Issued 2026-09-16 at $11.83 · now $11.83 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WNC has typically landed between $9.55 and $14.39 — a range of −19.3% to +21.6% from the issuance price $11.83.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,001 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($11.83) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where WNC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $11.83 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $11.83 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $11.75 (-0.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $10.67–$12.84
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $9.55–$14.39
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2009-02-09 | −84.9% | −84.9% | +0.0% |
| 2009-02-06 | −83.2% | −83.2% | +0.0% |
| 2009-02-13 | −82.0% | −83.2% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-07-29 | +225.3% | +0.0% | +231.4% |
| 2009-07-30 | +215.7% | +0.0% | +223.3% |
| 2009-07-17 | +211.2% | +0.0% | +222.5% |
5,001 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Glazner Mary Kristin | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $12.25 | $123K | −6.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 155,374 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-31 | Pettit Michael N | officer | Sale | 1,500 @ $17.19 | $26K | −1.3% of holding | −12.4% | −39.5% | 117,227 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
60 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Sudhanshu Priyadarshi | director | Award / grant | 21,866 | 50,007 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | TAYLOR STUART A II | director | Award / grant | 21,866 | 85,189 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Murtlow Ann D. | director | Award / grant | 21,866 | 70,712 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Boss John G. | director | Award / grant | 21,866 | 139,330 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Magee Larry J | director | Award / grant | 21,866 | 139,870 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | BASSETT THERESE M | director | Award / grant | 21,866 | 83,370 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Broberg Trent | director | Award / grant | 21,866 | 53,539 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | SORENSEN SCOTT K | director | Award / grant | 21,866 | 147,287 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-29 | Winston Donald Adrian | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,086 | 77,265 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | Yeagy Brent L | officer | Withheld for tax | 28,651 | 714,394 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | Pettit Michael N | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,439 | 212,510 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | Glazner Mary Kristin | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,778 | 165,374 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | Keslin Patrick Joseph | officer | Withheld for tax | 484 | 59,411 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-14 | Yeagy Brent L | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,224 | 743,045 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-14 | Pettit Michael N | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,367 | 219,949 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-14 | Glazner Mary Kristin | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,220 | 171,152 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-14 | Winston Donald Adrian | officer | Withheld for tax | 857 | 78,351 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-14 | Keslin Patrick Joseph | officer | Withheld for tax | 621 | 59,895 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-14 | Schwartzhoff Drew John | officer | Withheld for tax | 595 | 52,022 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Yeagy Brent L | officer | Withheld for tax | 25,303 | 555,844 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Pettit Michael N | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,184 | 163,230 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Glazner Mary Kristin | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,385 | 135,818 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Winston Donald Adrian | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,774 | 40,581 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Keslin Patrick Joseph | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,901 | 26,181 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Schwartzhoff Drew John | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,631 | 20,428 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Schwartzhoff Drew John | officer | Award / grant | 32,189 | 52,617 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Winston Donald Adrian | officer | Award / grant | 38,627 | 79,208 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Yeagy Brent L | officer | Award / grant | 197,425 | 753,269 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Pettit Michael N | officer | Award / grant | 60,086 | 223,316 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Keslin Patrick Joseph | officer | Award / grant | 34,335 | 60,516 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Glazner Mary Kristin | officer | Award / grant | 37,554 | 173,372 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Yeagy Brent L | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,978 | 581,147 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-29 | Schwartzhoff Drew John | officer | Withheld for tax | 744 | 23,059 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-29 | Winston Donald Adrian | officer | Withheld for tax | 724 | 45,355 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | Boss John G. | director | Award / grant | 15,448 | 117,464 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | Magee Larry J | director | Award / grant | 15,448 | 118,004 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | Murtlow Ann D. | director | Award / grant | 15,448 | 90,134 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | SORENSEN SCOTT K | director | Award / grant | 15,448 | 125,421 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | Sudhanshu Priyadarshi | director | Award / grant | 15,448 | 28,141 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-14 | TAYLOR STUART A II | director | Award / grant | 15,448 | 63,323 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.