WERNWerner Enterprises, Inc.Industrials · Truckingas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $35.84 · now $35.84 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WERN has typically landed between $31.66 and $40.83 — a range of −11.7% to +13.9% from the issuance price $35.84.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($35.84) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where WERN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $35.84 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$31.66worst · -11.7%$40.83best · +13.9%
  • now $35.84 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $35.68 (-0.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $33.83–$37.54
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $31.66–$40.83
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-18−30.4%−31.5%+2.5%
2008-09-19−29.6%−33.2%+0.0%
2008-09-22−27.4%−29.8%+0.0%
3 best
2008-07-10+34.4%+0.0%+34.4%
2008-07-02+33.2%+0.0%+35.8%
2008-07-11+31.9%−0.4%+32.6%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
80%
+4.3%
n=20
Feb
40%
−0.7%
n=20
Mar
45%
+0.2%
n=20
Apr
35%
−0.8%
n=20
May
70%
+3.8%
n=20
Jun
45%
−0.6%
n=20
Jul
60%
+3.0%
n=20
Aug
30%
−2.4%
n=20
Sep
40%
−2.2%
n=20
Oct
60%
+1.2%
n=20
Nov
80%
+4.5%
n=20
Dec
45%
−0.5%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$47$232026-06-12: 1 insider sale, $41K — SCHELBLE JIM S2026-02-20: 1 insider sale, $49K — DOWNING ERIC J2026-02-19: 1 insider sale, $50K — DOWNING ERIC J2025-10-23: 7 insider purchases, $8K — LEATHERS DEREK J, SCHELBLE JIM S, MEISGEIER NATHAN J, DOWNING ERIC J …2025-10-03: 7 insider purchases, $42K — CALLAHAN CRAIG T, Mahon Daragh P, DOWNING ERIC J, JOHNSON JAMES LYNN …2025-10: 14 open-market purchases, $50K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $99K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $41K↑ buys↓ salesofficer SCHELBLE JIM S — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer DOWNING ERIC J — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer DOWNING ERIC J — Sale on 2026-02-19, filed 4 days after the tradedirector LEATHERS DEREK J — Purchase on 2025-10-23, filed 39 days after the tradeofficer SCHELBLE JIM S — Purchase on 2025-10-23, filed 39 days after the tradeofficer MEISGEIER NATHAN J — Purchase on 2025-10-23, filed 39 days after the tradeofficer DOWNING ERIC J — Purchase on 2025-10-23, filed 39 days after the tradeofficer CALLAHAN CRAIG T — Purchase on 2025-10-23, filed 39 days after the tradeofficer Mahon Daragh P — Purchase on 2025-10-23, filed 39 days after the tradeofficer JOHNSON JAMES LYNN — Purchase on 2025-10-23, filed 39 days after the tradeofficer CALLAHAN CRAIG T — Purchase on 2025-10-03, filed 59 days after the tradeofficer Mahon Daragh P — Purchase on 2025-10-03, filed 59 days after the tradeofficer DOWNING ERIC J — Purchase on 2025-10-03, filed 59 days after the tradeofficer JOHNSON JAMES LYNN — Purchase on 2025-10-03, filed 59 days after the tradeofficer MEISGEIER NATHAN J — Purchase on 2025-10-03, filed 59 days after the tradeofficer SCHELBLE JIM S — Purchase on 2025-10-03, filed 59 days after the tradedirector LEATHERS DEREK J — Purchase on 2025-10-03, filed 59 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-12SCHELBLE JIM SofficerSale933 @ $43.93$41K−1.3% of holding−2.5%not yet — horizon still open70,500Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-20DOWNING ERIC JofficerSale1,418 @ $34.78$49K−2.5% of holding−16.2%−1.1%55,946Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-19DOWNING ERIC JofficerSale1,428 @ $35.00$50K−2.4% of holding−16.7%−1.5%57,364Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-23LEATHERS DEREK JdirectorPurchase87 @ $28.83$3K+0.0% of holding−8.5%+18.8%257,320Form 4 · filed 39 days after the trade
