WELLWelltower Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilitiesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $234.50 · now $234.50 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WELL has typically landed between $213.01 and $263.94 — a range of −9.2% to +12.6% from the issuance price $234.50.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($234.50) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where WELL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $234.5 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$213.01worst · -9.2%$263.94best · +12.6%
  • now $234.5 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $239.02 (+1.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $228.88–$249.16
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $213.01–$263.94
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−62.7%−62.7%+0.0%
2020-02-14−56.3%−56.3%+0.6%
2020-02-13−55.3%−55.3%+2.4%
3 best
2020-05-07+49.0%−9.6%+49.0%
2020-03-18+47.8%+0.0%+70.4%
2020-05-13+47.8%+0.0%+64.9%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$177.9B
market cap
$2.01
EPS (TTM)
125.4
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-27
next earnings
Revenue$10.7B
'20'25
Net income$937M
'20'25
Free cash flow$2.8B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr8.8%
'20'25
ROE · by yr2.2%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.51
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 29 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $234.50$49.68$287.39
  • DCF (intrinsic)$217.50
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 32.9× · n=29$66.07
  • Analyst target · range $215.00–$271.00$245.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$234.50

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
61%
+1.6%
n=18
Feb
53%
+0.6%
n=19
Mar
74%
+0.9%
n=19
Apr
68%
+3.3%
n=19
May
58%
+0.8%
n=19
Jun
53%
+1.7%
n=19
Jul
84%
+4.5%
n=19
Aug
68%
+1.8%
n=19
Sep
37%
−1.6%
n=19
Oct
61%
+0.9%
n=18
Nov
56%
+1.6%
n=18
Dec
56%
+0.6%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$252$1602026-08-26: 2 insider purchases, $1.2M — Gundlach Andrew …2026-08-25: 2 insider purchases, $1.2M — Gundlach Andrew …2026-08: 4 open-market purchases, $2.4M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Gundlach Andrew — Purchase on 2026-08-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Gundlach Andrew — Purchase on 2026-08-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Gundlach Andrew — Purchase on 2026-08-25, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Gundlach Andrew — Purchase on 2026-08-25, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-26Gundlach AndrewdirectorPurchase2,500 @ $242.06$605K+9.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open30,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-26Gundlach AndrewdirectorPurchase2,500 @ $242.06$605K+10.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open27,500Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-25Gundlach AndrewdirectorPurchase2,500 @ $239.47$599K+11.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open25,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-25Gundlach AndrewdirectorPurchase2,500 @ $239.47$599K+12.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open22,500Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-30Gundlach AndrewdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $151.46$1.5Mownership Δ n/a+5.5%+12.4%10,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-30Gundlach AndrewdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $151.46$1.5M+100.0% of holding+5.5%+12.4%20,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-06Burkart John F.officerSale8,854—−87.0% of holding−5.9%+18.3%1,318Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-06McHugh TimothydirectorSale13,116—−50.4% of holding−5.9%+18.3%12,884Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-06Chaudhri NikhilofficerSale1,248—−100.0% of holding−5.9%+18.3%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-06Chaudhri NikhilofficerSale1,341—−100.0% of holding−5.9%+18.3%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-06Chaudhri NikhilofficerSale1,300—−62.6% of holding−5.9%+18.3%778Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-06Chaudhri NikhilofficerSale9,227—−100.0% of holding−5.9%+18.3%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-06Burkart John F.officerSale8,854—−87.0% of holding−5.9%+18.3%1,318Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-06Mitra ShankhdirectorSale24,014—−30.2% of