WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies CorporationIndustrials · Railroadsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $276.37 · now $276.37 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, WAB has typically landed between $250.97 and $310.44 — a range of −9.2% to +12.3% from the issuance price $276.37.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-022026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($276.37) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where WAB has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $276.37 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$250.97worst · -9.2%$310.44best · +12.3%
  • now $276.37 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $283.35 (+2.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $270.51$296.2
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $250.97$310.44
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−48.7%−48.7%+0.0%
2020-02-20−48.3%−48.3%+0.0%
2020-02-21−47.6%−48.1%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-30+49.1%+0.0%+49.1%
2009-03-31+44.5%+0.0%+47.5%
2009-03-25+44.2%−1.3%+44.2%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-022026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$51.1B
market cap
$7.44
EPS (TTM)
40.7
P/E (TTM)
2026-10-28
next earnings
Revenue$11.2B
'20'25
Net income$1.2B
'20'25
Free cash flow$1.5B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr10.5%
'20'25
ROE · by yr10.5%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.50
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 74 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $276.37$217.90$365.16
  • DCF (intrinsic)$243.91
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 30.7× · n=74$228.06
  • Analyst target · range $291.00$355.00$335.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$276.37

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
44%
−1.0%
n=18
Feb
68%
+2.5%
n=19
Mar
63%
+1.4%
n=19
Apr
79%
+6.9%
n=19
May
53%
+0.3%
n=19
Jun
47%
+0.3%
n=19
Jul
74%
+4.1%
n=19
Aug
47%
+0.3%
n=19
Sep
47%
−0.9%
n=19
Oct
50%
−0.1%
n=18
Nov
78%
+5.5%
n=18
Dec
56%
+0.5%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$306$1852026-09-02: 4 insider sales, $305K — Santana Rafael …2026-09-01: 4 insider sales, $307K — Santana Rafael …2026-08-21: 2 insider sales, $867K — Mendonca Rogerio …2026-08-20: 2 insider sales, $953K — Fetsko Michael …2026-08-17: 1 insider sale, $286K — Sbrocco Gregory2026-08-05: 4 insider sales, $345K — Santana Rafael …2026-08-04: 4 insider sales, $348K — Santana Rafael …2026-07-24: 6 insider sales, $3.3M — DeNinno David L, Gebhardt Eric, Gaur Sameer …2026-07-07: 5 insider sales, $299K — Santana Rafael …2026-07-06: 3 insider sales, $305K — Santana Rafael …2026-06-12: 1 insider sale, $285K — Gaur Sameer2026-06-08: 5 insider sales, $304K — Santana Rafael …2026-06-05: 4 insider sales, $304K — Santana Rafael …2026-05-05: 5 insider sales, $972K — DeNinno David L, Santana Rafael …2026-05-04: 5 insider sales, $307K — Santana Rafael …2026-04-14: 4 insider sales, $16.4M — Santana Rafael …2026-03-12: 1 insider sale, $971K — Trombley Gina2026-03-10: 6 insider sales, $289K — Santana Rafael …2026-03-09: 9 insider sales, $283K — Santana Rafael …2026-02-26: 1 insider sale, $302K — Gaur Sameer2026-02-25: 1 insider sale, $2.1M — Jain Nalin2026-02-24: 1 insider sale, $2.9M — Olin John A2026-02-20: 2 insider sales, $925K — Mendonca Rogerio …2026-02-19: 1 insider sale, $246K — Sbrocco Gregory2026-02-11: 8 insider sales, $455K — Santana Rafael …2026-02-10: 3 insider sales, $442K — Santana Rafael …2026-01-06: 6 insider sales, $396K — Santana Rafael …2026-01-05: 2 insider sales, $391K — Santana Rafael …2025-12-18: 3 insider sales, $384K — Santana Rafael …2025-12-17: 5 insider sales, $381K — Santana Rafael …2025-12-12: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — Fetsko Michael2025-12-04: 2 insider sales, $1.5M — DeNinno David L, Mendonca Rogerio2025-11-12: 2 insider sales, $1.6M — DeNinno David L, Mastalerz John A Jr2025-11-11: 1 insider sale, $624K — Schweitzer Pascal2025-11-04: 3 insider sales, $366K — Santana Rafael …2025-11-03: 5 insider sales, $366K — Santana Rafael …2025-10-31: 1 insider sale, $494K — Sbrocco Gregory2025-10-28: 1 insider sale, $420K — DeNinno David L2025-10-23: 1 insider sale, $577K — Sbrocco Gregory2025-10-15: 4 insider sales, $355K — Santana Rafael …2025-10-14: 5 insider sales, $351K — Santana Rafael …2025-09-15: 3 insider sales, $341K — Santana Rafael …2025-09-12: 3 insider sales, $342K — Santana Rafael …2025-08-21: 2 insider sales, $170K — Santana Rafael …2025-08-20: 4 insider sales, $171K — Santana Rafael …2025-08: 6 open-market sales, $341K2025-09: 6 open-market sales, $683K2025-10: 12 open-market sales, $2.2M2025-11: 11 open-market sales, $3.0M2025-12: 11 open-market sales, $3.4M2026-01: 8 open-market sales, $787K2026-02: 17 open-market sales, $7.4M2026-03: 16 open-market sales, $1.5M2026-04: 4 open-market sales, $16.4M2026-05: 10 open-market sales, $1.3M2026-06: 10 open-market sales, $893K2026-07: 14 open-market sales, $3.9M2026-08: 13 open-market sales, $2.8M2026-09: 8 open-market sales, $612K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Mendonca Rogerio — Sale on 2026-08-21, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Mendonca Rogerio — Sale on 2026-08-21, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Fetsko Michael — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Fetsko Michael — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Sbrocco Gregory — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer DeNinno David L — Sale on 2026-07-24, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Gebhardt Eric — Sale on 2026-07-24, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Gebhardt Eric — Sale on 2026-07-24, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Gebhardt Eric — Sale on 2026-07-24, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Gebhardt Eric — Sale on 2026-07-24, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Gaur Sameer — Sale on 2026-07-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Gaur Sameer — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-06-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-06-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-06-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-06-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-06-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer DeNinno David L — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-04-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-04-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-04-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-04-14, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Trombley Gina — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Gaur Sameer — Sale on 2026-02-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Jain Nalin — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Olin John A — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Mendonca Rogerio — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Mendonca Rogerio — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Sbrocco Gregory — Sale on 2026-02-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-01-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-01-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-01-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-01-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-01-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-01-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-12-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-12-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-12-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Fetsko Michael — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer DeNinno David L — Sale on 2025-12-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Mendonca Rogerio — Sale on 2025-12-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer DeNinno David L — Sale on 2025-11-12, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Mastalerz John A Jr — Sale on 2025-11-12, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Schweitzer Pascal — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-11-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-11-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-11-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Sbrocco Gregory — Sale on 2025-10-31, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer DeNinno David L — Sale on 2025-10-28, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Sbrocco Gregory — Sale on 2025-10-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-10-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-10-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-10-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-10-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-08-21, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-08-21, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-08-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-08-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-08-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Santana Rafael — Sale on 2025-08-20, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-02Santana RafaeldirectorSale370 @ $279.21$103K−0.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open117,959Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02Santana RafaeldirectorSale323 @ $280.21$91K−0.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open117,636Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02Santana RafaeldirectorSale268 @ $281.10$75K−0.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open117,368Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02Santana RafaeldirectorSale126 @ $282.03$36K−0.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open117,242Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-01Santana RafaeldirectorSale590 @ $279.87$165K−0.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open118,641Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01Santana RafaeldirectorSale194 @ $280.86$54K−0.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open118,447Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01Santana RafaeldirectorSale194 @ $278.93$54K−0.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open119,231Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01Santana RafaeldirectorSale118 @ $281.74$33K−0.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open118,329Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-21Mendonca RogerioofficerSale2,910 @ $297.05$864K−26.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open7,977Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-21Mendonca RogerioofficerSale9 @ $296.24$3K−0.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open7,968Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-20Fetsko MichaelofficerSale2,962 @ $293.16$868K−7.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open37,668Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-20Fetsko MichaelofficerSale288 @ $293.84$85K−0.