Issued 2026-09-16 at $103.38 · now $103.38 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WEC has typically landed between $95.86 and $111.97 — a range of −7.3% to +8.3% from the issuance price $103.38.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($103.38) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where WEC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $103.38 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $103.38 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $104.15 (+0.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $100.58–$107.71
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $95.86–$111.97
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −30.8% | −30.8% | +2.2% |
| 2020-02-20 | −27.6% | −27.6% | +2.3% |
| 2020-02-24 | −21.2% | −30.4% | +2.9% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-23 | +36.0% | +0.0% | +41.6% |
| 2020-03-20 | +28.4% | −4.3% | +35.4% |
| 2020-03-24 | +17.7% | +0.0% | +25.1% |
4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.
Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.
iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 32 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.- DCF (intrinsic)$140.92
- Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 22.6× · n=32$113.10
- Analyst target · range $117.00–$135.00$121.50
- Current price · last close 2026-09-16$103.38
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | PAYNE ULICE JR | director | Sale | 980 @ $105.58 | $103K | −4.8% of holding | +1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,588 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Krueger Daniel | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $110.85 | $222K | −16.7% of holding | −1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,011 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Krueger Daniel | officer | Sale | 1,665 @ $111.11 | $185K | −18.5% of holding | −1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,346 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Krueger Daniel | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $110.92 | $111K | −10.0% of holding | −1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,011 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | PAYNE ULICE JR | director | Sale | 1,450 @ $114.60 | $166K | −6.6% of holding | +1.4% | −19.2% | 20,541 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Sale | 3,180 @ $115.44 | $367K | −1.1% of holding | +1.7% | −18.8% | 276,600 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $116.55 | $583K | −1.8% of holding | +3.5% | −16.0% | 276,600 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-13 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $115.50 | $578K | −1.8% of holding | +2.9% | −17.7% | 276,600 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-13 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $115.46 | $577K | −1.7% of holding | +2.9% | −17.7% | 286,600 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-13 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $115.45 | $577K | −1.7% of holding | +2.9% | −17.7% | 281,600 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-13 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $115.41 | $577K | −1.7% of holding | +2.9% | −17.7% | 291,600 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-13 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $115.38 | $577K | −1.7% of holding | +2.9% | −17.7% | 296,600 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-13 | Straka Mary Beth | officer | Sale | 2,815 @ $115.50 | $325K | −37.4% of holding | +2.9% | −17.7% | 4,707 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-09 | Lauber Scott J | director | Sale | 8,089 @ $110.70 | $895K | −10.8% of holding | +5.2% | −15.0% | 66,801 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | Erickson Joshua M | officer | Sale | 100 @ $112.47 | $11K | −3.7% of holding | −8.3% | −9.3% | 2,586 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | Garvin Robert M | officer | Sale | 13,185 @ $108.12 | $1.4M | −46.3% of holding | −2.6% | −0.6% | 15,303 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Garvin Robert M | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $107.91 | $108K | −6.1% of holding | +0.2% | +1.4% | 15,303 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-08 | Lauber Scott J | director | Sale | 7,320 @ $110.83 | $811K | −11.5% of holding | −3.8% | −7.0% | 56,443 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-08 | Lauber Scott J | director | Sale | 1,911 @ $111.05 | $212K | −2.9% of holding | −3.8% | −7.0% | 63,763 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-07 | PAYNE ULICE JR | director | Sale | 1,620 @ $111.00 | $180K | −7.4% of holding | −4.8% | −7.6% | 20,360 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-04 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Sale | 5,960 @ $110.98 | $661K | −2.1% of holding | −5.1% | −7.3% | 274,969 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-04 | Krueger Daniel | officer | Sale | 5,930 @ $111.14 | $659K | −47.3% of holding | −5.1% | −7.3% | 6,606 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-01 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $110.92 | $1.1M | −3.5% of holding | −6.0% | −11.2% | 274,969 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-01 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $110.75 | $1.1M | −3.4% of holding | −6.0% | −11.2% | 284,969 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-01 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $110.64 | $1.1M | −3.3% of holding | −6.0% | −11.2% | 294,969 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-01 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $110.49 | $552K | −1.6% of holding | −6.0% | −11.2% | 304,969 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-01 | Reese Anthony | officer | Sale | 4,177 @ $110.30 | $461K | −70.4% of holding | −6.0% | −11.2% | 1,757 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-01 | Mulroy Molly A | officer | Sale | 4,030 @ $110.33 | $445K | −40.9% of holding | −6.0% | −11.2% | 5,829 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-01 | Straka Mary Beth | officer | Sale | 2,500 @ $110.55 | $276K | −37.2% of holding | −6.0% | −11.2% | 4,219 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-20 | Erickson Joshua M | officer | Sale | 2,155 @ $107.77 | $232K | −44.5% of holding | −3.7% | −6.5% | 2,686 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | Garcia-Thomas Cristina A | director | Sale | 525 @ $103.71 | $54K | −13.8% of holding | +0.8% | −6.6% | 3,291 