Issued 2026-09-16 at $68.17 · now $68.17 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WH has typically landed between $59.71 and $76.37 — a range of −12.4% to +12.0% from the issuance price $68.17.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,060 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-05-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($68.17) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where WH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $68.17 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $68.17 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $68.39 (+0.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $65.2–$71.59
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $59.71–$76.37
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-19 | −63.7% | −63.7% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-18 | −62.3% | −62.3% | +2.5% |
| 2020-02-21 | −57.3% | −63.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-18 | +60.3% | −1.3% | +60.3% |
| 2020-03-19 | +52.8% | +0.0% | +62.4% |
| 2020-04-21 | +46.7% | +0.0% | +46.7% |
2,060 overlapping windows · 2018-05-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Sale | 19,414 @ $72.71 | $1.4M | −3.4% of holding | −4.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 549,323 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Sale | 14,445 @ $80.91 | $1.2M | −2.6% of holding | −2.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 549,266 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Sale | 3,113 @ $80.04 | $249K | −0.5% of holding | −2.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 563,711 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Sale | 958 @ $81.44 | $78K | −0.2% of holding | −2.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 548,308 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Rossi Nicola | officer | Sale | 7,055 @ $85.19 | $601K | −68.8% of holding | −6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,198 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Melancon Monica | officer | Sale | 8,861 @ $74.70 | $662K | −30.2% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,435 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Cash Paul F | officer | Sale | 9,300 @ $76.03 | $707K | −22.3% of holding | +8.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,312 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Cash Paul F | officer | Sale | 6,100 @ $75.13 | $458K | −12.8% of holding | +8.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 41,612 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Cash Paul F | officer | Sale | 2,900 @ $77.32 | $224K | −9.0% of holding | +8.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 29,412 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-06 | Cash Paul F | officer | Sale | 1,500 @ $78.03 | $117K | −5.1% of holding | +8.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,912 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Strickland Scott R. | officer | Sale | 6,500 @ $80.36 | $522K | −13.0% of holding | +8.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 43,639 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Sale | 40,874 @ $79.14 | $3.2M | −7.5% of holding | +1.2% | −11.6% | 504,278 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Sale | 13,590 @ $79.60 | $1.1M | −2.7% of holding | +1.2% | −11.6% | 490,688 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Sale | 660 @ $80.55 | $53K | −0.1% of holding | +1.2% | −11.6% | 490,028 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-09 | Strickland Scott R. | officer | Sale | 28,134 @ $71.11 | $2.0M | −41.1% of holding | +10.8% | −0.5% | 40,363 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | Strickland Scott R. | officer | Sale | 969 @ $72.25 | $70K | −2.3% of holding | +11.7% | +1.8% | 40,363 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-14 | Cash Paul F | officer | Sale | 36,379 @ $71.66 | $2.6M | −48.2% of holding | +8.2% | −1.5% | 39,123 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-18 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Sale | 24,796 @ $87.48 | $2.2M | −4.9% of holding | −6.7% | −14.9% | 481,479 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Sale | 1,807 @ $87.99 | $159K | −0.4% of holding | −6.7% | −14.9% | 479,672 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-15 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Sale | 17,502 @ $88.76 | $1.6M | −3.5% of holding | −5.7% | −14.4% | 482,634 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-15 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Sale | 9,101 @ $88.20 | $803K | −1.9% of holding | −5.7% | −14.4% | 473,533 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Sale | 26,470 @ $85.76 | $2.3M | −5.4% of holding | −9.6% | −31.7% | 467,648 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Sale | 241 @ $86.35 | $21K | −0.1% of holding | −9.6% | −31.7% | 467,407 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Sale | 13 @ $87.53 | $1K | −0.0% of holding | −9.6% | −31.7% | 467,394 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Sale | 26,650 @ $86.56 | $2.3M | −5.5% of holding | −8.6% | −29.3% | 461,376 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Sale | 19,007 @ $103.33 | $2.0M | −4.6% of holding | +2.0% | −22.8% | 398,349 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | ALLEN MICHELE | officer | Sale | 16,071 @ $103.57 | $1.7M | −60.8% of holding | +2.0% | −22.8% | 10,356 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Sale | 5,410 @ $103.98 | $563K | −1.4% of holding | +2.0% | −22.8% | 392,939 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Sale | 600 @ $102.62 | $62K | −0.1% of holding | +2.0% | −22.8% | 417,356 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | ALLEN MICHELE | officer | Sale | 300 @ $104.23 | $31K | −2.9% of holding | +2.0% | −22.8% | 10,056 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-16 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Sale | 12,732 @ $103.32 | $1.3M | −3.1% of holding | −0.3% | −22.4% | 397,535 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-16 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Sale | 12,321 @ $104.01 | $1.3M | −3.1% of holding | −0.3% | −22.4% | 385,214 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
