Issued 2026-09-16 at $32.42 · now $32.42 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WHR has typically landed between $26.69 and $37.23 — a range of −17.7% to +14.8% from the issuance price $32.42.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($32.42) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where WHR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $32.42 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $32.42 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $31.84 (-1.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $29.46–$34.22
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $26.69–$37.23
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −56.0% | −56.0% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-20 | −49.6% | −49.6% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-30 | −44.7% | −44.7% | +4.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-05 | +72.1% | −5.4% | +72.1% |
| 2009-03-06 | +69.8% | −3.9% | +74.8% |
| 2009-03-09 | +65.1% | +0.0% | +82.0% |
4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | Creed Greg | director | Purchase | 3,305 @ $60.16 | $199K | +119.1% of holding | −6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,080 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
148 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Bitzer Marc R | director | Gift | 40,000 | 6,031 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Bitzer Marc R | director | Gift | 40,000 | 190,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Warner Roxanne | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,907 | 14,707 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Martin Carey L | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,430 | 30,563 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Puente Juan Carlos | officer | Withheld for tax | 509 | 28,231 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | De Jong Kyle Peter | officer | Withheld for tax | 286 | 7,811 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Puente Juan Carlos | officer | Option exercise | 1,750 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Warner Roxanne | officer | Option exercise | 6,667 | 16,614 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Warner Roxanne | officer | Option exercise | 6,667 | 13,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | De Jong Kyle Peter | officer | Option exercise | 1,000 | 8,097 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | De Jong Kyle Peter | officer | Option exercise | 1,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Martin Carey L | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 31,993 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Martin Carey L | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Puente Juan Carlos | officer | Option exercise | 1,750 | 28,740 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | LIU JOHN D | director | Award / grant | 2,811 | 7,246 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | LOREE JAMES M | director | Award / grant | 2,811 | 11,344 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | LaClair Jennifer A. | director | Award / grant | 2,811 | 9,430 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | MORIKIS JOHN G | director | Award / grant | 2,811 | 6,475 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | KRAMER RICHARD J | director | Award / grant | 2,811 | 4,943 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Adcock Mary Ellen | director | Award / grant | 2,811 | 2,811 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Buckner Judith K. | director | Award / grant | 2,811 | 2,811 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Creed Greg | director | Award / grant | 2,811 | 15,504 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Dietz Diane M. | director | Award / grant | 2,811 | 19,673 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Elliott Geraldine | director | Award / grant | 2,811 | 16,046 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Wilson Rudolph | director | Award / grant | 2,811 | 6,246 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Bitzer Marc R | director | Gift | 3,110 | 13,227 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Bitzer Marc R | director | Gift | 3,110 | 46,031 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Bitzer Marc R | director | Withheld for tax | 3,166 | 49,141 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Martin Carey L | officer | Withheld for tax | 554 | 26,993 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Puente Juan Carlos | officer | Withheld for tax | 339 | 27,006 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Beaufils Ludovic | officer | Withheld for tax | 260 | 15,289 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | De Jong Kyle Peter | officer | Withheld for tax | 147 | 7,097 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Warner Roxanne | officer | Withheld for tax | 111 | 9,945 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | De Jong Kyle Peter | officer | Withheld for tax | 93 | 6,810 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Warner Roxanne | officer | Withheld for tax | 86 | 9,728 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | De Jong Kyle Peter | officer | Withheld for tax | 66 | 6,629 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Tomczak Todd N | officer | Withheld for tax | 46 | 1,533 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Tomczak Todd N | officer | Withheld for tax | 43 | 1,444 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Warner Roxanne | officer | Withheld for tax | 34 | 9,529 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Tomczak Todd N | officer | Withheld for tax | 30 | 1,361 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Elvira Salazar | House | sale | 2026-06-08 | 2026-05-11 | $1–15K |
| Maria Elvira Salazar | House | sale | 2026-06-08 | 2026-05-11 | $1–15K |
| Maria Elvira Salazar | House | purchase | 2026-04-21 | 2026-03-19 | $15–50K |
| Lisa Mcclain | House | sale | 2025-09-12 | 2025-08-04 | $1–15K |
| Lisa Mcclain | House | purchase | 2025-08-13 | 2025-07-22 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2024-04-05 | 2024-03-25 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2024-01-04 | 2023-12-04 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2023-12-06 | 2023-11-03 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2023-11-08 | 2023-10-02 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2023-09-06 | 2023-08-29 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2023-06-12 | 2023-05-19 | $1–15K |
| Kathy Manning | House | sale | 2022-09-14 | 2022-08-03 | $1–15K |
| Kathy Manning | House | purchase | 2022-08-10 | 2022-07-20 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2021-12-07 | 2021-11-02 | $1–15K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.