Issued 2026-09-16 at $362.01 · now $362.01 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WST has typically landed between $306.97 and $416.85 — a range of −15.2% to +15.2% from the issuance price $362.01.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($362.01) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where WST has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $362.01 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $362.01 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $365.35 (+0.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $345.1–$385.6
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $306.97–$416.85
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-01-21 | −40.9% | −42.2% | +0.9% |
| 2025-01-17 | −39.8% | −40.8% | +3.4% |
| 2025-01-14 | −39.4% | −39.4% | +5.7% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-25 | +44.6% | +0.0% | +44.6% |
| 2020-03-24 | +38.5% | −0.1% | +38.5% |
| 2020-03-27 | +36.9% | +0.0% | +40.4% |
4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.
Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.
iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 54 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.- DCF (intrinsic)$91.68
- Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 27.4× · n=54$214.58
- Analyst target · range $295.00–$447.00$377.50
- Current price · last close 2026-09-16$362.01
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Favorite Annette F | officer | Sale | 2,524 @ $365.00 | $921K | −10.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 21,818 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-14 | Favorite Annette F | officer | Sale | 2,500 @ $355.00 | $888K | −10.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 21,818 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Favorite Annette F | officer | Sale | 2,500 @ $345.00 | $863K | −10.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 21,818 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | Favorite Annette F | officer | Sale | 2,818 @ $340.81 | $960K | −14.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 16,845 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | Favorite Annette F | officer | Sale | 2,817 @ $340.81 | $960K | −14.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 16,845 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | Favorite Annette F | officer | Sale | 2,500 @ $340.81 | $852K | −12.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 16,845 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-27 | Favorite Annette F | officer | Sale | 2,817 @ $305.20 | $860K | −14.3% of holding | −1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 16,828 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-27 | Winters Chad | officer | Sale | 896 @ $300.67 | $269K | −37.0% of holding | −1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,523 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
156 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Favorite Annette F | officer | Option exercise | 2,524 | 24,342 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Favorite Annette F | officer | Option exercise | 2,524 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Favorite Annette F | officer | Option exercise | 2,500 | 24,318 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Favorite Annette F | officer | Option exercise | 2,500 | 2,524 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Favorite Annette F | officer | Option exercise | 2,500 | 24,318 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Favorite Annette F | officer | Option exercise | 2,500 | 5,024 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Favorite Annette F | officer | Option exercise | 2,818 | 19,663 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Favorite Annette F | officer | Option exercise | 2,817 | 19,662 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Favorite Annette F | officer | Option exercise | 2,500 | 19,345 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Favorite Annette F | officer | Option exercise | 2,817 | 2,818 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Favorite Annette F | officer | Option exercise | 2,818 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Favorite Annette F | officer | Option exercise | 2,500 | 7,524 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Lagarde Michel | director | Award / grant | 6,200 | 6,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Lagarde Michel | director | Award / grant | 4,950 | 4,950 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Lagarde Michel | director | Award / grant | 3,600 | 3,600 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Lagarde Michel | director | Award / grant | 13,879 | 13,879 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Lagarde Michel | director | Award / grant | 11,081 | 11,081 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Lagarde Michel | director | Award / grant | 12,088 | 12,088 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | McMahon Robert W. | director | Withheld for tax | 2,764 | 7,021 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | McMahon Robert W. | director | Withheld for tax | 346 | 3,429 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | McMahon Robert W. | director | Option exercise | 794 | 2,383 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | McMahon Robert W. | director | Option exercise | 6,355 | 2,119 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | McMahon Robert W. | director | Option exercise | 794 | 3,775 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | McMahon Robert W. | director | Option exercise | 6,355 | 9,784 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | McMahon Robert W. | director | Option exercise | 6,355 | 9,784 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | McMahon Robert W. | director | Option exercise | 794 | 3,775 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | HAUGEN JANET BRUTSCHEA | director | Award / grant | 46 | 307 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Campbell Shane Alden | officer | Withheld for tax | 135 | 613 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Campbell Shane Alden | officer | Withheld for tax | 84 | 274 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Campbell Shane Alden | officer | Option exercise | 474 | 1,417 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Campbell Shane Alden | officer | Option exercise | 296 | 886 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Campbell Shane Alden | officer | Option exercise | 296 | 358 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Campbell Shane Alden | officer | Option exercise | 474 | 748 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Campbell Shane Alden | officer | Option exercise | 296 | 358 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Campbell Shane Alden | officer | Option exercise | 474 | 748 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Michels Douglas A | director | Award / grant | 791 | 46,496 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | FRIEL ROBERT F | director | Award / grant | 791 | 5,513 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Feehery William F | director | Award / grant | 791 | 32,519 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | Pucci Paolo | director | Award / grant | 791 | 11,854 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-04 | BUTHMAN MARK A | director | Award / grant | 791 | 44,309 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-07-06 | 2026-06-02 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-06-09 | 2026-05-27 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-03-09 | 2026-02-05 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-02-06 | 2026-01-29 | $1–15K |
| Lisa Mcclain | House | sale | 2025-08-13 | 2025-07-22 | $1–15K |
| Lisa Mcclain | House | purchase | 2025-08-13 | 2025-06-17 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-06-10 | 2025-05-19 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-05-12 | 2025-04-23 | $1–15K |
| Rob Bresnahan | House | sale | 2025-05-08 | 2025-04-08 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2025-04-10 | 2025-03-12 | $1–15K |
| Rob Bresnahan | House | purchase | 2025-03-27 | 2025-02-25 | $1–15K |
| Jared Moskowitz | House | sale | 2025-03-06 | 2025-02-13 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2025-03-06 | 2025-02-19 | $1–15K |
| Jared Moskowitz | House | sale | 2024-12-09 | 2024-11-08 | $1–15K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.