WFRDWeatherford International plcEnergy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $82.30 · now $82.30 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WFRD has typically landed between $66.04 and $101.97 — a range of −19.8% to +23.9% from the issuance price $82.30.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,670 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-12-20 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($82.30) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where WFRD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $82.3 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$66.04worst · -19.8%$101.97best · +23.9%
  • now $82.3 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $86.19 (+4.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $78.24–$94.14
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $66.04–$101.97
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,670 windows spanning 2019-12-20 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−81.7%−81.7%+0.0%
2020-02-20−78.3%−80.0%+0.0%
2020-02-10−77.9%−77.9%+2.6%
3 best
2020-11-10+241.2%−1.7%+241.2%
2020-11-12+233.6%−1.3%+242.7%
2020-11-11+207.1%−4.6%+231.3%

1,670 overlapping windows · 2019-12-20 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
71%
+5.0%
n=7
Feb
57%
+11.9%
n=7
Mar
43%
−9.7%
n=7
Apr
43%
−4.9%
n=7
May
43%
−8.1%
n=7
Jun
57%
+4.5%
n=7
Jul
57%
+4.9%
n=7
Aug
71%
+15.4%
n=7
Sep
57%
−3.1%
n=7
Oct
83%
+14.7%
n=6
Nov
67%
+14.4%
n=6
Dec
67%
+12.2%
n=6

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$111$552026-08-10: 1 insider sale, $370K — Mutschler Jacqueline C2026-07-23: 3 insider sales, $1.9M — GOLDMAN NEAL P, Duster Benjamin …2026-02-09: 2 insider sales, $752K — Mills Desmond J, SLEDGE CHARLES M2026-02-06: 5 insider sales, $15.1M — Saligram Girish, Weatherholt Scott C, Mills Desmond J …2025-12-05: 1 insider sale, $164K — Ruzicka Kristin2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $164K2026-02: 7 open-market sales, $15.8M2026-07: 3 open-market sales, $1.9M2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $370K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Mutschler Jacqueline C — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector GOLDMAN NEAL P — Sale on 2026-07-23, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Duster Benjamin — Sale on 2026-07-23, filed 4 days after the tradedirector GOLDMAN NEAL P — Sale on 2026-07-23, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Mills Desmond J — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SLEDGE CHARLES M — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Saligram Girish — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Saligram Girish — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Weatherholt Scott C — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Weatherholt Scott C — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Mills Desmond J — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Ruzicka Kristin — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-10Mutschler Jacqueline CdirectorSale4,094 @ $90.50$370K−12.3% of holding+1.5%not yet — horizon still open29,093Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-23GOLDMAN NEAL PdirectorSale12,439 @ $84.69$1.1M−44.1% of holding+2.3%not yet — horizon still open15,748Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-23Duster BenjamindirectorSale6,000 @ $86.09$517K−34.9% of holding+2.3%not yet — horizon still open11,187Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-23GOLDMAN NEAL PdirectorSale3,561 @ $85.36$304K−22.6% of holding+2.3%not yet — horizon still open12,187Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-09Mills Desmond JofficerSale5,000 @ $104.19$521K−27.9% of holding−8.5%−20.5%12,899Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-09SLEDGE CHARLES MdirectorSale2,204 @ $104.69$231K−6.3% of holding−8.5%−20.5%32,729Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-06Saligram GirishdirectorSale52,105 @ $105.50$5.5M−100.0% of holding−10.4%−24.0%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-06Saligram GirishdirectorSale47,895 @ $105.49$5.1M−4.8% of holding−10.4%−24.0%942,274Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-06Weatherholt Scott CofficerSale26,217 @ $105.39$2.8M−15.7% of holding−10.4%−24.0%140,956Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-06Weatherholt Scott CofficerSale11,608 @ $105.70$1.2M−8.2% of holding−10.4%−24.0%129,348Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-06Mills Desmond JofficerSale5,118 @ $105.70$541K−22.2% of holding−10.4%−24.0%17,899Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-05Ruzicka KristinofficerSale2,129 @ $77.25$164K−12.0% of holding+12.1%+25.1%15,673Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-24GOLDMAN NEAL PdirectorPurchase8,565 @ $41.90$359K+64.3% of holding+4.5%+48.7%21,876Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-24GOLDMAN NEAL PdirectorPurchase3,435 @ $42.41$146K+15.7% of holding+4.5%+48.7%25,311Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-07Sandhu DepinderofficerSale13,800 @ $66.40$916K−60.3% of holding−14.1%−24.9%9,092Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-07Mills Desmond JofficerSale9,682 @ $68.03$659K−35.1% of holding−14.1%−24.9%17,899Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-07Mills Desmond JofficerSale9,743 @ $67.00$653K−26.1% of holding−14.1%−24.9%27,581Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-07Mitra ArunavaofficerSale7,730 @ $67.82$524K−26.8% of holding−14.1%−24.9%21,072Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-07Mitra ArunavaofficerSale2,270 @ $66.72$151K−7.3% of holding−14.1%−24.9%28,802Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-07Sandhu DepinderofficerSale200 @ $67.10$13K−2.2% of holding−14.1%−24.9%8,892Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-01-29Weatherholt Scott CofficerSale41,889 @ $66.13$2.8M−24.7% of holding−4.2%−18.8%127,635Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-29Weatherholt Scott CofficerSale2,616 @ $66.87$175K−2.0% of holding−4.2%−18.8%125,019Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

