WPCW. P. Carey Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $66.59 · now $66.59 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WPC has typically landed between $61.12 and $72.84 — a range of −8.2% to +9.4% from the issuance price $66.59.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($66.59) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where WPC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $66.59 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$61.12worst · -8.2%$72.84best · +9.4%
  • now $66.59 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $66.99 (+0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $64.59–$69.39
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $61.12–$72.84
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−50.2%−50.2%+0.3%
2020-02-19−45.8%−45.8%+4.3%
2020-02-20−41.8%−46.0%+4.0%
3 best
2009-05-05+42.6%+0.0%+43.1%
2009-05-04+39.6%−1.7%+40.7%
2009-05-01+39.5%−2.5%+39.5%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+1.4%
n=18
Feb
42%
−0.3%
n=19
Mar
68%
+2.8%
n=19
Apr
58%
+1.2%
n=19
May
74%
+2.1%
n=19
Jun
53%
+0.9%
n=19
Jul
84%
+4.0%
n=19
Aug
47%
−0.9%
n=19
Sep
37%
−2.8%
n=19
Oct
61%
+1.8%
n=18
Nov
44%
−0.4%
n=18
Dec
61%
+2.8%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$76$612026-05-06: 1 insider sale, $32K — Zander Brian H2025-08-26: 1 insider sale, $33K — Zander Brian H2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $33K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $32K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Zander Brian H — Sale on 2026-05-06, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Zander Brian H — Sale on 2025-08-26, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-06Zander Brian HofficerSale433 @ $74.00$32K−3.0% of holding+0.4%not yet — horizon still open13,882Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-26Zander Brian HofficerSale500 @ $66.14$33K−4.6% of holding−0.0%+8.3%10,425Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

90 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-01Beier Constantin H.directorWithheld for tax83410,481Form 4
2026-07-01Talma Stheeman Mechthild ElisabethdirectorWithheld for tax8349,512Form 4
2026-07-01GASS RHONDAdirectorAward / grant42314,818Form 4
2026-07-01Farrell PeterdirectorAward / grant2,82428,332Form 4
2026-07-01GASS RHONDAdirectorAward / grant2,82414,395Form 4
2026-07-01LEWIS MARGARET GdirectorAward / grant2,82421,870Form 4
2026-07-01Niehaus ChristopherdirectorAward / grant2,82438,035Form 4
2026-07-01Talma Stheeman Mechthild ElisabethdirectorAward / grant2,82410,346Form 4
2026-07-01Beier Constantin H.directorAward / grant2,82411,315Form 4
2026-07-01CALAWAY TONIT MdirectorAward / grant2,82417,096Form 4
2026-07-01FLANAGAN ROBERT JdirectorAward / grant2,82422,756Form 4
2026-04-01GASS RHONDAdirectorAward / grant39611,428Form 4
2026-02-15Sanzone ToniAnnofficerWithheld for tax2,236180,948Form 4
2026-02-15Sanzone ToniAnnofficerWithheld for tax1,441183,184Form 4
2026-02-15Gregory JeremiahofficerWithheld for tax1,23994,320Form 4
2026-02-15Sanzone ToniAnnofficerWithheld for tax1,076185,193Form 4
2026-02-15Gordon Brooks G.officerWithheld for tax992170,132Form 4
2026-02-15Gordon Brooks G.officerWithheld for tax868171,124Form 4
2026-02-15Gregory JeremiahofficerWithheld for tax77195,935Form 4
2026-02-15Gordon Brooks G.officerWithheld for tax648172,509Form 4
2026-02-15Sanzone ToniAnnofficerWithheld for tax555184,625Form 4
2026-02-15Gordon Brooks G.officerWithheld for tax517171,992Form 4
2026-02-15Zander Brian HofficerWithheld for tax47614,315Form 4
2026-02-15Gregory JeremiahofficerWithheld for tax36295,559Form 4
2026-02-15Zander Brian HofficerWithheld for tax15914,791Form 4
2026-02-15Gregory JeremiahofficerWithheld for tax1495,921Form 4
2026-02-15Sanzone ToniAnnofficerWithheld for tax13185,180Form 4
2026-02-15Sabatini Gino M.officerWithheld for tax1643,179Form 4
2026-02-06Gordon Brooks G.officerWithheld for tax2,558173,157Form 4
2026-02-06Gregory JeremiahofficerWithheld for tax2,44096,706Form 4
2026-02-06Sanzone ToniAnnofficerAward / grant11,401186,269Form 4
2026-02-06Fox Jason E.directorAward / grant38,006948,956Form 4
2026-02-06Sabatini Gino M.officerAward / grant7,893643,180Form 4
2026-02-06Gordon Brooks G.officerAward / grant6,139175,715Form 4
2026-02-06Gregory JeremiahofficerAward / grant5,84699,146Form 4
2026-01-21Sabatini Gino M.officerAward / grant2,873635,287Form 4
2026-01-21Zander Brian HofficerAward / grant3,44813,873Form 4
2026-01-21Zander Brian HofficerAward / grant1,07714,950Form 4
2026-01-21Gordon Brooks G.officerAward / grant7,184166,703Form 4
2026-01-21Gordon Brooks G.officerAward / grant2,873169,576Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'25 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Gary PetersSenatepurchase2026-01-202026-01-12$15–50K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-08-132025-07-16$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-08-132025-07-10$1–15K
John RutherfordHousesale2022-04-192022-03-16$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2020-06-172020-05-20$1–15K
Donna ShalalaHousesale2020-04-272019-06-24$1–15K
Donna ShalalaHousepurchase2020-04-272019-04-03$1–15K
Zoe LofgrenHousesale2020-04-112020-03-23$1–15K
Zoe LofgrenHousesale2019-10-082019-09-11$1–15K
Sheldon WhitehouseSenatesale2018-05-102018-04-03$1–15K
Zoe LofgrenHousepurchase2017-07-182017-06-15$1–15K
Sheldon WhitehouseSenatepurchase2017-05-102017-04-05$1–15K
Gary PetersSenatepurchase2016-02-122016-01-26$1–15K
Mr. Gary C. PetersSenatepurchase2014-11-212014-11-18$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.