WECWEC Energy Group, Inc.Utilities · Regulated Electricas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $103.38 · now $103.38 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WEC has typically landed between $95.86 and $111.97 — a range of −7.3% to +8.3% from the issuance price $103.38.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-022026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($103.38) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where WEC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $103.38 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$95.86worst · -7.3%$111.97best · +8.3%
  • now $103.38 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $104.15 (+0.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $100.58$107.71
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $95.86$111.97
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−30.8%−30.8%+2.2%
2020-02-20−27.6%−27.6%+2.3%
2020-02-24−21.2%−30.4%+2.9%
3 best
2020-03-23+36.0%+0.0%+41.6%
2020-03-20+28.4%−4.3%+35.4%
2020-03-24+17.7%+0.0%+25.1%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-022026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$37.7B
market cap
$5.01
EPS (TTM)
23.1
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-29
next earnings
Revenue$9.8B
'20'25
Net income$1.6B
'20'25
Free cash flow−$1.0B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr15.9%
'20'25
ROE · by yr11.4%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.64
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 32 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $103.38$100.38$143.93
  • DCF (intrinsic)$140.92
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 22.6× · n=32$113.10
  • Analyst target · range $117.00$135.00$121.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$103.38

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+2.3%
n=18
Feb
42%
−1.0%
n=19
Mar
84%
+3.6%
n=19
Apr
74%
+1.9%
n=19
May
42%
−0.7%
n=19
Jun
58%
+0.1%
n=19
Jul
74%
+2.9%
n=19
Aug
58%
+1.2%
n=19
Sep
26%
−1.0%
n=19
Oct
61%
+2.0%
n=18
Nov
67%
+1.0%
n=18
Dec
44%
+0.5%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$119$1022026-08-11: 1 insider sale, $103K — PAYNE ULICE JR2026-05-19: 3 insider sales, $518K — Krueger Daniel …2026-02-24: 1 insider sale, $166K — PAYNE ULICE JR2026-02-23: 1 insider sale, $367K — KLAPPA GALE E2026-02-17: 1 insider sale, $583K — KLAPPA GALE E2026-02-13: 6 insider sales, $3.2M — KLAPPA GALE E, Straka Mary Beth …2026-02-09: 1 insider sale, $895K — Lauber Scott J2025-11-07: 1 insider sale, $11K — Erickson Joshua M2025-08-19: 1 insider sale, $1.4M — Garvin Robert M2025-08-18: 1 insider sale, $108K — Garvin Robert M2025-08: 14 open-market sales, $9.1M2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $11K2026-02: 10 open-market sales, $5.2M2026-05: 3 open-market sales, $518K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $103K↑ buys↓ salesdirector PAYNE ULICE JR — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Krueger Daniel — Sale on 2026-05-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Krueger Daniel — Sale on 2026-05-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Krueger Daniel — Sale on 2026-05-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector PAYNE ULICE JR — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 1 day after the tradedirector KLAPPA GALE E — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector KLAPPA GALE E — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector KLAPPA GALE E — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 5 days after the tradedirector KLAPPA GALE E — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 5 days after the tradedirector KLAPPA GALE E — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 5 days after the tradedirector KLAPPA GALE E — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 5 days after the tradedirector KLAPPA GALE E — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Straka Mary Beth — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Lauber Scott J — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Erickson Joshua M — Sale on 2025-11-07, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Garvin Robert M — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Garvin Robert M — Sale on 2025-08-18, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-11PAYNE ULICE