2025-10-23SCHELBLE JIM SofficerPurchase67 @ $28.83$2K+0.1% of holding−8.5%+18.8%72,671Form 4 · filed 39 days after the trade
2025-10-23MEISGEIER NATHAN JofficerPurchase50 @ $28.83$1K+0.1% of holding−8.5%+18.8%72,666Form 4 · filed 39 days after the trade
2025-10-23DOWNING ERIC JofficerPurchase32 @ $28.83$923+0.1% of holding−8.5%+18.8%52,987Form 4 · filed 39 days after the trade
2025-10-23CALLAHAN CRAIG TofficerPurchase26 @ $28.83$750+0.0% of holding−8.5%+18.8%65,080Form 4 · filed 39 days after the trade
2025-10-23Mahon Daragh PofficerPurchase14 @ $28.83$398+0.0% of holding−8.5%+18.8%36,318Form 4 · filed 39 days after the trade
2025-10-23JOHNSON JAMES LYNNofficerPurchase3 @ $28.83$85+0.0% of holding−8.5%+18.8%100,644Form 4 · filed 39 days after the trade
2025-10-03CALLAHAN CRAIG TofficerPurchase227 @ $26.30$6K+0.4% of holding−8.0%+14.4%65,054Form 4 · filed 59 days after the trade
2025-10-03Mahon Daragh PofficerPurchase227 @ $26.30$6K+0.6% of holding−8.0%+14.4%36,304Form 4 · filed 59 days after the trade
2025-10-03DOWNING ERIC JofficerPurchase227 @ $26.30$6K+0.4% of holding−8.0%+14.4%52,955Form 4 · filed 59 days after the trade
2025-10-03JOHNSON JAMES LYNNofficerPurchase227 @ $26.30$6K+0.2% of holding−8.0%+14.4%100,641Form 4 · filed 59 days after the trade
2025-10-03MEISGEIER NATHAN JofficerPurchase227 @ $26.30$6K+0.3% of holding−8.0%+14.4%72,615Form 4 · filed 59 days after the trade
2025-10-03SCHELBLE JIM SofficerPurchase227 @ $26.30$6K+0.3% of holding−8.0%+14.4%72,604Form 4 · filed 59 days after the trade
2025-10-03LEATHERS DEREK JdirectorPurchase223 @ $26.30$6K+0.1% of holding−8.0%+14.4%257,233Form 4 · filed 59 days after the trade
2025-07-24LEATHERS DEREK JdirectorPurchase86 @ $28.63$2K+0.0% of holding+0.5%+9.0%257,011Form 4 · filed 130 days after the trade
2025-07-24SCHELBLE JIM SofficerPurchase66 @ $28.63$2K+0.1% of holding+0.5%+9.0%72,377Form 4 · filed 130 days after the trade
2025-07-24MEISGEIER NATHAN JofficerPurchase49 @ $28.63$1K+0.1% of holding+0.5%+9.0%72,388Form 4 · filed 130 days after the trade
2025-07-24DOWNING ERIC JofficerPurchase31 @ $28.63$887+0.1% of holding+0.5%+9.0%52,728Form 4 · filed 130 days after the trade
2025-07-24CALLAHAN CRAIG TofficerPurchase25 @ $28.63$714+0.0% of holding+0.5%+9.0%64,826Form 4 · filed 130 days after the trade
2025-07-24Mahon Daragh PofficerPurchase13 @ $28.63$364+0.0% of holding+0.5%+9.0%36,076Form 4 · filed 130 days after the trade
2025-07-24JOHNSON JAMES LYNNofficerPurchase2 @ $28.63$53+0.0% of holding+0.5%+9.0%100,414Form 4 · filed 130 days after the trade
2025-07-07DOWNING ERIC JofficerPurchase176 @ $29.14$5K+0.3% of holding−3.7%+3.1%52,697Form 4 · filed 147 days after the trade
2025-07-07MEISGEIER NATHAN JofficerPurchase176 @ $29.14$5K+0.2% of holding−3.7%+3.1%72,339Form 4 · filed 147 days after the trade
2025-07-07CALLAHAN CRAIG TofficerPurchase176 @ $29.14$5K+0.3% of holding−3.7%+3.1%64,802Form 4 · filed 147 days after the trade
2025-07-07JOHNSON JAMES LYNNofficerPurchase176 @ $29.14$5K+0.2% of holding−3.7%+3.1%100,412Form 4 · filed 147 days after the trade
