VTS · TickerCove

VTSVitesse Energy, Inc.Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Productionas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $17.52 · now $17.52 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, VTS has typically landed between $15.44 and $20.10 — a range of −11.9% to +14.7% from the issuance price $17.52.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

903 overlapping 1 month windows · 2023-01-10 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($17.52) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$17.52 · 32% of range

$15 low$22.89 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.2%

typical move · IQR 11.6%

−11.9%worst (p90)+14.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where VTS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $17.52 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $17.52 (+0.0%)
typical $17.48 (-0.2%)
middle 50% $16.46–$18.5
90% range $15.44–$20.1

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 903 windows spanning 2023-01-10 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2025-03-12	−17.7%	−18.0%	+4.8%
2025-03-31	−16.8%	−20.0%	+2.2%
2025-04-01	−15.9%	−20.8%	+1.2%
3 best
2023-05-05	+42.0%	−0.2%	+42.0%
2023-05-08	+40.5%	−2.0%	+40.5%
2023-05-10	+39.9%	−1.9%	+42.6%

903 overlapping windows · 2023-01-10 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~4 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

67%

+2.8%

n=3

Feb

50%

+2.1%

n=4

Mar

50%

+3.3%

n=4

Apr

25%

−5.8%

n=4

May

75%

+8.7%

n=4

Jun

25%

−1.1%

n=4

Jul

75%

+7.3%

n=4

Aug

50%

+3.8%

n=4

Sep

50%

−3.8%

n=4

Oct

67%

+0.2%

n=3

Nov

33%

+3.3%

n=3

Dec

−7.0%

n=3

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-15	STEINBERG JOSEPH S	director	Purchase	40,882 @ $16.16	$661K	+60.5% of holding	−1.8%	not yet — horizon still open	108,500	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-28	STEINBERG JOSEPH S	director	Purchase	59,118 @ $17.00	$1.0M	+4122.6% of holding	−4.2%	not yet — horizon still open	60,552	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-31	Cree Brian	officer	Sale	50,000 @ $18.51	$926K	−11.3% of holding	−7.2%	not yet — horizon still open	392,967	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-31	O Leary Dan	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $18.56	$186K	+42.0% of holding	−7.2%	not yet — horizon still open	33,789	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-31	Henderson James P	officer	Purchase	5,000 @ $18.67	$93K	+2.9% of holding	−7.2%	not yet — horizon still open	176,204	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-30	Cree Brian	officer	Sale	70,142 @ $18.65	$1.3M	−13.7% of holding	−10.2%	not yet — horizon still open	442,967	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-30	Henderson James P	officer	Purchase	5,000 @ $18.71	$94K	+3.0% of holding	−10.2%	not yet — horizon still open	171,204	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-24	Gerrity Robert W	director	Sale	9,951 @ $22.35	$222K	−2.7% of holding	−11.3%	−33.4%	362,040	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-24	Cree Brian	officer	Sale	5,282 @ $22.33	$118K	−1.1% of holding	−11.3%	−33.4%	458,943	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-24	Henderson James P	officer	Sale	2,366 @ $22.31	$53K	−1.4% of holding	−11.3%	−33.4%	166,204	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-21	Gerrity Robert W	director	Sale	36,785 @ $19.66	$723K	−9.0% of holding	+15.4%	−23.0%	371,991	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-21	Cree Brian	officer	Sale	1,440 @ $19.69	$28K	−0.3% of holding	+15.4%	−23.0%	464,225	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-20	Gerrity Robert W	director	Sale	45,463 @ $19.29	$877K	−10.0% of holding	+15.3%	−25.0%	408,776	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-20	Cree Brian	officer	Sale	18,000 @ $19.33	$348K	−3.7% of holding	+15.3%	−25.0%	465,665	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-16	Gerrity Robert W	director	Sale	31,460 @ $19.39	$610K	−6.5% of holding	+16.0%	−21.8%	454,239	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-01-16	Cree Brian	officer	Sale	19,824 @ $19.37	$384K	−3.9% of holding	+16.0%	−21.8%	483,665	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-01-15	Gerrity Robert W	director	Sale	28,994 @ $19.83	$575K	−5.6% of holding	+10.7%	−24.0%	485,699	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-15	Cree Brian	officer	Sale	16,190 @ $19.82	$321K	−3.1% of holding	+10.7%	−24.0%	503,489	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-14	Gerrity Robert W	director	Sale	90,737 @ $20.14	$1.8M	−15.0% of holding	+10.5%	−25.0%	514,693	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-14	Cree Brian	officer	Sale	43,216 @ $20.12	$869K	−7.7% of holding	+10.5%	−25.0%	519,679	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-14	Morella Mike	officer	Sale	5,202 @ $20.13	$105K	−5.9% of holding	+10.5%	−25.0%	82,413	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-14	SABOL MICHAEL	officer	Sale	4,497 @ $20.14	$91K	−6.5% of holding	+10.5%	−25.0%	64,914	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-02	Henderson James P	officer	Sale	23,515 @ $26.44	$622K	−12.2% of holding	−14.0%	−32.0%	168,570	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-09	Gerrity Robert W	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $23.29	$233K	+1.2% of holding	−0.9%	−17.2%	827,173	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-14	Morella Mike	officer	Sale	8,143 @ $26.69	$217K	−9.1% of holding	−6.2%	−17.1%	81,615	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-14	SABOL MICHAEL	officer	Sale	6,714 @ $26.70	$179K	−9.6% of holding	−6.2%	−17.1%	63,411	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

