Issued 2026-09-16 at $18.55 · now $18.55 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WHG has typically landed between $16.05 and $21.91 — a range of −13.5% to +18.1% from the issuance price $18.55.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($18.55) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where WHG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $18.55 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $18.55 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $18.61 (+0.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $17.56–$19.67
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $16.05–$21.91
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −59.4% | −59.4% | +1.1% |
| 2020-02-19 | −54.2% | −59.8% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-20 | −40.3% | −59.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-18 | +90.3% | +0.0% | +90.3% |
| 2020-03-19 | +75.7% | +0.0% | +75.7% |
| 2009-01-14 | +51.7% | −2.8% | +53.0% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
40%
−0.5%
n=20
Feb
55%
+2.6%
n=20
Mar
50%
−0.3%
n=20
Apr
55%
+2.2%
n=20
May
40%
−1.2%
n=20
Jun
70%
+4.4%
n=20
Jul
50%
+0.4%
n=20
Aug
40%
−3.1%
n=20
Sep
45%
−0.3%
n=20
Oct
55%
+0.6%
n=20
Nov
70%
+3.7%
n=20
Dec
60%
+1.5%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 4,481 @ $19.88 | $89K | −1.9% of holding | −6.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 230,444 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 3,584 @ $19.35 | $69K | −1.5% of holding | −0.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 234,925 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 1,091 @ $19.17 | $21K | −0.5% of holding | +0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 239,017 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-29 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 7,129 @ $20.03 | $143K | −2.9% of holding | −1.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 240,108 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-26 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 4,274 @ $19.39 | $83K | −1.7% of holding | −2.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 247,237 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-25 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 500 @ $18.21 | $9K | −0.2% of holding | +6.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 251,511 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-24 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 1,300 @ $18.32 | $24K | −0.5% of holding | +5.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 252,011 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 2,500 @ $18.45 | $46K | −1.0% of holding | +3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 253,311 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 1,000 @ $18.31 | $18K | −0.4% of holding | +5.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 255,811 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-18 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 1,549 @ $18.35 | $28K | −0.6% of holding | +3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 256,811 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 350 @ $18.10 | $6K | −0.1% of holding | +6.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 258,360 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 1,634 @ $18.29 | $30K | −0.6% of holding | +10.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 258,710 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-15 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 2,910 @ $17.96 | $52K | −1.1% of holding | +11.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 260,344 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 4,367 @ $17.86 | $78K | −1.6% of holding | +12.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 263,254 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 3,300 @ $17.43 | $58K | −1.2% of holding | +7.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 267,621 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 1,800 @ $17.55 | $32K | −0.7% of holding | +6.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 270,921 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-09 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 1,900 @ $17.46 | $33K | −0.7% of holding | +8.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 272,721 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-08 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 607 @ $17.11 | $10K | −0.2% of holding | +11.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 274,621 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-05 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 616 @ $17.34 | $11K | −0.2% of holding | +11.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 275,228 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 406 @ $16.33 | $7K | −0.1% of holding | +21.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 275,844 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-01 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 1,300 @ $16.02 | $21K | −0.5% of holding | +21.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 276,250 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 1,124 @ $16.40 | $18K | −0.4% of holding | +18.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 277,550 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 2,028 @ $16.37 | $33K | −0.7% of holding | +25.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 278,674 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-27 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 1,062 @ $16.20 | $17K | −0.4% of holding | +25.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 280,702 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 1,666 @ $16.21 | $27K | −0.6% of holding | +15.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 281,764 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 613 @ $16.02 | $10K | −0.2% of holding | +15.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 283,430 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-21 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 300 @ $16.01 | $5K | −0.1% of holding | +17.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 284,043 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 206 @ $16.01 | $3K | −0.1% of holding | +14.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 284,343 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 651 @ $16.08 | $10K | −0.2% of holding | +13.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 284,549 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-14 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 500 @ $16.00 | $8K | −0.2% of holding | +12.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 285,200 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 300 @ $16.01 | $5K | −0.1% of holding | +9.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 285,700 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-12 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 991 @ $16.27 | $16K | −0.3% of holding | +9.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 286,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 876 @ $16.46 | $14K | −0.3% of holding | +10.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 286,991 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-08 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 600 @ $16.17 | $10K | −0.2% of holding | +7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 287,867 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-07 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 1,000 @ $16.06 | $16K | −0.3% of holding | +3.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 288,467 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-06 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 260 @ $16.09 | $4K | −0.1% of holding | +8.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 289,467 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 678 @ $16.01 | $11K | −0.2% of holding | +1.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 289,727 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-04 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 239 @ $16.02 | $4K | −0.1% of holding | +2.