Issued 2026-09-16 at $185.59 · now $185.59 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WRLD has typically landed between $144.66 and $231.02 — a range of −22.1% to +24.5% from the issuance price $185.59.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($185.59) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where WRLD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $185.59 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $185.59 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $185.9 (+0.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $168.88–$202.93
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $144.66–$231.02
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-26 | −56.3% | −56.3% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-30 | −51.5% | −55.2% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-25 | −49.8% | −49.8% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-31 | +73.6% | +0.0% | +73.6% |
| 2022-12-23 | +70.9% | −4.1% | +70.9% |
| 2009-03-06 | +70.5% | +0.0% | +73.4% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
60%
+4.5%
n=20
Feb
55%
+0.8%
n=20
Mar
40%
−2.2%
n=20
Apr
75%
+10.3%
n=20
May
65%
+4.0%
n=20
Jun
40%
+0.2%
n=20
Jul
40%
−0.9%
n=20
Aug
65%
+2.5%
n=20
Sep
40%
−2.8%
n=20
Oct
30%
−3.6%
n=20
Nov
70%
+5.9%
n=20
Dec
50%
+1.3%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Prescott General Partners LLC | other | Sale | 72,460 @ $187.69 | $13.6M | −8.1% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 823,336 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Prescott General Partners LLC | other | Sale | 42,091 @ $187.69 | $7.9M | −8.1% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 476,459 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Prescott General Partners LLC | other | Sale | 10,656 @ $187.69 | $2.0M | −25.5% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 31,148 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Prescott General Partners LLC | other | Sale | 7,992 @ $187.69 | $1.5M | −15.9% of holding | −2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 42,294 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Childers Jason E. | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $190.74 | $381K | −13.5% of holding | +1.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,799 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | Robinson Benjamin E III | director | Sale | 90 @ $187.26 | $17K | −1.9% of holding | +2.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,746 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | McIntyre Scott | officer | Sale | 1,300 @ $185.00 | $241K | −8.1% of holding | −4.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,660 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-30 | Calmes John L Jr | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $186.00 | $372K | −4.0% of holding | +0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 48,334 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | WAY CHARLES D | director | Sale | 833 @ $225.00 | $187K | −6.1% of holding | −18.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,729 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Robinson Benjamin E III | director | Sale | 2,031 @ $222.77 | $452K | −29.6% of holding | −15.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,836 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | WAY CHARLES D | director | Sale | 833 @ $210.00 | $175K | −5.8% of holding | −12.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,562 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Caulder Alice Lindsay | officer | Sale | 609 @ $181.00 | $110K | −4.0% of holding | +13.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,682 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Umstetter Luke J. | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $181.66 | $182K | −3.4% of holding | +7.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,245 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Robinson Benjamin E III | director | Sale | 90 @ $160.00 | $14K | −1.8% of holding | +23.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,836 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | Robinson Benjamin E III | director | Sale | 180 @ $160.00 | $29K | −3.5% of holding | +8.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,926 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Calmes John L Jr | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $141.88 | $142K | −1.9% of holding | +10.0% | +22.6% | 50,334 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-18 | Prashad R Chad | director | Sale | 1,476 @ $147.71 | $218K | −1.9% of holding | −7.8% | +15.5% | 74,384 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-18 | Prashad R Chad | director | Sale | 800 @ $146.72 | $117K | −1.0% of holding | −7.8% | +15.5% | 75,860 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-18 | Prashad R Chad | director | Sale | 724 @ $148.62 | $108K | −1.0% of holding | −7.8% | +15.5% | 73,660 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Calmes John L Jr | officer | Sale | 811 @ $149.47 | $121K | −1.5% of holding | −11.2% | +12.7% | 54,395 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Calmes John L Jr | officer | Sale | 189 @ $148.11 | $28K | −0.3% of