WORWorthington Industries, Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $58.84 · now $58.84 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WOR has typically landed between $50.24 and $69.46 — a range of −14.6% to +18.0% from the issuance price $58.84.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($58.84) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where WOR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $58.84 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$50.24worst · -14.6%$69.46best · +18.0%
  • now $58.84 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $59.31 (+0.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $55.47–$63.15
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $50.24–$69.46
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-13−45.3%−45.3%+0.0%
2020-02-18−44.4%−44.4%+0.6%
2020-02-20−43.1%−44.7%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-17+73.8%+0.0%+74.7%
2009-03-11+72.6%−1.2%+72.6%
2009-03-31+71.4%+0.0%+71.4%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+2.8%
n=18
Feb
68%
+0.8%
n=19
Mar
53%
+2.3%
n=19
Apr
58%
+3.2%
n=19
May
53%
+1.2%
n=19
Jun
58%
+4.9%
n=19
Jul
68%
+2.1%
n=19
Aug
26%
−2.6%
n=19
Sep
42%
−4.3%
n=19
Oct
56%
+3.4%
n=18
Nov
72%
+4.5%
n=18
Dec
44%
+0.5%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$66$472026-07-01: 1 insider sale, $935K — MCCONNELL JOHN P/OH2026-06-26: 2 insider sales, $2.3M — MCCONNELL JOHN P/OH …2025-09-25: 2 insider purchases, $532K — ENDRES MICHAEL J, McConnell John H II2025-09: 2 open-market purchases, $532K2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $2.3M2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $935K↑ buys↓ salestenPercentOwner MCCONNELL JOHN P/OH — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 20 days after the tradetenPercentOwner MCCONNELL JOHN P/OH — Sale on 2026-06-26, filed 25 days after the tradetenPercentOwner MCCONNELL JOHN P/OH — Sale on 2026-06-26, filed 25 days after the tradedirector ENDRES MICHAEL J — Purchase on 2025-09-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector McConnell John H II — Purchase on 2025-09-25, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-01MCCONNELL JOHN P/OHtenPercentOwnerSale17,625 @ $53.04$935K−1.3% of holding+2.6%not yet — horizon still open1,335,648Form 4 · filed 20 days after the trade
2026-06-26MCCONNELL JOHN P/OHtenPercentOwnerSale38,965 @ $55.82$2.2M−2.8% of holding−3.5%not yet — horizon still open1,338,387Form 4 · filed 25 days after the trade
2026-06-26MCCONNELL JOHN P/OHtenPercentOwnerSale2,739 @ $56.35$154K−0.2% of holding−3.5%not yet — horizon still open1,335,648Form 4 · filed 25 days after the trade
2025-09-25ENDRES MICHAEL JdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $52.95$530K+11.7% of holding+8.0%−0.2%95,524Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-25McConnell John H IIdirectorPurchase45 @ $53.31$2K+0.1% of holding+8.0%−0.2%37,675Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-13MCCONNELL JOHN P/OHtenPercentOwnerSale54,745 @ $61.04$3.3M−3.9% of holding−4.4%−26.9%1,335,984Form 4 · filed 434 days after the trade
2025-05-13MCCONNELL JOHN P/OHtenPercentOwnerSale336 @ $61.41$21K−0.0% of holding−4.4%−26.9%1,335,648Form 4 · filed 434 days after the trade
2024-05-07MCCONNELL JOHN P/OHtenPercentOwnerSale18,061 @ $58.79$1.1M−1.3% of holding−12.1%−44.8%1,344,340Form 4 · filed 805 days after the trade
2024-05-07MCCONNELL JOHN P/OHtenPercentOwnerSale8,692 @ $59.91$521K−0.6% of holding−12.1%−44.8%1,335,648Form 4 · filed 805 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

207 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-04HAYEK JOSEPH BdirectorAward / grant56,217Form 4
2026-09-04CHAN KEVIN JofficerAward / grant4328Form 4
2026-08-21HAYEK JOSEPH BdirectorAward / grant56,212Form 4
2026-08-21CHAN KEVIN JofficerAward / grant4324Form 4
2026-08-07HAYEK JOSEPH BdirectorAward / grant56,207Form 4
2026-08-07CHAN KEVIN JofficerAward / grant4320Form 4
2026-07-24HAYEK JOSEPH BdirectorAward / grant56,203Form 4
2026-07-24CHAN KEVIN JofficerAward / grant4316Form 4
2026-07-10HAYEK JOSEPH BdirectorAward / grant56,198Form 4
2026-07-10CHAN KEVIN JofficerAward / grant5311Form 4
2026-07-07HAYEK JOSEPH BdirectorWithheld for tax1,559239,125Form 4
2026-07-07HAYEK JOSEPH BdirectorAward / grant8306,193Form 4
2026-07-07Kennedy Patrick J.officerWithheld for tax50832,436Form 4
2026-07-07BOWES JAMES RofficerWithheld for tax45319,946Form 4
2026-07-07Caravati Steven MofficerWithheld for tax25945,983Form 4
2026-07-07CHAN KEVIN JofficerWithheld for tax1627,036Form 4
2026-07-07CHAN KEVIN JofficerAward / grant46307Form 4
2026-07-07HAYEK JOSEPH BdirectorAward / grant3,495240,684Form 4
2026-07-07Kennedy Patrick J.officerAward / grant1,13832,944Form 4
2026-07-07BOWES JAMES RofficerAward / grant1,01420,399Form 4
2026-07-07CHAN KEVIN JofficerAward / grant3627,198Form 4
2026-07-07Caravati Steven MofficerAward / grant56946,242Form 4
2026-07-06Southern William BradleydirectorAward / grant705705Form 4
2026-07-01MCCONNELL JOHN P/OHtenPercentOwnerOption exercise17,6251,353,273Form 4
2026-07-01MCCONNELL JOHN P/OHtenPercentOwnerOption exercise17,6250Form 4
2026-06-30HAYEK JOSEPH BdirectorWithheld for tax4,633237,189Form 4
2026-06-30SOUZA COLIN JofficerWithheld for tax2,10620,540Form 4
2026-06-30Caravati Steven MofficerWithheld for tax1,57145,673Form 4
2026-06-30Kennedy Patrick J.officerWithheld for tax1,54531,806Form 4
2026-06-30BOWES JAMES RofficerWithheld for tax56219,385Form 4
2026-06-30SOUZA COLIN JofficerWithheld for tax56219,978Form 4
2026-06-29HAYEK JOSEPH BdirectorWithheld for tax785241,822Form 4
2026-06-29Kennedy Patrick J.officerWithheld for tax74133,351Form 4
2026-06-29SOUZA COLIN JofficerWithheld for tax55122,646Form 4
2026-06-29BOWES JAMES RofficerWithheld for tax51719,947Form 4
2026-06-29Caravati Steven MofficerWithheld for tax18547,244Form 4
2026-06-26MCCONNELL JOHN P/OHtenPercentOwnerOption exercise41,7041,377,352Form 4
2026-06-26HAYEK JOSEPH BdirectorWithheld for tax1,472242,607Form 4
2026-06-26SOUZA COLIN JofficerWithheld for tax13323,197Form 4
2026-06-26BOWES JAMES RofficerWithheld for tax4020,464Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Lois FrankelHousesale2016-06-282016-05-25$1–15K
Lois FrankelHousesale2016-04-272016-03-29$1–15K
Lois FrankelHousepurchase2015-02-182015-01-30$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.