Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.32 · now $7.32 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WEAV has typically landed between $5.42 and $9.28 — a range of −25.9% to +26.8% from the issuance price $7.32.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,194 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-11-11 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.32) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where WEAV has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.32 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $7.32 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.24 (-1.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.34–$8.15
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.42–$9.28
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,194 windows spanning 2021-11-11 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-02-09 | −49.7% | −49.7% | +0.0% |
| 2022-02-10 | −49.5% | −49.5% | +0.6% |
| 2022-02-15 | −48.0% | −51.9% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-05-02 | +85.4% | +0.0% | +87.1% |
| 2022-07-18 | +85.2% | +0.0% | +85.2% |
| 2023-05-03 | +80.0% | +0.0% | +83.6% |
1,194 overlapping windows · 2021-11-11 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
60%
−4.6%
n=5
Feb
20%
−9.1%
n=5
Mar
0%
−14.7%
n=5
Apr
20%
−7.3%
n=5
May
60%
+15.3%
n=5
Jun
40%
−1.4%
n=5
Jul
80%
+16.1%
n=5
Aug
80%
+6.3%
n=5
Sep
40%
−6.6%
n=5
Oct
75%
+4.3%
n=4
Nov
25%
−3.2%
n=4
Dec
80%
+11.7%
n=5
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | McNeil Joseph David | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $5.53 | $138K | −4.7% of holding | −6.4% | +16.7% | 505,721 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-22 | Goodsell Erin | officer | Sale | 9,615 @ $6.89 | $66K | −1.8% of holding | −2.7% | −29.6% | 527,055 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-05 | Newton Tyler | director | Sale | 50,993 @ $6.68 | $341K | −50.0% of holding | −5.9% | −21.6% | 50,992 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-22 | Goodsell Erin | officer | Sale | 9,541 @ $7.50 | $72K | −1.7% of holding | −12.6% | −41.5% | 544,181 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-22 | Christiansen Jason Paul | officer | Sale | 3,897 @ $7.50 | $29K | −1.2% of holding | −12.6% | −41.5% | 313,484 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | WHITE BRETT T | director | Sale | 53,953 @ $7.73 | $417K | −2.7% of holding | −14.9% | −38.4% | 1,922,071 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | McNeil Joseph David | officer | Sale | 14,236 @ $7.73 | $110K | −3.5% of holding | −14.9% | −38.4% | 394,824 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Bertilson Marcus | officer | Sale | 13,836 @ $7.73 | $107K | −3.9% of holding | −14.9% | −38.4% | 338,592 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Goodsell Erin | officer | Sale | 7,585 @ $7.73 | $59K | −1.4% of holding | −14.9% | −38.4% | 553,722 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Christiansen Jason Paul | officer | Sale | 4,131 @ $7.73 | $32K | −1.3% of holding | −14.9% | −38.4% | 317,381 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | Goodsell Erin | officer | Sale | 1,006 @ $8.02 | $8K | −0.2% of holding | −2.2% | −32.5% | 561,307 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | WHITE BRETT T | director | Sale | 28,112 @ $7.98 | $224K | −1.4% of holding | −6.2% | −35.8% | 1,976,024 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Goodsell Erin | officer | Sale | 23,350 @ $7.98 | $186K | −4.0% of holding | −6.2% | −35.8% | 562,313 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-17 | McNeil Joseph David | officer | Sale | 14,302 @ $8.53 | $122K | −3.4% of holding | −13.3% | −31.6% | 409,060 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-17 | Bertilson Marcus | officer | Sale | 11,409 @ $8.53 | $97K | −3.1% of holding | −13.3% | −31.6% | 352,093 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-17 | Christiansen Jason Paul | officer | Sale | 3,940 @ $8.48 | $33K | −1.2% of holding | −13.3% | −31.6% | 320,998 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | WHITE BRETT T | director | Sale | 53,111 @ $8.59 | $456K | −2.6% of holding | −17.1% | −35.6% | 2,004,136 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | Goodsell Erin | officer | Sale | 7,472 @ $8.59 | $64K | −1.3% of holding | −17.1% | −35.6% | 584,657 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | Christiansen Jason Paul | officer | Sale | 4,070 @ $8.59 | $35K | −1.2% of holding | −17.1% | −35.6% | 324,938 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Newton Tyler | director | Sale | 50,993 @ $10.78 | $550K | −33.3% of holding | −22.3% | −57.0% | 101,985 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | WHITE BRETT T | director | Sale | 29,137 @ $10.79 | $314K | −1.4% of holding | −22.3% | −57.0% | 2,057,247 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Goodsell Erin | officer | Sale | 24,025 @ $10.79 | $259K | −3.9% of holding | −22.3% | −57.0% | 592,129 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Neish Branden | officer | Sale | 16,928 @ $11.00 | $186K | −3.2% of holding | −18.0% | −59.3% | 509,083 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-28 | WHITE BRETT T | director | Sale | 54,051 @ $10.23 | $553K | −2.5% of holding | −13.8% | −58.2% | 2,086,384 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-28 | Neish Branden | officer | Sale | 20,232 @ $10.23 | $207K | −3.7% of holding | −13.8% | −58.2% | 526,011 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-20 | Neish Branden | officer | Sale | 18,665 @ $11.32 | $211K | −4.0% of holding | −14.6% | −53.0% | 442,243 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-19 | Taylor Alan | officer | Sale | 39,498 @ $11.39 | $450K | −16.0% of holding | −12.9% | −51.2% | 207,986 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-19 | Bertilson Marcus | officer | Sale | 27,599 @ $11.33 | $313K | −10.0% of holding | −12.9% | −51.2% | 248,502 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-19 | Neish Branden | officer | Sale | 25,510 @ $11.33 | $289K | −5.2% of holding | −12.9% | −51.2% | 460,908 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-19 | Goodsell Erin | officer | Sale | 19,917 @ $11.33 | $226K | −3.7% of holding | −12.9% | −51.2% | 522,154 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-18 | McNeil Joseph David | officer | Sale | 51,638 @ $11.16 | $577K | −14.8% of holding | −9.8% | −49.1% | 298,362 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-18 | Taylor Alan | officer | Sale | 31,262 @ $11.16 | $349K | −11.2% of holding | −9.8% | −49.1% | 247,484 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-17 | WHITE BRETT T | director | Sale | 109,722 @ $11.26 | $1.2M | −5.8% of holding | −11.0% | −50.3% | 1,790,435 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-14 | Taylor Alan | officer | Sale | 794 @ $11.18 | $9K | −0.3% of holding | −12.2% | −49.1% | 278,746 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-13 | Taylor Alan | officer | Sale | 796 @ $11.28 | $9K | −0.3% of holding | −10.3% | −50.1% | 279,540 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-19 | Goodsell Erin | officer | Sale | 15,801 @ $17.10 | $270K | −2.8% of holding | −23.9% | −59.8% | 542,071 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-18 | Modersitzki Blake G | director | Sale | 69,972 @ $17.49 | $1.2M | −2.6% of holding | −25.6% | −61.3% | 2,620,112 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-18 | WHITE BRETT T | director | Sale | 28,207 @ $17.36 | $490K | −1.5% of holding | −25.6% | −61.3% | 1,900,157 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-18 | Goodsell Erin | officer | Sale | 24,364 @ $17.36 | $423K | −4.2% of holding | −25.6% | −61.3% | 560,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-18 | Modersitzki Blake G | director | Sale | 4,784 @ $17.49 | $84K | −2.6% of holding | −25.6% | −61.3% | 179,153 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-18 | Goodsell Erin | officer | Sale | 2,128 @ $17.51 | $37K | −0.4% of holding | −25.6% | −61.3% | 557,872 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-18 | Neish Branden | officer | Sale | 1,100 @ $17.51 | $19K | −0.2% of holding | −25.6% | −61.3% | 486,418 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | Modersitzki Blake G | director | Sale | 39,303 @ $17.48 | $687K | −1.4% of holding | −27.9% | −60.1% | 2,690,084 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | Goodsell Erin | officer | Sale | 9,310 @ $17.52 | $163K | −1.6% of holding | −27.9% | −60.1% | 584,364 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | Neish Branden | officer | Sale | 5,091 @ $17.51 | $89K | −1.0% of holding | −27.9% | −60.1% | 487,518 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | Modersitzki Blake G | director | Sale | 2,688 @ $17.48 | $47K | −1.4% of holding | −27.9% | −60.1% | 183,937 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | Taylor Alan | officer | Sale | 801 @ $17.28 | $14K | −0.3% of holding | −27.9% | −60.1% | 280,336 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-13 | Taylor Alan | officer | Sale | 789 @ $17.01 | $13K | −0.3% of holding | −26.8% | −61.2% | 281,137 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | Modersitzki Blake G | director | Sale | 20,711 @ $17.45 | $361K | −0.8% of holding | −27.5% | −60.4% | 2,729,387 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-11 | Modersitzki Blake G | director | Sale | 1,417 @ $17.45 | $25K | −0.8% of holding | −27.5% | −60.4% | 186,625 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-02-10 | Modersitzki Blake G | director | Sale | 5,831 @ $17.45 | $102K | −0.2% of holding | −26.8% | −63.1% | 2,750,098 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-10 | Modersitzki Blake G | director | Sale | 399 @ $17.45 | $7K | −0.2% of holding | −26.8% | −63.1% | 188,042 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-07 | Modersitzki Blake G | director | Sale | 5,134 @ $17.45 | $90K | −0.2% of holding | −26.3% | −63.4% | 2,755,929 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-07 | Modersitzki Blake G | director | Sale | 351 @ $17.45 | $6K | −0.2% of holding | −26.3% | −63.4% | 188,441 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-31 | Modersitzki Blake G | director | Sale | 96,989 @ $16.53 | $1.6M | −3.4% of holding | −21.5% | −61.6% | 2,761,063 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-31 | Modersitzki Blake G | director | Sale | 6,631 @ $16.53 | $110K | −3.4% of holding | −21.5% | −61.6% | 188,792 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-30 | Modersitzki Blake G | director | Sale | 56,126 @ $16.51 | $927K | −1.9% of holding | −22.7% | −61.7% | 2,858,052 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-30 | Modersitzki Blake G | director | Sale | 3,838 @ $16.51 | $63K | −1.9% of holding | −22.7% | −61.7% | 195,423 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-29 | Modersitzki Blake G | director | Sale | 38,289 @ $16.47 | $631K | −1.3% of holding | −22.1% | −61.3% | 2,914,178 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-29 | Modersitzki Blake G | director | Sale | 2,618 @ $16.47 | $43K | −1.3% of holding | −22.1% | −61.3% | 199,261 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
