WBS · TickerCove

WBSWebster Financial CorporationFinancial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-08-28

Horizon

Issued 2026-08-28 at $77.57 · now $77.57 (2026-08-19, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-08-28 close, WBS has typically landed between $67.04 and $91.28 — a range of −13.6% to +17.7% from the issuance price $77.57.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,984 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-07-21 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.8–56.2%, ≈1,359 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-08-28 issuance close ($77.57) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-09-28, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$77.57 · 94% of range

$52.87 low$79.07 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-08-19 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,359 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.8%–56.2%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.1%

typical move · IQR 12.9%

−13.6%worst (p90)+17.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where WBS has typically landed a month from the 2026-08-28 close of $77.57 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $77.57 (+0.0%)
typical $78.45 (+1.1%)
middle 50% $73.44–$83.46
90% range $67.04–$91.28

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,984 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-08-19. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2009-01-02	−75.2%	−75.2%	+1.9%
2009-01-05	−74.9%	−75.1%	+2.7%
2009-01-06	−72.4%	−75.7%	+0.0%
3 best
2009-07-10	+73.3%	+0.0%	+73.7%
2008-07-14	+70.8%	−2.1%	+74.3%
2009-04-08	+69.0%	+0.0%	+69.0%

4,984 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-19 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

65%

+0.2%

n=20

Feb

60%

+1.2%

n=20

Mar

45%

−3.1%

n=20

Apr

50%

+1.1%

n=20

May

60%

+2.1%

n=20

Jun

60%

−0.3%

n=20

Jul

65%

+4.9%

n=20

Aug

55%

−0.6%

n=20

Sep

37%

+0.5%

n=19

Oct

55%

+2.2%

n=20

Nov

70%

+5.0%

n=20

Dec

55%

+0.7%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-18	CIULLA JOHN R	director	Sale	8,000 @ $71.67	$573K	−2.7% of holding	+4.3%	not yet — horizon still open	289,838	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17	CIULLA JOHN R	director	Sale	8,000 @ $71.91	$575K	−3.5% of holding	−1.5%	−3.6%	223,872	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-08	Weidner Marissa	officer	Sale	2,500 @ $62.98	$157K	−16.0% of holding	+3.8%	+9.2%	13,141	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-08	MADAR GREGORY	officer	Sale	654 @ $62.63	$41K	−7.9% of holding	+3.8%	+9.2%	7,621	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-17	CIULLA JOHN R	director	Sale	8,000 @ $55.45	$444K	−3.3% of holding	+16.6%	+23.6%	231,872	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-15	CIESLIK ELZBIETA	officer	Sale	2,000 @ $61.58	$123K	−11.8% of holding	−2.4%	+12.3%	14,894	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-12	CIESLIK ELZBIETA	officer	Sale	1,000 @ $61.62	$62K	−5.6% of holding	−8.2%	+9.6%	16,894	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-08	HAYLES CAROL	director	Sale	4,841 @ $61.58	$298K	−28.1% of holding	−6.6%	+7.7%	12,389	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-28	GRIFFIN JAMES MI	officer	Sale	807 @ $62.14	$50K	−6.0% of holding	−6.9%	+9.7%	12,556	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-14	CIULLA JOHN R	director	Sale	8,000 @ $57.95	$464K	−3.2% of holding	+1.3%	+16.9%	239,872	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-28	ATWELL WILLIAM L	director	Sale	14,323 @ $59.18	$848K	−30.0% of holding	+3.6%	−0.4%	33,415	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-28	ATWELL WILLIAM L	director	Sale	2,500 @ $59.26	$148K	−7.5% of holding	+3.6%	−0.4%	30,915	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-22	Wang Albert Jen-Wen	officer	Sale	3,250 @ $60.31	$196K	−17.1% of holding	−5.8%	−0.8%	15,755	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-21	SOTO JASON A.	officer	Sale	2,100 @ $61.21	$129K	−10.0% of holding	−5.0%	−1.8%	18,889	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-21	GRIFFIN JAMES MI	officer	Sale	2,065 @ $60.56	$125K	−13.4% of holding	−5.0%	−1.8%	13,363	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-21	SOTO JASON A.	officer	Sale	400 @ $61.19	$24K	−1.9% of holding	−5.0%	−1.8%	20,989	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-06	WILKINS CHARLES L	officer	Sale	5,000 @ $53.25	$266K	−13.7% of holding	+5.2%	+2.9%	31,534	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-28	Evans Javier L.	officer	Sale	7,800 @ $52.58	$410K	−28.2% of holding	+1.2%	+2.1%	19,820	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-22	States Lauren	director	Sale	2,000 @ $50.81	$102K	−11.9% of holding	+0.2%	−2.2%	14,820	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-22	States Lauren	director	Sale	200 @ $50.72	$10K	−1.3% of holding	+0.2%	−2.2%	14,620	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-14	GRIFFIN JAMES MI	officer	Sale	1,502 @ $53.20	$80K	−8.9% of holding	−4.2%	−7.5%	15,428	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12	BLEY DANIEL	officer	Sale	1,200 @ $53.08	$64K	−5.9% of holding	−1.3%	−7.7%	19,117	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-05	BLEY DANIEL	officer	Sale	865 @ $49.97	$43K	−4.0% of holding	−0.1%	−5.2%	20,652	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-05	BLEY DANIEL	officer	Sale	200 @ $49.98	$10K	−1.0% of holding	−0.1%	−5.2%	20,352	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-05	BLEY DANIEL	officer	Sale	100 @ $49.98	$5K	−0.5% of holding	−0.1%	−5.2%	20,552	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-05	BLEY DANIEL	officer	Sale	35 @ $50.05	$2K	−0.2% of holding	−0.1%	−5.2%	20,317	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-29	BLEY DANIEL	officer	Sale	1,800 @ $47.84	$86K	−7.7% of holding	+3.7%	−4.2%	21,517	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-20	CIULLA JOHN R	director	Sale	8,000 @ $57.43	$459K	−3.7% of holding	−3.2%	−2.3%	210,051	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19	MORSE LAURENCE C	director	Sale	13,217 @ $59.07	$781K	−41.3% of holding	−4.4%	−3.7%	18,808	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

