Issued 2026-09-16 at $67.20 · now $67.20 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WHD has typically landed between $54.71 and $81.72 — a range of −18.6% to +21.6% from the issuance price $67.20.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,141 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-02-08 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($67.20) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where WHD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $67.2 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $67.2 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $68.94 (+2.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $62.98–$74.9
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $54.71–$81.72
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −70.6% | −70.6% | +1.5% |
| 2020-02-14 | −64.4% | −64.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-13 | −61.0% | −61.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-30 | +63.1% | −1.3% | +63.1% |
| 2020-11-04 | +56.7% | +0.0% | +56.7% |
| 2020-03-18 | +56.6% | +0.0% | +87.0% |
2,141 overlapping windows · 2018-02-08 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Scott | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $70.37 | $7.0M | −45.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 120,527 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $70.37 | $7.0M | −70.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 41,519 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Bender Steven | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $67.65 | $1.7M | −20.1% of holding | +3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 99,241 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | ODONNELL JOHN A | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $66.13 | $661K | −35.7% of holding | +8.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 17,990 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | MARSH WILLIAM D | officer | Sale | 7,178 @ $66.32 | $476K | −27.8% of holding | +8.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,665 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Bender Joel | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $63.89 | $6.4M | −70.7% of holding | +10.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 41,519 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Bender Scott | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $63.89 | $6.4M | −45.3% of holding | +10.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 120,527 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Tadlock Stephen | officer | Sale | 38,455 @ $63.80 | $2.5M | −47.1% of holding | +10.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 43,178 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-30 | Bender Scott | director | Sale | 86,700 @ $57.62 | $5.0M | −41.8% of holding | +8.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 120,527 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-30 | Bender Joel | director | Sale | 86,700 @ $57.62 | $5.0M | −67.6% of holding | +8.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 41,519 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-27 | Bender Scott | director | Sale | 13,300 @ $55.07 | $732K | −6.0% of holding | +21.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 207,227 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-27 | Bender Joel | director | Sale | 13,300 @ $55.07 | $732K | −9.4% of holding | +21.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 128,219 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | MCGOVERN MICHAEL Y | director | Sale | 12,000 @ $56.57 | $679K | −42.9% of holding | +2.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,990 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Semple Alan | director | Sale | 10,206 @ $56.62 | $578K | −25.7% of holding | +2.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 29,444 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Bender Scott | director | Sale | 106,809 @ $49.92 | $5.3M | −50.0% of holding | +10.3% | +30.8% | 106,801 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Bender Joel | director | Sale | 106,809 @ $49.92 | $5.3M | −79.4% of holding | +10.3% | +30.8% | 27,793 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Bender Scott | director | Sale | 29,228 @ $50.01 | $1.5M | −12.0% of holding | +6.0% | +25.5% | 213,610 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Bender Joel | director | Sale | 29,228 @ $50.01 | $1.5M | −17.8% of holding | +6.0% | +25.5% | 134,602 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Bender Scott | director | Sale | 63,963 @ $50.74 | $3.2M | −20.8% of holding | +1.2% | +27.6% | 242,838 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Bender Joel | director | Sale | 63,963 @ $50.74 | $3.2M | −28.1% of holding | +1.2% | +27.6% | 163,830 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
280 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Cactus WH Enterprises, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Cactus WH Enterprises, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 9,261,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 141,519 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Disposition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 9,261,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Scott | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Scott | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 9,261,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Scott | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Scott | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 220,527 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Scott | director | Disposition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Scott | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 9,261,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Scott | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Cactus WH Enterprises, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Cactus WH Enterprises, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Scott | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Scott | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 9,261,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Scott | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Scott | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 220,527 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Scott | director | Disposition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Scott | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 9,261,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Scott | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 9,261,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 141,519 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Disposition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 9,261,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Disposition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 141,519 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 9,261,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 9,261,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Disposition | 100,000 | 9,161,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Bender Joel | director | Other acquisition | 100,000 | 141,519 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.