Issued 2026-09-16 at $187.76 · now $187.76 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WDAY has typically landed between $157.73 and $223.17 — a range of −16.0% to +18.9% from the issuance price $187.76.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,441 overlapping 1 month windows · 2012-12-10 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($187.76) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where WDAY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $187.76 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $187.76 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $186.77 (-0.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $173.8–$199.74
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $157.73–$223.17
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,441 windows spanning 2012-12-10 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −42.9% | −42.9% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-13 | −38.3% | −38.3% | +2.4% |
| 2020-02-14 | −37.0% | −39.0% | +1.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-07-23 | +56.4% | +0.0% | +61.5% |
| 2026-07-22 | +49.0% | −3.4% | +55.9% |
| 2016-02-08 | +48.8% | −0.1% | +51.7% |
3,441 overlapping windows · 2012-12-10 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.
$35.5B
market cap
$3.20
EPS (TTM)
42.3
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-20
next earnings
Revenue$9.6B
'21'26
Net income$693M
'21'26
Free cash flow$2.8B
'21'26
Net margin · by yr7.3%
'21'26
ROE · by yr8.9%
'21'26
Debt / equity · by yr0.49
'21'26
Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.
iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 80 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.- DCF (intrinsic)$129.96
- Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 34.2× · n=80$109.46
- Analyst target · range $135.00–$275.00$170.00
- Current price · last close 2026-09-16$187.76
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~14 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
57%
+2.6%
n=14
Feb
64%
+1.2%
n=14
Mar
50%
−0.8%
n=14
Apr
43%
−1.4%
n=14
May
64%
+1.7%
n=14
Jun
43%
−0.8%
n=14
Jul
64%
+4.7%
n=14
Aug
86%
+8.5%
n=14
Sep
21%
−3.7%
n=14
Oct
38%
+1.5%
n=13
Nov
62%
+5.0%
n=13
Dec
31%
−2.5%
n=13
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 27,883 @ $184.33 | $5.1M | −13.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 177,946 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 24,465 @ $186.26 | $4.6M | −15.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 129,930 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 23,551 @ $184.98 | $4.4M | −13.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 154,395 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 22,388 @ $187.05 | $4.2M | −17.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 107,542 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,493 @ $187.75 | $468K | −2.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 105,049 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 31,605 @ $198.11 | $6.3M | −18.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 144,152 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 30,048 @ $198.87 | $6.0M | −20.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 114,104 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 13,666 @ $195.81 | $2.7M | −7.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 181,998 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 7,631 @ $199.91 | $1.5M | −6.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 106,473 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 6,241 @ $196.73 | $1.2M | −3.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 175,757 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 600 @ $204.05 | $122K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 105,049 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 600 @ $201.75 | $121K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 105,649 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 224 @ $200.59 | $45K | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 106,249 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 36,729 @ $198.29 | $7.3M | −18.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 159,245 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 35,196 @ $199.01 | $7.0M | −22.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 124,049 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 6,199 @ $203.40 | $1.3M | −5.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 107,049 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 4,800 @ $200.14 | $961K | −3.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 119,249 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 4,100 @ $201.40 | $826K | −3.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 115,149 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 4,036 @ $197.38 | $797K | −2.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 195,974 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,900 @ $204.28 | $388K | −1.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 105,149 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,901 @ $202.40 | $385K | −1.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 113,248 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100 @ $204.92 | $20K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 105,049 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-10 | Garfield Mark S. | officer | Sale | 918 @ $142.19 | $131K | −1.2% of holding | +30.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 73,718 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-09 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 39,133 @ $137.19 | $5.4M | −23.7% of holding | +27.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 125,859 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-09 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 27,858 @ $136.41 | $3.8M | −14.4% of holding | +27.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 164,992 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-09 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 20,710 @ $138.34 | $2.9M | −16.5% of holding | +27.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 105,149 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-09 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 14,299 @ $135.48 | $1.9M | −6.9% of holding | +27.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 192,850 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-09 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,800 @ $132.07 | $238K | −0.9% of holding | +27.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 209,349 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-09 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,700 @ $133.12 | $226K | −0.8% of holding | +27.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 207,649 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-09 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,400 @ $130.63 | $183K | −0.7% of holding | +27.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 211,149 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-09 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 500 @ $134.01 | $67K | −0.2% of holding | +27.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 207,149 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-09 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100 @ $138.98 | $14K | −0.1% of holding | +27.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 105,049 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | Rowe Zane | director | Sale | 2,731 @ $143.99 | $393K | −0.9% of holding | +15.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 289,160 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-07 | Rowe Zane | director | Sale | 2,569 @ $143.06 | $368K | −0.9% of holding | +15.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 291,891 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-07 | Kazmaier Gerrit S | officer | Sale | 1,388 @ $143.82 | $200K | −0.5% of holding | +15.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 266,688 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-07 | Kazmaier Gerrit S | officer | Sale | 1,040 @ $142.96 | $149K | −0.4% of holding | +15.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 268,076 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-07 | Rowe Zane | director | Sale | 700 @ $144.93 | $101K | −0.2% of holding | +15.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 288,460 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-07 | Kazmaier Gerrit S | officer | Sale | 300 @ $144.96 | $43K | −0.1% of holding | +15.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 266,388 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-06 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 43,583 @ $137.75 | $6.0M | −29.3% of holding | +21.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 105,149 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 15,869 @ $136.90 | $2.2M | −9.6% of holding | +21.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 148,732 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 13,550 @ $130.81 | $1.8M | −6.4% of holding | +21.