WHWK · TickerCove

WHWKWhitehawk Therapeutics IncHealthcare · Biotechnologyas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.04 · now $4.04 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WHWK has typically landed between $2.99 and $5.13 — a range of −25.9% to +26.9% from the issuance price $4.04.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

2,221 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-08-08 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.04) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$4.04 · 67% of range

$1.89 low$5.1 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.6%

typical move · IQR 20.9%

−25.9%worst (p90)+26.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where WHWK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.04 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $4.04 (+0.0%)
typical $4.02 (-0.6%)
middle 50% $3.59–$4.44
90% range $2.99–$5.13

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,221 windows spanning 2017-08-08 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2019-03-14	−76.3%	−78.2%	+2.9%
2019-03-15	−76.2%	−78.8%	+0.0%
2019-03-13	−74.2%	−77.6%	+5.5%
3 best
2018-12-27	+161.3%	+0.0%	+161.3%
2018-12-26	+147.5%	+0.0%	+147.5%
2018-12-24	+136.7%	−3.6%	+136.7%

2,221 overlapping windows · 2017-08-08 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

56%

+15.8%

n=9

Feb

33%

+0.2%

n=9

Mar

11%

−18.2%

n=9

Apr

44%

−2.4%

n=9

May

89%

+17.9%

n=9

Jun

33%

−5.0%

n=9

Jul

33%

−4.0%

n=9

Aug

67%

+4.9%

n=9

Sep

60%

−0.8%

n=10

Oct

11%

−8.3%

n=9

Nov

56%

+5.6%

n=9

Dec

44%

−8.6%

n=9

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-04-16	Giacobello Scott M.	officer	Sale	141,600 @ $4.13	$585K	−32.4% of holding	+5.8%	not yet — horizon still open	295,224	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-15	Giacobello Scott M.	officer	Sale	77,000 @ $3.86	$297K	−15.0% of holding	+23.9%	not yet — horizon still open	436,824	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-14	BALL BRYAN	officer	Sale	92,460 @ $3.64	$337K	−18.9% of holding	+16.4%	not yet — horizon still open	397,106	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-13	BALL BRYAN	officer	Sale	26,389 @ $3.46	$91K	−5.1% of holding	+5.4%	not yet — horizon still open	489,566	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-10	BALL BRYAN	officer	Sale	6,596 @ $3.43	$23K	−1.3% of holding	+3.3%	not yet — horizon still open	515,955	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-09	BALL BRYAN	officer	Sale	50,000 @ $3.57	$179K	−8.7% of holding	+3.3%	not yet — horizon still open	522,551	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-09	Lennon David James	director	Sale	14,500 @ $3.38	$49K	−2.7% of holding	+3.3%	not yet — horizon still open	518,622	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-08	Lennon David James	director	Sale	63,945 @ $3.40	$217K	−10.7% of holding	+7.3%	not yet — horizon still open	533,122	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-07	Lennon David James	director	Sale	94,087 @ $3.43	$323K	−13.6% of holding	+9.7%	not yet — horizon still open	597,067	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-06	Lennon David James	director	Sale	102,395 @ $3.51	$359K	−12.9% of holding	+10.4%	not yet — horizon still open	691,154	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-02	Lennon David James	director	Sale	26,858 @ $3.48	$93K	−3.3% of holding	+9.0%	not yet — horizon still open	793,549	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02	Lennon David James	director	Sale	5,100 @ $3.31	$17K	−10.3% of holding	+11.5%	+27.8%	44,579	Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade
2026-03-02	Giacobello Scott M.	officer	Sale	2,594 @ $3.31	$9K	−8.5% of holding	+11.5%	+27.8%	28,100	Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade
2026-03-02	BALL BRYAN	officer	Sale	1,834 @ $3.31	$6K	−0.9% of holding	+11.5%	+27.8%	206,019	Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

58 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-15	Dugan Margaret	director	Award / grant	81,250	81,250	Form 4
2026-09-15	Giacobello Scott M.	officer	Award / grant	118,476	118,476	Form 4
2026-09-15	Lennon David James	director	Award / grant	193,957	193,957	Form 4
2026-09-15	Dornan David	officer	Award / grant	85,887	85,887	Form 4
2026-09-15	BALL BRYAN	officer	Award / grant	91,633	91,633	Form 4
2026-09-09	Iyengar Vijay K	director	Award / grant	76,080	76,080	Form 4
2026-06-12	Castelein Caley	director	Award / grant	38,040	38,040	Form 4
2026-06-12	Maroun Richard E	director	Award / grant	38,040	38,040	Form 4
2026-06-12	Zhao Baiteng	director	Award / grant	38,040	38,040	Form 4
2026-06-12	Hirmand Mohammad	director	Award / grant	38,040	38,040	Form 4
2026-06-12	Dalal Anupam	director	Award / grant	38,040	38,040	Form 4
2026-06-12	Reeve Emma	director	Award / grant	38,040	38,040	Form 4
2026-06-12	Desai Neil	director	Award / grant	38,040	38,040	Form 4
2026-06-12	Aghazadeh Behzad	director	Award / grant	38,040	38,040	Form 4
2026-05-14	Castelein Caley	director	Award / grant	2,072,756	2,072,756	Form 4
2026-05-14	Dalal Anupam	director	Award / grant	1,275,510	4,685,912	Form 4
2026-05-14	Castelein Caley	director	Award / grant	255,102	274,796	Form 4
2026-05-14	Lennon David James	director	Award / grant	51,021	569,643	Form 4
2026-05-14	BALL BRYAN	officer	Award / grant	51,020	448,126	Form 4
2026-05-14	Giacobello Scott M.	officer	Award / grant	38,265	333,489	Form 4
2026-05-14	Dugan Margaret	director	Award / grant	19,132	19,132	Form 4
2026-05-12	Avoro Capital Advisors LLC	director	Award / grant	6,377,714	14,710,714	Form 4
2026-04-01	Giacobello Scott M.	officer	Option exercise	473,902	0	Form 4
2026-04-01	Giacobello Scott M.	officer	Award / grant	300,677	300,677	Form 4
2026-04-01	BALL BRYAN	officer	Option exercise	366,532	0	Form 4
2026-04-01	BALL BRYAN	officer	Award / grant	250,058	250,058	Form 4
2026-04-01	Lennon David James	director	Option exercise	775,828	0	Form 4
2026-04-01	Lennon David James	director	Award / grant	831,148	831,148	Form 4
2026-04-01	Dornan David	officer	Award / grant	282,340	282,340	Form 4
2026-04-01	Dugan Margaret	director	Award / grant	283,157	283,157	Form 4
2026-04-01	Lennon David James	director	Option exercise	775,828	820,407	Form 4
2026-04-01	Giacobello Scott M.	officer	Option exercise	473,902	502,002	Form 4
2026-04-01	BALL BRYAN	officer	Option exercise	366,532	572,551	Form 4
2026-04-01	BALL BRYAN	officer	Option exercise	366,532	572,551	Form 4
2026-04-01	Giacobello Scott M.	officer	Option exercise	473,902	502,002	Form 4
2026-04-01	Lennon David James	director	Option exercise	775,828	820,407	Form 4
2026-03-01	BALL BRYAN	officer	Option exercise	5,000	10,000	Form 4
2026-03-01	Giacobello Scott M.	officer	Option exercise	6,750	13,500	Form 4
2026-03-01	Lennon David James	director	Option exercise	16,250	32,500	Form 4
2026-03-01	Giacobello Scott M.	officer	Option exercise	6,750	30,694	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i