holding | −11.2% | +12.7% | 55,206 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | Dyer Daniel Clinton | officer | Sale | 8,857 @ $149.00 | $1.3M | −20.8% of holding | −7.6% | +10.3% | 33,640 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | Dyer Daniel Clinton | officer | Sale | 89 @ $150.00 | $13K | −0.2% of holding | −6.2% | +9.6% | 42,497 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-17 | Caulder Alice Lindsay | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $167.33 | $167K | −5.7% of holding | +2.4% | −21.2% | 16,515 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | Prashad R Chad | director | Sale | 1,905 @ $166.00 | $316K | −2.4% of holding | +5.5% | −20.1% | 76,660 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | Childers Jason E. | officer | Sale | 759 @ $166.75 | $127K | −4.5% of holding | +5.5% | −20.1% | 16,023 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-12 | Prashad R Chad | director | Sale | 5,824 @ $166.32 | $969K | −6.8% of holding | +0.3% | −21.7% | 79,760 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-12 | Prashad R Chad | director | Sale | 1,195 @ $168.14 | $201K | −1.5% of holding | +0.3% | −21.7% | 78,565 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | BRAMLETT KEN R JR | director | Sale | 1,860 @ $165.70 | $308K | −5.2% of holding | +2.3% | −20.8% | 33,734 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | BRAMLETT KEN R JR | director | Sale | 1,027 @ $170.18 | $175K | −3.1% of holding | +2.3% | −20.8% | 32,205 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | BRAMLETT KEN R JR | director | Sale | 502 @ $166.56 | $84K | −1.5% of holding | +2.3% | −20.8% | 33,232 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-04 | Prescott General Partners LLC | other | Sale | 260,297 @ $172.88 | $45.0M | −21.5% of holding | −3.5% | −25.1% | 952,070 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-04 | Prescott General Partners LLC | other | Sale | 57,844 @ $172.88 | $10.0M | −10.0% of holding | −3.5% | −25.1% | 518,550 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-04 | Prescott General Partners LLC | other | Sale | 17,354 @ $172.88 | $3.0M | −25.7% of holding | −3.5% | −25.1% | 50,286 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-04 | Prescott General Partners LLC | other | Sale | 11,569 @ $172.88 | $2.0M | −21.7% of holding | −3.5% | −25.1% | 41,804 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | WAY CHARLES D | director | Sale | 402 @ $160.00 | $64K | −2.5% of holding | +5.3% | −33.9% | 15,395 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-31 | Dyer Daniel Clinton | officer | Sale | 128 @ $159.00 | $20K | −0.3% of holding | +6.9% | −33.0% | 42,586 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-30 | Dyer Daniel Clinton | officer | Sale | 4,704 @ $159.50 | $750K | −9.9% of holding | +7.7% | −34.3% | 42,714 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-11 | WAY CHARLES D | director | Sale | 50 @ $161.00 | $8K | −0.3% of holding | +4.3% | −22.2% | 15,797 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | Whitaker Darrell E | director | Sale | 2,001 @ $155.61 | $311K | −26.4% of holding | +6.4% | −16.0% | 5,573 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | Whitaker Darrell E | director | Sale | 499 @ $156.22 | $78K | −9.0% of holding | +6.4% | −16.0% | 5,074 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-21 | Caulder Alice Lindsay | officer | Sale | 1,010 @ $150.00 | $152K | −8.9% of holding | +5.5% | −19.4% | 10,315 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-21 | Calmes John L Jr | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $145.00 | $145K | −3.1% of holding | −2.4% | +14.9% | 31,431 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-18 | Prescott General Partners LLC | other | Sale | 162,712 @ $147.50 | $24.0M | −11.6% of holding | −7.9% | +5.2% | 1,245,016 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | McIntyre Scott | officer | Sale | 1,990 @ $150.22 | $299K | −21.7% of holding | −12.0% | +2.4% | 7,193 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | Umstetter Luke J. | officer | Sale | 157 @ $151.50 | $24K | −1.1% of holding | −12.0% | +2.4% | 14,603 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | McIntyre Scott | officer | Sale | 10 @ $150.63 | $2K | −0.1% of holding | −12.0% | +2.4% | 7,183 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | Umstetter Luke J. | officer | Sale | 5 @ $152.16 | $761 | −0.0% of holding | −12.0% | +2.4% | 14,598 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-13 | Childers Jason E. | officer | Sale | 1,259 @ $148.46 | $187K | −15.7% of holding | −10.7% | +7.6% | 6,780 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-13 | Umstetter Luke J. | officer | Sale | 488 @ $150.19 | $73K | −3.2% of holding | −10.7% | +7.6% | 14,760 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-12 | Childers Jason E. | officer | Sale | 406 @ $143.44 | $58K | −4.8% of holding | −9.5% | +10.1% | 8,133 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-12 | Childers Jason E. | officer | Sale | 94 @ $144.19 | $14K | −1.2% of holding | −9.5% | +10.1% | 8,039 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-31 | Caulder Alice Lindsay | officer | Sale | 600 @ $139.81 | $84K | −6.6% of holding | −6.6% | +6.8% | 8,524 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-28 | Umstetter Luke J. | officer | Sale | 600 @ $150.00 | $90K | −3.8% of holding | −8.0% | −0.7% | 15,248 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