JRdirectorSale980 @ $105.58$103K−4.8% of holding+1.3%not yet — horizon still open19,588Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-19Krueger DanielofficerSale2,000 @ $110.85$222K−16.7% of holding−1.4%not yet — horizon still open10,011Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-19Krueger DanielofficerSale1,665 @ $111.11$185K−18.5% of holding−1.4%not yet — horizon still open7,346Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-19Krueger DanielofficerSale1,000 @ $110.92$111K−10.0% of holding−1.4%not yet — horizon still open9,011Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-24PAYNE ULICE JRdirectorSale1,450 @ $114.60$166K−6.6% of holding+1.4%−19.2%20,541Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23KLAPPA GALE EdirectorSale3,180 @ $115.44$367K−1.1% of holding+1.7%−18.8%276,600Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17KLAPPA GALE EdirectorSale5,000 @ $116.55$583K−1.8% of holding+3.5%−16.0%276,600Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-13KLAPPA GALE EdirectorSale5,000 @ $115.50$578K−1.8% of holding+2.9%−17.7%276,600Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-13KLAPPA GALE EdirectorSale5,000 @ $115.46$577K−1.7% of holding+2.9%−17.7%286,600Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-13KLAPPA GALE EdirectorSale5,000 @ $115.45$577K−1.7% of holding+2.9%−17.7%281,600Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-13KLAPPA GALE EdirectorSale5,000 @ $115.41$577K−1.7% of holding+2.9%−17.7%291,600Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-13KLAPPA GALE EdirectorSale5,000 @ $115.38$577K−1.7% of holding+2.9%−17.7%296,600Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-13Straka Mary BethofficerSale2,815 @ $115.50$325K−37.4% of holding+2.9%−17.7%4,707Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-09Lauber Scott JdirectorSale8,089 @ $110.70$895K−10.8% of holding+5.2%−15.0%66,801Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-07Erickson Joshua MofficerSale100 @ $112.47$11K−3.7% of holding−8.3%−9.3%2,586Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-08-19Garvin Robert MofficerSale13,185 @ $108.12$1.4M−46.3% of holding−2.6%−0.6%15,303Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-18Garvin Robert MofficerSale1,000 @ $107.91$108K−6.1% of holding+0.2%+1.4%15,303Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-08Lauber Scott JdirectorSale7,320 @ $110.83$811K−11.5% of holding−3.8%−7.0%56,443Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-08Lauber Scott JdirectorSale1,911 @ $111.05$212K−2.9% of holding−3.8%−7.0%63,763Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-07PAYNE ULICE JRdirectorSale1,620 @ $111.00$180K−7.4% of holding−4.8%−7.6%20,360Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-04KLAPPA GALE EdirectorSale5,960 @ $110.98$661K−2.1% of holding−5.1%−7.3%274,969Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-04Krueger DanielofficerSale5,930 @ $111.14$659K−47.3% of holding−5.1%−7.3%6,606Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-01KLAPPA GALE EdirectorSale10,000 @ $110.92$1.1M−3.5% of holding−6.0%−11.2%274,969Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-01KLAPPA GALE EdirectorSale10,000 @ $110.75$1.1M−3.4% of holding−6.0%−11.2%284,969Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-01KLAPPA GALE EdirectorSale10,000 @ $110.64$1.1M−3.3% of holding−6.0%−11.2%294,969Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-01KLAPPA GALE EdirectorSale5,000 @ $110.49$552K−1.6% of holding−6.0%−11.2%304,969Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-01Reese AnthonyofficerSale4,177 @ $110.30$461K−70.4% of holding−6.0%−11.2%1,757Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-01Mulroy Molly AofficerSale4,030 @ $110.33$445K−40.9% of holding−6.0%−11.2%5,829Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-01Straka Mary BethofficerSale2,500 @ $110.55$276K−37.2% of holding−6.0%−11.2%4,219Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-20Erickson Joshua MofficerSale2,155 @ $107.77$232K−44.5% of holding−3.7%−6.5%2,686Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-13Garcia-Thomas Cristina AdirectorSale525 @ $103.71$54K−13.8% of holding+0.8%−6.6%3,291Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-04KLAPPA GALE EdirectorSale10,000 @ $108.65$1.1M−3.4% of holding+5.0%−9.2%279,955Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-04KLAPPA