VZVerizon Communications Inc.Communication Services · Telecommunications Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $49.76 · now $49.76 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, VZ has typically landed between $45.21 and $54.45 — a range of −9.1% to +9.4% from the issuance price $49.76.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($49.76) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where VZ has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $49.76 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$45.21worst · -9.1%$54.45best · +9.4%
  • now $49.76 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $49.85 (+0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $47.9–$51.81
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $45.21–$54.45
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-10−24.1%−24.1%+0.0%
2008-09-11−21.7%−24.1%+0.0%
2008-09-25−20.5%−20.5%+0.4%
3 best
2026-01-28+27.2%+0.0%+27.2%
2026-01-13+26.8%−0.3%+26.8%
2008-11-20+26.2%+0.0%+29.2%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$193.7B
market cap
$4.10
EPS (TTM)
11.3
P/E (TTM)
2026-11-04
next earnings
Revenue$138.2B
'20'25
Net income$17.2B
'20'25
Free cash flow$20.1B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr12.4%
'20'25
ROE · by yr16.4%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.92
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 17 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $49.76$37.51$117.17
  • DCF (intrinsic)$111.67
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 16.0× · n=17$65.71
  • Analyst target · range $43.00–$58.00$50.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$49.76

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+0.4%
n=18
Feb
58%
+0.2%
n=19
Mar
74%
+2.1%
n=19
Apr
47%
+0.5%
n=19
May
26%
−0.8%
n=19
Jun
53%
+0.2%
n=19
Jul
63%
+1.9%
n=19
Aug
53%
+0.2%
n=19
Sep
42%
−0.3%
n=19
Oct
50%
+0.6%
n=18
Nov
67%
+2.8%
n=18
Dec
56%
+0.8%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$51$372026-09-15: 1 insider sale, $56K — Malady Kyle2026-09-08: 1 insider sale, $55K — Malady Kyle2026-09-01: 1 insider sale, $56K — Malady Kyle2026-08-25: 1 insider sale, $55K — Malady Kyle2026-08-18: 1 insider sale, $54K — Malady Kyle2026-05-29: 1 insider sale, $3.5M — Hammock Samantha2026-03-02: 1 insider sale, $428K — Stillwell Mary-Lee2026-02-24: 3 insider sales, $11.2M — Vestberg Hans Erik …2026-02-02: 1 insider sale, $430K — Russo Joseph J.2026-02: 4 open-market sales, $11.6M2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $428K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $3.5M2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $109K2026-09: 3 open-market sales, $167K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Malady Kyle — Sale on 2026-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Malady Kyle — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Malady Kyle — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Malady Kyle — Sale on 2026-08-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Malady Kyle — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hammock Samantha — Sale on 2026-05-29, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Stillwell Mary-Lee — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Vestberg Hans Erik — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Vestberg Hans Erik — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Vestberg Hans Erik — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Russo Joseph J. — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-15Malady KyledirectorSale1,100 @ $51.19$56K−1.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open105,466Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-08Malady KyledirectorSale1,100 @ $49.98$55K−1.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open106,566Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-01Malady KyledirectorSale1,100 @ $50.50$56K−1.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open107,666Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-25Malady KyledirectorSale1,100 @ $50.06$55K−1.