WEX · TickerCove

WEXWEX Inc.Technology · Software - Infrastructureas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $197.17 · now $197.17 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WEX has typically landed between $167.59 and $226.70 — a range of −15.0% to +15.0% from the issuance price $197.17.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($197.17) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$197.17 · 92% of range

$126.86 low$203.25 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.5%

typical move · IQR 13.8%

−15.0%worst (p90)+15.0%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where WEX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $197.17 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $197.17 (+0.0%)
typical $200.07 (+1.5%)
middle 50% $186.46–$213.69
90% range $167.59–$226.7

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-21	−64.1%	−64.1%	+0.0%
2020-02-20	−63.9%	−63.9%	+0.0%
2020-02-18	−60.1%	−60.1%	+2.4%
3 best
2009-02-11	+46.2%	+0.0%	+46.2%
2009-02-10	+44.1%	+0.0%	+44.1%
2020-11-02	+41.8%	+0.0%	+44.3%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

60%

−0.1%

n=20

Feb

50%

+2.5%

n=20

Mar

75%

+2.7%

n=20

Apr

55%

+3.4%

n=20

May

45%

−1.1%

n=20

Jun

55%

+1.1%

n=20

Jul

70%

+5.5%

n=20

Aug

65%

+0.2%

n=20

Sep

45%

−0.9%

n=20

Oct

55%

−1.6%

n=20

Nov

70%

+3.7%

n=20

Dec

65%

+2.2%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-14	Dearborn Joel Alan JR	officer	Sale	2,500 @ $200.00	$500K	−12.8% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	17,021	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-14	Dearborn Joel Alan JR	officer	Sale	843 @ $200.00	$169K	−4.7% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	17,021	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01	Smith Melissa D	director	Sale	11,109 @ $191.11	$2.1M	−8.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	126,625	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01	Smith Melissa D	director	Sale	9,245 @ $189.12	$1.7M	−6.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	145,309	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01	Smith Melissa D	director	Sale	7,575 @ $189.87	$1.4M	−5.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	137,734	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01	Smith Melissa D	director	Sale	180 @ $186.48	$34K	−0.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	154,554	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04	Carriedo Carlos	officer	Sale	1,075 @ $186.00	$200K	−8.8% of holding	+2.7%	not yet — horizon still open	11,076	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-30	Deshaies Robert Joseph	officer	Sale	1,000 @ $184.95	$185K	−4.9% of holding	+2.1%	not yet — horizon still open	19,288	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-27	Drew Ann Elena	officer	Sale	3,400 @ $176.02	$598K	−29.9% of holding	+8.6%	not yet — horizon still open	7,988	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-27	Kimball Jennifer	officer	Sale	1,183 @ $176.55	$209K	−19.4% of holding	+8.6%	not yet — horizon still open	4,916	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-06	Deshaies Robert Joseph	officer	Sale	1,317 @ $149.26	$197K	−6.1% of holding	+23.7%	not yet — horizon still open	20,296	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-06	Deshaies Robert Joseph	officer	Sale	265 @ $147.92	$39K	−1.2% of holding	+23.7%	not yet — horizon still open	21,613	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-06	Deshaies Robert Joseph	officer	Sale	227 @ $145.84	$33K	−1.0% of holding	+23.7%	not yet — horizon still open	22,013	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-06	Deshaies Robert Joseph	officer	Sale	135 @ $146.90	$20K	−0.6% of holding	+23.7%	not yet — horizon still open	21,878	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-06	Deshaies Robert Joseph	officer	Sale	48 @ $143.46	$7K	−0.2% of holding	+23.7%	not yet — horizon still open	22,240	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-06	Deshaies Robert Joseph	officer	Sale	8 @ $149.77	$1K	−0.0% of holding	+23.7%	not yet — horizon still open	20,288	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-28	Deshaies Robert Joseph	officer	Sale	1,200 @ $144.84	$174K	−5.1% of holding	−3.7%	not yet — horizon still open	22,288	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-18	GROCH JAMES R	director	Purchase	1,500 @ $142.95	$214K	+9.1% of holding	−11.4%	not yet — horizon still open	17,957	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-16	Dearborn Joel Alan JR	officer	Sale	3,500 @ $175.00	$613K	−13.3% of holding	−24.8%	not yet — horizon still open	22,872	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-01	Dearborn Joel Alan JR	officer	Sale	2,150 @ $152.71	$328K	−7.5% of holding	−9.5%	not yet — horizon still open	26,372	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-01	Dearborn Joel Alan JR	officer	Sale	675 @ $152.42	$103K	−2.3% of holding	−9.5%	not yet — horizon still open	28,522	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-01	Dearborn Joel Alan JR	officer	Sale	341 @ $150.32	$51K	−1.1% of holding	−9.5%	not yet — horizon still open	29,365	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-01	Dearborn Joel Alan JR	officer	Sale	168 @ $151.14	$25K	−0.6% of holding	−9.5%	not yet — horizon still open	29,197	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-01	Dearborn Joel Alan JR	officer	Sale	93 @ $148.70	$14K	−0.3% of holding	−9.5%	not yet — horizon still open	29,706	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-01	Dearborn Joel Alan JR	officer	Sale	73 @ $147.93	$11K	−0.2% of holding	−9.5%	not yet — horizon still open	29,799	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-19	Kimball Jennifer	officer	Sale	104 @ $147.66	$15K	−1.7% of holding	+9.1%	not yet — horizon still open	6,099	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-17	Kimball Jennifer	officer	Sale	715 @ $157.82	$113K	−10.3% of holding	+10.2%	+16.3%	6,203	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-25	Trickett Sara	officer	Sale	1,815 @ $149.95	$272K	−45.9% of holding	+10.1%	+21.3%	2,137	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-24	Deshaies Robert Joseph	officer	Sale	2,820 @ $150.06	$423K	−15.6% of holding	+5.0%	+21.0%	15,277	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-24	Deshaies Robert Joseph	officer	Sale	332 @ $151.16	$50K	−2.2% of holding	+5.0%	+21.0%	14,945	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-24	Deshaies Robert Joseph	officer	Sale	86 @ $151.88	$13K	−0.6% of holding	+5.0%	+21.0%	14,859	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-18	Carriedo Carlos	officer	Sale	1,575 @ $159.90	$252K	−29.9% of holding	−0.7%	+10.3%	3,695	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