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 290,405 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-01 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 478 @ $16.22 | $8K | −0.2% of holding | −0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 290,644 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 994 @ $16.28 | $16K | −0.3% of holding | −7.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 291,122 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-29 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 500 @ $16.56 | $8K | −0.2% of holding | −8.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 292,116 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-28 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 660 @ $16.97 | $11K | −0.2% of holding | −9.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 292,616 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-27 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 733 @ $16.66 | $12K | −0.2% of holding | −6.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 293,276 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-24 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 700 @ $16.14 | $11K | −0.2% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 294,009 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-23 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 9 @ $17.27 | $155 | −0.0% of holding | −5.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 294,709 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-22 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 294 @ $15.85 | $5K | −0.1% of holding | −5.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 294,718 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-21 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 532 @ $16.17 | $9K | −0.2% of holding | −6.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 295,012 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-20 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 500 @ $16.64 | $8K | −0.2% of holding | −7.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 295,544 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-17 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 700 @ $16.36 | $11K | −0.2% of holding | −8.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 296,044 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-16 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 500 @ $16.14 | $8K | −0.2% of holding | −8.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 296,744 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-15 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 1,500 @ $16.45 | $25K | −0.5% of holding | −8.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 297,244 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-14 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 301 @ $16.48 | $5K | −0.1% of holding | −9.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 298,744 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-13 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 1,600 @ $16.32 | $26K | −0.5% of holding | −10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 299,045 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-10 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 900 @ $16.11 | $14K | −0.3% of holding | −6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 300,645 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-09 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 401 @ $16.31 | $7K | −0.1% of holding | −9.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 301,545 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-08 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 704 @ $16.45 | $12K | −0.2% of holding | −8.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 301,946 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-07 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 400 @ $16.13 | $6K | −0.2% of holding | −12.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 238,509 | Form 4 · filed 91 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-06 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 700 @ $16.31 | $11K | −0.2% of holding | −11.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 302,650 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 600 @ $16.21 | $10K | −0.2% of holding | −13.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 303,350 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | BYRNE SUSAN M | other | Sale | 1,494 @ $16.83 | $25K | −0.5% of holding | −9.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 303,950 | Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
32 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | Ryan Janice | director | Award / grant | 5,889 | 11,669 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Murray Katherine | director | Award / grant | 5,780 | 11,470 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Ryan Janice | director | Award / grant | 5,780 | 5,780 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Bowman Randy A | director | Award / grant | 5,780 | 37,532 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | MASTERSON ELLEN H | director | Award / grant | 5,780 | 52,614 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-30 | Hoak J. Hale | director | Award / grant | 5,780 | 60,770 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Ehinger John Anthony Jr | officer | Withheld for tax | 838 | 18,252 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Linton David O | officer | Award / grant | 15,414 | 32,069 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Gomez Fabian | officer | Award / grant | 32,287 | 128,796 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Forbes Murray III | officer | Award / grant | 11,098 | 68,685 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Ehinger John Anthony Jr | officer | Award / grant | 5,549 | 19,090 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | CASEY BRIAN O | director | Award / grant | 57,194 | 549,553 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-30 | Hoak J. Hale | director | Award / grant | 5,690 | 54,990 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-30 | Bowman Randy A | director | Award / grant | 5,690 | 31,752 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-30 | Murray Katherine | director | Award / grant | 5,690 | 5,690 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-30 | Norman Geoffrey | director | Award / grant | 5,690 | 50,084 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-30 | MASTERSON ELLEN H | director | Award / grant | 5,690 | 46,834 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Helfert Adrian | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,395 | 173,523 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | CASEY BRIAN O | director | Withheld for tax | 13,159 | 512,676 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Gomez Fabian | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,265 | 103,509 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Lockridge Matthew | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,939 | 83,279 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Forbes Murray III | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,815 | 57,587 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Mazzei Matthew | officer | Withheld for tax | 524 | 3,809 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Ehinger John Anthony Jr | officer | Withheld for tax | 448 | 13,541 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Ehinger John Anthony Jr | officer | Award / grant | 4,867 | 13,989 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | CASEY BRIAN O | director | Award / grant | 45,621 | 525,835 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Forbes Murray III | officer | Award / grant | 10,645 | 60,402 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Gomez Fabian | officer | Award / grant | 24,636 | 108,774 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Helfert Adrian | officer | Award / grant | 30,414 | 186,918 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Lockridge Matthew | officer | Award / grant | 31,935 | 88,218 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Mazzei Matthew | officer | Award / grant | 1,764 | 4,333 | Form 4 |
| 2024-02-23 | Mazzei Matthew | officer | Award / grant | 1,797 | 2,569 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.