2025-07-07Mahon Daragh PofficerPurchase176 @ $29.14$5K+0.5% of holding−3.7%+3.1%36,064Form 4 · filed 147 days after the trade
2025-07-07SCHELBLE JIM SofficerPurchase176 @ $29.14$5K+0.2% of holding−3.7%+3.1%72,311Form 4 · filed 147 days after the trade
2025-07-07LEATHERS DEREK JdirectorPurchase172 @ $29.14$5K+0.1% of holding−3.7%+3.1%256,925Form 4 · filed 147 days after the trade
2025-05-08LEATHERS DEREK JdirectorPurchase95 @ $25.48$2K+0.0% of holding−2.6%−21.4%256,752Form 4 · filed 207 days after the trade
2025-05-08SCHELBLE JIM SofficerPurchase73 @ $25.48$2K+0.1% of holding−2.6%−21.4%72,135Form 4 · filed 207 days after the trade
2025-05-08MEISGEIER NATHAN JofficerPurchase54 @ $25.48$1K+0.1% of holding−2.6%−21.4%72,163Form 4 · filed 207 days after the trade
2025-05-08DOWNING ERIC JofficerPurchase34 @ $25.48$858+0.1% of holding−2.6%−21.4%52,521Form 4 · filed 207 days after the trade
2025-05-08CALLAHAN CRAIG TofficerPurchase27 @ $25.48$686+0.0% of holding−2.6%−21.4%64,626Form 4 · filed 207 days after the trade
2025-05-08Mahon Daragh PofficerPurchase13 @ $25.48$338+0.0% of holding−2.6%−21.4%35,888Form 4 · filed 207 days after the trade
2025-05-08JOHNSON JAMES LYNNofficerPurchase1 @ $25.48$28+0.0% of holding−2.6%−21.4%100,236Form 4 · filed 207 days after the trade
2025-04-03CALLAHAN CRAIG TofficerPurchase200 @ $29.88$6K+0.3% of holding−10.6%−24.0%64,599Form 4 · filed 242 days after the trade
2025-04-03MEISGEIER NATHAN JofficerPurchase200 @ $29.88$6K+0.3% of holding−10.6%−24.0%72,109Form 4 · filed 242 days after the trade
2025-04-03DOWNING ERIC JofficerPurchase200 @ $29.88$6K+0.4% of holding−10.6%−24.0%52,487Form 4 · filed 242 days after the trade
2025-04-03Mahon Daragh PofficerPurchase200 @ $29.88$6K+0.6% of holding−10.6%−24.0%35,875Form 4 · filed 242 days after the trade
2025-04-03SCHELBLE JIM SofficerPurchase200 @ $29.88$6K+0.3% of holding−10.6%−24.0%72,062Form 4 · filed 242 days after the trade
2025-04-03JOHNSON JAMES LYNNofficerPurchase200 @ $29.88$6K+0.2% of holding−10.6%−24.0%100,235Form 4 · filed 242 days after the trade
2025-04-03LEATHERS DEREK JdirectorPurchase196 @ $29.88$6K+0.1% of holding−10.6%−24.0%256,657Form 4 · filed 242 days after the trade
2025-01-16JOHNSON JAMES LYNNofficerPurchase75 @ $36.74$3K+0.1% of holding−9.7%−31.8%100,035Form 4 · filed 319 days after the trade
2025-01-16LEATHERS DEREK JdirectorPurchase65 @ $36.74$2K+0.0% of holding−9.7%−31.8%256,461Form 4 · filed 319 days after the trade
2025-01-16SCHELBLE JIM SofficerPurchase49 @ $36.74$2K+0.1% of holding−9.7%−31.8%71,862Form 4 · filed 319 days after the trade
2025-01-16MEISGEIER NATHAN JofficerPurchase36 @ $36.74$1K+0.1% of holding−9.7%−31.8%71,909Form 4 · filed 319 days after the trade
2025-01-16DOWNING ERIC JofficerPurchase22 @ $36.74$807+0.0% of holding−9.7%−31.8%52,287Form 4 · filed 319 days after the trade
2025-01-16CALLAHAN CRAIG TofficerPurchase17 @ $36.74$636+0.0% of holding−9.7%−31.8%64,399Form 4 · filed 319 days after the trade
2025-01-16Mahon Daragh PofficerPurchase8 @ $36.74$289+0.0% of holding−9.7%−31.8%35,674Form 4 · filed 319 days after the trade
2025-01-06LEATHERS DEREK JdirectorPurchase140 @ $36.37$5K+0.1% of holding−6.5%−22.4%256,397Form 4 · filed 329 days after the trade
2025-01-06DOWNING ERIC JofficerPurchase140 @ $36.37$5K+0.3% of holding−6.5%−22.4%52,265Form 4 · filed 329 days after the trade
