WHDCactus, Inc.Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $67.20 · now $67.20 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WHD has typically landed between $54.71 and $81.72 — a range of −18.6% to +21.6% from the issuance price $67.20.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,141 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-02-082026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($67.20) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where WHD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $67.2 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$54.71worst · -18.6%$81.72best · +21.6%
  • now $67.2 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $68.94 (+2.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $62.98$74.9
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $54.71$81.72
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,141 windows spanning 2018-02-08 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−70.6%−70.6%+1.5%
2020-02-14−64.4%−64.4%+0.0%
2020-02-13−61.0%−61.0%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-30+63.1%−1.3%+63.1%
2020-11-04+56.7%+0.0%+56.7%
2020-03-18+56.6%+0.0%+87.0%

2,141 overlapping windows · 2018-02-082026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
75%
+7.2%
n=8
Feb
50%
+1.2%
n=8
Mar
33%
−7.5%
n=9
Apr
44%
+5.0%
n=9
May
78%
+3.6%
n=9
Jun
78%
+2.7%
n=9
Jul
56%
+6.7%
n=9
Aug
44%
−0.3%
n=9
Sep
44%
−0.8%
n=9
Oct
50%
+4.2%
n=8
Nov
50%
+2.3%
n=8
Dec
63%
+2.1%
n=8

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$74$332026-09-01: 2 insider sales, $14.1M — Bender Scott, Bender Joel2026-08-07: 1 insider sale, $1.7M — Bender Steven2026-08-05: 2 insider sales, $1.1M — ODONNELL JOHN A, MARSH WILLIAM D2026-08-03: 3 insider sales, $15.2M — Bender Joel, Bender Scott, Tadlock Stephen2026-07-30: 2 insider sales, $10.0M — Bender Scott, Bender Joel2026-07-27: 2 insider sales, $1.5M — Bender Scott, Bender Joel2026-05-12: 2 insider sales, $1.3M — MCGOVERN MICHAEL Y, Semple Alan2026-03-10: 2 insider sales, $10.7M — Bender Scott, Bender Joel2026-03-06: 2 insider sales, $2.9M — Bender Scott, Bender Joel2026-03-05: 2 insider sales, $6.5M — Bender Scott, Bender Joel2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $420K2026-03: 6 open-market sales, $20.1M2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $1.3M2026-07: 4 open-market sales, $11.5M2026-08: 6 open-market sales, $18.1M2026-09: 2 open-market sales, $14.1M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Bender Scott — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Bender Joel — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Bender Steven — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector ODONNELL JOHN A — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer MARSH WILLIAM D — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Bender Joel — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Bender Scott — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Tadlock Stephen — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Bender Scott — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Bender Joel — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Bender Scott — Sale on 2026-07-27, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Bender Joel — Sale on 2026-07-27, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MCGOVERN MICHAEL Y — Sale on 2026-05-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Semple Alan — Sale on 2026-05-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Bender Scott — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Bender Joel — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Bender Scott — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Bender Joel — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Bender Scott — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Bender Joel — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Bender ScottdirectorSale100,000 @ $70.37$7.0M−45.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open120,527Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorSale100,000 @ $70.37$7.0M−70.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open41,519Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-07Bender StevenofficerSale25,000 @ $67.65$1.7M−20.1% of holding+3.3%not yet — horizon still open99,241Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-05ODONNELL JOHN AdirectorSale10,000 @ $66.13$661K−35.7% of holding+8.3%not yet — horizon still open17,990Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05MARSH WILLIAM DofficerSale7,178 @ $66.32$476K−27.8% of holding+8.3%not yet — horizon still open18,665Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-03Bender JoeldirectorSale100,000 @ $63.89$6.4M−70.7% of holding+10.2%not yet — horizon still open41,519Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03Bender ScottdirectorSale100,000 @ $63.89$6.4M−45.3% of holding+10.2%not yet — horizon still open120,527Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03Tadlock StephenofficerSale38,455 @ $63.80$2.5M−47.1% of holding+10.2%not yet — horizon still open43,178Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-30Bender ScottdirectorSale86,700 @ $57.62$5.0M−41.8% of holding+8.6%not yet — horizon still open120,527Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-30Bender JoeldirectorSale86,700 @ $57.62$5.0M−67.6% of holding+8.6%not yet — horizon still open41,519Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-27Bender ScottdirectorSale13,300 @ $55.07$732K−6.0% of holding+21.0%not yet — horizon still open207,227Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-27Bender JoeldirectorSale13,300 @ $55.07$732K−9.4% of holding+21.0%not yet — horizon still open128,219Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12MCGOVERN MICHAEL YdirectorSale12,000 @ $56.57$679K−42.9% of holding+2.7%not yet — horizon still open15,990Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12Semple AlandirectorSale10,206 @ $56.62$578K−25.7% of holding+2.7%not yet — horizon still open29,444Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-10Bender ScottdirectorSale106,809 @ $49.92$5.3M−50.0% of holding+10.3%+30.8%106,801Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10Bender JoeldirectorSale106,809 @ $49.92$5.3M−79.4% of holding+10.3%+30.8%27,793Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-06Bender ScottdirectorSale29,228 @ $50.01$1.5M−12.0% of holding+6.0%+25.5%213,610Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-03-06Bender JoeldirectorSale29,228 @ $50.01$1.5M−17.8% of holding+6.0%+25.5%134,602Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-03-05Bender ScottdirectorSale63,963 @ $50.74$3.2M−20.8% of holding+1.2%+27.6%242,838Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-05Bender JoeldirectorSale63,963 @ $50.74$3.2M−28.1% of holding+1.2%+27.6%163,830Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

280 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Cactus WH Enterprises, LLCtenPercentOwnerOther acquisition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Cactus WH Enterprises, LLCtenPercentOwnerOther acquisition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorOther acquisition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorAward / grant100,0009,261,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorOther acquisition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorOther acquisition100,000141,519Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorDisposition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorAward / grant100,0009,261,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorOther acquisition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender ScottdirectorOther acquisition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender ScottdirectorAward / grant100,0009,261,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender ScottdirectorOther acquisition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender ScottdirectorOther acquisition100,000220,527Form 4
2026-09-01Bender ScottdirectorDisposition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender ScottdirectorAward / grant100,0009,261,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender ScottdirectorOther acquisition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Cactus WH Enterprises, LLCtenPercentOwnerOther acquisition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Cactus WH Enterprises, LLCtenPercentOwnerOther acquisition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender ScottdirectorOther acquisition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender ScottdirectorAward / grant100,0009,261,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender ScottdirectorOther acquisition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender ScottdirectorOther acquisition100,000220,527Form 4
2026-09-01Bender ScottdirectorDisposition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender ScottdirectorAward / grant100,0009,261,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender ScottdirectorOther acquisition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorOther acquisition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorAward / grant100,0009,261,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorOther acquisition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorOther acquisition100,000141,519Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorDisposition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorAward / grant100,0009,261,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorOther acquisition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorDisposition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorOther acquisition100,000141,519Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorOther acquisition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorAward / grant100,0009,261,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorOther acquisition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorAward / grant100,0009,261,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorDisposition100,0009,161,249Form 4
2026-09-01Bender JoeldirectorOther acquisition100,000141,519Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.