holding−5.9%+18.3%55,449Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-06Mcqueen Matthew GrantofficerSale8,854—−53.9% of holding−5.9%+18.3%7,565Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-06Chaudhri NikhilofficerSale1,341—−100.0% of holding−5.9%+18.3%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-06Chaudhri NikhilofficerSale1,300—−62.6% of holding−5.9%+18.3%778Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-06Chaudhri NikhilofficerSale9,227—−100.0% of holding−5.9%+18.3%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-06Chaudhri NikhilofficerSale1,248—−100.0% of holding−5.9%+18.3%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-06Mitra ShankhdirectorSale24,014—−30.2% of holding−5.9%+18.3%55,449Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-06McHugh TimothydirectorSale13,116—−50.4% of holding−5.9%+18.3%12,884Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-06Mcqueen Matthew GrantofficerSale8,854—−53.9% of holding−5.9%+18.3%7,565Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-09BACON KENNETH JdirectorSale2,200 @ $130.19$286K−15.1% of holding+0.1%+17.9%12,379Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-04-30DeSalvo Karen BdirectorSale4,000 @ $151.43$606K−26.1% of holding+3.8%+29.2%11,314Form 4 · filed 366 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

173 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-20LOPEZ DENNIS GdirectorAward / grant7318,598Form 4
2026-06-26Mitra ShankhdirectorGift3,85272,642Form 4
2026-05-31Mitra ShankhdirectorAward / grant1776,494Form 4
2026-05-27Mitra ShankhdirectorGift16276,477Form 4
2026-05-21LOPEZ DENNIS GdirectorAward / grant6318,525Form 4
2026-05-01BACON KENNETH JdirectorConversion2,62714,306Form 4
2026-05-01BACON KENNETH JdirectorConversion2,6273,591Form 4
2026-05-01BACON KENNETH JdirectorConversion2,6273,591Form 4
2026-02-26Spisso JohnesedirectorAward / grant1,05616,057Form 4
2026-02-26Rivera SergiodirectorAward / grant1,05626,611Form 4
2026-02-26DeSalvo Karen BdirectorAward / grant1,05612,370Form 4
2026-02-26LOPEZ DENNIS GdirectorAward / grant1,78718,462Form 4
2026-02-26BACON KENNETH JdirectorAward / grant1,0561,056Form 4
2026-02-26Gundlach AndrewdirectorAward / grant1,7871,787Form 4
2026-02-26Gundlach AndrewdirectorAward / grant1,7871,787Form 4
2026-02-26SULLIVAN KATHRYN MdirectorAward / grant1,0561,056Form 4
2026-02-26SULLIVAN KATHRYN MdirectorAward / grant1,0561,056Form 4
2026-02-26BACON KENNETH JdirectorAward / grant1,0561,056Form 4
2026-02-26BACON KENNETH JdirectorAward / grant1,0561,056Form 4
2026-02-26Patton Ade J.directorAward / grant1,0561,056Form 4
2026-02-26Patton Ade J.directorAward / grant1,0561,056Form 4
2026-02-26Patton Ade J.directorAward / grant1,0561,056Form 4
2026-02-26Gundlach AndrewdirectorAward / grant1,7871,787Form 4
2026-02-26Gundlach AndrewdirectorAward / grant1,7871,787Form 4
2026-02-26SULLIVAN KATHRYN MdirectorAward / grant1,0561,056Form 4
2026-02-26SULLIVAN KATHRYN MdirectorAward / grant1,0561,056Form 4
2026-02-26Patton Ade J.directorAward / grant1,0561,056Form 4
2026-02-26BACON KENNETH JdirectorAward / grant1,0561,056Form 4
2026-02-13Mcqueen Matthew GrantofficerGift54126,881Form 4
2026-02-13Chaudhri NikhilofficerAward / grant107,788107,788Form 4
2026-02-13McHugh TimothydirectorAward / grant75,26475,264Form 4
2026-02-13McHugh TimothydirectorAward / grant131,332131,332Form 4
2026-02-13McHugh TimothydirectorAward / grant206,596206,596Form 4
2026-02-13Mitra ShankhdirectorAward / grant193,535193,535Form 4
2026-02-13Mitra ShankhdirectorAward / grant276,735276,735Form 4
2026-02-13Mitra ShankhdirectorAward / grant470,270470,270Form 4
2026-02-13Fieweger JoshuaofficerAward / grant9,3819,381Form 4
2026-02-13Fieweger JoshuaofficerAward / grant1,9421,942Form 4
2026-02-13Fieweger JoshuaofficerAward / grant19,92819,928Form 4
2026-02-13Chaudhri NikhilofficerAward / grant21,50821,508Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-30$1–15K
Jonathan JacksonHousepurchase2026-03-122026-02-11$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Jefferson ShreveHousesale2025-06-222025-05-12$50–100K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-11-082024-10-11$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-11-082024-10-14$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-09-062024-08-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-05-062024-04-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-05-062024-04-26$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-02-052024-01-10$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.