VVXV2X, Inc.Industrials · Aerospace & Defenseas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $75.31 · now $75.31 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, VVX has typically landed between $63.31 and $89.84 — a range of −15.9% to +19.3% from the issuance price $75.31.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,997 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-09-16 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($75.31) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where VVX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $75.31 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$63.31worst · -15.9%$89.84best · +19.3%
  • now $75.31 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $76.19 (+1.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $70.99–$81.4
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $63.31–$89.84
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,997 windows spanning 2014-09-16 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2016-08-31−54.9%−54.9%+0.0%
2020-02-18−47.3%−47.3%+3.2%
2020-02-13−45.7%−45.7%+0.0%
3 best
2019-03-22+54.2%+0.0%+54.2%
2019-03-28+52.5%+0.0%+53.4%
2019-03-29+52.5%+0.0%+52.5%

2,997 overlapping windows · 2014-09-16 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+3.7%
n=12
Feb
50%
+0.9%
n=12
Mar
33%
−0.7%
n=12
Apr
67%
+8.0%
n=12
May
33%
+1.5%
n=12
Jun
42%
+2.1%
n=12
Jul
50%
+2.1%
n=12
Aug
67%
+2.6%
n=12
Sep
42%
−6.1%
n=12
Oct
58%
+5.7%
n=12
Nov
42%
+3.4%
n=12
Dec
50%
−2.0%
n=12

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$91$522026-08-14: 1 insider sale, $287K — Nance Jeremy John2026-08-11: 1 insider sale, $407K — Parker Melvin2026-03-12: 1 insider sale, $173.6M — American Industrial Partners Capital Fund VI, L.P.2025-12-11: 1 insider sale, $66.1M — American Industrial Partners Capital Fund VI, L.P.2025-11-13: 2 insider sales, $247.5M — Cusumano Dino M, American Industrial Partners Capital Fund VI, L.P.2025-09-11: 2 insider sales, $177.5M — American Industrial Partners Capital Fund VI, L.P., Cusumano Dino M2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $200.0M2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $177.5M2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $247.5M2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $66.1M2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $173.6M2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $694K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Nance Jeremy John — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Parker Melvin — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner American Industrial Partners Capital Fund VI, L.P. — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner American Industrial Partners Capital Fund VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Cusumano Dino M — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner American Industrial Partners Capital Fund VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-11-13, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner American Industrial Partners Capital Fund VI, L.P. — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Cusumano Dino M — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-14Nance Jeremy JohnofficerSale3,500 @ $82.00$287K−21.1% of holding−7.0%not yet — horizon still open13,111Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-11Parker MelvindirectorSale5,000 @ $81.41$407K−19.8% of holding−8.3%not yet — horizon still open20,200Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-12American Industrial Partners Capital Fund VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale2,545,432 @ $68.21$173.6M−55.9% of holding−4.2%−12.3%2,004,569Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-11American Industrial Partners Capital Fund VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale1,200,000 @ $55.05$66.1M−20.9% of holding+18.2%+49.1%4,550,001Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-13Cusumano Dino MdirectorSale2,250,000 @ $55.00$123.8M−28.1% of holding+0.6%+21.6%5,750,001Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-13American Industrial Partners Capital Fund VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale2,250,000 @ $55.00$123.8M−28.1% of holding+0.6%+21.6%5,750,001Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-11American Industrial Partners Capital Fund VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale1,700,000 @ $52.20$88.7M−17.5% of holding+2.5%+21.1%8,000,001Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-11Cusumano Dino MdirectorSale1,700,000 @ $52.20$88.7M−17.5% of holding+2.5%+21.1%8,000,001Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-11American Industrial Partners Capital Fund VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale2,000,000 @ $50.00$100.0M−17.1% of holding+1.3%+19.4%9,700,001Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-11Cusumano Dino MdirectorSale2,000,000 @ $50.00$100.0M−17.1% of holding+1.3%+19.4%9,700,001Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-11Caputo Richard L. Jr.officerSale5,462 @ $44.74$244K−69.4% of holding+4.8%+12.5%2,407Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-10Caputo Richard L. Jr.officerSale4,000 @ $44.63$179K−33.7% of holding+5.1%+9.2%7,869Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-06Caputo Richard L. Jr.officerSale4,000 @ $44.91$180K−25.2% of holding+5.3%+8.3%11,869Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-05Caputo Richard L. Jr.officerSale4,000 @ $44.43$178K−20.1% of holding+5.7%+11.6%15,869Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-22Caputo Richard L. Jr.officerSale2,200 @ $46.85$103K−10.0% of holding−3.1%−0.2%19,869Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-05-19Cusumano Dino MdirectorSale2,000,000 @ $48.39$96.8M−14.6% of holding−6.8%−1.5%11,700,001Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-19American Industrial Partners Capital Fund VI, L.P.tenPercentOwnerSale2,000,000 @ $48.39$96.8M−14.6% of holding−6.8%−1.5%11,700,001Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

