WTS · TickerCove

WTSWatts Water Technologies, Inc.Industrials · Industrial - Machineryas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $348.78 · now $348.78 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WTS has typically landed between $312.02 and $399.35 — a range of −10.5% to +14.5% from the issuance price $348.78.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($348.78) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$348.78 · 67% of range

$262.11 low$392.23 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.3%

typical move · IQR 10.4%

−10.5%worst (p90)+14.5%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where WTS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $348.78 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $348.78 (+0.0%)
typical $353.29 (+1.3%)
middle 50% $335.19–$371.4
90% range $312.02–$399.35

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-21	−31.6%	−31.6%	+0.0%
2011-07-21	−31.2%	−31.2%	+0.0%
2009-02-05	−31.2%	−31.2%	+0.0%
3 best
2009-07-09	+42.7%	+0.0%	+42.7%
2008-07-14	+39.5%	+0.0%	+39.5%
2008-07-15	+39.4%	+0.0%	+39.4%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

45%

+0.3%

n=20

Feb

55%

−0.6%

n=20

Mar

60%

+0.2%

n=20

Apr

45%

+0.1%

n=20

May

60%

+0.2%

n=20

Jun

60%

+2.0%

n=20

Jul

75%

+5.2%

n=20

Aug

55%

+2.1%

n=20

Sep

55%

−0.3%

n=20

Oct

55%

+2.0%

n=20

Nov

80%

+5.4%

n=20

Dec

65%

+0.3%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-04	Melhem Elie	officer	Sale	1,096 @ $359.55	$394K	−12.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	7,867	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-09-01	Noonan Joseph T	director	Sale	1,466 @ $353.63	$518K	−100.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-01	Noonan Joseph T	director	Sale	1,266 @ $354.62	$449K	−46.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	1,466	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-01	Noonan Joseph T	director	Sale	918 @ $352.62	$324K	−25.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	2,732	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-28	Dubose Michael J.	director	Sale	398 @ $309.63	$123K	−18.0% of holding	+17.2%	not yet — horizon still open	1,814	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-13	Melhem Elie	officer	Sale	2,257 @ $301.00	$679K	−20.1% of holding	+11.3%	not yet — horizon still open	8,963	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-19	Melhem Elie	officer	Sale	372 @ $292.13	$109K	−3.2% of holding	−7.6%	not yet — horizon still open	11,220	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-18	Melhem Elie	officer	Sale	379 @ $300.03	$114K	−3.2% of holding	−5.7%	not yet — horizon still open	11,592	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-17	Melhem Elie	officer	Sale	3,029 @ $303.05	$918K	−20.2% of holding	−5.4%	+3.0%	11,971	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-12	Dubose Michael J.	director	Sale	332 @ $301.70	$100K	−13.1% of holding	−1.2%	+2.3%	2,212	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-20	HORNE TIMOTHY P	tenPercentOwner	Sale	7,500 @ $330.04	$2.5M	−50.0% of holding	−5.0%	+3.7%	7,500	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-19	Pagano Robert J Jr	director	Sale	7,731 @ $327.68	$2.5M	−3.9% of holding	−6.9%	+0.7%	191,202	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-19	Pagano Robert J Jr	director	Sale	3,348 @ $326.89	$1.1M	−1.7% of holding	−6.9%	+0.7%	198,933	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-19	Pagano Robert J Jr	director	Sale	2,834 @ $325.75	$923K	−1.4% of holding	−6.9%	+0.7%	202,281	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-19	Pagano Robert J Jr	director	Sale	1,994 @ $328.55	$655K	−1.0% of holding	−6.9%	+0.7%	205,115	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-19	Pagano Robert J Jr	director	Sale	81 @ $329.62	$27K	−0.0% of holding	−6.9%	+0.7%	207,109	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-19	Pagano Robert J Jr	director	Sale	78 @ $330.26	$26K	−0.0% of holding	−6.9%	+0.7%	207,190	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17	Lepage Kenneth Robert	officer	Sale	5,025 @ $321.08	$1.6M	−29.0% of holding	−6.7%	+1.5%	12,284	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-17	Halloran Virginia A	officer	Sale	605 @ $276.78	$167K	−4.3% of holding	+3.0%	+14.7%	13,412	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-25	HORNE TIMOTHY P	tenPercentOwner	Sale	6,814 @ $272.32	$1.9M	−31.2% of holding	−0.1%	−1.1%	15,000	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-24	HORNE TIMOTHY P	tenPercentOwner	Sale	942 @ $272.26	$256K	−4.1% of holding	+1.6%	+2.0%	21,814	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-20	HORNE TIMOTHY P	tenPercentOwner	Sale	250 @ $272.00	$68K	−1.1% of holding	+1.3%	+1.8%	22,756	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-12	HORNE TIMOTHY P	tenPercentOwner	Sale	6,994 @ $278.65	$1.9M	−23.3% of holding	+1.4%	−1.0%	23,006	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-20	Dubose Michael J.	director	Sale	727 @ $276.74	$201K	−22.2% of holding	−2.4%	+10.0%	2,544	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-13	Noonan Joseph T	director	Sale	713 @ $274.45	$196K	−37.4% of holding	−0.3%	+15.4%	1,194	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-28	HORNE TIMOTHY P	tenPercentOwner	Sale	7,000 @ $241.85	$1.7M	−100.0% of holding	−2.7%	+0.1%	0	Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade
2025-05-13	Barry Monica	officer	Sale	768 @ $245.40	$188K	−11.0% of holding	−3.3%	−3.4%	6,236	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12	Patel Shashank	director	Sale	7,680 @ $244.98	$1.9M	−73.6% of holding	−3.4%	−4.9%	2,754	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12	Patel Shashank	director	Sale	320 @ $245.49	$79K	−3.0% of holding	−3.4%	−4.9%	10,434	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-11	Melhem Elie	officer	Sale	4,397 @ $210.53	$926K	−29.6% of holding	−5.6%	+15.7%	10,469	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

