Issued 2026-09-16 at $41.37 · now $41.37 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WTRG has typically landed between $37.33 and $45.46 — a range of −9.8% to +9.9% from the issuance price $41.37.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($41.37) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where WTRG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $41.37 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $41.37 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $41.42 (+0.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $39.76–$43.09
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $37.33–$45.46
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −38.5% | −38.5% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-13 | −37.1% | −37.1% | +1.7% |
| 2020-02-20 | −34.7% | −37.4% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-10-27 | +47.2% | +0.0% | +47.2% |
| 2008-10-24 | +43.8% | +0.0% | +43.8% |
| 2008-10-23 | +35.1% | −4.4% | +35.1% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Arnold Colleen | officer | Sale | 2,855 @ $39.55 | $113K | −14.1% of holding | +6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,347 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-14 | Franklin Chris | director | Sale | 7,700 @ $39.40 | $303K | −19.3% of holding | +5.6% | −20.8% | 32,229 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
62 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Linde Tamara Louise | director | Award / grant | 3,666 | 10,533 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Amato Elizabeth B | director | Award / grant | 3,666 | 26,636 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Lewis Wilbert Bryan | director | Award / grant | 3,666 | 13,999 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Bruner Christopher L | director | Award / grant | 3,666 | 10,533 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Hilferty Daniel J III | director | Award / grant | 3,666 | 38,011 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Ciesinski David Alan | director | Award / grant | 3,666 | 16,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-22 | Franklin Chris | director | Withheld for tax | 17,964 | 345,456 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-22 | SCHULLER DANIEL | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,681 | 83,504 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-22 | Luning Christopher Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,465 | 84,608 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-22 | Huwar Michael | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,068 | 21,294 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-22 | Arnold Colleen | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,053 | 20,104 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-22 | Palmer Bradley John | officer | Withheld for tax | 158 | 2,270 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-22 | Luning Christopher Paul | officer | Award / grant | 4,804 | 88,073 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-22 | Franklin Chris | director | Award / grant | 25,332 | 363,420 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-22 | Palmer Bradley John | officer | Award / grant | 246 | 2,428 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-22 | Huwar Michael | officer | Award / grant | 2,599 | 23,362 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-22 | Arnold Colleen | officer | Award / grant | 2,747 | 22,157 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-22 | SCHULLER DANIEL | officer | Award / grant | 6,682 | 88,185 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Franklin Chris | director | Award / grant | 10,068 | 338,088 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Luning Christopher Paul | officer | Award / grant | 4,531 | 83,269 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Franklin Chris | director | Withheld for tax | 5,917 | 328,020 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | SCHULLER DANIEL | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,624 | 81,503 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Luning Christopher Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,112 | 78,724 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Huwar Michael | officer | Withheld for tax | 652 | 20,763 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Arnold Colleen | officer | Withheld for tax | 643 | 19,410 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Palmer Bradley John | officer | Withheld for tax | 89 | 2,182 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Franklin Chris | director | Award / grant | 88,375 | 88,375 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | SCHULLER DANIEL | officer | Award / grant | 22,060 | 22,060 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Luning Christopher Paul | officer | Award / grant | 15,258 | 15,258 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Arnold Colleen | officer | Award / grant | 9,207 | 9,207 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Huwar Michael | officer | Award / grant | 8,769 | 8,769 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Palmer Bradley John | officer | Award / grant | 2,242 | 2,242 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Arnold Colleen | officer | Award / grant | 3,833 | 20,053 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Luning Christopher Paul | officer | Award / grant | 6,351 | 79,836 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | SCHULLER DANIEL | officer | Award / grant | 9,183 | 83,127 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Huwar Michael | officer | Award / grant | 3,650 | 21,415 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Palmer Bradley John | officer | Award / grant | 933 | 2,271 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-23 | Franklin Chris | director | Award / grant | 36,788 | 333,937 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-23 | Lewis Wilbert Bryan | director | Award / grant | 3,608 | 10,333 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-23 | Linde Tamara Louise | director | Award / grant | 3,608 | 6,867 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.