WYWeyerhaeuser CompanyReal Estate · REIT - Specialtyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $21.81 · now $21.81 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WY has typically landed between $19.53 and $24.24 — a range of −10.4% to +11.1% from the issuance price $21.81.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($21.81) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where WY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $21.81 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$19.53worst · -10.4%$24.24best · +11.1%
  • now $21.81 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $21.68 (-0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $20.65–$22.7
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $19.53–$24.24
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−55.6%−55.6%+0.0%
2008-09-26−51.7%−51.7%+0.0%
2020-02-20−51.6%−51.6%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-06+60.0%+0.0%+60.5%
2009-03-05+59.7%−0.5%+59.7%
2009-03-09+50.6%+0.0%+59.3%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$17.3B
market cap
$0.55
EPS (TTM)
43.5
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-30
next earnings
Revenue$6.9B
'20'25
Net income$324M
'20'25
Free cash flow$88M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr4.7%
'20'25
ROE · by yr3.4%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.59
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 29 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $21.81$11.00$31.41
  • DCF (intrinsic)$12.40
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 32.9× · n=29$18.08
  • Analyst target · range $28.00–$30.00$29.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$21.81

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+2.3%
n=18
Feb
37%
−1.3%
n=19
Mar
68%
+2.0%
n=19
Apr
53%
+2.5%
n=19
May
26%
−2.9%
n=19
Jun
37%
−1.2%
n=19
Jul
53%
+4.2%
n=19
Aug
47%
+0.2%
n=19
Sep
42%
−1.3%
n=19
Oct
56%
−1.0%
n=18
Nov
72%
+2.8%
n=18
Dec
61%
+1.5%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$27$212026-02-20: 1 insider purchase, $101K — O'Rourke James Calvin2026-02-19: 1 insider purchase, $514K — BECKWITT RICHARD2026-02-03: 1 insider sale, $288K — Chaney Brian K2025-12-17: 1 insider purchase, $106K — Lewis Sara Grootwassink2025-12-15: 1 insider sale, $2.1M — Stockfish Devin W2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $101K2025-12: 1 open-market purchase, $106K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $2.1M2026-02: 2 open-market purchases, $615K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $288K↑ buys↓ salesdirector O'Rourke James Calvin — Purchase on 2026-02-20, filed same daydirector BECKWITT RICHARD — Purchase on 2026-02-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Chaney Brian K — Sale on 2026-02-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Lewis Sara Grootwassink — Purchase on 2025-12-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Stockfish Devin W — Sale on 2025-12-15, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-02-20O'Rourke James CalvindirectorPurchase4,000 @ $25.35$101K+16.2% of holding−2.9%−13.3%28,661Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-19BECKWITT RICHARDdirectorPurchase20,000 @ $25.70$514K+491.9% of holding−6.3%−14.0%24,066Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-03Chaney Brian KofficerSale11,157 @ $25.82$288K−11.2% of holding−6.5%−13.7%88,838Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-17Lewis Sara GrootwassinkdirectorPurchase4,500 @ $23.61$106K+21.0% of holding+12.4%−7.8%25,978Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-15Stockfish Devin WdirectorSale90,162 @ $23.33$2.1M−8.1% of holding+12.8%−3.5%1,024,861Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-11Lewis Sara GrootwassinkdirectorPurchase4,000 @ $25.29$101K+22.9% of holding−2.5%−1.0%21,478Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

114 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-03Chaney Brian KofficerWithheld for tax3,491115,460Form 4
2026-05-16Wold David MofficerWithheld for tax1,062164,830Form 4
2026-05-15Williams KimdirectorAward / grant5,22292,291Form 4
2026-05-15O'Rourke James CalvindirectorAward / grant4,92641,378Form 4
2026-05-15Monaco AlbertdirectorAward / grant3,78185,139Form 4
2026-05-15HOLLEY RICK RdirectorAward / grant11,53196,161Form 4
2026-05-15Williams KimdirectorAward / grant7,83261,545Form 4
2026-05-15Lewis Sara GrootwassinkdirectorAward / grant7,83280,214Form 4
2026-05-15BECKWITT RICHARDdirectorAward / grant7,83231,874Form 4
2026-05-15Emmert Mark AdirectorAward / grant7,83266,414Form 4
2026-05-15Monaco AlbertdirectorAward / grant7,83281,358Form 4
2026-05-15Merriwether Deidra CdirectorAward / grant7,83239,688Form 4
2026-05-15SELZER LAWRENCE AdirectorAward / grant7,83276,826Form 4
2026-05-15O'Rourke James CalvindirectorAward / grant7,83236,452Form 4
2026-05-15PIASECKI NICOLE WEYERHAEUSERdirectorAward / grant7,83220,672Form 4
2026-05-09Monaco AlbertdirectorWithheld for tax2,38673,526Form 4
2026-05-09O'Rourke James CalvindirectorWithheld for tax10628,620Form 4
2026-05-09Emmert Mark AdirectorWithheld for tax10658,582Form 4
2026-05-09Williams KimdirectorWithheld for tax10653,713Form 4
2026-05-09SELZER LAWRENCE AdirectorWithheld for tax10668,994Form 4
2026-05-09PIASECKI NICOLE WEYERHAEUSERdirectorWithheld for tax10612,840Form 4
2026-05-09BECKWITT RICHARDdirectorWithheld for tax6124,042Form 4
2026-03-01Stockfish Devin WdirectorWithheld for tax48,3381,246,670Form 4
2026-03-01Stockfish Devin WdirectorWithheld for tax43,8441,202,826Form 4
2026-03-01Keatley Travis AofficerWithheld for tax10,510180,665Form 4
2026-03-01Harlan Kristy T.officerWithheld for tax9,590245,131Form 4
2026-03-01Wold David MofficerWithheld for tax9,524174,076Form 4
2026-03-01Keatley Travis AofficerWithheld for tax9,027171,638Form 4
2026-03-01Wold David MofficerWithheld for tax9,027165,049Form 4
2026-03-01Harlan Kristy T.officerWithheld for tax8,455236,676Form 4
2026-03-01Merle Denise MdirectorWithheld for tax8,250239,821Form 4
2026-03-01Merle Denise MdirectorWithheld for tax8,184231,637Form 4
2026-03-01Hossain RehadofficerWithheld for tax4,83078,448Form 4
2026-03-01Chaney Brian KofficerWithheld for tax4,132118,807Form 4
2026-03-01Hossain RehadofficerWithheld for tax1,08277,366Form 4
2026-03-01Whitney Alex GofficerWithheld for tax1,04417,012Form 4
2026-03-01Chaney Brian KofficerWithheld for tax637118,170Form 4
2026-02-13Whitney Alex GofficerAward / grant4,62918,057Form 4
2026-02-13Chaney Brian KofficerAward / grant32,484122,940Form 4
2026-02-13Wold David MofficerAward / grant39,867183,600Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-06$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-12-082025-11-10$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-11-142025-10-22$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-11-062025-10-07$1–15K
Thomas SuozziHousesale2025-10-212025-10-14$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-10-032025-09-05$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-26$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-26$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.