42 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-07	FRIEDMAN BRIAN P	director	Gift	59,619	467,384	Form 4
2026-06-05	Adamany Linda	director	Award / grant	7,066	34,388	Form 4
2026-06-05	FRIEDMAN BRIAN P	director	Award / grant	7,066	527,003	Form 4
2026-06-05	O Leary Dan	director	Award / grant	7,066	40,855	Form 4
2026-06-05	Osborn Cathleen M	director	Award / grant	7,066	26,855	Form 4
2026-06-05	STEIN RANDY I	director	Award / grant	7,066	26,855	Form 4
2026-06-05	STEINBERG JOSEPH S	director	Award / grant	7,066	67,618	Form 4
2026-05-01	BENARD JAMIE BRETT	director	Award / grant	87,576	87,576	Form 4
2026-05-01	Henderson James P	officer	Award / grant	26,273	202,477	Form 4
2026-03-26	Cree Brian	officer	Award / grant	54,166	513,109	Form 4
2026-01-13	SABOL MICHAEL	officer	Award / grant	6,000	69,411	Form 4
2026-01-13	Morella Mike	officer	Award / grant	6,000	87,615	Form 4
2025-05-01	Adamany Linda	director	Award / grant	5,952	27,322	Form 4
2025-05-01	FRIEDMAN BRIAN P	director	Award / grant	5,952	419,937	Form 4
2025-05-01	Chernoff Michael Bruce	director	Award / grant	5,952	9,235	Form 4
2025-05-01	O Leary Dan	director	Award / grant	5,952	23,789	Form 4
2025-05-01	STEINBERG JOSEPH S	director	Award / grant	5,952	384,604	Form 4
2025-05-01	STEIN RANDY I	director	Award / grant	5,952	19,789	Form 4
2025-05-01	Osborn Cathleen M	director	Award / grant	5,952	19,789	Form 4
2025-03-18	Gerrity Robert W	director	Gift	321,862	605,430	Form 4
2025-03-18	Gerrity Robert W	director	Gift	321,862	817,173	Form 4
2025-03-10	Chernoff Michael Bruce	director	Award / grant	760	3,283	Form 4
2025-03-07	Chernoff Michael Bruce	director	Award / grant	1,487,944	1,487,944	Form 4
2025-03-07	Chernoff Michael Bruce	director	Award / grant	2,523	2,523	Form 4
2025-03-07	Chernoff Michael Bruce	director	Award / grant	211,686	211,686	Form 4
2025-03-07	Chernoff Michael Bruce	director	Award / grant	409	409	Form 4
2025-03-07	Chernoff Michael Bruce	director	Award / grant	211,686	211,686	Form 4
2025-03-07	Chernoff Michael Bruce	director	Award / grant	409	409	Form 4
2025-03-07	Chernoff Michael Bruce	director	Award / grant	2,523	2,523	Form 4
2025-03-07	Chernoff Michael Bruce	director	Award / grant	1,487,944	1,487,944	Form 4
2025-03-05	Cree Brian	officer	Award / grant	18,047	562,895	Form 4
2025-03-05	Henderson James P	officer	Award / grant	11,280	192,085	Form 4
2025-03-05	Regan Michael Scott	officer	Award / grant	3,760	53,760	Form 4
2025-03-05	Gerrity Robert W	director	Award / grant	30,078	927,292	Form 4
2025-02-23	Gerrity Robert W	director	Withheld for tax	5,547	897,214	Form 4
2025-02-23	Cree Brian	officer	Withheld for tax	2,635	544,848	Form 4
2025-02-23	Henderson James P	officer	Withheld for tax	1,276	180,805	Form 4
2025-01-13	Gerrity Robert W	director	Withheld for tax	235,268	902,761	Form 4
2025-01-13	Cree Brian	officer	Withheld for tax	100,529	547,483	Form 4
2025-01-13	SABOL MICHAEL	officer	Award / grant	6,000	70,125	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i