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open108,766Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-18Malady KyledirectorSale1,100 @ $48.68$54K−1.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open109,866Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-29Hammock SamanthaofficerSale73,069 @ $47.83$3.5M−81.8% of holding−10.4%not yet — horizon still open16,221Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-02Stillwell Mary-LeeofficerSale8,569 @ $50.00$428K−16.4% of holding+5.4%−9.0%43,782Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-24Vestberg Hans ErikdirectorSale200,000 @ $49.61$9.9M−58.0% of holding+5.2%−8.0%145,069Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-24Vestberg Hans ErikdirectorSale12,500 @ $49.61$620K−49.0% of holding+5.2%−8.0%13,024Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-24Vestberg Hans ErikdirectorSale12,500 @ $49.61$620K−49.0% of holding+5.2%−8.0%13,023Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-02Russo Joseph J.officerSale9,579 @ $44.88$430K−17.9% of holding+16.2%−3.0%44,045Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

289 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-10Villanueva Rodriguez AlfonsoofficerAward / grant2537,339Form 4
2026-09-10SCHULMAN DANIEL HdirectorAward / grant1879,409Form 4
2026-09-10Skiadas Anthony TofficerAward / grant122147,112Form 4
2026-09-10Malady KyledirectorAward / grant122424,384Form 4
2026-09-10Venkatesh VandanaofficerAward / grant9058,020Form 4
2026-09-10Russo Joseph J.officerAward / grant7784,951Form 4
2026-09-10Stillwell Mary-LeeofficerAward / grant4117,144Form 4
2026-08-27SCHULMAN DANIEL HdirectorAward / grant1899,222Form 4
2026-08-27Villanueva Rodriguez AlfonsoofficerAward / grant1237,086Form 4
2026-08-27Malady KyledirectorAward / grant123424,262Form 4
2026-08-27Skiadas Anthony TofficerAward / grant123146,990Form 4
2026-08-27Venkatesh VandanaofficerAward / grant9157,930Form 4
2026-08-27Russo Joseph J.officerAward / grant7884,874Form 4
2026-08-27Stillwell Mary-LeeofficerAward / grant4117,103Form 4
2026-08-13SCHULMAN DANIEL HdirectorAward / grant1939,034Form 4
2026-08-13Villanueva Rodriguez AlfonsoofficerAward / grant1266,963Form 4
2026-08-13Skiadas Anthony TofficerAward / grant126146,866Form 4
2026-08-13Malady KyledirectorAward / grant126424,139Form 4
2026-08-13Venkatesh VandanaofficerAward / grant9357,839Form 4
2026-08-13Russo Joseph J.officerAward / grant8084,795Form 4
2026-08-13Stillwell Mary-LeeofficerAward / grant4217,061Form 4
2026-07-30SCHULMAN DANIEL HdirectorAward / grant2028,717Form 4
2026-07-30Malady KyledirectorAward / grant132417,827Form 4
2026-07-30Skiadas Anthony TofficerAward / grant132144,602Form 4
2026-07-30Venkatesh VandanaofficerAward / grant9756,907Form 4
2026-07-30Russo Joseph J.officerAward / grant8483,481Form 4
2026-07-30Villanueva Rodriguez AlfonsoofficerAward / grant796,739Form 4
2026-07-30Stillwell Mary-LeeofficerAward / grant4416,772Form 4
2026-07-16SCHULMAN DANIEL HdirectorAward / grant2128,515Form 4
2026-07-16Skiadas Anthony TofficerAward / grant139144,470Form 4
2026-07-16Malady KyledirectorAward / grant139417,694Form 4
2026-07-16Venkatesh VandanaofficerAward / grant10256,810Form 4
2026-07-16Russo Joseph J.officerAward / grant8883,397Form 4
2026-07-16Villanueva Rodriguez AlfonsoofficerAward / grant836,660Form 4
2026-07-16Stillwell Mary-LeeofficerAward / grant4716,727Form 4
2026-07-07Villanueva Rodriguez AlfonsoofficerAward / grant47,75447,754Form 4
2026-07-01SCHULMAN DANIEL HdirectorAward / grant2228,303Form 4
2026-07-01Malady KyledirectorAward / grant145417,556Form 4
2026-07-01Skiadas Anthony TofficerAward / grant145144,331Form 4
2026-07-01Venkatesh VandanaofficerAward / grant10656,708Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-15$15–50K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-05-082026-04-14$1–15K
Lloyd K. SmuckerHousesale2026-04-302026-04-23$1–15K
Jennifer McclellanHousesale2026-04-162026-04-07$100–250K
Pete SessionsHousesale2026-03-092026-03-09$1–15K
Sheldon WhitehouseSenatesale2026-03-062026-02-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.