WINGWingstop Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Restaurantsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $101.06 · now $101.06 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WING has typically landed between $78.41 and $125.65 — a range of −22.4% to +24.3% from the issuance price $101.06.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,811 overlapping 1 month windows · 2015-06-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($101.06) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where WING has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $101.06 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$78.41worst · -22.4%$125.65best · +24.3%
  • now $101.06 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $101.85 (+0.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $92.28–$111.43
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $78.41–$125.65
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,811 windows spanning 2015-06-12 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−51.0%−51.0%+0.0%
2020-02-20−44.1%−50.8%+0.0%
2026-02-26−43.1%−43.1%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18+115.5%+0.0%+115.5%
2020-03-19+90.9%−1.4%+90.9%
2020-03-20+90.3%+0.0%+93.6%

2,811 overlapping windows · 2015-06-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
82%
+7.2%
n=11
Feb
36%
−2.0%
n=11
Mar
45%
−3.5%
n=11
Apr
82%
+9.4%
n=11
May
45%
+1.9%
n=11
Jun
73%
+6.4%
n=11
Jul
58%
+5.8%
n=12
Aug
58%
+0.9%
n=12
Sep
42%
−3.8%
n=12
Oct
36%
−4.5%
n=11
Nov
73%
+10.0%
n=11
Dec
45%
−1.3%
n=11

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$341$1012026-05-12: 1 insider sale, $31K — Fallon Christopher2026-03-10: 1 insider sale, $39K — Fallon Christopher2026-02-25: 1 insider sale, $704K — Madati Kilandigalu2026-02-23: 1 insider sale, $142K — MCDONALD WESLEY S2025-11-25: 1 insider sale, $70K — Madati Kilandigalu2025-08: 6 open-market sales, $8.1M2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $70K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $845K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $39K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $31K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Fallon Christopher — Sale on 2026-05-12, filed same dayofficer Fallon Christopher — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Madati Kilandigalu — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MCDONALD WESLEY S — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Madati Kilandigalu — Sale on 2025-11-25, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-12Fallon ChristopherofficerSale250 @ $125.93$31K−48.4% of holding+24.7%not yet — horizon still open267Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-10Fallon ChristopherofficerSale177 @ $220.78$39K−25.5% of holding−18.3%−62.2%517Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-25Madati KilandigaludirectorSale2,700 @ $260.73$704K−51.1% of holding−32.0%−66.8%2,583Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-23MCDONALD WESLEY SdirectorSale566 @ $250.00$142K−11.5% of holding−26.6%−65.2%4,375Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-25Madati KilandigaludirectorSale269 @ $259.97$70K−4.8% of holding−5.1%−52.8%5,283Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-01Carona MarisaofficerSale10,537 @ $370.00$3.9M−100.0% of holding−15.0%−38.8%0Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-01Kaleida AlexofficerSale4,975 @ $376.17$1.9M−37.3% of holding−15.0%−38.8%8,372Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-01Skipworth MichaeldirectorSale4,500 @ $370.34$1.7M−9.5% of holding−15.0%−38.8%42,777Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-01Carona MarisaofficerSale1,401 @ $372.89$522K−11.8% of holding−15.0%−38.8%10,450Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-01Kaleida AlexofficerSale328 @ $374.38$123K−2.4% of holding−15.0%−38.8%13,347Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-01Kaleida AlexofficerSale97 @ $377.58$37K−1.1% of holding−15.0%−38.8%8,362Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-02Caine Lynn CrumpdirectorSale499 @ $345.60$172K−5.3% of holding−11.5%−38.1%8,945Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-27Skipworth MichaeldirectorSale9,700 @ $337.31$3.3M−17.0% of holding−2.4%−41.9%47,490Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-27Skipworth MichaeldirectorSale300 @ $338.12$101K−0.6% of holding−2.4%−41.9%47,190Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-05Kapoor RajofficerSale637 @ $273.07$174K−55.2% of holding+30.2%−42.3%517Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-02Upshaw DonnieofficerSale91 @ $234.78$21K−1.1% of holding+1.8%+31.0%7,903Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-12Kapoor RajofficerSale266 @ $324.38$86K−50.0% of holding−14.0%+7.9%266Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

225 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-06Snowden Jay AdirectorAward / grant965965Form 4
2026-05-21HISLOP MICHAEL JdirectorAward / grant9812,294Form 4
2026-05-21Smith AniadirectorAward / grant9812,892Form 4
2026-05-21Madati KilandigaludirectorAward / grant9813,564Form 4
2026-05-21Greco ThomasdirectorAward / grant9811,574Form 4
2026-05-21Lavelle Kate SdirectorAward / grant9815,295Form 4
2026-05-21Caine Lynn CrumpdirectorAward / grant1,43310,378Form 4
2026-05-21Anand KrishnandirectorAward / grant9815,933Form 4
2026-05-21MCDONALD WESLEY SdirectorAward / grant4054,780Form 4
2026-05-21GOEBEL DAVIDdirectorAward / grant9818,167Form 4
2026-05-01Kapoor RajofficerWithheld for tax1393,945Form 4
2026-05-01Kapoor RajofficerWithheld for tax1394,159Form 4
2026-05-01Kapoor RajofficerOption exercise3532,491Form 4
2026-05-01Kapoor RajofficerOption exercise3534,084Form 4
2026-05-01Kapoor RajofficerOption exercise3534,298Form 4
2026-05-01Kapoor RajofficerOption exercise3532,844Form 4
2026-03-09Skipworth MichaeldirectorWithheld for tax1,37073,397Form 4
2026-03-09Upshaw DonnieofficerWithheld for tax22517,046Form 4
2026-03-09Kaleida AlexofficerWithheld for tax22513,843Form 4
2026-03-09McGrath Albert GofficerWithheld for tax22522,308Form 4
2026-03-09Carona MarisaofficerWithheld for tax2255,418Form 4
2026-03-09Upshaw DonnieofficerOption exercise5711,591Form 4
2026-03-09Kaleida AlexofficerOption exercise57114,068Form 4
2026-03-09McGrath Albert GofficerOption exercise5710Form 4
2026-03-09McGrath Albert GofficerOption exercise57122,533Form 4
2026-03-09Carona MarisaofficerOption exercise5710Form 4
2026-03-09Carona MarisaofficerOption exercise5715,643Form 4
2026-03-09Kaleida AlexofficerOption exercise5712,210Form 4
2026-03-09Skipworth MichaeldirectorOption exercise3,48174,767Form 4
2026-03-09Skipworth MichaeldirectorOption exercise3,48167,714Form 4
2026-03-09Upshaw DonnieofficerOption exercise57117,271Form 4
2026-03-07Skipworth MichaeldirectorWithheld for tax93971,286Form 4
2026-03-07Kaleida AlexofficerWithheld for tax17313,497Form 4
2026-03-07Kapoor RajofficerWithheld for tax1453,731Form 4
2026-03-07Upshaw DonnieofficerWithheld for tax14516,700Form 4
2026-03-07Carona MarisaofficerWithheld for tax1455,072Form 4
2026-03-07McGrath Albert GofficerWithheld for tax14521,962Form 4
2026-03-07Fallon ChristopherofficerWithheld for tax55694Form 4
2026-03-07Kaleida AlexofficerOption exercise4382,781Form 4
2026-03-07Skipworth MichaeldirectorOption exercise2,38472,225Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.