WDWalker & Dunlop, Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $39.27 · now $39.27 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WD has typically landed between $32.57 and $45.62 — a range of −17.1% to +16.2% from the issuance price $39.27.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,928 overlapping 1 month windows · 2010-12-15 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($39.27) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where WD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $39.27 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$32.57worst · -17.1%$45.62best · +16.2%
  • now $39.27 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $38.61 (-1.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $35.88–$41.35
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $32.57–$45.62
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,928 windows spanning 2010-12-15 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-03-05−62.8%−62.8%+0.0%
2020-03-06−57.4%−62.1%+0.0%
2020-03-04−55.5%−55.5%+0.0%
3 best
2020-04-03+48.5%+0.0%+64.0%
2020-05-13+46.0%+0.0%+56.7%
2020-05-15+45.0%+0.0%+46.2%

3,928 overlapping windows · 2010-12-15 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~16 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+0.9%
n=16
Feb
50%
+2.6%
n=16
Mar
44%
−2.2%
n=16
Apr
38%
−0.9%
n=16
May
56%
+1.9%
n=16
Jun
63%
+3.1%
n=16
Jul
56%
+2.7%
n=16
Aug
50%
−1.5%
n=16
Sep
50%
−0.1%
n=16
Oct
60%
+2.9%
n=15
Nov
67%
+6.9%
n=15
Dec
40%
+1.7%
n=15

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$84$392026-03-18: 1 insider purchase, $46K — SCHMALTZ DANA L2026-03-05: 1 insider purchase, $246K — FREEDMAN ERNEST MICHAEL2026-03-03: 1 insider purchase, $23K — Wells Donna2026-03-02: 1 insider purchase, $475K — Walker William M2025-08-29: 1 insider sale, $460K — Pryor Paula A.2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $460K2026-03: 4 open-market purchases, $790K↑ buys↓ salesdirector SCHMALTZ DANA L — Purchase on 2026-03-18, filed 2 days after the tradedirector FREEDMAN ERNEST MICHAEL — Purchase on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Wells Donna — Purchase on 2026-03-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Walker William M — Purchase on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Pryor Paula A. — Sale on 2025-08-29, filed 5 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-03-18SCHMALTZ DANA LdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $45.78$46K+1.2% of holding+4.2%not yet — horizon still open84,325Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-05FREEDMAN ERNEST MICHAELdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $49.21$246K+455.8% of holding−6.3%not yet — horizon still open6,097Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-03Wells DonnadirectorPurchase500 @ $46.96$23K+10.5% of holding−4.3%not yet — horizon still open5,277Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Walker William MdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $47.46$475K+2.1% of holding−0.5%not yet — horizon still open488,948Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-29Pryor Paula A.officerSale5,336 @ $86.20$460K−36.4% of holding−5.2%−48.2%9,341Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-03-06Walker William MdirectorPurchase15,611 @ $86.14$1.3M+4.0% of holding+2.4%−10.1%409,382Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-06Walker William MdirectorPurchase1,889 @ $86.80$164K+0.5% of holding+2.4%−10.1%411,271Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

138 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-03Florkowski GregoryofficerAward / grant85333Form 4
2026-09-03Walker William MdirectorAward / grant50242Form 4
2026-09-03THEOBALD STEPHEN PofficerAward / grant1511,707Form 4
2026-09-03Pryor Paula A.officerAward / grant52207Form 4
2026-09-03Groman Daniel JofficerAward / grant123506Form 4
2026-06-04Pryor Paula A.officerAward / grant41156Form 4
2026-06-04Walker William MdirectorAward / grant40192Form 4
2026-06-04Florkowski GregoryofficerAward / grant68248Form 4
2026-06-04Groman Daniel JofficerAward / grant98383Form 4
2026-06-04THEOBALD STEPHEN PofficerAward / grant1211,556Form 4
2026-05-19SCHMALTZ DANA LdirectorAward / grant2,4772,477Form 4
2026-05-19Hayward Jeffery RdirectorAward / grant3,0966,712Form 4
2026-05-19FREEDMAN ERNEST MICHAELdirectorAward / grant3,0969,193Form 4
2026-05-19Levy EllendirectorAward / grant3,0963,096Form 4
2026-05-19Pinkus Gary SdirectorAward / grant3,0963,096Form 4
2026-05-19Wells DonnadirectorAward / grant3,0963,096Form 4
2026-05-19Rice E. John JrdirectorAward / grant3,09636,397Form 4
2026-05-19SCHMALTZ DANA LdirectorAward / grant3,09687,421Form 4
2026-03-27THEOBALD STEPHEN PofficerAward / grant1431,435Form 4
2026-03-27Pryor Paula A.officerAward / grant49114Form 4
2026-03-27Florkowski GregoryofficerAward / grant80180Form 4
2026-03-27Groman Daniel JofficerAward / grant116285Form 4
2026-03-27Walker William MdirectorAward / grant47152Form 4
2026-03-13SCHMALTZ DANA LdirectorOption exercise1,1050Form 4
2026-03-13SCHMALTZ DANA LdirectorOption exercise1,10583,325Form 4
2026-03-13Wells DonnadirectorOption exercise1,3810Form 4
2026-03-13Wells DonnadirectorOption exercise1,3816,658Form 4
2026-02-13Walker William MdirectorWithheld for tax9,940478,948Form 4
2026-02-13THEOBALD STEPHEN PofficerWithheld for tax3,27381,551Form 4
2026-02-13Florkowski GregoryofficerWithheld for tax2,88337,862Form 4
2026-02-13Pryor Paula A.officerWithheld for tax2,16915,254Form 4
2026-02-13Groman Daniel JofficerWithheld for tax1,47122,305Form 4
2026-02-13Florkowski GregoryofficerAward / grant2,7462,746Form 4
2026-02-13Florkowski GregoryofficerAward / grant12,12440,745Form 4
2026-02-13Florkowski GregoryofficerAward / grant5,4925,492Form 4
2026-02-13THEOBALD STEPHEN PofficerAward / grant16,97384,824Form 4
2026-02-13Groman Daniel JofficerAward / grant8,08223,776Form 4
2026-02-13Groman Daniel JofficerAward / grant6,4666,466Form 4
2026-02-13Groman Daniel JofficerAward / grant3,2333,233Form 4
2026-02-13Pryor Paula A.officerAward / grant8,08217,423Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.