268 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-14	Dearborn Joel Alan JR	officer	Option exercise	843	17,864	Form 4
2026-09-14	Dearborn Joel Alan JR	officer	Option exercise	843	0	Form 4
2026-09-01	Smith Melissa D	director	Option exercise	23,187	149,812	Form 4
2026-09-01	Smith Melissa D	director	Option exercise	4,922	154,734	Form 4
2026-09-01	Smith Melissa D	director	Option exercise	23,187	0	Form 4
2026-09-01	Smith Melissa D	director	Option exercise	4,922	0	Form 4
2026-06-30	Callahan Don	director	Award / grant	186	12,263	Form 4
2026-06-30	GROCH JAMES R	director	Award / grant	186	18,143	Form 4
2026-06-30	Adams Kurt Patrick	director	Award / grant	79	379	Form 4
2026-06-30	Wolfe Lauren Taylor	director	Award / grant	79	1,707,332	Form 4
2026-06-30	Adams Kurt Patrick	director	Award / grant	79	379	Form 4
2026-06-30	Wolfe Lauren Taylor	director	Award / grant	79	1,707,332	Form 4
2026-06-30	GROCH JAMES R	director	Award / grant	186	18,143	Form 4
2026-06-30	Callahan Don	director	Award / grant	186	12,263	Form 4
2026-06-30	Wolfe Lauren Taylor	director	Award / grant	79	1,707,332	Form 4
2026-06-30	Wolfe Lauren Taylor	director	Award / grant	79	1,707,332	Form 4
2026-06-30	Wolfe Lauren Taylor	director	Award / grant	79	1,707,332	Form 4
2026-06-17	Carriedo Carlos	officer	Withheld for tax	174	12,151	Form 4
2026-06-17	Trickett Sara	officer	Withheld for tax	29	3,543	Form 4
2026-06-17	Trickett Sara	officer	Withheld for tax	23	3,595	Form 4
2026-06-17	Trickett Sara	officer	Option exercise	98	3,572	Form 4
2026-06-17	Carriedo Carlos	officer	Option exercise	391	12,325	Form 4
2026-06-17	Carriedo Carlos	officer	Option exercise	391	391	Form 4
2026-06-17	Trickett Sara	officer	Option exercise	75	3,618	Form 4
2026-06-17	Trickett Sara	officer	Option exercise	98	98	Form 4
2026-06-17	Trickett Sara	officer	Option exercise	75	98	Form 4
2026-05-15	Smith Stephen Montgomery	director	Option exercise	1,567	9,538	Form 4
2026-05-15	Smith Stephen Montgomery	director	Option exercise	1,567	0	Form 4
2026-05-15	Sobbott Susan	director	Option exercise	1,567	7,881	Form 4
2026-05-15	Cardwell Aimee	director	Option exercise	1,567	0	Form 4
2026-05-15	Roman Derrick A.	director	Option exercise	1,567	0	Form 4
2026-05-15	Sobbott Susan	director	Option exercise	1,567	0	Form 4
2026-05-15	Roman Derrick A.	director	Option exercise	1,567	6,434	Form 4
2026-05-15	Callahan Don	director	Option exercise	1,567	0	Form 4
2026-05-15	Callahan Don	director	Option exercise	1,567	12,077	Form 4
2026-05-15	GROCH JAMES R	director	Option exercise	1,567	0	Form 4
2026-05-15	GROCH JAMES R	director	Option exercise	1,567	16,457	Form 4
2026-05-15	Cardwell Aimee	director	Option exercise	1,567	3,007	Form 4
2026-05-14	Adams Kurt Patrick	director	Award / grant	2,352	2,352	Form 4
2026-05-14	Callahan Don	director	Award / grant	1,605	1,605	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i