Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.05 · now $3.05 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, VYGR has typically landed between $2.31 and $4.14 — a range of −24.3% to +35.8% from the issuance price $3.05.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,705 overlapping 1 month windows · 2015-11-11 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.05) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where VYGR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.05 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $3.05 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.99 (-1.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.66–$3.33
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.31–$4.14
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2015-12-29 | −53.5% | −54.5% | +0.0% |
| 2015-12-30 | −51.6% | −54.3% | +0.0% |
| 2015-12-28 | −51.0% | −51.0% | +7.6% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-02-23 | +163.4% | +0.0% | +163.4% |
| 2022-02-22 | +159.1% | +0.0% | +159.1% |
| 2022-02-18 | +150.7% | +0.0% | +150.7% |
2,705 overlapping windows · 2015-11-11 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | Sandrock Alfred | director | Sale | 11,511 @ $3.87 | $45K | −2.4% of holding | −11.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 472,549 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Sandrock Alfred | director | Sale | 14,197 @ $3.79 | $54K | −2.8% of holding | +10.8% | −20.0% | 484,060 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Swartz Robin | officer | Sale | 6,458 @ $3.77 | $24K | −3.1% of holding | +10.8% | −20.0% | 199,738 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Jorgensen Nathan D. | officer | Sale | 4,668 @ $3.77 | $18K | −3.0% of holding | +10.8% | −20.0% | 151,416 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | Carter Todd Alfred | officer | Sale | 4,174 @ $3.76 | $16K | −2.8% of holding | +10.8% | −20.0% | 145,718 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | Sandrock Alfred | director | Sale | 11,732 @ $3.41 | $40K | −2.3% of holding | +15.8% | −10.6% | 498,257 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | Swartz Robin | officer | Sale | 3,882 @ $3.44 | $13K | −1.8% of holding | +15.8% | −10.6% | 206,196 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | Carter Todd Alfred | officer | Sale | 3,301 @ $3.44 | $11K | −2.2% of holding | +15.8% | −10.6% | 149,892 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | Sandrock Alfred | director | Sale | 12,192 @ $3.78 | $46K | −2.3% of holding | +35.4% | −25.7% | 509,989 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | Swartz Robin | officer | Sale | 4,569 @ $3.85 | $18K | −2.1% of holding | +35.4% | −25.7% | 210,078 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-10 | Carter Todd Alfred | officer | Sale | 3,525 @ $3.85 | $14K | −2.2% of holding | +35.4% | −25.7% | 153,193 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-03 | Jorgensen Nathan D. | officer | Sale | 7,666 @ $4.78 | $37K | −5.8% of holding | −7.7% | −17.6% | 123,834 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Ferguson Toby | officer | Sale | 19,000 @ $3.73 | $71K | −12.0% of holding | +8.5% | −20.3% | 138,914 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Sandrock Alfred | director | Sale | 10,885 @ $3.43 | $37K | −2.5% of holding | +6.3% | +19.2% | 430,931 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Ferguson Toby | officer | Sale | 10,086 @ $3.43 | $35K | −6.0% of holding | +6.3% | +19.2% | 157,914 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-20 | Sandrock Alfred | director | Sale | 11,702 @ $4.24 | $50K | −3.8% of holding | −1.6% | −25.9% | 296,816 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-20 | Swartz Robin | officer | Sale | 3,894 @ $4.25 | $17K | −3.8% of holding | −1.6% | −25.9% | 98,397 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-20 | Carter Todd Alfred | officer | Sale | 3,305 @ $4.26 | $14K | −4.1% of holding | −1.6% | −25.9% | 77,718 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | Sandrock Alfred | director | Sale | 16,644 @ $4.45 | $74K | −5.1% of holding | +5.6% | −20.5% | 308,518 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | Swartz Robin | officer | Sale | 6,950 @ $4.45 | $31K | −6.4% of holding | +5.6% | −20.5% | 102,291 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | Carter Todd Alfred | officer | Sale | 5,413 @ $4.45 | $24K | −6.3% of holding | +5.6% | −20.5% | 81,023 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | Fahey Sandell Jacquelyn | officer | Sale | 4,358 @ $4.45 | $19K | −5.1% of holding | +5.6% | −20.5% | 81,643 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-14 | Swartz Robin | officer | Sale | 3,087 @ $5.09 | $16K | −2.7% of holding | −18.0% | −44.8% | 109,241 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-14 | Carter Todd Alfred | officer | Sale | 1,191 @ $5.13 | $6K | −1.4% of holding | −18.0% | −44.8% | 86,436 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-23 | Swartz Robin | officer | Sale | 6,500 @ $5.65 | $37K | −5.5% of holding | −2.5% | −52.4% | 112,328 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
44 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-09 | GERAGHTY JAMES A | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Hyman Steven | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | — | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | MACKEY CATHERINE J | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Onyia Jude | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | PIERCE GLENN | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | SCANGOS GEORGE A | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Vitale Nancy | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Colon Grace | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | — | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Hyman Steven | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | — | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Colon Grace | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | — | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | Higgins Michael J | director | Award / grant | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Shiferman Gregory L. | officer | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Swartz Robin | officer | Award / grant | 210,000 | 210,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Sandrock Alfred | director | Award / grant | 86,250 | 522,181 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Sandrock Alfred | director | Award / grant | 402,500 | 402,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Ferguson Toby | officer | Award / grant | 45,000 | 183,914 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Ferguson Toby | officer | Award / grant | 210,000 | 210,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Jorgensen Nathan D. | officer | Award / grant | 150,500 | 150,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Jorgensen Nathan D. | officer | Award / grant | 32,250 | 156,084 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Carter Todd Alfred | officer | Award / grant | 154,000 | 154,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Carter Todd Alfred | officer | Award / grant | 33,000 | 156,718 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Swartz Robin | officer | Award / grant | 45,000 | 214,647 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Shiferman Gregory L. | officer | Award / grant | 100,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-03 | GERAGHTY JAMES A | director | Award / grant | 24,000 | 24,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-03 | MACKEY CATHERINE J | director | Award / grant | 24,000 | 24,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-03 | Higgins Michael J | director | Award / grant | 24,000 | 24,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-03 | Hyman Steven | director | Award / grant | 24,000 | 24,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-03 | Colon Grace | director | Award / grant | 24,000 | 24,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-03 | Onyia Jude | director | Award / grant | 24,000 | 24,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-03 | PIERCE GLENN | director | Award / grant | 24,000 | 24,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-03 | SCANGOS GEORGE A | director | Award / grant | 24,000 | 24,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-03 | Vitale Nancy | director | Award / grant | 24,000 | 24,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Fahey Sandell Jacquelyn | officer | Award / grant | 83,000 | 83,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Carter Todd Alfred | officer | Award / grant | 46,000 | 123,718 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Carter Todd Alfred | officer | Award / grant | 92,000 | 92,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Fahey Sandell Jacquelyn | officer | Award / grant | 41,500 | 123,143 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Ferguson Toby | officer | Award / grant | 63,000 | 168,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Ferguson Toby | officer | Award / grant | 126,000 | 126,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Jorgensen Nathan D. | officer | Award / grant | 51,500 | 131,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-21 | Jorgensen Nathan D. | officer | Award / grant | 103,000 | 103,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.