GALE EdirectorSale10,000 @ $108.54$1.1M−3.3% of holding+5.0%−9.2%289,955Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-04KLAPPA GALE EdirectorSale5,000 @ $108.75$544K−1.8% of holding+5.0%−9.2%274,955Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-03KLAPPA GALE EdirectorSale10,000 @ $107.82$1.1M−3.4% of holding+4.1%−10.8%284,955Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03KLAPPA GALE EdirectorSale10,000 @ $107.78$1.1M−3.5% of holding+4.1%−10.8%274,955Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03KLAPPA GALE EdirectorSale10,000 @ $107.74$1.1M−3.3% of holding+4.1%−10.8%294,955Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03KLAPPA GALE EdirectorSale10,000 @ $107.68$1.1M−3.1% of holding+4.1%−10.8%314,955Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03KLAPPA GALE EdirectorSale10,000 @ $107.62$1.1M−3.2% of holding+4.1%−10.8%304,955Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-24PAYNE ULICE JRdirectorSale1,150 @ $104.17$120K−5.0% of holding+2.8%−4.5%21,951Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

238 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-27Krueger DanielofficerDiscretionary2,8005,545Form 4
2026-07-08Cunningham Danny LdirectorAward / grant32123,690Form 4
2026-07-08STANEK MARY ELLENdirectorAward / grant31054,299Form 4
2026-07-08Lane Thomas KdirectorAward / grant26718,149Form 4
2026-05-19Krueger DanielofficerOption exercise4,66512,011Form 4
2026-05-19Krueger DanielofficerOption exercise4,6650Form 4
2026-05-12Reese AnthonyofficerDiscretionary9511,787Form 4
2026-04-07Cunningham Danny LdirectorAward / grant31923,169Form 4
2026-04-07STANEK MARY ELLENdirectorAward / grant30953,525Form 4
2026-04-07Lane Thomas KdirectorAward / grant29617,728Form 4
2026-04-01Hooper MichaelofficerAward / grant2,5829,369Form 4
2026-04-01Hooper MichaelofficerWithheld for tax4247,720Form 4
2026-03-04KELSEY MARGARET CofficerAward / grant6576,096Form 4
2026-02-23KLAPPA GALE EdirectorOption exercise3,180279,780Form 4
2026-02-23KLAPPA GALE EdirectorOption exercise3,1800Form 4
2026-02-17KLAPPA GALE EdirectorOption exercise5,000281,600Form 4
2026-02-17KLAPPA GALE EdirectorOption exercise5,0003,180Form 4
2026-02-13KLAPPA GALE EdirectorOption exercise25,000301,600Form 4
2026-02-13Straka Mary BethofficerOption exercise2,8157,522Form 4
2026-02-13KLAPPA GALE EdirectorOption exercise25,0008,180Form 4
2026-02-13Straka Mary BethofficerOption exercise2,8150Form 4
2026-02-09Lauber Scott JdirectorOption exercise8,08974,890Form 4
2026-02-09Lauber Scott JdirectorOption exercise8,0890Form 4
2026-01-08Lane Thomas KdirectorAward / grant37817,291Form 4
2026-01-08Cunningham Danny LdirectorAward / grant35422,664Form 4
2026-01-08STANEK MARY ELLENdirectorAward / grant34252,785Form 4
2026-01-05Lauber Scott JdirectorWithheld for tax98566,801Form 4
2026-01-05Liu XiadirectorWithheld for tax31823,548Form 4
2026-01-05KELSEY MARGARET CofficerWithheld for tax16612,178Form 4
2026-01-05Garvin Robert MofficerWithheld for tax15716,661Form 4
2026-01-05Mulroy Molly AofficerWithheld for tax1537,084Form 4
2026-01-05Guc William JofficerWithheld for tax618,602Form 4
2026-01-05Straka Mary BethofficerWithheld for tax614,707Form 4
2026-01-05Krueger DanielofficerWithheld for tax607,346Form 4
2026-01-05Reese AnthonyofficerWithheld for tax382,038Form 4
2026-01-05Erickson Joshua MofficerWithheld for tax372,905Form 4
2026-01-02Lauber Scott JdirectorWithheld for tax2,89467,786Form 4
2026-01-02Erickson Joshua MofficerAward / grant2,2642,264Form 4
2026-01-02Liu XiadirectorWithheld for tax1,08623,866Form 4
2026-01-02KELSEY MARGARET CofficerWithheld for tax60912,344Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-10-072025-09-25$1–15K
Rob BresnahanHousesale2025-05-312025-05-15$1–15K
Rob BresnahanHousepurchase2025-05-082025-04-08$1–15K
John JamesHousesale2024-09-062024-09-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-09-062024-08-02$1–15K
Jared MoskowitzHousepurchase2024-08-212023-07-14$1–15K
Jared MoskowitzHousesale2024-08-192024-07-05$1–15K
Jared MoskowitzHousesale2024-08-062024-07-01$1–15K
Jared MoskowitzHousesale2024-08-062024-07-05$1–15K
Shelley Moore CapitoSenatesale2022-06-122022-05-25$1–15K
Mr. Peter MeijerHousesale2021-02-232021-01-28$1–15K
Mr. Peter MeijerHousesale2021-02-232021-01-28$1–15K
Mr. Peter MeijerHousesale2021-02-232021-01-28$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.