WTWWillis Towers Watson Public Limited CompanyFinancial Services · Insurance - Brokersas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $312.91 · now $312.91 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WTW has typically landed between $286.12 and $343.58 — a range of −8.6% to +9.8% from the issuance price $312.91.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($312.91) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where WTW has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $312.91 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$286.12worst · -8.6%$343.58best · +9.8%
  • now $312.91 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $315.22 (+0.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $303.75–$326.69
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $286.12–$343.58
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−35.0%−35.0%+3.7%
2008-09-25−32.4%−32.4%+4.3%
2008-09-24−29.4%−29.4%+8.2%
3 best
2026-06-30+28.6%+0.0%+28.6%
2020-03-23+26.5%+0.0%+34.1%
2009-03-31+25.0%−2.5%+25.0%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$27.9B
market cap
$17.14
EPS (TTM)
17.2
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-30
next earnings
Revenue$9.7B
'20'25
Net income$1.6B
'20'25
Free cash flow$1.5B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr16.5%
'20'25
ROE · by yr20.1%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.87
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 69 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $312.91$266.44$390.56
  • DCF (intrinsic)$367.18
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 16.4× · n=69$280.79
  • Analyst target · range $275.00–$382.00$342.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$312.91

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+1.1%
n=18
Feb
47%
+0.3%
n=19
Mar
68%
+1.6%
n=19
Apr
63%
+1.5%
n=19
May
53%
+0.2%
n=19
Jun
42%
−0.1%
n=19
Jul
58%
+1.9%
n=19
Aug
53%
+0.1%
n=19
Sep
53%
+0.7%
n=19
Oct
56%
−0.5%
n=18
Nov
67%
+2.6%
n=18
Dec
56%
+1.8%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$351$2412026-08-10: 1 insider sale, $250K — Faber Alexis2026-05-06: 1 insider purchase, $499K — Clarke Lucy2026-05-04: 1 insider purchase, $510K — Hess Carl Aaron2026-03-03: 1 insider sale, $912K — Furman Matthew2026-02-13: 1 insider purchase, $997K — Clarke Lucy2026-02-12: 1 insider purchase, $67K — Hammond Michael P.2026-02: 2 open-market purchases, $1.1M2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $912K2026-05: 2 open-market purchases, $1.0M2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $250K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Faber Alexis — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Clarke Lucy — Purchase on 2026-05-06, filed same daydirector Hess Carl Aaron — Purchase on 2026-05-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Furman Matthew — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Clarke Lucy — Purchase on 2026-02-13, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Hammond Michael P. — Purchase on 2026-02-12, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-10Faber AlexisofficerSale730 @ $342.70$250K−6.4% of holding−7.2%not yet — horizon still open10,752Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-06Clarke LucyofficerPurchase1,896 @ $263.37$499K+9.1% of holding+3.9%not yet — horizon still open22,717Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-04Hess Carl AarondirectorPurchase2,000 @ $255.08$510K+1.7% of holding−8.5%not yet — horizon still open117,425Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-03Furman MatthewofficerSale3,000 @ $304.00$912K−7.3% of holding−1.4%−1.4%38,185Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-13Clarke LucyofficerPurchase3,500 @ $284.84$997K+22.2% of holding+2.3%+0.2%19,250Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-12Hammond Michael P.directorPurchase241 @ $278.86$67K+10.6% of holding+4.8%+3.4%2,505Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-03Krasner Andrew JayofficerSale1,600 @ $315.75$505K−11.8% of holding−7.2%−13.8%11,982Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

293 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-13Hess Carl AarondirectorAward / grant538,512Form 4
2026-08-13Krasner Andrew JayofficerAward / grant4758Form 4
2026-08-13Gebauer Julie JareckeofficerAward / grant135,626Form 4
2026-07-15Clarke LucyofficerAward / grant4122,759Form 4
2026-07-15Faber AlexisofficerAward / grant611,482Form 4
2026-07-15Faber AlexisofficerAward / grant92,605Form 4
2026-07-15Faber AlexisofficerAward / grant41,068Form 4
2026-07-15Furman MatthewofficerAward / grant123,683Form 4
2026-07-15Furman MatthewofficerAward / grant92,605Form 4
2026-07-15Gebauer Julie JareckeofficerAward / grant1278,034Form 4
2026-07-15Gebauer Julie JareckeofficerAward / grant8224,569Form 4
2026-07-15Gebauer Julie JareckeofficerAward / grant195,614Form 4
2026-07-15Hess Carl AarondirectorAward / grant52117,548Form 4
2026-07-15Hess Carl AarondirectorAward / grant3510,557Form 4
2026-07-15Hess Carl AarondirectorAward / grant288,459Form 4
2026-07-15Krasner Andrew JayofficerAward / grant154,475Form 4
2026-07-15Krasner Andrew JayofficerAward / grant92,640Form 4
2026-07-15Krasner Andrew JayofficerAward / grant3754Form 4
2026-07-15Kurpis Joseph StephenofficerAward / grant11,693Form 4
2026-07-15Kurpis Joseph StephenofficerAward / grant1421Form 4
2026-07-15Kurpis Joseph StephenofficerAward / grant2450Form 4
2026-07-15Pullum AnneofficerAward / grant722,448Form 4
2026-07-15Pullum AnneofficerAward / grant92,629Form 4
2026-07-15Pullum AnneofficerAward / grant3924Form 4
2026-07-15Qureshi Imran AhmedofficerAward / grant62,359Form 4
2026-07-15Qureshi Imran AhmedofficerAward / grant103,143Form 4
2026-07-15Qureshi Imran AhmedofficerAward / grant61,694Form 4
2026-07-15Furman MatthewofficerAward / grant635,561Form 4
2026-07-15Banas Kristy DofficerAward / grant511,366Form 4
2026-07-15Banas Kristy DofficerAward / grant41,338Form 4
2026-07-15Banas Kristy DofficerAward / grant2556Form 4
2026-07-10Hess Carl AarondirectorAward / grant8410,522Form 4
2026-07-10Krasner Andrew JayofficerAward / grant672,632Form 4
2026-07-10Gebauer Julie JareckeofficerAward / grant6524,486Form 4
2026-07-10Pullum AnneofficerAward / grant522,620Form 4
2026-07-10Qureshi Imran AhmedofficerAward / grant523,133Form 4
2026-07-10Furman MatthewofficerAward / grant523,670Form 4
2026-07-10Faber AlexisofficerAward / grant482,596Form 4
2026-07-10Banas Kristy DofficerAward / grant431,334Form 4
2026-07-10Hess Carl AarondirectorAward / grant108,430Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Valerie HoyleHousesale2025-10-102025-09-23$1–15K
Valerie HoyleHousepurchase2025-09-122024-10-29$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2025-07-102025-06-26$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-05-142025-04-07$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-05-062025-04-07$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-03-062025-02-24$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-02-112025-01-28$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-02-112025-01-13$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2024-11-082024-10-11$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2024-02-052024-01-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2023-10-062023-09-06$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2023-09-062023-08-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2023-09-062023-08-03$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.