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $108.65 | $1.1M | −3.4% of holding | +5.0% | −9.2% | 279,955 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $108.54 | $1.1M | −3.3% of holding | +5.0% | −9.2% | 289,955 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $108.75 | $544K | −1.8% of holding | +5.0% | −9.2% | 274,955 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $107.82 | $1.1M | −3.4% of holding | +4.1% | −10.8% | 284,955 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $107.78 | $1.1M | −3.5% of holding | +4.1% | −10.8% | 274,955 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $107.74 | $1.1M | −3.3% of holding | +4.1% | −10.8% | 294,955 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $107.68 | $1.1M | −3.1% of holding | +4.1% | −10.8% | 314,955 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $107.62 | $1.1M | −3.2% of holding | +4.1% | −10.8% | 304,955 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-24 | PAYNE ULICE JR | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $104.17 | $120K | −5.0% of holding | +2.8% | −4.5% | 21,951 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
238 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Krueger Daniel | officer | Discretionary | 2,800 | 5,545 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-08 | Cunningham Danny L | director | Award / grant | 321 | 23,690 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-08 | STANEK MARY ELLEN | director | Award / grant | 310 | 54,299 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-08 | Lane Thomas K | director | Award / grant | 267 | 18,149 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Krueger Daniel | officer | Option exercise | 4,665 | 12,011 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Krueger Daniel | officer | Option exercise | 4,665 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Reese Anthony | officer | Discretionary | 951 | 1,787 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-07 | Cunningham Danny L | director | Award / grant | 319 | 23,169 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-07 | STANEK MARY ELLEN | director | Award / grant | 309 | 53,525 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-07 | Lane Thomas K | director | Award / grant | 296 | 17,728 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Hooper Michael | officer | Award / grant | 2,582 | 9,369 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Hooper Michael | officer | Withheld for tax | 424 | 7,720 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | KELSEY MARGARET C | officer | Award / grant | 657 | 6,096 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Option exercise | 3,180 | 279,780 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-23 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Option exercise | 3,180 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Option exercise | 5,000 | 281,600 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-17 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Option exercise | 5,000 | 3,180 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Option exercise | 25,000 | 301,600 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Straka Mary Beth | officer | Option exercise | 2,815 | 7,522 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | KLAPPA GALE E | director | Option exercise | 25,000 | 8,180 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Straka Mary Beth | officer | Option exercise | 2,815 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Lauber Scott J | director | Option exercise | 8,089 | 74,890 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Lauber Scott J | director | Option exercise | 8,089 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-08 | Lane Thomas K | director | Award / grant | 378 | 17,291 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-08 | Cunningham Danny L | director | Award / grant | 354 | 22,664 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-08 | STANEK MARY ELLEN | director | Award / grant | 342 | 52,785 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Lauber Scott J | director | Withheld for tax | 985 | 66,801 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Liu Xia | director | Withheld for tax | 318 | 23,548 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | KELSEY MARGARET C | officer | Withheld for tax | 166 | 12,178 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Garvin Robert M | officer | Withheld for tax | 157 | 16,661 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Mulroy Molly A | officer | Withheld for tax | 153 | 7,084 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Guc William J | officer | Withheld for tax | 61 | 8,602 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Straka Mary Beth | officer | Withheld for tax | 61 | 4,707 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Krueger Daniel | officer | Withheld for tax | 60 | 7,346 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Reese Anthony | officer | Withheld for tax | 38 | 2,038 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-05 | Erickson Joshua M | officer | Withheld for tax | 37 | 2,905 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Lauber Scott J | director | Withheld for tax | 2,894 | 67,786 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Erickson Joshua M | officer | Award / grant | 2,264 | 2,264 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Liu Xia | director | Withheld for tax | 1,086 | 23,866 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | KELSEY MARGARET C | officer | Withheld for tax | 609 | 12,344 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-02-06 | 2026-01-29 | $1–15K |
| Julie Johnson | House | sale | 2025-10-07 | 2025-09-25 | $1–15K |
| Rob Bresnahan | House | sale | 2025-05-31 | 2025-05-15 | $1–15K |
| Rob Bresnahan | House | purchase | 2025-05-08 | 2025-04-08 | $1–15K |
| John James | House | sale | 2024-09-06 | 2024-09-04 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2024-09-06 | 2024-08-02 | $1–15K |
| Jared Moskowitz | House | purchase | 2024-08-21 | 2023-07-14 | $1–15K |
| Jared Moskowitz | House | sale | 2024-08-19 | 2024-07-05 | $1–15K |
| Jared Moskowitz | House | sale | 2024-08-06 | 2024-07-01 | $1–15K |
| Jared Moskowitz | House | sale | 2024-08-06 | 2024-07-05 | $1–15K |
| Shelley Moore Capito | Senate | sale | 2022-06-12 | 2022-05-25 | $1–15K |
| Mr. Peter Meijer | House | sale | 2021-02-23 | 2021-01-28 | $1–15K |
| Mr. Peter Meijer | House | sale | 2021-02-23 | 2021-01-28 | $1–15K |
| Mr. Peter Meijer | House | sale | 2021-02-23 | 2021-01-28 | $1–15K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.