Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.54 · now $1.54 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WRAP has typically landed between $1.05 and $2.26 — a range of −31.8% to +46.8% from the issuance price $1.54.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,066 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-05-29 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.54) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where WRAP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.54 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $1.54 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.46 (-5.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.24–$1.69
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.05–$2.26
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2018-06-06 | −58.6% | −64.8% | +0.0% |
| 2018-06-07 | −58.6% | −64.8% | +0.0% |
| 2018-06-05 | −57.5% | −68.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-05-20 | +124.1% | +0.0% | +124.1% |
| 2023-10-19 | +120.4% | −3.6% | +120.4% |
| 2018-08-01 | +116.7% | +0.0% | +161.9% |
2,066 overlapping windows · 2018-05-29 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | SHULMAN JOHN D | director | Purchase | 100,000 @ $1.10 | $110K | +101.0% of holding | +19.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 199,037 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-08 | Cohen Scot | director | Purchase | 21,740 @ $1.10 | $24K | +0.3% of holding | +19.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,798,908 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 27,104 @ $1.82 | $49K | −0.5% of holding | −8.7% | −18.7% | 5,113,938 | Form 4 · filed 84 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-09 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 35,000 @ $1.82 | $64K | −0.7% of holding | −5.3% | −6.6% | 5,141,042 | Form 4 · filed 85 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-06 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,000 @ $1.87 | $141K | −1.4% of holding | −13.6% | −14.7% | 5,216,042 | Form 4 · filed 88 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-03 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 20,000 @ $2.20 | $44K | −0.4% of holding | −22.9% | −17.2% | 5,236,042 | Form 4 · filed 91 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 31,991 @ $2.08 | $66K | −0.6% of holding | −16.9% | −13.0% | 5,268,033 | Form 4 · filed 92 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-29 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 80,000 @ $2.21 | $177K | −1.5% of holding | −22.1% | −27.5% | 5,303,033 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-28 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 68,020 @ $2.46 | $167K | −1.2% of holding | −29.3% | −36.3% | 5,383,033 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-28 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,000 @ $2.15 | $11K | −8.3% of holding | +11.7% | −47.4% | 54,928 | Form 4 · filed 62 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-26 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,000 @ $2.14 | $11K | −7.7% of holding | +3.9% | −51.1% | 59,928 | Form 4 · filed 64 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-24 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 30,000 @ $2.06 | $62K | −31.6% of holding | +2.9% | −44.5% | 64,928 | Form 4 · filed 66 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-21 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 10,536 @ $2.06 | $22K | −10.0% of holding | −3.7% | −47.2% | 94,928 | Form 4 · filed 69 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-20 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 17,008 @ $2.02 | $34K | −13.9% of holding | +7.9% | −44.0% | 105,464 | Form 4 · filed 70 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-19 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 3,013 @ $2.02 | $6K | −2.4% of holding | +12.1% | −39.4% | 122,472 | Form 4 · filed 71 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-14 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 55,000 @ $2.36 | $130K | −30.5% of holding | −10.5% | −49.1% | 125,485 | Form 4 · filed 76 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 20,000 @ $2.09 | $42K | −10.0% of holding | +8.1% | −41.4% | 180,485 | Form 4 · filed 77 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 25,000 @ $2.16 | $54K | −11.1% of holding | +19.3% | −37.8% | 200,485 | Form 4 · filed 78 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-11 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,000 @ $2.20 | $11K | −2.2% of holding | +21.4% | −36.5% | 225,485 | Form 4 · filed 79 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-31 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 55,000 @ $2.82 | $155K | −19.3% of holding | −25.9% | −54.8% | 230,485 | Form 4 · filed 90 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-30 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 54,381 @ $2.77 | $151K | −16.0% of holding | −24.3% | −51.4% | 285,485 | Form 4 · filed 91 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-27 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,000 @ $2.65 | $13K | −1.4% of holding | −19.6% | −47.7% | 339,866 | Form 4 · filed 94 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-24 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,001 @ $2.62 | $197K | −17.9% of holding | −25.5% | −49.0% | 344,866 | Form 4 · filed 97 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-23 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 50,000 @ $2.52 | $126K | −10.6% of holding | −15.0% | −46.4% | 419,867 | Form 4 · filed 98 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-21 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 25,000 @ $2.69 | $67K | −5.1% of holding | −22.0% | −48.8% | 469,867 | Form 4 · filed 100 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-20 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 75,000 @ $2.48 | $186K | −13.2% of holding | −19.6% | −45.7% | 494,867 | Form 4 · filed 101 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-17 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 10,000 @ $2.29 | $23K | −1.7% of holding | −3.3% | −40.6% | 569,867 | Form 4 · filed 104 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-16 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 25,000 @ $2.43 | $61K | −4.1% of holding | +1.3% | −43.2% | 579,867 | Form 4 · filed 105 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-15 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,871 @ $2.57 | $7K | −0.5% of holding | −16.4% | −49.7% | 604,867 | Form 4 · filed 106 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-14 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 40,000 @ $2.56 | $102K | −6.2% of holding | −22.1% | −50.2% | 607,738 | Form 4 · filed 107 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-13 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 35,000 @ $2.56 | $90K | −5.1% of holding | −13.8% | −49.2% | 647,738 | Form 4 · filed 108 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-10 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,000 @ $2.58 | $13K | −0.7% of holding | −19.4% | −46.2% | 682,738 | Form 4 · filed 111 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-07 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 55,000 @ $2.83 | $156K | −7.4% of holding | −14.6% | −49.4% | 687,738 | Form 4 · filed 114 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-06 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 25,100 @ $2.91 | $73K | −3.3% of holding | −15.8% | −48.4% | 742,738 | Form 4 · filed 115 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-03 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 51,501 @ $2.74 | $141K | −6.3% of holding | −7.9% | −45.6% | 767,838 | Form 4 · filed 118 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-02 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 25,000 @ $2.58 | $64K | −3.0% of holding | +2.5% | −41.4% | 819,339 | Form 4 · filed 119 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-29 | Cohen Scot | director | Sale | 96,989 @ $1.31 | $127K | −1.5% of holding | +52.6% | +12.6% | 6,275,356 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-29 | Novick Jared | director | Sale | 96,988 @ $1.31 | $127K | −38.8% of holding | +52.6% | +12.6% | 153,012 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-10 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 15,000 @ $1.50 | $23K | −1.7% of holding | −17.8% | +77.2% | 844,339 | Form 4 · filed 203 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 10,000 @ $1.71 | $17K | −1.2% of holding | −29.6% | +28.8% | 859,339 | Form 4 · filed 230 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-11 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 30,000 @ $1.68 | $50K | −3.3% of holding | −26.3% | +46.9% | 867,100 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-19 | NORRIS ELWOOD G | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,449 @ $1.54 | $2K | −0.2% of holding | +5.8% | +39.5% | 897,100 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
77 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Cohen Scot | director | Award / grant | 27,344 | 2,042,221 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Cohen Scot | director | Award / grant | 19,532 | 10,609,087 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Cohen Scot | director | Award / grant | 4,000,000 | 10,589,555 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Novick Jared | director | Award / grant | 2,000,000 | 2,153,012 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | Cohen Scot | director | Award / grant | 6,408 | 2,014,877 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | Cohen Scot | director | Award / grant | 4,576 | 6,589,555 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Szymanski Timothy | director | Award / grant | 34,998 | 34,998 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Savas Marc | director | Award / grant | 34,998 | 34,998 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Bernstein Bruce | director | Award / grant | 34,998 | 34,998 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | SHULMAN JOHN D | director | Award / grant | 34,998 | 34,998 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Srinivasan Rajiv | director | Award / grant | 34,998 | 34,998 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Cohen Scot | director | Award / grant | 30,435 | 2,008,469 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Cohen Scot | director | Award / grant | 21,740 | 6,584,979 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-06 | Cohen Scot | director | Award / grant | 4,763 | 1,978,034 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-06 | Cohen Scot | director | Award / grant | 3,402 | 6,563,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Savas Marc | director | Award / grant | 19,643 | 242,856 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Szymanski Timothy | director | Award / grant | 19,643 | 156,859 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | SHULMAN JOHN D | director | Award / grant | 19,643 | 99,037 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Bernstein Bruce | director | Award / grant | 19,643 | 250,848 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Srinivasan Rajiv | director | Award / grant | 19,643 | 164,750 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Cohen Scot | director | Award / grant | 38,740 | 1,973,271 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Cohen Scot | director | Award / grant | 27,672 | 6,559,837 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Cohen Scot | director | Award / grant | 60,345 | 1,934,531 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Cohen Scot | director | Award / grant | 43,104 | 6,532,165 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Cohen Scot | director | Award / grant | 475,000 | 1,874,186 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | SHULMAN JOHN D | director | Award / grant | 250,000 | 250,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Savas Marc | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 75,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | SHULMAN JOHN D | director | Award / grant | 250,000 | 250,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Cohen Scot | director | Award / grant | 475,000 | 475,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Savas Marc | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-01 | Novick Jared | director | Award / grant | 1,000,000 | 1,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-01 | Bernstein Bruce | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-01 | Srinivasan Rajiv | director | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-01 | Cohen Scot | director | Award / grant | 2,000,000 | 2,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-12 | Srinivasan Rajiv | director | Award / grant | 3,346 | 145,107 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-12 | Bernstein Bruce | director | Award / grant | 10,409 | 231,205 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-12 | Savas Marc | director | Award / grant | 7,063 | 223,213 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | SHULMAN JOHN D | director | Award / grant | 9,394 | 79,394 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Bernstein Bruce | director | Award / grant | 12,710 | 220,796 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | Savas Marc | director | Award / grant | 12,710 | 216,150 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.