WDFCWD-40 CompanyBasic Materials · Chemicals - Specialtyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $189.65 · now $189.65 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WDFC has typically landed between $168.85 and $217.57 — a range of −11.0% to +14.7% from the issuance price $189.65.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($189.65) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where WDFC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $189.65 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$168.85worst · -11.0%$217.57best · +14.7%
  • now $189.65 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $189.22 (-0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $178.81–$199.62
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $168.85–$217.57
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−29.1%−29.1%+0.6%
2008-09-18−28.9%−29.7%+0.0%
2008-09-25−26.6%−26.6%+0.2%
3 best
2020-09-30+34.4%−1.0%+34.4%
2020-10-16+33.8%−1.1%+33.8%
2020-10-19+33.7%+0.0%+35.3%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
40%
+0.8%
n=20
Feb
55%
+0.2%
n=20
Mar
55%
+1.0%
n=20
Apr
40%
−1.7%
n=20
May
55%
+1.3%
n=20
Jun
70%
+2.4%
n=20
Jul
55%
+3.8%
n=20
Aug
65%
+0.0%
n=20
Sep
40%
−0.7%
n=20
Oct
50%
+2.9%
n=20
Nov
70%
+2.3%
n=20
Dec
50%
+1.2%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$264$1852026-08-13: 1 insider sale, $47K — Olsem Patricia Q2026-08-10: 1 insider sale, $70K — Olsem Patricia Q2026-02-05: 1 insider purchase, $105K — PENDARVIS DAVID2025-10-30: 2 insider purchases, $200K — PENDARVIS DAVID, Etchart Eric2025-10-28: 3 insider purchases, $124K — Brass Steven A, HYZER SARA KATHLEEN, KIAMILEV PHENIX Q.2025-10-27: 1 insider purchase, $199K — CARTER DANIEL T2025-10: 6 open-market purchases, $523K2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $105K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $117K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Olsem Patricia Q — Sale on 2026-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Olsem Patricia Q — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector PENDARVIS DAVID — Purchase on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector PENDARVIS DAVID — Purchase on 2025-10-30, filed same daydirector Etchart Eric — Purchase on 2025-10-30, filed same daydirector Brass Steven A — Purchase on 2025-10-28, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer HYZER SARA KATHLEEN — Purchase on 2025-10-28, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer KIAMILEV PHENIX Q. — Purchase on 2025-10-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CARTER DANIEL T — Purchase on 2025-10-27, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-13Olsem Patricia QofficerSale200 @ $234.72$47K−4.2% of holding−14.5%not yet — horizon still open4,574Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10Olsem Patricia QofficerSale300 @ $233.73$70K−5.9% of holding−13.4%not yet — horizon still open4,774Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-05PENDARVIS DAVIDdirectorPurchase424 @ $247.15$105K+6.5% of holding−9.1%−21.0%6,898Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-30PENDARVIS DAVIDdirectorPurchase523 @ $196.37$103K+9.8% of holding+1.7%+0.3%5,862Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-30Etchart EricdirectorPurchase500 @ $194.02$97K+6.4% of holding+1.7%+0.3%8,370Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-28Brass Steven AdirectorPurchase362 @ $200.46$73K+1.1% of holding−1.5%−0.3%33,761Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-28HYZER SARA KATHLEENofficerPurchase200 @ $200.46$40K+3.5% of holding−1.5%−0.3%5,935Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-28KIAMILEV PHENIX Q.officerPurchase55 @ $200.46$11K+1.3% of holding−1.5%−0.3%4,303Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-27CARTER DANIEL TdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $199.37$199K+16.1% of holding+1.3%+5.9%7,205Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-11HYZER SARA KATHLEENofficerPurchase256 @ $222.83$57K+6.7% of holding−1.5%−37.4%4,072Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

88 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-02-18Plunk Ken AllendirectorAward / grant515515Form 4
2026-02-18Plunk Ken AllendirectorAward / grant515515Form 4
2025-12-12Etchart EricdirectorAward / grant3679,349Form 4
2025-12-12Burks CynthiadirectorAward / grant6121,903Form 4
2025-12-12Monteagudo GracieladirectorAward / grant6122,873Form 4
2025-12-12Saunders AnnedirectorAward / grant6123,363Form 4
2025-12-12PENDARVIS DAVIDdirectorAward / grant6126,474Form 4
2025-12-12Magee Edward O JrdirectorAward / grant6122,613Form 4
2025-12-12Saunders AnnedirectorAward / grant6123,363Form 4
2025-12-12PENDARVIS DAVIDdirectorAward / grant6126,474Form 4
2025-12-12Lee Lara LdirectorAward / grant6122,503Form 4
2025-12-12Magee Edward O JrdirectorAward / grant6122,613Form 4
2025-12-12Monteagudo GracieladirectorAward / grant6122,873Form 4
2025-12-12Etchart EricdirectorAward / grant6128,982Form 4
2025-12-12Etchart EricdirectorAward / grant3679,349Form 4
2025-12-12Lee Lara LdirectorAward / grant6122,503Form 4
2025-12-12Burks CynthiadirectorAward / grant6121,903Form 4
2025-12-12CARTER DANIEL TdirectorAward / grant6127,817Form 4
2025-12-12CARTER DANIEL TdirectorAward / grant6127,817Form 4
2025-12-12Etchart EricdirectorAward / grant6128,982Form 4
2025-10-27LINDEMAN JEFFREY GofficerWithheld for tax2944,900Form 4
2025-10-27NOBLE WILLIAM BofficerWithheld for tax2587,741Form 4
2025-10-27NOBLE WILLIAM BofficerWithheld for tax3168,097Form 4
2025-10-27Olsem Patricia QofficerWithheld for tax3355,475Form 4
2025-10-27Olsem Patricia QofficerWithheld for tax4015,074Form 4
2025-10-27Olsem Patricia QofficerWithheld for tax3355,475Form 4
2025-10-27Olsem Patricia QofficerWithheld for tax4015,074Form 4
2025-10-27NOBLE WILLIAM BofficerWithheld for tax2587,741Form 4
2025-10-27NOBLE WILLIAM BofficerWithheld for tax3168,097Form 4
2025-10-27LINDEMAN JEFFREY GofficerWithheld for tax2605,194Form 4
2025-10-27LINDEMAN JEFFREY GofficerWithheld for tax2605,194Form 4
2025-10-27Brass Steven AdirectorWithheld for tax2,38035,371Form 4
2025-10-27LINDEMAN JEFFREY GofficerWithheld for tax2944,900Form 4
2025-10-27Brass Steven AdirectorWithheld for tax1,97233,399Form 4
2025-10-27HYZER SARA KATHLEENofficerWithheld for tax5336,190Form 4
2025-10-27HYZER SARA KATHLEENofficerWithheld for tax4555,735Form 4
2025-10-27KIAMILEV PHENIX Q.officerWithheld for tax2674,542Form 4
2025-10-27KIAMILEV PHENIX Q.officerWithheld for tax2944,248Form 4
2025-10-27HYZER SARA KATHLEENofficerWithheld for tax4555,735Form 4
2025-10-27HYZER SARA KATHLEENofficerWithheld for tax5336,190Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.