268 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Option exercise | 20,429 | 568,737 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Option exercise | 20,429 | 40,858 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-12 | Androski Christopher | officer | Award / grant | 3,647 | 8,890 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | BUCKMAN JAMES E | director | Award / grant | 1,068 | 96,022 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | HOLMES STEPHEN P | director | Award / grant | 718 | 24,780 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | CHURCHILL BRUCE | director | Award / grant | 633 | 30,432 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | Deoras Mukul | director | Award / grant | 574 | 25,127 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | NELSON RONALD L | director | Award / grant | 545 | 20,338 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | BIBLOWIT MYRA J | director | Award / grant | 543 | 93,281 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | RICHARDS PAULINE | director | Award / grant | 463 | 18,661 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | BIBLOWIT MYRA J | director | Award / grant | 442 | 15,608 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | Jung Alexandra A | director | Award / grant | 434 | 1,403 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | RICHARDS PAULINE | director | Award / grant | 373 | 64,232 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Option exercise | 20,429 | 566,824 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Option exercise | 20,429 | 61,287 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Gift | 12,700 | 546,395 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | BUCKMAN JAMES E | director | Award / grant | 1,013 | 94,954 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | HOLMES STEPHEN P | director | Award / grant | 651 | 24,062 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | CHURCHILL BRUCE | director | Award / grant | 573 | 29,799 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Deoras Mukul | director | Award / grant | 518 | 24,553 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | NELSON RONALD L | director | Award / grant | 494 | 19,793 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | BIBLOWIT MYRA J | director | Award / grant | 491 | 92,738 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | RICHARDS PAULINE | director | Award / grant | 421 | 18,198 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | BIBLOWIT MYRA J | director | Award / grant | 402 | 15,166 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Jung Alexandra A | director | Award / grant | 394 | 969 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | RICHARDS PAULINE | director | Award / grant | 338 | 63,859 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-26 | Strickland Scott R. | officer | Withheld for tax | 867 | 45,683 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-26 | Strickland Scott R. | officer | Award / grant | 1,694 | 46,550 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Ballotti Geoffrey A | director | Withheld for tax | 4,637 | 559,095 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Cash Paul F | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,594 | 29,434 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Melancon Monica | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,276 | 29,296 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Strickland Scott R. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,276 | 44,856 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Rossi Nicola | officer | Withheld for tax | 696 | 10,253 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Sripathi Amit | officer | Withheld for tax | 445 | 4,425 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | NELSON RONALD L | director | Award / grant | 326 | 19,299 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Strickland Scott R. | officer | Award / grant | 2,493 | 46,132 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Melancon Monica | officer | Award / grant | 2,493 | 30,572 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Cash Paul F | officer | Award / grant | 3,116 | 31,028 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Sripathi Amit | officer | Award / grant | 907 | 4,870 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | BIBLOWIT MYRA J | director | Award / grant | 325 | 92,247 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mr. Peter Meijer | House | sale | 2021-03-16 | 2021-02-16 | $1–15K |
| Susie Lee | House | sale | 2021-03-11 | 2021-02-11 | $1–15K |
| Susie Lee | House | purchase | 2020-07-10 | 2020-06-05 | $1–15K |
| Susie Lee | House | purchase | 2020-07-10 | 2020-06-03 | $1–15K |
| Susie Lee | House | sale | 2020-04-28 | 2020-03-18 | $1–15K |
| Susie Lee | House | sale | 2020-04-28 | 2020-03-17 | $1–15K |
| Donna Shalala | House | purchase | 2020-04-27 | 2019-04-30 | $1–15K |
| Donna Shalala | House | sale | 2020-04-27 | 2019-06-24 | $1–15K |
| Mikie Sherrill | House | sale | 2020-04-05 | 2020-02-20 | $1–15K |
| Susie Lee | House | purchase | 2019-09-30 | 2019-08-07 | $1–15K |
| Susie Lee | House | purchase | 2019-07-18 | 2019-06-25 | $1–15K |
| Susie Lee | House | purchase | 2019-05-09 | 2019-04-30 | $1–15K |
| Susie Lee | House | purchase | 2019-04-08 | 2019-03-21 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2018-07-11 | 2018-06-15 | $1–15K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.