232 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-20	MOTL CHRISTOPHER J	officer	Disposition	8,860	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	Massiani Luis	officer	Disposition	185,082	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	NAFDE VIKRAM A.	officer	Disposition	37,863	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	Mitchell Maureen	director	Disposition	17,277	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	Schugel Jason E.	officer	Disposition	19,834	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	States Lauren	director	Disposition	15,941	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	WILKINS CHARLES L	officer	Disposition	52,773	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	Weidner Marissa	officer	Disposition	21,645	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	ATWELL WILLIAM L	director	Disposition	32,511	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	Cahill John P.	director	Disposition	28,541	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	Haas William David	director	Disposition	6,261	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	MORSE LAURENCE C	director	Disposition	8,025	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	MORSE LAURENCE C	director	Disposition	18,808	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	CIULLA JOHN R	director	Disposition	360,083	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	CIULLA JOHN R	director	Disposition	17,187	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	Whiston William E.	director	Disposition	9,666	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	Whiston William E.	director	Disposition	12,962	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	Pettie Mark	director	Disposition	35,993	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	O'Toole Richard L.	director	Disposition	28,789	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	Aboelnaga Mona	director	Disposition	14,312	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	Berner Kristy	officer	Disposition	30,596	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	CIESLIK ELZBIETA	officer	Disposition	24,248	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	Antonopoulos Kristen	officer	Disposition	6,230	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	KRYNICK BENJAMIN L.	officer	Disposition	20,183	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	Crawford Frederick John	director	Disposition	3,111	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	Evans Javier L.	officer	Disposition	35,470	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	GRIFFIN JAMES MI	officer	Disposition	34,433	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	GRIFFIN JAMES MI	officer	Disposition	5,489	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	HAYLES CAROL	director	Disposition	13,985	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	HOLLAND WILLIAM NEAL	officer	Disposition	53,389	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	SOTO JASON A.	officer	Disposition	44,685	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	SOTO JASON A.	officer	Disposition	1,775	0	Form 4
2026-08-20	MOTL CHRISTOPHER J	officer	Disposition	108,246	0	Form 4
2026-08-13	CIULLA JOHN R	director	Withheld for tax	28,537	367,131	Form 4
2026-08-13	Massiani Luis	officer	Withheld for tax	16,375	188,931	Form 4
2026-08-13	MOTL CHRISTOPHER J	officer	Withheld for tax	16,256	110,490	Form 4
2026-08-13	HOLLAND WILLIAM NEAL	officer	Withheld for tax	7,948	58,058	Form 4
2026-08-13	Evans Javier L.	officer	Withheld for tax	7,633	36,524	Form 4
2026-08-13	GRIFFIN JAMES MI	officer	Withheld for tax	7,285	37,424	Form 4
2026-08-13	SOTO JASON A.	officer	Withheld for tax	7,229	48,504	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

11d remaining

2026-08-2966% elapsed2026-09-28

Logged immutably 2026-08-29; scored automatically on 2026-09-28 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i