Issued 2026-09-16 at $20.31 · now $20.31 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WTTR has typically landed between $16.88 and $24.74 — a range of −16.9% to +21.8% from the issuance price $20.31.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,343 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-04-21 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($20.31) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where WTTR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $20.31 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $20.31 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $20.9 (+2.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $19.47–$22.34
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $16.88–$24.74
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −68.1% | −68.1% | +4.0% |
| 2020-02-21 | −64.9% | −68.5% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-20 | −61.6% | −69.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-04-08 | +86.3% | +0.0% | +86.3% |
| 2020-04-21 | +70.9% | +0.0% | +80.0% |
| 2020-03-30 | +69.8% | −8.7% | +69.8% |
2,343 overlapping windows · 2017-04-21 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Sale | 2,632,760 @ $18.92 | $49.8M | −100.0% of holding | −13.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Sale | 617,240 @ $18.92 | $11.7M | −19.1% of holding | −13.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,615,972 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | Burnett Richard Alan | director | Sale | 45,316 @ $18.74 | $849K | −38.8% of holding | −5.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 71,578 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Burnett Richard Alan | director | Sale | 19,684 @ $18.73 | $369K | −14.4% of holding | −1.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 116,894 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Skarke Michael | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $17.78 | $356K | −5.3% of holding | +2.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 360,738 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-11 | Skarke Michael | officer | Sale | 90,000 @ $17.31 | $1.6M | −19.1% of holding | +6.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 380,738 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | Szymanski Brian | officer | Sale | 20,000 @ $17.04 | $341K | −14.8% of holding | +6.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 114,752 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | Fielder Robin H | director | Sale | 27,010 @ $16.80 | $454K | −38.4% of holding | +9.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 43,315 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-08 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Sale | 2,430,240 @ $15.12 | $36.7M | −100.0% of holding | +1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-08 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Sale | 665,983 @ $15.12 | $10.1M | −17.1% of holding | +1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,233,212 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-09 | Schmitz John | director | Sale | 33,916 @ $13.03 | $442K | −12.0% of holding | +11.2% | +52.5% | 249,243 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-06 | Schmitz John | director | Sale | 16,841 @ $13.01 | $219K | −5.6% of holding | +9.5% | +50.8% | 283,159 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-05 | Schmitz John | director | Sale | 62,480 @ $11.21 | $700K | −4.0% of holding | −4.7% | +57.1% | 1,496,626 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-05 | Schmitz John | director | Sale | 1,316 @ $11.21 | $15K | −4.0% of holding | −4.7% | +57.1% | 31,373 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-05 | Schmitz John | director | Sale | 1,316 @ $11.21 | $15K | −4.0% of holding | −4.7% | +57.1% | 31,372 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-05 | Schmitz John | director | Sale | 1,315 @ $11.21 | $15K | −4.0% of holding | −4.7% | +57.1% | 31,373 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-04 | Schmitz John | director | Sale | 187,442 @ $11.15 | $2.1M | −10.7% of holding | −1.4% | +57.8% | 1,559,106 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-04 | Schmitz John | director | Sale | 3,946 @ $11.15 | $44K | −10.8% of holding | −1.4% | +57.8% | 32,687 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-04 | Schmitz John | director | Sale | 3,946 @ $11.15 | $44K | −10.8% of holding | −1.4% | +57.8% | 32,688 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Schmitz John | director | Sale | 8,453 @ $11.04 | $93K | −0.5% of holding | +0.5% | +68.2% | 1,746,548 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Schmitz John | director | Sale | 178 @ $11.04 | $2K | −0.5% of holding | +0.5% | +68.2% | 36,634 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Schmitz John | director | Sale | 178 @ $11.04 | $2K | −0.5% of holding | +0.5% | +68.2% | 36,633 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-11 | Schmitz John | director | Sale | 135,163 @ $11.10 | $1.5M | −7.2% of holding | +1.5% | +59.0% | 1,755,001 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-11 | Schmitz John | director | Sale | 2,835 @ $11.10 | $31K | −7.2% of holding | +1.5% | +59.0% | 36,811 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-11 | Schmitz John | director | Sale | 2,835 @ $11.10 | $31K | −7.2% of holding | +1.5% | +59.0% | 36,812 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | Schmitz John | director | Sale | 135,163 @ $11.04 | $1.5M | −6.7% of holding | +5.0% | +58.9% | 1,890,164 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | Schmitz John | director | Sale | 2,835 @ $11.04 | $31K | −6.7% of holding | +5.0% | +58.9% | 39,647 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | Schmitz John | director | Sale | 2,835 @ $11.04 | $31K | −6.7% of holding | +5.0% | +58.9% | 39,646 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | Schmitz John | director | Sale | 73,450 @ $13.03 | $957K | −2.5% of holding | −18.2% | −42.7% | 2,825,128 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | Schmitz John | director | Sale | 26,550 @ $13.16 | $349K | −0.9% of holding | −18.1% | −41.2% | 2,898,578 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
127 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Lyons Michael James | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,844 | 142,751 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-16 | Schmitz John | director | Award / grant | 125,000 | 125,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-16 | Schmitz John | director | Award / grant | 250,000 | 536,436 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | George Christopher Kile | officer | Withheld for tax | 730 | 340,275 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Disposition | 2,632,760 | 11,158,101 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Conversion | 2,632,760 | 2,632,760 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Conversion | 2,632,760 | 11,158,101 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Conversion | 2,632,760 | 2,632,760 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Disposition | 2,632,760 | 11,158,101 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Conversion | 2,632,760 | 11,158,101 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Conversion | 2,632,760 | 2,632,760 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Disposition | 2,632,760 | 11,158,101 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Conversion | 2,632,760 | 11,158,101 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Conversion | 2,632,760 | 2,632,760 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Disposition | 2,632,760 | 11,158,101 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Conversion | 2,632,760 | 11,158,101 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Burleson Gayle | director | Award / grant | 9,446 | 95,214 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Cope Bruce E. | director | Award / grant | 9,446 | 26,868 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Roberts Timothy A. | director | Award / grant | 9,446 | 26,868 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Fielder Robin H | director | Award / grant | 9,446 | 70,325 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | FERNANDEZ-MORENO LUIS M | director | Award / grant | 9,446 | 78,652 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-06 | Burnett Richard Alan | director | Award / grant | 9,446 | 136,578 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Disposition | 2,430,240 | 13,790,861 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Conversion | 2,430,240 | 13,790,861 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Conversion | 2,430,240 | 13,790,861 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Conversion | 2,430,240 | 2,430,240 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Disposition | 2,430,240 | 13,790,861 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Conversion | 2,430,240 | 13,790,861 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Conversion | 2,430,240 | 2,430,240 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Disposition | 2,430,240 | 13,790,861 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Conversion | 2,430,240 | 13,790,861 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Conversion | 2,430,240 | 2,430,240 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Conversion | 2,430,240 | 2,430,240 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Disposition | 2,430,240 | 13,790,861 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Conversion | 2,430,240 | 2,430,240 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Disposition | 2,430,240 | 13,790,861 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Conversion | 2,430,240 | 13,790,861 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Conversion | 2,430,240 | 2,430,240 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Disposition | 2,430,240 | 13,790,861 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-08 | Crestview Partners II GP, L.P. | director | Conversion | 2,430,240 | 13,790,861 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.