Issued 2026-09-16 at $78.38 · now $78.38 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WLDN has typically landed between $63.39 and $100.38 — a range of −19.1% to +28.1% from the issuance price $78.38.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,962 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-11-21 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($78.38) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where WLDN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $78.38 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $78.38 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $79.23 (+1.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $70.39–$88.06
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $63.39–$100.38
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,962 windows spanning 2006-11-21 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2012-05-02 | −51.0% | −52.1% | +0.0% |
| 2012-04-23 | −50.9% | −50.9% | +2.6% |
| 2012-04-25 | −50.9% | −50.9% | +2.6% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-08-14 | +101.5% | +0.0% | +161.2% |
| 2009-07-27 | +94.4% | −25.6% | +94.4% |
| 2009-08-17 | +85.3% | +0.0% | +133.3% |
4,962 overlapping windows · 2006-11-21 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
45%
−0.2%
n=20
Feb
35%
−3.3%
n=20
Mar
45%
+3.6%
n=20
Apr
45%
−0.9%
n=20
May
50%
+5.1%
n=20
Jun
65%
+3.2%
n=20
Jul
25%
−0.3%
n=20
Aug
70%
+13.6%
n=20
Sep
40%
−0.7%
n=20
Oct
26%
−5.6%
n=19
Nov
63%
+10.2%
n=19
Dec
50%
+0.7%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 4,005 @ $79.01 | $316K | −3.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 97,587 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-15 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 900 @ $80.91 | $73K | −0.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 96,687 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 3,439 @ $88.19 | $303K | −3.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 96,687 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 58,757 @ $88.14 | $5.2M | −37.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 96,687 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | BIEBER MICHAEL A | director | Sale | 25,429 @ $90.88 | $2.3M | −8.3% of holding | +3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 280,772 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | BIEBER MICHAEL A | director | Sale | 23,015 @ $91.95 | $2.1M | −8.2% of holding | +3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 257,757 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | BIEBER MICHAEL A | director | Sale | 7,956 @ $92.65 | $737K | −3.1% of holding | +3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 249,801 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | BIEBER MICHAEL A | director | Sale | 276 @ $93.74 | $26K | −0.1% of holding | +3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 249,525 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | BIEBER MICHAEL A | director | Sale | 9,991 @ $92.65 | $926K | −3.8% of holding | +5.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 249,525 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Cohen Steven A | director | Sale | 6,000 @ $81.82 | $491K | −22.3% of holding | −4.3% | −11.8% | 20,849 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-18 | CHEN MICAH | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $106.00 | $1.1M | −19.8% of holding | −10.4% | −27.3% | 40,423 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-18 | McGinn Dennis V | director | Sale | 7,298 @ $106.32 | $776K | −39.2% of holding | −10.4% | −27.3% | 11,330 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 5,182 @ $118.15 | $612K | −6.8% of holding | −19.9% | −7.5% | 70,696 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 33,096 @ $109.39 | $3.6M | −25.2% of holding | −14.8% | −6.6% | 98,188 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 27,492 @ $110.84 | $3.0M | −28.0% of holding | −14.8% | −6.6% | 70,696 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 24,988 @ $108.90 | $2.7M | −16.0% of holding | −14.8% | −6.6% | 131,284 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 10,615 @ $104.58 | $1.1M | −5.6% of holding | −14.8% | −6.6% | 177,676 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 8,974 @ $107.65 | $966K | −5.4% of holding | −14.8% | −6.6% | 156,272 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 7,520 @ $106.68 | $802K | −4.4% of holding | −14.8% | −6.6% | 165,246 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 4,910 @ $105.36 | $517K | −2.8% of holding | −14.8% | −6.6% | 172,766 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-21 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 33,950 @ $104.66 | $3.6M | −13.3% of holding | −5.8% | −4.1% | 221,771 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-21 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 33,380 @ $105.91 | $3.5M | −15.1% of holding | −5.8% | −4.1% | 188,391 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-21 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 33,464 @ $103.95 | $3.5M | −11.6% of holding | −5.8% | −4.1% | 255,721 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-21 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 17,106 @ $103.01 | $1.8M | −5.6% of holding | −5.8% | −4.1% | 289,185 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-21 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 7,000 @ $101.87 | $713K | −2.2% of holding | −5.8% | −4.1% | 306,291 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-21 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 100 @ $106.34 | $11K | −0.1% of holding | −5.8% | −4.1% | 188,291 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-20 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 7,405 @ $104.19 | $772K | −2.3% of holding | −4.2% | +6.7% | 313,291 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 58,303 @ $109.51 | $6.4M | −14.1% of holding | −9.3% | −1.1% | 354,160 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 33,233 @ $108.63 | $3.6M | −7.5% of holding | −9.3% | −1.1% | 412,463 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 26,258 @ $110.51 | $2.9M | −7.4% of holding | −9.3% | −1.1% | 327,902 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 7,206 @ $111.21 | $801K | −2.2% of holding | −9.3% | −1.1% | 320,696 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 4,782 @ $112.30 | $537K | −1.1% of holding | −9.3% | −1.1% | 445,996 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 300 @ $113.01 | $34K | −0.1% of holding | −9.3% | −1.1% | 445,696 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-15 | Downes Cynthia | director | Sale | 2,763 @ $109.43 | $302K | −23.7% of holding | −13.6% | −4.9% | 8,909 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-14 | REDER WANDA KAY | director | Sale | 850 @ $119.46 | $102K | −7.4% of holding | −20.4% | −8.8% | 10,676 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | EARLY CREIGHTON K | officer | Sale | 7,764 @ $116.54 | $905K | −9.7% of holding | −16.6% | −11.2% | 72,071 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | Cohen Steven A | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $116.34 | $291K | −8.5% of holding | −13.1% | −12.8% | 26,849 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-28 | EARLY CREIGHTON K | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $53.28 | $266K | −6.5% of holding | +10.2% | +68.2% | 72,071 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-27 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 22,459 @ $52.34 | $1.2M | −5.0% of holding | +11.8% | +71.5% | 422,454 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-23 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 1,626 @ $51.54 | $84K | −0.4% of holding | +11.1% | +74.5% | 422,454 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-22 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 5,915 @ $52.04 | $308K | −1.4% of holding | +10.8% | +68.5% | 422,454 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-19 | CHEN MICAH | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $50.50 | $505K | −20.6% of holding | +16.4% | +75.3% | 38,502 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | BIEBER MICHAEL A | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $48.11 | $1.2M | −11.1% of holding | +17.8% | +83.4% | 200,981 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $48.54 | $971K | −4.5% of holding | +17.8% | +83.4% | 422,454 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | CHEN MICAH | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $48.20 | $482K | −20.6% of holding | +17.8% | +83.4% | 38,502 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-12 | Shahidehpour Mohammad | director | Sale | 2,273 @ $39.20 | $89K | −15.1% of holding | +2.0% | +147.3% | 12,767 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-09 | EARLY CREIGHTON K | officer | Sale | 4,349 @ $43.13 | $188K | −5.9% of holding | −13.2% | +31.6% | 69,146 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-06 | EARLY CREIGHTON K | officer | Sale | 234 @ $43.50 | $10K | −0.3% of holding | −13.0% | +29.7% | 69,146 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-11-25 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 7,700 @ $43.45 | $335K | −1.9% of holding | −10.9% | +26.4% | 406,704 | Form 4 · filed 21 days after the trade |
| 2024-11-22 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 7,700 @ $42.34 | $326K | −1.8% of holding | −11.3% | +26.2% | 414,404 | Form 4 · filed 24 days after the trade |
| 2024-11-21 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Sale | 7,700 @ $41.69 | $321K | −1.8% of holding | −8.4% | +29.9% | 422,104 | Form 4 · filed 25 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
112 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Option exercise | 4,905 | 101,592 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Option exercise | 4,905 | 22,635 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Option exercise | 3,439 | 100,126 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Option exercise | 3,439 | 27,540 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Option exercise | 58,757 | 155,444 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Option exercise | 58,727 | 30,979 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | REDER WANDA KAY | director | Award / grant | 1,241 | 11,917 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | McGinn Dennis V | director | Award / grant | 1,241 | 12,571 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Shahidehpour Mohammad | director | Award / grant | 1,241 | 15,789 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Award / grant | 1,241 | 96,687 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Downes Cynthia | director | Award / grant | 1,241 | 10,150 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | Cohen Steven A | director | Award / grant | 1,241 | 22,090 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | BIEBER MICHAEL A | director | Option exercise | 40,009 | 289,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | BIEBER MICHAEL A | director | Option exercise | 16,667 | 306,201 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | BIEBER MICHAEL A | director | Option exercise | 40,009 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | BIEBER MICHAEL A | director | Option exercise | 16,667 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | BIEBER MICHAEL A | director | Option exercise | 9,991 | 259,516 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | BIEBER MICHAEL A | director | Option exercise | 9,991 | 40,009 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | BIEBER MICHAEL A | director | Withheld for tax | 6,444 | 249,525 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | EARLY CREIGHTON K | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,142 | 78,664 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | CHEN MICAH | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,660 | 50,050 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | BIEBER MICHAEL A | director | Award / grant | 15,750 | 255,969 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | EARLY CREIGHTON K | officer | Award / grant | 3,780 | 80,806 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-25 | CHEN MICAH | officer | Award / grant | 3,780 | 51,710 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-20 | BIEBER MICHAEL A | director | Withheld for tax | 2,387 | 240,219 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-20 | EARLY CREIGHTON K | officer | Withheld for tax | 794 | 77,026 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-20 | CHEN MICAH | officer | Withheld for tax | 615 | 47,930 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | BIEBER MICHAEL A | director | Withheld for tax | 2,625 | 242,606 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | EARLY CREIGHTON K | officer | Withheld for tax | 873 | 77,820 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | CHEN MICAH | officer | Withheld for tax | 676 | 48,545 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | BIEBER MICHAEL A | director | Withheld for tax | 7,090 | 245,231 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | EARLY CREIGHTON K | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,356 | 78,693 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | CHEN MICAH | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,826 | 49,221 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | EARLY CREIGHTON K | officer | Award / grant | 4,158 | 81,049 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | CHEN MICAH | officer | Award / grant | 4,158 | 51,047 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | BIEBER MICHAEL A | director | Award / grant | 17,326 | 252,321 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | BIEBER MICHAEL A | director | Withheld for tax | 7,697 | 234,995 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | EARLY CREIGHTON K | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,244 | 76,891 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | CHEN MICAH | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,738 | 46,889 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Brisbin Thomas Donald | director | Award / grant | 24,750 | 95,446 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.