Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.11 · now $7.11 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, VYX has typically landed between $5.60 and $8.39 — a range of −21.3% to +18.1% from the issuance price $7.11.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.11) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where VYX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.11 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $7.11 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.05 (-0.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.49–$7.61
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.6–$8.39
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −63.5% | −63.5% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-14 | −62.7% | −62.7% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-13 | −59.9% | −59.9% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-11-04 | +74.5% | +0.0% | +74.5% |
| 2020-03-18 | +64.0% | +0.0% | +69.8% |
| 2020-11-06 | +55.3% | +0.0% | +65.2% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Tadele Beimnet | officer | Sale | 12,750 @ $8.20 | $105K | −33.7% of holding | −0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,028 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | KELLY JAMES G | director | Purchase | 22,603 @ $10.99 | $248K | +48.2% of holding | +8.2% | −14.7% | 69,503 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | SEN LAURA | director | Purchase | 22,550 @ $11.04 | $249K | +76.0% of holding | +3.2% | −16.2% | 52,203 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
102 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Sterrett Kelli | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,152 | 47,054 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | KELLY JAMES G | director | Gift | 113,753 | 219,383 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | KELLY JAMES G | director | Gift | 113,753 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Webb-Walsh Brian J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 58,011 | 135,282 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Henderson Irv | director | Award / grant | 26,573 | 54,854 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Miller Laura Marie | director | Award / grant | 26,573 | 62,478 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | SEN LAURA | director | Award / grant | 26,573 | 92,872 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Sloan Jeffrey Steven | director | Award / grant | 26,573 | 44,541 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | Reddy Kevin Michael | director | Award / grant | 26,573 | 68,728 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | HAUGEN JANET BRUTSCHEA | director | Award / grant | 26,573 | 62,478 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-03 | LARSEN KIRK T | director | Award / grant | 26,573 | 93,081 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Webb-Walsh Brian J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,674 | 190,551 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Sterrett Kelli | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,724 | 51,206 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Tadele Beimnet | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,912 | 37,778 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Wise James Michael | officer | Withheld for tax | 942 | 11,521 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Sterrett Kelli | officer | Option exercise | 20,259 | 20,260 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Webb-Walsh Brian J. | officer | Option exercise | 27,012 | 203,225 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Webb-Walsh Brian J. | officer | Option exercise | 27,012 | 27,013 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Wise James Michael | officer | Option exercise | 2,701 | 12,463 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Wise James Michael | officer | Option exercise | 2,701 | 2,702 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Tadele Beimnet | officer | Option exercise | 12,156 | 41,690 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Tadele Beimnet | officer | Option exercise | 12,156 | 12,156 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | KELLY JAMES G | director | Option exercise | 26,731 | 113,753 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | KELLY JAMES G | director | Option exercise | 26,731 | 26,731 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Sterrett Kelli | officer | Option exercise | 20,259 | 60,930 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Webb-Walsh Brian J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 14,948 | 176,213 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Wilson Darren | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,424 | 23,119 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Sterrett Kelli | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,840 | 40,671 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Tadele Beimnet | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,123 | 29,534 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Wise James Michael | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,384 | 9,762 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Sterrett Kelli | officer | Option exercise | 16,041 | 48,511 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Sterrett Kelli | officer | Option exercise | 16,041 | 32,082 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | KELLY JAMES G | director | Option exercise | 87,022 | 87,022 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Tadele Beimnet | officer | Option exercise | 16,041 | 34,657 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Tadele Beimnet | officer | Option exercise | 16,041 | 32,082 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Wilson Darren | officer | Option exercise | 20,051 | 32,543 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Wise James Michael | officer | Option exercise | 3,970 | 11,146 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Wise James Michael | officer | Option exercise | 3,970 | 7,940 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | Webb-Walsh Brian J. | officer | Option exercise | 32,082 | 191,161 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | KELLY JAMES G | director | Option exercise | 87,022 | 174,046 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.