2025-01-06SCHELBLE JIM SofficerPurchase140 @ $36.37$5K+0.2% of holding−6.5%−22.4%71,813Form 4 · filed 329 days after the trade
2025-01-06JOHNSON JAMES LYNNofficerPurchase140 @ $36.37$5K+0.1% of holding−6.5%−22.4%99,961Form 4 · filed 329 days after the trade
2025-01-06MEISGEIER NATHAN JofficerPurchase140 @ $36.37$5K+0.2% of holding−6.5%−22.4%71,872Form 4 · filed 329 days after the trade
2025-01-06Mahon Daragh PofficerPurchase140 @ $36.37$5K+0.4% of holding−6.5%−22.4%35,667Form 4 · filed 329 days after the trade
2025-01-06CALLAHAN CRAIG TofficerPurchase140 @ $36.37$5K+0.2% of holding−6.5%−22.4%64,381Form 4 · filed 329 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

150 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-07Hoelting Paul AdirectorAward / grant2,0582,058Form 4
2026-07-27HOLMES JACK AdirectorOther acquisition2,69613,532Form 4
2026-07-13LEATHERS DEREK JdirectorOther acquisition26,25028,129Form 4
2026-07-13LEATHERS DEREK JdirectorOther acquisition59,869491,087Form 4
2026-07-13LEATHERS DEREK JdirectorOther acquisition27,60021,440Form 4
2026-07-13LEATHERS DEREK JdirectorOther acquisition6,0190Form 4
2026-05-12LIVINGSTONE MICHELLE DYEdirectorAward / grant3,02514,154Form 4
2026-05-12WELLMAN ALEXIdirectorAward / grant3,02515,963Form 4
2026-05-12Packer Martha GayledirectorAward / grant3,0256,731Form 4
2026-05-12Greene Michelle D.directorAward / grant3,02510,854Form 4
2026-05-12HOLMES JACK AdirectorAward / grant3,02516,228Form 4
2026-05-12DUREN DIANE KdirectorAward / grant3,02530,007Form 4
2026-05-12Arves Scott CdirectorAward / grant3,02517,513Form 4
2026-05-09WIKOFF CHRISTOPHER DofficerWithheld for tax1,94839,783Form 4
2026-02-23LEATHERS DEREK JdirectorWithheld for tax5,980300,656Form 4
2026-02-23MEISGEIER NATHAN JofficerWithheld for tax66479,156Form 4
2026-02-23JOHNSON JAMES LYNNofficerWithheld for tax66498,228Form 4
2026-02-23SCHELBLE JIM SofficerWithheld for tax58171,433Form 4
2026-02-23CALLAHAN CRAIG TofficerWithheld for tax58169,200Form 4
2026-02-23DOWNING ERIC JofficerWithheld for tax58155,365Form 4
2026-02-23Mahon Daragh PofficerWithheld for tax58141,056Form 4
2026-02-13LEATHERS DEREK JdirectorWithheld for tax9,911306,636Form 4
2026-02-13MEISGEIER NATHAN JofficerWithheld for tax1,41579,820Form 4
2026-02-13DOWNING ERIC JofficerWithheld for tax1,17958,792Form 4
2026-02-13WIKOFF CHRISTOPHER DofficerWithheld for tax1,17941,731Form 4
2026-02-13Mahon Daragh PofficerWithheld for tax1,06141,637Form 4
2026-02-13CALLAHAN CRAIG TofficerWithheld for tax94369,781Form 4
2026-02-13JOHNSON JAMES LYNNofficerWithheld for tax94398,892Form 4
2026-02-12CALLAHAN CRAIG TofficerAward / grant6,34070,724Form 4
2026-02-12WIKOFF CHRISTOPHER DofficerAward / grant7,92542,910Form 4
2026-02-12Mahon Daragh PofficerAward / grant7,13342,698Form 4
2026-02-12MEISGEIER NATHAN JofficerAward / grant9,51081,235Form 4
2026-02-12DOWNING ERIC JofficerAward / grant7,92559,971Form 4
2026-02-12LEATHERS DEREK JdirectorAward / grant66,572316,547Form 4
2026-02-09LEATHERS DEREK JdirectorWithheld for tax7,345249,975Form 4
2026-02-09DOWNING ERIC JofficerWithheld for tax94152,046Form 4
2026-02-09MEISGEIER NATHAN JofficerWithheld for tax94171,725Form 4
2026-02-09JOHNSON JAMES LYNNofficerWithheld for tax80999,835Form 4
2026-02-09WIKOFF CHRISTOPHER DofficerWithheld for tax80934,985Form 4
2026-02-09Mahon Daragh PofficerWithheld for tax75335,565Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.