129 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-20	Noonan Joseph T	director	Conversion	3,650	3,650	Form 4
2026-08-20	Noonan Joseph T	director	Gift	3,650	3,650	Form 4
2026-08-20	Noonan Joseph T	director	Conversion	3,650	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	HORNE TIMOTHY P	tenPercentOwner	Gift	3,650	4,972,640	Form 4
2026-08-03	Stefany Suzanne	director	Award / grant	456	807	Form 4
2026-08-03	Boll Rebecca	director	Award / grant	456	1,976	Form 4
2026-08-03	Napolitano Kenneth	director	Award / grant	456	1,810	Form 4
2026-08-03	Noonan Joseph T	director	Award / grant	456	1,650	Form 4
2026-08-03	RAINES MERILEE	director	Award / grant	456	21,670	Form 4
2026-08-03	Reitmeier Joseph William	director	Award / grant	456	12,144	Form 4
2026-08-03	Dubose Michael J.	director	Award / grant	456	2,270	Form 4
2026-08-03	Dunbar David A.	director	Award / grant	456	456	Form 4
2026-03-16	Pagano Robert J Jr	director	Withheld for tax	3,576	199,753	Form 4
2026-03-16	Pagano Robert J Jr	director	Withheld for tax	2,151	203,329	Form 4
2026-03-16	Pagano Robert J Jr	director	Withheld for tax	2,061	205,480	Form 4
2026-03-16	Lepage Kenneth Robert	officer	Withheld for tax	861	11,875	Form 4
2026-03-16	Melhem Elie	officer	Withheld for tax	645	15,000	Form 4
2026-03-16	Dhawan Andre	officer	Withheld for tax	376	11,774	Form 4
2026-03-16	Dhawan Andre	officer	Withheld for tax	369	12,150	Form 4
2026-03-16	McClintock Diane M	officer	Withheld for tax	363	7,896	Form 4
2026-03-16	Lepage Kenneth Robert	officer	Withheld for tax	273	12,736	Form 4
2026-03-16	Halloran Virginia A	officer	Withheld for tax	273	13,748	Form 4
2026-03-16	Lepage Kenneth Robert	officer	Withheld for tax	268	13,009	Form 4
2026-03-16	Melhem Elie	officer	Withheld for tax	223	15,645	Form 4
2026-03-16	Melhem Elie	officer	Withheld for tax	219	15,868	Form 4
2026-03-16	Barry Monica	officer	Withheld for tax	167	7,573	Form 4
2026-03-16	Barry Monica	officer	Withheld for tax	167	7,406	Form 4
2026-03-16	McClintock Diane M	officer	Withheld for tax	69	8,259	Form 4
2026-03-16	McClintock Diane M	officer	Withheld for tax	53	8,328	Form 4
2026-03-16	Halloran Virginia A	officer	Withheld for tax	40	14,021	Form 4
2026-03-16	Halloran Virginia A	officer	Withheld for tax	36	14,061	Form 4
2026-03-13	Pagano Robert J Jr	director	Award / grant	5,685	209,398	Form 4
2026-03-13	Pagano Robert J Jr	director	Withheld for tax	1,857	207,541	Form 4
2026-03-13	Melhem Elie	officer	Award / grant	840	16,335	Form 4
2026-03-13	McClintock Diane M	officer	Award / grant	481	8,284	Form 4
2026-03-13	Lepage Kenneth Robert	officer	Withheld for tax	304	13,277	Form 4
2026-03-13	Melhem Elie	officer	Withheld for tax	248	16,087	Form 4
2026-03-13	Halloran Virginia A	officer	Award / grant	250	14,139	Form 4
2026-03-13	Barry Monica	officer	Withheld for tax	168	7,740	Form 4
2026-03-13	Dhawan Andre	officer	Withheld for tax	106	12,519	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i