223 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-25PILLMORE ERIC MdirectorGift1,00044,617Form 4
2026-06-25WENSINGER JEREMY CdirectorWithheld for tax6,66032,429Form 4
2026-06-25WENSINGER JEREMY CdirectorOption exercise14,76614,767Form 4
2026-06-25WENSINGER JEREMY CdirectorOption exercise14,76639,089Form 4
2026-06-25WENSINGER JEREMY CdirectorOption exercise14,76639,089Form 4
2026-05-14PILLMORE ERIC MdirectorGift2,20045,617Form 4
2026-05-08Yeshoalul MelonofficerWithheld for tax4661,079Form 4
2026-05-08Yeshoalul MelonofficerOption exercise1,5453,090Form 4
2026-05-08Yeshoalul MelonofficerOption exercise1,5451,545Form 4
2026-05-08Yeshoalul MelonofficerOption exercise1,5451,545Form 4
2026-05-07WIDMAN PHILLIPdirectorAward / grant2,1882,188Form 4
2026-05-07Theophilus Nicole BdirectorOption exercise8380Form 4
2026-05-07Theophilus Nicole BdirectorAward / grant2,1882,188Form 4
2026-05-07PILLMORE ERIC MdirectorOption exercise3,2540Form 4
2026-05-07PILLMORE ERIC MdirectorAward / grant2,1882,188Form 4
2026-05-07WIDMAN PHILLIPdirectorOption exercise3,2540Form 4
2026-05-07HOWELL MARY LdirectorAward / grant3,0173,017Form 4
2026-05-07Fasano Gerard AdirectorAward / grant2,1882,188Form 4
2026-05-07NIEBERGALL ROSSdirectorOption exercise8380Form 4
2026-05-07NIEBERGALL ROSSdirectorAward / grant2,1882,188Form 4
2026-05-07HOWELL MARY LdirectorOption exercise4,4870Form 4
2026-05-07Parker MelvindirectorOption exercise3,2540Form 4
2026-05-07Parker MelvindirectorAward / grant2,1882,188Form 4
2026-05-07Fasano Gerard AdirectorOption exercise8380Form 4
2026-05-07Farnsworth David E.directorOption exercise1,9480Form 4
2026-05-07Farnsworth David E.directorAward / grant2,1882,188Form 4
2026-05-07Theophilus Nicole BdirectorOption exercise838838Form 4
2026-05-07Farnsworth David E.directorOption exercise1,9481,948Form 4
2026-05-07Theophilus Nicole BdirectorOption exercise838838Form 4
2026-05-07HOWELL MARY LdirectorOption exercise4,4874,487Form 4
2026-05-07Fasano Gerard AdirectorOption exercise838838Form 4
2026-05-07NIEBERGALL ROSSdirectorOption exercise838838Form 4
2026-05-07PILLMORE ERIC MdirectorOption exercise3,25447,817Form 4
2026-05-07Parker MelvindirectorOption exercise3,25425,200Form 4
2026-05-07PILLMORE ERIC MdirectorOption exercise3,25447,817Form 4
2026-05-07Farnsworth David E.directorOption exercise1,9481,948Form 4
2026-05-07WIDMAN PHILLIPdirectorOption exercise3,25436,202Form 4
2026-05-07NIEBERGALL ROSSdirectorOption exercise838838Form 4
2026-05-07HOWELL MARY LdirectorOption exercise4,4874,487Form 4
2026-05-07Parker MelvindirectorOption exercise3,25425,200Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.