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open37,380Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17Sbrocco GregoryofficerSale952 @ $300.00$286K−4.3% of holding−5.6%not yet — horizon still open21,043Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05Santana RafaeldirectorSale518 @ $297.05$154K−0.4% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open119,673Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05Santana RafaeldirectorSale397 @ $296.14$118K−0.3% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open120,191Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05Santana RafaeldirectorSale194 @ $298.26$58K−0.2% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open119,479Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05Santana RafaeldirectorSale54 @ $298.85$16K−0.0% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open119,425Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04Santana RafaeldirectorSale629 @ $299.70$189K−0.5% of holding−5.6%not yet — horizon still open120,588Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04Santana RafaeldirectorSale334 @ $298.90$100K−0.3% of holding−5.6%not yet — horizon still open121,217Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04Santana RafaeldirectorSale120 @ $297.68$36K−0.1% of holding−5.6%not yet — horizon still open121,551Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04Santana RafaeldirectorSale80 @ $296.46$24K−0.1% of holding−5.6%not yet — horizon still open121,671Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-24DeNinno David LofficerSale3,000 @ $301.31$904K−5.2% of holding−4.9%not yet — horizon still open55,128Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-24Gebhardt EricofficerSale2,353 @ $299.69$705K−10.2% of holding−4.9%not yet — horizon still open20,753Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-24Gebhardt EricofficerSale2,040 @ $298.86$610K−8.1% of holding−4.9%not yet — horizon still open23,106Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-24Gebhardt EricofficerSale1,600 @ $300.49$481K−7.7% of holding−4.9%not yet — horizon still open19,153Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-24Gebhardt EricofficerSale1,107 @ $297.39$329K−4.2% of holding−4.9%not yet — horizon still open25,146Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-24Gaur SameerofficerSale1,000 @ $300.64$301K−8.3% of holding−4.9%not yet — horizon still open10,985Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-07Santana RafaeldirectorSale283 @ $258.37$73K−0.2% of holding+11.4%not yet — horizon still open122,008Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-07Santana RafaeldirectorSale287 @ $254.34$73K−0.2% of holding+11.4%not yet — horizon still open122,627Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-07Santana RafaeldirectorSale257 @ $259.12$67K−0.2% of holding+11.4%not yet — horizon still open121,751Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-07Santana RafaeldirectorSale189 @ $256.50$48K−0.2% of holding+11.4%not yet — horizon still open122,291Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-07Santana RafaeldirectorSale147 @ $255.60$38K−0.1% of holding+11.4%not yet — horizon still open122,480Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-06Santana RafaeldirectorSale815 @ $261.55$213K−0.7% of holding+11.8%not yet — horizon still open123,262Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-06Santana RafaeldirectorSale184 @ $263.68$49K−0.1% of holding+11.8%not yet — horizon still open122,914Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-06Santana RafaeldirectorSale164 @ $262.81$43K−0.1% of holding+11.8%not yet — horizon still open123,098Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-12Gaur SameerofficerSale1,082 @ $263.50$285K−8.3% of holding−4.1%not yet — horizon still open11,985Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-08Santana RafaeldirectorSale400 @ $259.66$104K−0.3% of holding−1.9%not yet — horizon still open124,840Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-08Santana RafaeldirectorSale299 @ $260.80$78K−0.2% of holding−1.9%not yet — horizon still open124,541Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-08Santana RafaeldirectorSale251 @ $262.83$66K−0.2% of holding−1.9%not yet — horizon still open124,097Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-08Santana RafaeldirectorSale193 @ $261.81$51K−0.2% of holding−1.9%not yet — horizon still open124,348Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-08Santana RafaeldirectorSale20 @ $263.76$5K−0.0% of holding−1.9%not yet — horizon still open124,077Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-05Santana RafaeldirectorSale546 @ $260.83$142K−0.4% of holding−1.9%not yet — horizon still open125,857Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-05Santana RafaeldirectorSale378 @ $261.85$99K−0.3% of holding−1.9%not yet — horizon still open125,479Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-05Santana RafaeldirectorSale160 @ $262.99$42K−0.1% of holding−1.9%not yet — horizon still open125,319Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-05Santana RafaeldirectorSale79 @ $263.72$21K−0.1% of holding−1.9%not yet — horizon still open125,240Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-05DeNinno David LofficerSale2,500 @ $265.48$664K−4.1% of holding−4.8%not yet — horizon still open58,128Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-05Santana RafaeldirectorSale344 @ $266.12$92K−0.3% of holding−4.8%not