59 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Prescott General Partners LLC | other | Other acquisition | 56,274 | 895,796 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Robinson Benjamin E III | director | Option exercise | 2,031 | 6,867 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Robinson Benjamin E III | director | Option exercise | 2,031 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Matricciani Janet Lewis | officer | Other acquisition | 6,503 | 328 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Matricciani Janet Lewis | officer | Withheld for tax | 264 | 6,831 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-16 | Matricciani Janet Lewis | officer | Award / grant | 7,095 | 7,095 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-10 | Prashad R Chad | director | Withheld for tax | 8,277 | 53,779 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Dyer Daniel Clinton | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,467 | 27,583 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | Turner James Tobin | officer | Award / grant | 6,000 | 16,255 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | Prashad R Chad | director | Gift | 6,300 | 62,056 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-18 | Prashad R Chad | director | Withheld for tax | 5,304 | 68,356 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-18 | Calmes John L Jr | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,061 | 51,334 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-18 | Dyer Daniel Clinton | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,590 | 31,050 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-18 | Umstetter Luke J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,040 | 29,245 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-18 | McIntyre Scott | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,224 | 15,960 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-18 | Caulder Alice Lindsay | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,224 | 15,291 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-18 | Childers Jason E. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,224 | 14,799 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-12 | WAY CHARLES D | director | Gift | 1,000 | 14,395 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-02 | Prescott General Partners LLC | other | Other acquisition | 32,649 | 1,212,367 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-11 | WAY CHARLES D | director | Option exercise | 50 | 15,847 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-11 | WAY CHARLES D | director | Option exercise | 50 | 5,950 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | BRAMLETT KEN R JR | director | Award / grant | 2,000 | 35,594 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Childers Jason E. | officer | Award / grant | 7,200 | 16,782 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Dyer Daniel Clinton | officer | Award / grant | 8,000 | 47,418 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Whitaker Darrell E | director | Award / grant | 2,000 | 7,074 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Umstetter Luke J. | officer | Award / grant | 12,000 | 31,285 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | WAY CHARLES D | director | Award / grant | 2,000 | 15,797 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Neuhoff Elizabeth R. | director | Award / grant | 2,000 | 5,106 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Robinson Benjamin E III | director | Award / grant | 2,000 | 5,106 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Prashad R Chad | director | Award / grant | 28,000 | 85,584 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | McIntyre Scott | officer | Award / grant | 7,200 | 17,184 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Calmes John L Jr | officer | Award / grant | 16,000 | 55,395 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Caulder Alice Lindsay | officer | Award / grant | 7,200 | 17,515 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-25 | Prashad R Chad | director | Withheld for tax | 6,863 | 57,584 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-25 | Calmes John L Jr | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,996 | 39,395 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-25 | Dyer Daniel Clinton | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,995 | 39,418 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-25 | Umstetter Luke J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,953 | 19,285 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-25 | Caulder Alice Lindsay | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,383 | 11,325 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-25 | McIntyre Scott | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,383 | 9,984 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-25 | Childers Jason E. | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,382 | 9,582 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.