192 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-04-21Dhruv Anuj HasitofficerWithheld for tax5,9929,232Form 4
2026-04-21Dhruv Anuj HasitofficerOption exercise3,9767,949Form 4
2026-04-21Dhruv Anuj HasitofficerOption exercise3,97615,224Form 4
2026-04-21Dhruv Anuj HasitofficerOption exercise11,24811,248Form 4
2026-03-07Saligram GirishdirectorWithheld for tax6,018126,349Form 4
2026-03-07SLEDGE CHARLES MdirectorDisposition2,46736,929Form 4
2026-03-07GOLDMAN NEAL PdirectorDisposition1,6902,876Form 4
2026-03-07Duster BenjamindirectorDisposition1,69017,187Form 4
2026-03-07Mutschler Jacqueline CdirectorDisposition1,69033,187Form 4
2026-03-07BERINGHAUSE STEVENdirectorDisposition1,6903,343Form 4
2026-03-07Weatherholt Scott CofficerWithheld for tax1,491131,645Form 4
2026-03-07WARD RICHARD DofficerWithheld for tax8675,252Form 4
2026-03-07Mills Desmond JofficerWithheld for tax67213,933Form 4
2026-03-07BERINGHAUSE STEVENdirectorAward / grant2,4972,497Form 4
2026-03-07Weatherholt Scott CofficerOption exercise3,788133,136Form 4
2026-03-07Weatherholt Scott CofficerOption exercise3,7887,574Form 4
2026-03-07Weatherholt Scott CofficerAward / grant7,0797,079Form 4
2026-03-07Weatherholt Scott CofficerAward / grant10,61910,619Form 4
2026-03-07Saligram GirishdirectorOption exercise15,291132,367Form 4
2026-03-07Saligram GirishdirectorAward / grant28,38028,380Form 4
2026-03-07Saligram GirishdirectorAward / grant85,14185,141Form 4
2026-03-07Mutschler Jacqueline CdirectorOption exercise4,5660Form 4
2026-03-07Mills Desmond JofficerOption exercise1,7063,409Form 4
2026-03-07Mills Desmond JofficerAward / grant3,2253,225Form 4
2026-03-07Mutschler Jacqueline CdirectorAward / grant2,4972,497Form 4
2026-03-07Mills Desmond JofficerOption exercise1,70614,605Form 4
2026-03-07Dhruv Anuj HasitofficerAward / grant8,2568,256Form 4
2026-03-07Dhruv Anuj HasitofficerAward / grant12,38412,384Form 4
2026-03-07SLEDGE CHARLES MdirectorAward / grant3,6463,646Form 4
2026-03-07WARD RICHARD DofficerOption exercise3,5597,116Form 4
2026-03-07WARD RICHARD DofficerOption exercise3,5596,119Form 4
2026-03-07WARD RICHARD DofficerAward / grant4,1284,128Form 4
2026-03-07WARD RICHARD DofficerAward / grant6,1926,192Form 4
2026-03-07GOLDMAN NEAL PdirectorOption exercise4,5664,566Form 4
2026-03-07Saligram GirishdirectorOption exercise15,29130,579Form 4
2026-03-07Mutschler Jacqueline CdirectorOption exercise4,56634,877Form 4
2026-03-07GOLDMAN NEAL PdirectorOption exercise4,5660Form 4
2026-03-07GOLDMAN NEAL PdirectorAward / grant2,4972,497Form 4
2026-03-07SLEDGE CHARLES MdirectorOption exercise6,66739,396Form 4
2026-03-07SLEDGE CHARLES MdirectorOption exercise6,6670Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.