Issued 2026-09-16 at $10.17 · now $10.17 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WLTH has typically landed between $6.83 and $12.13 — a range of −32.9% to +19.2% from the issuance price $10.17.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
169 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-12-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($10.17) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where WLTH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $10.17 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $10.17 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $10.36 (+1.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $9.02–$11.71
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $6.83–$12.13
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-01-06 | −40.0% | −40.0% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-12 | −37.4% | −37.4% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-09 | −36.1% | −36.4% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-03-19 | +40.6% | +0.0% | +41.6% |
| 2026-03-23 | +39.9% | +0.0% | +39.9% |
| 2026-03-17 | +39.1% | −0.6% | +39.9% |
169 overlapping windows · 2025-12-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | GOLDMAN KENNETH A | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $10.00 | $100K | −16.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 49,655 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Wetterwald Julien | officer | Sale | 15,263 @ $9.16 | $140K | −2.1% of holding | +13.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 696,525 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | Wetterwald Julien | officer | Sale | 15,264 @ $9.36 | $143K | −2.1% of holding | −3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 711,788 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | Bisharat Jaleh | director | Sale | 8,503 @ $9.50 | $81K | −100.0% of holding | −1.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | Bisharat Jaleh | director | Sale | 8,504 @ $9.39 | $80K | −50.0% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,503 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Wetterwald Julien | officer | Sale | 39,810 @ $8.46 | $337K | −5.2% of holding | +10.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 727,052 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | IYER KAL | officer | Sale | 28,498 @ $8.46 | $241K | −11.2% of holding | +10.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 225,771 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Lin Lauren | officer | Sale | 4,840 @ $8.45 | $41K | −3.0% of holding | +10.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 158,092 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | IYER KAL | officer | Sale | 45,772 @ $8.92 | $408K | −15.3% of holding | +7.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 254,269 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | WILSON L MICHELLE | director | Sale | 638 @ $9.12 | $6K | −7.5% of holding | +7.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,865 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | TIGER GLOBAL MANAGEMENT LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 7,004,912 @ $14.00 | $98.1M | −31.6% of holding | −29.2% | −49.0% | 15,156,877 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
289 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Fortunato David | director | Withheld for tax | 435,437 | 331,807 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Fortunato David | director | Option exercise | 400,000 | 510,994 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Fortunato David | director | Option exercise | 150,000 | 660,994 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Fortunato David | director | Option exercise | 106,250 | 767,244 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Fortunato David | director | Option exercise | 40,000 | 101,996 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Fortunato David | director | Option exercise | 8,998 | 110,994 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Fortunato David | director | Option exercise | 8,998 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Fortunato David | director | Option exercise | 150,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Fortunato David | director | Option exercise | 106,250 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Fortunato David | director | Option exercise | 40,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Fortunato David | director | Option exercise | 400,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-22 | Lin Lauren | officer | Award / grant | 207,000 | 207,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | KILAR JASON | director | Award / grant | 19,446 | 19,446 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Bisharat Jaleh | director | Award / grant | 19,446 | 19,446 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | Schmidt Michael Reed | director | Award / grant | 19,446 | 19,446 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | GOLDMAN KENNETH A | director | Award / grant | 19,446 | 19,446 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | WILSON L MICHELLE | director | Award / grant | 19,446 | 19,446 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-23 | RACHLEFF ANDREW S | director | Award / grant | 19,446 | 19,446 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Fortunato David | director | Withheld for tax | 116,088 | 1,895,553 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Wetterwald Julien | officer | Withheld for tax | 43,716 | 766,862 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | IYER KAL | officer | Withheld for tax | 41,784 | 300,041 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Imberman Alan | officer | Withheld for tax | 25,264 | 435,907 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Lin Lauren | officer | Withheld for tax | 20,052 | 162,932 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Imberman Alan | officer | Option exercise | 23,625 | 443,408 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Wetterwald Julien | officer | Option exercise | 20,525 | 750,077 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Wetterwald Julien | officer | Option exercise | 21,113 | 791,578 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Schmidt Michael Reed | director | Option exercise | 2,126 | 29,763 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | IYER KAL | officer | Option exercise | 20,387 | 142,713 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | IYER KAL | officer | Option exercise | 15,562 | 233,438 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Lin Lauren | officer | Option exercise | 4,687 | 170,137 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Wetterwald Julien | officer | Option exercise | 20,525 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | KILAR JASON | director | Option exercise | 23,544 | 47,088 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | IYER KAL | officer | Option exercise | 20,387 | 305,151 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | KILAR JASON | director | Option exercise | 23,544 | 646,619 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Lin Lauren | officer | Option exercise | 12,847 | 182,984 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Fortunato David | director | Option exercise | 79,181 | 1,952,110 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Wetterwald Julien | officer | Option exercise | 20,388 | 770,465 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | IYER KAL | officer | Option exercise | 21,112 | 232,238 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Lin Lauren | officer | Option exercise | 9,375 | 165,450 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | IYER KAL | officer | Option exercise | 20,387 | 61,163 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.