WEN · TickerCove

WENThe Wendy's Companyas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.03 · now $7.03 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WEN has typically landed between $6.15 and $7.84 — a range of −12.6% to +11.5% from the issuance price $7.03.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.03) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$7.03 · 23% of range

$6.17 low$9.92 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.6%

typical move · IQR 9.3%

−12.6%worst (p90)+11.5%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where WEN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.03 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $7.03 (+0.0%)
typical $6.92 (-1.6%)
middle 50% $6.59–$7.25
90% range $6.15–$7.84

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−67.6%	−67.6%	+3.1%
2020-02-19	−54.0%	−67.8%	+2.7%
2020-02-14	−53.8%	−53.8%	+4.5%
3 best
2020-03-18	+146.4%	+0.0%	+146.4%
2020-03-19	+69.4%	+0.0%	+72.6%
2008-11-20	+65.0%	+0.0%	+67.2%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

39%

−0.3%

n=18

Feb

47%

+0.0%

n=19

Mar

37%

−1.1%

n=19

Apr

53%

+1.5%

n=19

May

47%

−0.5%

n=19

Jun

58%

−0.4%

n=19

Jul

37%

+0.0%

n=19

Aug

47%

+0.8%

n=19

Sep

47%

−0.7%

n=19

Oct

56%

−1.3%

n=18

Nov

61%

+4.0%

n=18

Dec

78%

+3.8%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-11-20	Suerken Peter J. JR	officer	Purchase	500 @ $7.88	$4K	+71.1% of holding	+1.8%	−18.8%	1,204	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-19	Min John	officer	Purchase	1,700 @ $8.18	$14K	+130.3% of holding	+1.8%	−13.6%	3,005	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

298 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-24	Hassan Tariq	officer	Award / grant	84,841	169,682	Form 4
2026-08-24	Hassan Tariq	officer	Award / grant	324,833	324,833	Form 4
2026-08-24	Hassan Tariq	officer	Award / grant	84,841	84,841	Form 4
2026-08-24	Hassan Tariq	officer	Award / grant	324,833	649,666	Form 4
2026-08-15	Radkoski Lindsay J.	officer	Withheld for tax	806	63,168	Form 4
2026-08-15	Radkoski Lindsay J.	officer	Option exercise	2,767	63,974	Form 4
2026-08-15	Radkoski Lindsay J.	officer	Option exercise	2,767	95,348	Form 4
2026-08-12	Wunsch E.J.	officer	Withheld for tax	16,405	126,115	Form 4
2026-08-12	Min John	officer	Withheld for tax	12,589	34,820	Form 4
2026-08-12	Esposito Liliana	officer	Withheld for tax	8,634	119,162	Form 4
2026-08-12	Radkoski Lindsay J.	officer	Withheld for tax	7,555	58,501	Form 4
2026-08-12	Spessard Matthew P	officer	Withheld for tax	6,606	29,335	Form 4
2026-08-12	Wunsch E.J.	officer	Withheld for tax	2,421	131,764	Form 4
2026-08-12	Suerken Peter J. JR	officer	Withheld for tax	2,318	6,869	Form 4
2026-08-12	Min John	officer	Withheld for tax	1,678	39,060	Form 4
2026-08-12	Esposito Liliana	officer	Withheld for tax	1,151	122,257	Form 4
2026-08-12	Radkoski Lindsay J.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,007	61,207	Form 4
2026-08-12	Spessard Matthew P	officer	Withheld for tax	881	31,505	Form 4
2026-08-12	Kale Aaron M.	officer	Withheld for tax	599	14,438	Form 4
2026-08-12	Wunsch E.J.	officer	Option exercise	8,070	179,241	Form 4
2026-08-12	Radkoski Lindsay J.	officer	Option exercise	27,878	101,828	Form 4
2026-08-12	Radkoski Lindsay J.	officer	Option exercise	3,713	98,115	Form 4
2026-08-12	Spessard Matthew P	officer	Option exercise	22,896	35,941	Form 4
2026-08-12	Spessard Matthew P	officer	Option exercise	3,051	32,386	Form 4
2026-08-12	Spessard Matthew P	officer	Option exercise	22,896	51,934	Form 4
2026-08-12	Spessard Matthew P	officer	Option exercise	3,051	48,883	Form 4
2026-08-12	Suerken Peter J. JR	officer	Option exercise	7,963	9,187	Form 4
2026-08-12	Suerken Peter J. JR	officer	Option exercise	7,963	164,514	Form 4
2026-08-12	Wunsch E.J.	officer	Option exercise	60,533	142,520	Form 4
2026-08-12	Wunsch E.J.	officer	Option exercise	8,070	134,185	Form 4
2026-08-12	Wunsch E.J.	officer	Option exercise	60,533	187,311	Form 4
2026-08-12	Radkoski Lindsay J.	officer	Option exercise	3,713	62,214	Form 4
2026-08-12	Esposito Liliana	officer	Option exercise	31,858	127,796	Form 4
2026-08-12	Esposito Liliana	officer	Option exercise	4,246	123,408	Form 4
2026-08-12	Min John	officer	Option exercise	44,404	47,409	Form 4
2026-08-12	Min John	officer	Option exercise	5,918	40,738	Form 4
2026-08-12	Min John	officer	Option exercise	44,404	101,825	Form 4
2026-08-12	Min John	officer	Option exercise	5,918	95,907	Form 4
2026-08-12	Radkoski Lindsay J.	officer	Option exercise	27,878	66,056	Form 4
2026-08-12	Esposito Liliana	officer	Option exercise	31,858	62,807	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i