERON-DOE JULIE | director | Withheld for tax | 1,031 | 44,848 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | KRUM JACQUI | officer | Withheld for tax | 270 | 52,216 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-07 | Billings Craig Scott | director | Withheld for tax | 11,928 | 282,950 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-07 | Billings Craig Scott | director | Withheld for tax | 5,871 | 294,878 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-07 | Billings Craig Scott | director | Withheld for tax | 4,478 | 214,064 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-07 | CAMERON-DOE JULIE | director | Withheld for tax | 2,278 | 45,879 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-07 | CAMERON-DOE JULIE | director | Withheld for tax | 1,411 | 32,129 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-07 | KRUM JACQUI | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,237 | 45,627 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-07 | CAMERON-DOE JULIE | director | Withheld for tax | 1,191 | 48,157 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-07 | KRUM JACQUI | officer | Withheld for tax | 798 | 52,486 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-07 | KRUM JACQUI | officer | Award / grant | 1,915 | 1,915 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-07 | Billings Craig Scott | director | Option exercise | 20,916 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-07 | CAMERON-DOE JULIE | director | Award / grant | 5,522 | 33,540 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Armstrong | Senate | purchase | 2026-07-21 | 2026-03-27 | $1–15K |
| Lisa Mcclain | House | purchase | 2025-11-21 | 2025-10-30 | $1–15K |
| Lisa Mcclain | House | sale | 2025-11-21 | 2025-10-31 | $1–15K |
| Lisa Mcclain | House | sale | 2025-11-21 | 2025-10-30 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2025-09-09 | 2025-08-26 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2025-09-09 | 2025-08-26 | $1–15K |
| Lisa Mcclain | House | purchase | 2025-08-13 | 2025-06-09 | $1–15K |
| Susie Lee | House | sale | 2025-04-11 | 2025-03-14 | $1–15K |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | sale | 2025-04-07 | 2025-03-31 | $1–15K |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | purchase | 2025-03-06 | 2025-02-26 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2024-09-06 | 2024-08-05 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2024-05-06 | 2024-04-23 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2024-04-05 | 2024-03-20 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2024-02-05 | 2024-01-10 | $1–15K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.