61 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | WHITE BRETT T | director | Withheld for tax | 34,793 | 2,885,156 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | McNeil Joseph David | officer | Withheld for tax | 19,140 | 733,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Bertilson Marcus | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,762 | 736,821 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Christiansen Jason Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,826 | 714,929 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Christiansen Jason Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,761 | 715,733 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | WHITE BRETT T | director | Withheld for tax | 34,793 | 2,919,949 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | McNeil Joseph David | officer | Withheld for tax | 19,140 | 752,340 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bertilson Marcus | officer | Withheld for tax | 11,782 | 744,561 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Christiansen Jason Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,828 | 724,494 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | McDermott Adrian | director | Award / grant | 32,502 | 76,249 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Newton Tyler | director | Award / grant | 32,502 | 124,677 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Scanlon George P | director | Award / grant | 32,502 | 153,681 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Silverman David Richard | director | Award / grant | 32,502 | 125,106 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | TOMLIN DEBORA B | director | Award / grant | 32,502 | 124,677 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Harvey Stuart C. JR | director | Award / grant | 32,502 | 127,337 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-27 | WHITE BRETT T | director | Award / grant | 600,000 | 2,954,742 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-27 | WHITE BRETT T | director | Award / grant | 600,000 | 2,354,742 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Christiansen Jason Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 35,077 | 726,322 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-30 | Dubin Ryan | director | Award / grant | 68,752 | 68,752 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-28 | Robson Herbert Edward II | director | Award / grant | 68,752 | 68,752 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Bertilson Marcus | officer | Award / grant | 300,000 | 756,343 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Christiansen Jason Paul | officer | Award / grant | 300,000 | 761,399 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | McNeil Joseph David | officer | Award / grant | 300,000 | 771,480 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | WHITE BRETT T | director | Withheld for tax | 117,573 | 1,754,742 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | McNeil Joseph David | officer | Withheld for tax | 34,241 | 471,480 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Bertilson Marcus | officer | Withheld for tax | 19,849 | 455,038 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Christiansen Jason Paul | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,006 | 459,478 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Waltman Tyler Otis | officer | Award / grant | 150,000 | 150,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-16 | Christiansen Jason Paul | officer | Award / grant | 150,000 | 463,484 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-16 | McNeil Joseph David | officer | Award / grant | 150,000 | 530,721 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-16 | Bertilson Marcus | officer | Award / grant | 150,000 | 474,887 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | WHITE BRETT T | director | Withheld for tax | 49,756 | 1,872,315 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | McNeil Joseph David | officer | Withheld for tax | 14,103 | 380,721 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Bertilson Marcus | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,705 | 324,887 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Goodsell Erin | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,511 | 536,670 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-01 | McDermott Adrian | director | Award / grant | 43,747 | 43,747 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-21 | Harvey Stuart C. JR | director | Award / grant | 18,078 | 94,835 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-21 | Scanlon George P | director | Award / grant | 18,078 | 121,179 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-21 | CROSSLINK CAPITAL INC | tenPercentOwner | Award / grant | 1,401 | 719,004 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-21 | CROSSLINK CAPITAL INC | tenPercentOwner | Award / grant | 16,677 | 6,376,270 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.