Issued 2026-09-16 at $13.77 · now $13.77 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, VSTS has typically landed between $10.10 and $17.33 — a range of −26.7% to +25.9% from the issuance price $13.77.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
724 overlapping 1 month windows · 2023-09-27 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($13.77) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where VSTS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $13.77 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $13.77 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $13.95 (+1.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $12.5–$15.41
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $10.1–$17.33
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2024-04-04 | −50.0% | −50.0% | +4.4% |
| 2024-04-05 | −48.2% | −50.8% | +2.7% |
| 2024-04-03 | −46.8% | −46.8% | +2.9% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-05-04 | +47.4% | +0.0% | +47.4% |
| 2026-05-05 | +42.8% | −0.5% | +42.8% |
| 2025-11-06 | +41.8% | −0.8% | +41.8% |
724 overlapping windows · 2023-09-27 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~3 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Barber James J. | director | Purchase | 84,500 @ $12.37 | $1.0M | +10.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 867,222 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-19 | Pertz Douglas A | director | Purchase | 15,000 @ $6.90 | $103K | +4.9% of holding | −3.0% | +88.1% | 322,010 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-18 | Pertz Douglas A | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $6.90 | $69K | +3.4% of holding | −4.8% | +82.2% | 307,010 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Meister Keith A. | director | Purchase | 209,842 @ $6.79 | $1.4M | +1.1% of holding | −7.1% | +76.6% | 19,813,963 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-16 | Meister Keith A. | director | Purchase | 800,222 @ $6.81 | $5.4M | +4.3% of holding | −2.5% | +75.8% | 19,604,121 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | Goetz William | director | Purchase | 6,746 @ $7.42 | $50K | +29.2% of holding | −15.8% | +69.2% | 29,877 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-04 | Barber James J. | director | Purchase | 82,367 @ $6.36 | $524K | +14.7% of holding | +5.3% | +81.3% | 642,469 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-03 | Barber James J. | director | Purchase | 81,633 @ $6.34 | $518K | +17.1% of holding | +0.2% | +93.6% | 560,102 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-28 | Meister Keith A. | director | Purchase | 314,390 @ $6.03 | $1.9M | +1.7% of holding | −3.8% | −10.5% | 18,803,899 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-27 | Meister Keith A. | director | Purchase | 109,008 @ $6.05 | $659K | +0.6% of holding | −3.2% | −14.6% | 18,489,509 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-23 | Meister Keith A. | director | Purchase | 377,277 @ $5.89 | $2.2M | +2.1% of holding | −4.0% | −12.8% | 18,380,501 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | Meister Keith A. | director | Purchase | 138,048 @ $6.32 | $872K | +0.8% of holding | −8.8% | −35.3% | 18,003,224 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | Goetz William | director | Purchase | 7,500 @ $6.61 | $50K | +48.0% of holding | −8.8% | −35.3% | 23,131 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-08 | Meister Keith A. | director | Purchase | 857,299 @ $6.11 | $5.2M | +5.0% of holding | −4.4% | −36.1% | 17,865,176 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-08 | Pertz Douglas A | director | Purchase | 70,000 @ $6.17 | $432K | +30.8% of holding | −4.4% | −36.1% | 297,010 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-08 | Burke Richard L. Jr. | director | Purchase | 18,382 @ $5.73 | $105K | +61.8% of holding | −4.4% | −36.1% | 48,112 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-08 | Seward William J. | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $6.23 | $62K | +8.3% of holding | −4.4% | −36.1% | 130,862 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
89 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Laveck John | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,059 | 41,794 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | COCHRAN STEVEN E | officer | Award / grant | 93,096 | 93,096 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Bowen Adam | officer | Withheld for tax | 490 | 85,299 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Holloman James Phillip | director | Award / grant | 26,076 | 194,931 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Jokinen Tracy C | director | Award / grant | 18,253 | 56,378 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Whitney Mary Anne | director | Award / grant | 18,253 | 39,633 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Koschel Williams Ena | director | Award / grant | 18,253 | 56,483 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Goetz William | director | Award / grant | 18,253 | 64,088 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | McKee Lynn | director | Award / grant | 18,253 | 183,235 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Meister Keith A. | director | Award / grant | 18,253 | 50,443 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Burke Richard L. Jr. | director | Award / grant | 18,253 | 66,365 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Pertz Douglas A | director | Award / grant | 18,253 | 340,263 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-01 | Bouchard Andre C | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,250 | 110,552 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Holloman James Phillip | director | Award / grant | 25,076 | 168,855 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Goetz William | director | Award / grant | 15,958 | 45,835 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Meister Keith A. | director | Award / grant | 15,958 | 32,190 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-19 | Bowen Adam | officer | Award / grant | 21,835 | 85,789 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Janzen Kelly | director | Award / grant | 88,968 | 88,968 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Barber James J. | director | Award / grant | 140,253 | 782,722 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Barber James J. | director | Award / grant | 355,872 | 355,872 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Bouchard Andre C | officer | Award / grant | 21,038 | 111,802 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Bouchard Andre C | officer | Award / grant | 53,381 | 53,381 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Laveck John | officer | Award / grant | 4,734 | 45,853 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Laveck John | officer | Award / grant | 12,011 | 12,011 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Janzen Kelly | director | Award / grant | 35,064 | 256,162 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Wedemeier Rodney | officer | Award / grant | 21,038 | 87,705 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Wedemeier Rodney | officer | Award / grant | 53,381 | 53,381 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Seward William J. | director | Award / grant | 42,076 | 236,612 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Seward William J. | director | Award / grant | 106,762 | 106,762 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-29 | Seward William J. | director | Withheld for tax | 1,847 | 194,536 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-01 | Wedemeier Rodney | officer | Award / grant | 66,667 | 66,667 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | Seward William J. | director | Withheld for tax | 14,479 | 196,383 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-25 | Bouchard Andre C | officer | Award / grant | 80,000 | 90,764 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-25 | Janzen Kelly | director | Award / grant | 200,000 | 221,098 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-25 | Shih Grant | officer | Award / grant | 80,000 | 91,681 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-25 | Seward William J. | director | Award / grant | 80,000 | 210,862 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-01 | Laveck John | officer | Award / grant | 41,119 | 41,119 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | Barber James J. | director | Award / grant | 478,469 | 478,469 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-20 | Holloman James Phillip | director | Award / grant | 66,503 | 143,779 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-18 | Goetz William | director | Award / grant | 28 | 15,631 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.