WATWaters CorporationHealthcare · Medical - Diagnostics & Researchas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $418.64 · now $418.64 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WAT has typically landed between $361.38 and $479.22 — a range of −13.7% to +14.5% from the issuance price $418.64.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($418.64) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where WAT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $418.64 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$361.38worst · -13.7%$479.22best · +14.5%
  • now $418.64 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $420.44 (+0.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $396.25–$444.63
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $361.38–$479.22
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−36.5%−36.5%+0.0%
2008-09-29−30.1%−33.3%+2.5%
2008-09-25−29.9%−32.1%+0.6%
3 best
2018-12-24+32.1%+0.0%+32.3%
2026-04-29+31.3%+0.0%+31.3%
2019-01-03+30.6%+0.0%+31.3%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$24.4B
market cap
$7.87
EPS (TTM)
47.6
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-04
next earnings
Revenue$3.2B
'20'25
Net income$643M
'20'25
Free cash flow$540M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr20.3%
'20'25
ROE · by yr25.1%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.58
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 54 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $418.64$198.43$452.52
  • DCF (intrinsic)$226.65
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 27.4× · n=54$215.96
  • Analyst target · range $350.00–$435.00$405.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$418.64

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+2.5%
n=18
Feb
58%
−0.0%
n=19
Mar
58%
+1.1%
n=19
Apr
47%
+0.4%
n=19
May
68%
+2.1%
n=19
Jun
58%
+1.4%
n=19
Jul
58%
+2.4%
n=19
Aug
58%
−0.6%
n=19
Sep
47%
−0.6%
n=19
Oct
56%
+0.7%
n=18
Nov
72%
+4.4%
n=18
Dec
50%
+0.8%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$421$2832026-08-06: 1 insider sale, $1.4M — KUEBLER CHRISTOPHER A2026-03-16: 1 insider purchase, $145K — Jiang Wei2026-03-06: 1 insider purchase, $306K — FEARON RICHARD H2026-03: 2 open-market purchases, $451K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $1.4M↑ buys↓ salesdirector KUEBLER CHRISTOPHER A — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Jiang Wei — Purchase on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector FEARON RICHARD H — Purchase on 2026-03-06, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-06KUEBLER CHRISTOPHER AdirectorSale3,626 @ $397.94$1.4M−16.9% of holding+2.2%not yet — horizon still open17,808Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16Jiang WeidirectorPurchase500 @ $289.46$145K+17.0% of holding+7.6%+30.0%3,441Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-06FEARON RICHARD HdirectorPurchase1,000 @ $306.34$306K+43.4% of holding+3.3%+20.2%3,302Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

110 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-06KUEBLER CHRISTOPHER AdirectorOption exercise3,62621,434Form 4
2026-08-06KUEBLER CHRISTOPHER AdirectorOption exercise3,6260Form 4
2026-06-30Knight HeatherdirectorAward / grant631,281Form 4
2026-06-30Jiang WeidirectorAward / grant673,573Form 4
2026-06-24Carpio Robert L IIIofficerWithheld for tax1893,426Form 4
2026-05-12Chaubal AmolofficerWithheld for tax2397,623Form 4
2026-04-06Bennett JianqingofficerWithheld for tax3026,532Form 4
2026-03-31Knight HeatherdirectorAward / grant681,218Form 4
2026-03-31Jiang WeidirectorAward / grant643,505Form 4
2026-03-02Batra UditdirectorWithheld for tax3,41733,140Form 4
2026-03-02Chaubal AmolofficerWithheld for tax7097,796Form 4
2026-03-02Bennett JianqingofficerWithheld for tax4106,834Form 4
2026-02-25Fraser ClairedirectorAward / grant358489Form 4
2026-02-25Fraser ClairedirectorAward / grant877877Form 4
2026-02-25Huang Pearl SdirectorAward / grant5757Form 4
2026-02-25Knight HeatherdirectorAward / grant231,149Form 4
2026-02-25Knight HeatherdirectorAward / grant5757Form 4
2026-02-25BADDOUR LINDAdirectorAward / grant232,899Form 4
2026-02-25BADDOUR LINDAdirectorAward / grant5757Form 4
2026-02-25Vergnano MarkdirectorAward / grant234,540Form 4
2026-02-25Vergnano MarkdirectorAward / grant5757Form 4
2026-02-25Batra UditdirectorAward / grant5,16536,557Form 4
2026-02-25Batra UditdirectorAward / grant25,28325,283Form 4
2026-02-25Bennett JianqingofficerAward / grant9867,244Form 4
2026-02-25Bennett JianqingofficerAward / grant4,8264,826Form 4
2026-02-25Huang Pearl SdirectorAward / grant233,276Form 4
2026-02-25FEARON RICHARD HdirectorAward / grant232,302Form 4
2026-02-25FEARON RICHARD HdirectorAward / grant5757Form 4
2026-02-25Carpio Robert L IIIofficerAward / grant9973,615Form 4
2026-02-25Carpio Robert L IIIofficerAward / grant4,8844,884Form 4
2026-02-25Chaubal AmolofficerAward / grant1,4558,505Form 4
2026-02-25Chaubal AmolofficerAward / grant7,1257,125Form 4
2026-02-25Jiang WeidirectorAward / grant232,941Form 4
2026-02-25Jiang WeidirectorAward / grant5757Form 4
2026-02-25KUEBLER CHRISTOPHER AdirectorAward / grant2317,808Form 4
2026-02-25KUEBLER CHRISTOPHER AdirectorAward / grant5757Form 4
2026-02-25Ornskov FlemmingdirectorAward / grant3365,271Form 4
2026-02-25Ornskov FlemmingdirectorAward / grant5757Form 4
2026-02-25Brennan Daniel J.directorAward / grant231,355Form 4
2026-02-25Brennan Daniel J.directorAward / grant5757Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-24$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-05-042026-04-02$15–50K
Thomas H. Kean JrHousesale2026-04-132026-03-10$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-18$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-10$15–50K
Thomas H. Kean JrHousesale2026-03-182026-02-13$1–15K
Kevin HernHouseexchange2026-03-062026-02-09$1–15K
Debbie DingellHouseexchange2026-02-232026-02-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Julia LetlowHousepurchase2026-01-132025-12-08$1–15K
Julia LetlowHousesale2026-01-132024-11-19$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.