Issued 2026-09-16 at $318.45 · now $318.45 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WWD has typically landed between $281.36 and $369.46 — a range of −11.6% to +16.0% from the issuance price $318.45.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($318.45) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where WWD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $318.45 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $318.45 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $325.36 (+2.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $308.46–$342.26
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $281.36–$369.46
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2009-02-05 | −59.6% | −59.6% | +3.4% |
| 2009-02-06 | −58.7% | −60.9% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-21 | −58.2% | −58.2% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-24 | +90.7% | +0.0% | +90.7% |
| 2009-03-30 | +87.5% | +0.0% | +87.5% |
| 2009-03-25 | +84.0% | +0.0% | +84.0% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
55%
−0.2%
n=20
Feb
60%
+1.4%
n=20
Mar
45%
−2.8%
n=20
Apr
70%
+7.3%
n=20
May
70%
+4.0%
n=20
Jun
55%
+2.2%
n=20
Jul
50%
+1.4%
n=20
Aug
50%
−0.1%
n=20
Sep
40%
−1.5%
n=20
Oct
40%
+1.8%
n=20
Nov
85%
+7.4%
n=20
Dec
65%
+1.6%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | McLevige Shawn M | officer | Sale | 2,150 @ $356.82 | $767K | −41.0% of holding | −8.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,098 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Korte Daniel G. | director | Sale | 5,419 @ $356.61 | $1.9M | −43.8% of holding | +13.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,967 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Korte Daniel G. | director | Sale | 3,662 @ $355.56 | $1.3M | −22.8% of holding | +13.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,386 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Korte Daniel G. | director | Sale | 3,086 @ $354.77 | $1.1M | −16.1% of holding | +13.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,048 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Korte Daniel G. | director | Sale | 2,533 @ $357.11 | $905K | −36.4% of holding | +13.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,434 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Bem Karrie M. | officer | Sale | 185 @ $355.00 | $66K | −4.8% of holding | +19.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,648 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Bem Karrie M. | officer | Sale | 185 @ $352.48 | $65K | −4.6% of holding | +24.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,833 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Bem Karrie M. | officer | Sale | 279 @ $361.44 | $101K | −6.5% of holding | +19.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,018 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Bem Karrie M. | officer | Sale | 280 @ $372.66 | $104K | −6.1% of holding | +9.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,297 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 1,550 @ $386.07 | $598K | −2.3% of holding | +1.0% | −25.6% | 66,034 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 343 @ $380.51 | $131K | −0.5% of holding | +1.0% | −25.6% | 68,136 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 290 @ $382.40 | $111K | −0.4% of holding | +1.0% | −25.6% | 67,846 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 262 @ $384.25 | $101K | −0.4% of holding | +1.0% | −25.6% | 67,584 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 180 @ $386.75 | $70K | −0.3% of holding | +1.0% | −25.6% | 65,854 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 1,280 @ $367.08 | $470K | −1.8% of holding | +2.8% | −25.2% | 68,021 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 1,193 @ $365.89 | $437K | −1.7% of holding | +2.8% | −25.2% | 69,301 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 974 @ $368.08 | $359K | −1.4% of holding | +2.8% | −25.2% | 67,047 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 728 @ $369.98 | $269K | −1.1% of holding | +2.8% | −25.2% | 65,854 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 465 @ $368.96 | $172K | −0.7% of holding | +2.8% | −25.2% | 66,582 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 360 @ $364.43 | $131K | −0.5% of holding | +2.8% | −25.2% | 70,494 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 1,366 @ $377.16 | $515K | −2.0% of holding | +2.0% | −22.5% | 66,354 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 900 @ $376.14 | $339K | −1.3% of holding | +2.0% | −22.5% | 67,720 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 543 @ $373.46 | $203K | −0.8% of holding | +2.0% | −22.5% | 68,671 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 527 @ $370.49 | $195K | −0.7% of holding | +2.0% | −22.5% | 70,045 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 500 @ $379.46 | $190K | −0.8% of holding | +2.0% | −22.5% | 65,854 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 425 @ $371.87 | $158K | −0.6% of holding | +2.0% | −22.5% | 69,620 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 406 @ $372.95 | $151K | −0.6% of holding | +2.0% | −22.5% | 69,214 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 282 @ $369.27 | $104K | −0.4% of holding | +2.0% | −22.5% | 70,572 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 51 @ $374.74 | $19K | −0.1% of holding | +2.0% | −22.5% | 68,620 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 1,384 @ $384.76 | $533K | −2.0% of holding | +1.0% | −25.4% | 68,019 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 1,147 @ $386.42 | $443K | −1.7% of holding | +1.0% | −25.4% | 65,829 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 1,043 @ $385.28 | $402K | −1.5% of holding | +1.0% | −25.4% | 66,976 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 969 @ $383.45 | $372K | −1.4% of holding | +1.0% | −25.4% | 69,403 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 457 @ $382.05 | $175K | −0.6% of holding | +1.0% | −25.4% | 70,372 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 1,318 @ $382.06 | $504K | −1.9% of holding | +0.6% | −25.0% | 69,511 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 900 @ $385.78 | $347K | −1.3% of holding | +0.6% | −25.0% | 66,879 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 869 @ $384.03 | $334K | −1.3% of holding | +0.6% | −25.0% | 67,779 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 863 @ $383.09 | $331K | −1.2% of holding | +0.6% | −25.0% | 68,648 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 750 @ $387.97 | $291K | −1.1% of holding | +0.6% | −25.0% | 65,829 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-04 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 300 @ $387.29 | $116K | −0.4% of holding | +0.6% | −25.0% | 66,579 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 865 @ $379.38 | $328K | −1.2% of holding | +0.9% | −25.2% | 69,810 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 724 @ $387.06 | $280K | −1.1% of holding | +0.9% | −25.2% | 66,794 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 615 @ $385.10 | $237K | −0.9% of holding | +0.9% | −25.2% | 67,518 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 586 @ $384.43 | $225K | −0.9% of holding | +0.9% | −25.2% | 68,133 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 470 @ $380.10 | $179K | −0.7% of holding | +0.9% | −25.2% | 69,340 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 429 @ $382.75 | $164K | −0.6% of holding | +0.9% | −25.2% | 68,719 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 376 @ $390.29 | $147K | −0.6% of holding | +0.9% | −25.2% | 66,418 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | McLevige Shawn M | officer | Sale | 350 @ $380.33 | $133K | −7.5% of holding | +0.9% | −25.2% | 4,314 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 309 @ $394.55 | $122K | −0.5% of holding | +0.9% | −25.2% | 65,829 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | McLevige Shawn M | officer | Sale | 281 @ $379.23 | $107K | −5.7% of holding | +0.9% | −25.2% | 4,664 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | McLevige Shawn M | officer | Sale | 260 @ $384.68 | $100K | −6.3% of holding | +0.9% | −25.2% | 3,854 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | McLevige Shawn M | officer | Sale | 250 @ $385.48 | $96K | −6.5% of holding | +0.9% | −25.2% | 3,604 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | McLevige Shawn M | officer | Sale | 200 @ $387.07 | $77K | −5.5% of holding | +0.9% | −25.2% | 3,404 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | McLevige Shawn M | officer | Sale | 200 @ $382.68 | $77K | −4.6% of holding | +0.9% | −25.2% | 4,114 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 192 @ $381.41 | $73K | −0.3% of holding | +0.9% | −25.2% | 69,148 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 150 @ $392.48 | $59K | −0.2% of holding | +0.9% | −25.2% | 66,138 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 154 @ $377.84 | $58K | −0.2% of holding | +0.9% | −25.2% | 70,675 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Sale | 130 @ $391.59 | $51K | −0.2% of holding | +0.9% | −25.2% | 66,288 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | McLevige Shawn M | officer | Sale | 100 @ $392.34 | $39K | −3.1% of holding | +0.9% | −25.2% | 3,173 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | McLevige Shawn M | officer | Sale | 100 @ $389.40 | $39K | −2.9% of holding | +0.9% | −25.2% | 3,304 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
153 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Lacey William F. | director | Withheld for tax | 2,562 | 13,073 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Curado Frederico F. | director | Award / grant | 145 | 145 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | McLevige Shawn M | officer | Option exercise | 2,150 | 5,248 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | McLevige Shawn M | officer | Option exercise | 2,150 | 2,150 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Korte Daniel G. | director | Option exercise | 6,000 | 13,934 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Korte Daniel G. | director | Option exercise | 5,200 | 19,134 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Korte Daniel G. | director | Option exercise | 3,500 | 7,934 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Korte Daniel G. | director | Option exercise | 6,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Korte Daniel G. | director | Option exercise | 5,200 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Korte Daniel G. | director | Option exercise | 3,500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Option exercise | 2,625 | 68,479 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Option exercise | 2,625 | 56,466 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-09 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Option exercise | 5,000 | 70,854 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-09 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Option exercise | 5,000 | 59,091 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Option exercise | 5,000 | 70,854 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Option exercise | 5,000 | 64,091 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Option exercise | 2,625 | 68,454 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Option exercise | 2,375 | 70,829 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Option exercise | 2,625 | 12,625 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Option exercise | 2,375 | 69,091 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Option exercise | 5,000 | 70,829 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Option exercise | 5,000 | 15,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Option exercise | 5,000 | 70,829 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | McLevige Shawn M | officer | Option exercise | 1,850 | 4,945 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | McLevige Shawn M | officer | Option exercise | 1,850 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Option exercise | 5,000 | 20,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Withheld for tax | 3,995 | 65,829 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Cromwell Thomas G | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,128 | 16,023 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Lacey William F. | director | Withheld for tax | 650 | 15,603 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Hobbs Randall | officer | Withheld for tax | 359 | 38,157 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | McLevige Shawn M | officer | Withheld for tax | 54 | 3,095 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Withheld for tax | 1,896 | 69,824 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Cromwell Thomas G | officer | Withheld for tax | 474 | 17,151 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Lacey William F. | director | Withheld for tax | 332 | 16,253 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Hobbs Randall | officer | Withheld for tax | 221 | 38,516 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Bem Karrie M. | officer | Withheld for tax | 172 | 4,574 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | McLevige Shawn M | officer | Withheld for tax | 99 | 3,149 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Hobbs Randall | officer | Award / grant | 574 | 38,737 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Bem Karrie M. | officer | Award / grant | 989 | 4,746 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Blankenship Charles P | director | Award / grant | 7,968 | 71,720 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.