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 196,893 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 11,348 @ $131.79 | $1.5M | −5.8% of holding | +21.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 185,545 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 7,953 @ $132.73 | $1.1M | −4.3% of holding | +21.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 177,592 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 7,098 @ $134.65 | $956K | −4.1% of holding | +21.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 168,018 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 3,417 @ $135.80 | $464K | −2.0% of holding | +21.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 164,601 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,476 @ $133.99 | $332K | −1.4% of holding | +21.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 175,116 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,106 @ $129.82 | $273K | −1.0% of holding | +21.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 210,443 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-06 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100 @ $138.30 | $14K | −0.1% of holding | +21.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 105,049 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-05 | Enslin Robert | officer | Sale | 2,021 @ $137.21 | $277K | −0.8% of holding | +20.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 239,814 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-05 | Enslin Robert | officer | Sale | 869 @ $130.86 | $114K | −0.4% of holding | +20.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 243,901 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-05 | Enslin Robert | officer | Sale | 731 @ $132.53 | $97K | −0.3% of holding | +20.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 243,170 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-05 | Enslin Robert | officer | Sale | 593 @ $134.56 | $80K | −0.2% of holding | +20.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 242,295 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-05 | Enslin Robert | officer | Sale | 460 @ $136.07 | $63K | −0.2% of holding | +20.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 241,835 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-05 | Enslin Robert | officer | Sale | 345 @ $138.00 | $48K | −0.1% of holding | +20.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 239,469 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-05 | Enslin Robert | officer | Sale | 282 @ $133.42 | $38K | −0.1% of holding | +20.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 242,888 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-05 | Enslin Robert | officer | Sale | 73 @ $129.49 | $9K | −0.0% of holding | +20.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 244,770 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 53,176 @ $122.17 | $6.5M | −28.0% of holding | +29.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 136,403 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 31,354 @ $122.73 | $3.8M | −23.0% of holding | +29.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 105,049 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 16,870 @ $121.06 | $2.0M | −8.2% of holding | +29.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 189,579 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-30 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 6,100 @ $120.00 | $732K | −2.9% of holding | +29.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 206,449 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
102 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 100,780 | 36,167,478 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 100,780 | 205,829 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Kazmaier Gerrit S | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,369 | 263,019 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Rowe Zane | director | Withheld for tax | 2,808 | 285,652 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-05 | Enslin Robert | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,228 | 237,241 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 90,615 | 195,664 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 90,615 | 36,268,258 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 94,961 | 36,358,873 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 94,961 | 200,010 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-09 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 107,500 | 212,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-09 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 107,500 | 36,453,834 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 107,500 | 36,561,334 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 107,500 | 212,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-05 | Kazmaier Gerrit S | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,976 | 269,116 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-05 | BHUSRI ANEEL | director | Withheld for tax | 8,501 | 1,000,552 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-05 | Rowe Zane | director | Withheld for tax | 7,953 | 294,460 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-05 | Sauer Richard Harry | officer | Withheld for tax | 6,782 | 174,743 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-05 | Enslin Robert | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,634 | 244,843 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-05 | Garfield Mark S. | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,490 | 74,636 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 107,500 | 212,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 107,500 | 36,668,834 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 107,500 | 212,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 107,500 | 36,776,334 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-22 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 107,500 | 212,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-22 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 107,500 | 36,883,834 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 107,500 | 36,991,334 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-17 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 107,500 | 212,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | YANG JERRY | director | Award / grant | 3,116 | 100,840 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | BOGAN THOMAS F | director | Award / grant | 3,076 | 51,830 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Doughtie Lynne M | director | Award / grant | 2,366 | 14,041 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Centoni Elizabeth | director | Award / grant | 2,366 | 6,564 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Speiser Michael L | director | Award / grant | 2,879 | 9,236 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | STILL GEORGE J JR | director | Award / grant | 3,116 | 48,893 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | MORRIS RHONDA J | director | Award / grant | 2,366 | 6,554 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | MCNAMARA MICHAEL M | director | Award / grant | 2,366 | 26,444 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Frederick Wayne A.I. | director | Award / grant | 2,366 | 10,547 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Hawkins Mark J | director | Award / grant | 2,366 | 11,653 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 107,500 | 212,549 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 107,500 | 37,098,834 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | DUFFIELD DAVID A | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 107,500 | 212,549 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Armstrong | Senate | purchase | 2026-07-21 | 2026-03-27 | $1–15K |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | sale | 2026-07-02 | 2026-06-05 | $15–50K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-06-09 | 2026-05-27 | $1–15K |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | sale | 2026-06-08 | 2026-05-29 | $15–50K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-05-11 | 2026-04-13 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-05-11 | 2026-04-24 | $1–15K |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | sale | 2026-05-08 | 2026-04-14 | $1–15K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | purchase | 2026-05-04 | 2026-04-23 | $1–15K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | purchase | 2026-05-04 | 2026-04-20 | $1–15K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | purchase | 2026-05-04 | 2026-04-28 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-04-07 | 2026-03-23 | $1–15K |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | purchase | 2026-04-07 | 2026-03-13 | $1–15K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | purchase | 2026-03-10 | 2026-02-27 | $1–15K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2026-03-10 | 2026-02-10 | $1–15K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.