Issued 2026-09-16 at $72.73 · now $72.73 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WK has typically landed between $60.41 and $85.59 — a range of −16.9% to +17.7% from the issuance price $72.73.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,935 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-12-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($72.73) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where WK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $72.73 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $72.73 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $72.34 (-0.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $67.08–$77.59
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $60.41–$85.59
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −48.0% | −48.0% | +2.2% |
| 2020-02-14 | −46.8% | −46.8% | +2.6% |
| 2020-02-13 | −45.6% | −45.6% | +3.4% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2018-08-03 | +50.2% | +0.0% | +50.2% |
| 2018-08-07 | +50.2% | +0.0% | +50.2% |
| 2018-08-06 | +48.6% | +0.0% | +49.6% |
2,935 overlapping windows · 2014-12-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Ziegler Brandon | officer | Sale | 6,571 @ $75.97 | $499K | −4.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 126,216 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Herz Robert H | director | Sale | 1,500 @ $51.23 | $77K | −3.9% of holding | +9.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 37,372 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | Herz Robert H | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $49.69 | $50K | −2.8% of holding | −1.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 34,802 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | Herz Robert H | director | Sale | 1,500 @ $91.44 | $137K | −4.0% of holding | −0.5% | −53.2% | 35,802 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | MULCAHY DAVID S. | director | Sale | 1,162 @ $91.50 | $106K | −0.5% of holding | −0.5% | −53.2% | 240,373 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-26 | MULCAHY DAVID S. | director | Sale | 808 @ $92.01 | $74K | −0.3% of holding | −7.5% | −55.0% | 241,535 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-23 | Klindt Jill | officer | Sale | 7,773 @ $67.10 | $522K | −6.7% of holding | −8.1% | +20.3% | 107,581 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-14 | Herz Robert H | director | Sale | 1,500 @ $88.66 | $133K | −3.9% of holding | −17.9% | −28.7% | 36,809 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-14 | Herz Robert H | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $88.70 | $89K | −2.9% of holding | −17.9% | −28.7% | 34,084 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-13 | Hawkins Michael D. | officer | Sale | 8,992 @ $85.91 | $773K | −14.7% of holding | −19.0% | −28.8% | 52,306 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-07 | Hawkins Michael D. | officer | Sale | 10,421 @ $85.43 | $890K | −14.5% of holding | −11.0% | −18.6% | 61,298 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-07 | Klindt Jill | officer | Sale | 5,593 @ $85.04 | $476K | −4.5% of holding | −11.0% | −18.6% | 119,054 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-07 | Ziegler Brandon | officer | Sale | 4,115 @ $85.72 | $353K | −3.8% of holding | −11.0% | −18.6% | 103,509 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
99 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Swain Junko | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,151 | 28,830 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | VANDERPLOEG MARTIN J. | director | Gift | 2,780 | 437,105 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | VANDERPLOEG MARTIN J. | director | Withheld for tax | 28,942 | 288,205 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | VANDERPLOEG MARTIN J. | director | Award / grant | 4,070 | 292,275 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | PEEK MARK S | director | Award / grant | 4,070 | 6,070 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | RADIA SUKU V. | director | Award / grant | 4,070 | 15,643 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | CROW MICHAEL M | director | Award / grant | 4,070 | 7,288 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Herren Richard Scott | director | Award / grant | 4,070 | 4,947 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Herz Robert H | director | Award / grant | 4,070 | 38,872 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Malik Astha | director | Award / grant | 4,070 | 7,288 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Herz Robert H | director | Award / grant | 4,070 | 38,872 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Malik Astha | director | Award / grant | 4,070 | 7,288 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | PEEK MARK S | director | Award / grant | 4,070 | 6,070 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | RADIA SUKU V. | director | Award / grant | 4,070 | 15,643 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | VANDERPLOEG MARTIN J. | director | Award / grant | 4,070 | 292,275 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | CROW MICHAEL M | director | Award / grant | 4,070 | 7,288 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Herren Richard Scott | director | Award / grant | 4,070 | 4,947 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-03 | Iskow Julie | director | Withheld for tax | 7,578 | 460,530 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Herren Richard Scott | director | Award / grant | 877 | 877 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Herren Richard Scott | director | Award / grant | 877 | 877 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Iskow Julie | director | Withheld for tax | 2,577 | 468,108 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Iskow Julie | director | Withheld for tax | 2,208 | 470,685 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Iskow Julie | director | Award / grant | 4,092 | 472,893 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Iskow Julie | director | Withheld for tax | 26,166 | 468,801 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Ziegler Brandon | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,730 | 132,640 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Swain Junko | officer | Withheld for tax | 374 | 30,834 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Ziegler Brandon | officer | Award / grant | 7,340 | 137,567 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Iskow Julie | director | Award / grant | 14,390 | 494,967 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Iskow Julie | director | Award / grant | 13,135 | 459,605 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Iskow Julie | director | Award / grant | 20,972 | 480,577 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Swain Junko | officer | Award / grant | 771 | 31,208 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Ziegler Brandon | officer | Award / grant | 5,954 | 130,227 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Ziegler Brandon | officer | Award / grant | 3,803 | 141,370 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Iskow Julie | director | Withheld for tax | 18,115 | 446,470 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Ziegler Brandon | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,531 | 124,273 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Swain Junko | officer | Withheld for tax | 650 | 30,437 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Larson Barbara A | director | Award / grant | 141,103 | 141,103 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Iskow Julie | director | Award / grant | 128,038 | 464,585 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Ziegler Brandon | officer | Award / grant | 33,839 | 128,804 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Swain Junko | officer | Award / grant | 6,859 | 31,087 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.