yet — horizon still open126,403Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-05Santana RafaeldirectorSale317 @ $264.21$84K−0.2% of holding−4.8%not yet — horizon still open127,047Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-05Santana RafaeldirectorSale300 @ $265.27$80K−0.2% of holding−4.8%not yet — horizon still open126,747Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-05Santana RafaeldirectorSale202 @ $263.34$53K−0.2% of holding−4.8%not yet — horizon still open127,364Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-04Santana RafaeldirectorSale366 @ $262.30$96K−0.3% of holding−4.7%not yet — horizon still open128,363Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04Santana RafaeldirectorSale310 @ $263.47$82K−0.2% of holding−4.7%not yet — horizon still open128,053Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04Santana RafaeldirectorSale242 @ $264.29$64K−0.2% of holding−4.7%not yet — horizon still open127,811Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04Santana RafaeldirectorSale222 @ $265.78$59K−0.2% of holding−4.7%not yet — horizon still open127,589Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04Santana RafaeldirectorSale23 @ $266.51$6K−0.0% of holding−4.7%not yet — horizon still open127,566Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-14Santana RafaeldirectorSale36,414 @ $269.13$9.8M−21.7% of holding−8.2%not yet — horizon still open131,122Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-14Santana RafaeldirectorSale21,219 @ $268.43$5.7M−11.2% of holding−8.2%not yet — horizon still open167,536Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-14Santana RafaeldirectorSale2,393 @ $269.96$646K−1.8% of holding−8.2%not yet — horizon still open128,729Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-14Santana RafaeldirectorSale826 @ $267.09$221K−0.4% of holding−8.2%not yet — horizon still open188,755Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-12Trombley GinaofficerSale4,013 @ $241.87$971K−22.5% of holding+8.6%+2.6%13,841Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

104 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-01Theophilus Nicole BdirectorAward / grant2,19223,599Form 4
2026-05-13BANKS LEE CdirectorAward / grant76513,598Form 4
2026-05-13Klee Ann R.directorAward / grant76512,574Form 4
2026-05-13Perez Juan R.directorAward / grant7652,011Form 4
2026-05-13Hehir BriandirectorAward / grant76521,406Form 4
2026-05-13Harty Linda SdirectorAward / grant76512,482Form 4
2026-05-13Babcock Beverley AdirectorAward / grant7654,740Form 4
2026-05-13Foster Byron S.directorAward / grant7658,219Form 4
2026-05-05Sbrocco GregoryofficerOther acquisition3,72721,995Form 4
2026-05-05Sbrocco GregoryofficerExercise3,72725,722Form 4
2026-05-05Sbrocco GregoryofficerExercise3,7274,555Form 4
2026-05-05Sbrocco GregoryofficerExercise3,7274,555Form 4
2026-05-05Sbrocco GregoryofficerExercise3,72725,722Form 4
2026-03-05Gaur SameerofficerAward / grant1,44713,067Form 4
2026-03-05Trombley GinaofficerAward / grant1,84317,854Form 4
2026-03-05Jain NalindirectorAward / grant1,7567,019Form 4
2026-03-05Fetsko MichaelofficerAward / grant1,98940,630Form 4
2026-03-05Gebhardt EricofficerAward / grant2,68526,253Form 4
2026-03-05Olin John AdirectorAward / grant5,91761,893Form 4
2026-03-05DeNinno David LofficerAward / grant3,76360,628Form 4
2026-03-05Santana RafaeldirectorAward / grant32,398191,907Form 4
2026-03-05Theophilus Nicole BdirectorAward / grant2,60521,407Form 4
2026-03-05Sbrocco GregoryofficerAward / grant2,06321,995Form 4
2026-03-05Mendonca RogerioofficerAward / grant1,90210,878Form 4
2026-03-05Schweitzer PascalofficerAward / grant3,5153,515Form 4
2026-03-05Yates KyraofficerAward / grant3833,334Form 4
2026-03-05Mastalerz John A JrofficerAward / grant5197,593Form 4
2026-03-02Santana RafaeldirectorWithheld for tax19,802159,509Form 4
2026-03-02Schweitzer PascalofficerDisposition4,67819,941Form 4
2026-03-02Olin John AdirectorWithheld for tax4,51155,976Form 4
2026-03-02DeNinno David LofficerWithheld for tax2,24356,865Form 4
2026-03-02Schweitzer PascalofficerOption exercise1,5751,575Form 4
2026-03-02Schweitzer PascalofficerOption exercise1,5663,130Form 4
2026-03-02Schweitzer PascalofficerOption exercise1,5370Form 4
2026-03-02Gebhardt EricofficerWithheld for tax1,44523,568Form 4
2026-03-02Trombley GinaofficerWithheld for tax1,24816,011Form 4
2026-03-02Sbrocco GregoryofficerWithheld for tax1,22719,932Form 4
2026-03-02Fetsko MichaelofficerWithheld for tax1,12738,641Form 4
2026-03-02Mendonca RogerioofficerWithheld for tax1,1258,976Form 4
2026-03-02Jain NalindirectorWithheld for tax1,1015,263Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Tommy TubervilleSenatesale2026-07-162026-06-09$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousesale2026-07-072026-06-15$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousesale2026-07-072026-06-04$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousesale2026-07-072026-06-12$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousesale2026-07-072026-06-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-05-112026-04-24$15–50K
Rick LarsenHousepurchase2026-04-152026-04-07$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousesale2026-02-022026-01-30$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousesale2026-02-022026-01-14$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousesale2026-02-022026-01-22$1–15K
Valerie HoyleHousesale2025-10-102025-09-23$1–15K
Markwayne MullinSenatesale2025-10-012025-09-23$15–50K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.