VSTVistra Corp.Utilities · Independent Power Producersas of 2026-09-25
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-25 at $138.46 · now $138.46 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, VST has typically landed between $117.78 and $171.74 — a range of −14.9% to +24.0% from the issuance price $138.46.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,486 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-10-05 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($138.46) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where VST has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $138.46 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$117.78worst · -14.9%$171.74best · +24.0%
  • now $138.46 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $143.22 (+3.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $134.38–$152.07
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $117.78–$171.74
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,486 windows spanning 2016-10-05 to 2026-09-25. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−45.6%−45.6%+0.3%
2020-02-21−44.4%−45.7%+0.0%
2020-02-14−44.2%−44.2%+0.6%
3 best
2024-09-05+83.0%−2.8%+83.0%
2024-09-06+78.5%+0.0%+88.2%
2024-09-04+73.1%−3.9%+73.1%

2,486 overlapping windows · 2016-10-05 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$55.1B
market cap
$6.01
EPS (TTM)
27.2
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-07
next earnings
Revenue$17.0B
'20'25
Net income$944M
'20'25
Free cash flow$129M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr5.6%
'20'25
ROE · by yr18.5%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr3.99
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 32 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $138.46$-8.44$320.70
  • DCF (intrinsic)$14.26
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 22.6× · n=32$135.67
  • Analyst target · range $187.00–$298.00$209.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-25$138.46

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+4.2%
n=10
Feb
40%
−0.5%
n=10
Mar
70%
+1.4%
n=10
Apr
70%
+5.5%
n=10
May
70%
+5.5%
n=10
Jun
40%
+1.9%
n=10
Jul
50%
+0.5%
n=10
Aug
60%
+3.0%
n=10
Sep
70%
+4.3%
n=10
Oct
56%
+1.4%
n=9
Nov
60%
+3.7%
n=10
Dec
40%
+1.5%
n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$217$1352026-09-08: 4 insider sales, $9.8M — HUDSON SCOTT A, Moldovan Kristopher E. …2026-09-01: 1 insider purchase, $604K — BURKE JAMES A2026-08-31: 1 insider purchase, $299K — BURKE JAMES A2026-08-24: 1 insider purchase, $270K — BURKE JAMES A2026-06-18: 3 insider sales, $3.6M — Acosta Arcilia, SULT JOHN R …2026-06-16: 1 insider sale, $4.0M — HELM SCOTT B2026-06-15: 1 insider sale, $37K — BARBAS PAUL M2026-06-12: 1 insider sale, $36K — BARBAS PAUL M2026-06-02: 1 insider sale, $736K — Montemayor Margaret2026-05-27: 1 insider sale, $825K — Montemayor Margaret2026-03-09: 1 insider sale, $1.6M — Moore Stephanie Zapata2025-12-11: 1 insider sale, $3.6M — BURKE JAMES A2025-11-24: 1 insider sale, $1.4M — Moore Stephanie Zapata2025-11-14: 2 insider sales, $19.6M — Kirby Carrie Lee, HUDSON SCOTT A2025-11-11: 1 insider sale, $4.1M — BURKE JAMES A2025-10-29: 1 insider sale, $1.9M — BURKE JAMES A2025-10-27: 1 insider sale, $4.2M — BURKE JAMES A2025-10-24: 1 insider sale, $3.9M — BURKE JAMES A2025-10-23: 2 insider sales, $3.7M — BURKE JAMES A …2025-10-22: 1 insider sale, $3.7M — BURKE JAMES A2025-10-21: 1 insider sale, $387K — BURKE JAMES A2025-10-20: 1 insider sale, $4.4M — BURKE JAMES A2025-10-17: 1 insider sale, $4.4M — BURKE JAMES A2025-10-16: 2 insider sales, $4.6M — BURKE JAMES A …2025-10-15: 1 insider sale, $4.5M — BURKE JAMES A2025-10-14: 2 insider sales, $4.4M — BURKE JAMES A …2025-10-13: 2 insider sales, $8.3M — BURKE JAMES A …2025-10-10: 2 insider sales, $4.5M — BURKE JAMES A …2025-10-09: 1 insider sale, $4.4M — BURKE JAMES A2025-10-08: 2 insider sales, $3.9M — BURKE JAMES A …2025-10-07: 1 insider sale, $4.3M — BURKE JAMES A2025-10-06: 1 insider sale, $4.4M — BURKE JAMES A2025-10-03: 2 insider sales, $4.4M — BURKE JAMES A …2025-10-02: 1 insider sale, $4.4M — BURKE JAMES A2025-10-01: 2 insider sales, $3.8M — BURKE JAMES A …2025-09-30: 1 insider sale, $3.9M — BURKE JAMES A2025-09-29: 2 insider sales, $4.3M — BURKE JAMES A …2025-09-26: 1 insider sale, $4.3M — BURKE JAMES A2025-09-25: 2 insider sales, $4.3M — BURKE JAMES A …2025-09-24: 1 insider sale, $4.4M — BURKE JAMES A2025-09-23: 2 insider sales, $4.5M — BURKE JAMES A …2025-09-22: 1 insider sale, $4.5M — BURKE JAMES A2025-09-19: 1 insider sale, $4.5M — BURKE JAMES A2025-09-18: 2 insider sales, $4.6M — BURKE JAMES A …2025-09-17: 1 insider sale, $4.5M — BURKE JAMES A2025-09-16: 1 insider sale, $4.6M — BURKE JAMES A2025-09-15: 2 insider sales, $4.5M — BURKE JAMES A …2025-09-12: 1 insider sale, $4.3M — BURKE JAMES A2025-09-11: 1 insider sale, $9.0M — BURKE JAMES A2025-09-10: 2 insider sales, $3.9M — BURKE JAMES A …2025-09: 21 open-market sales, $70.1M2025-10: 28 open-market sales, $82.4M2025-11: 4 open-market sales, $25.2M2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $3.6M2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $1.6M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $825K2026-06: 7 open-market sales, $8.4M2026-08: 2 open-market purchases, $569K2026-09: 1 open-market purchase, $604K2026-09: 4 open-market sales, $9.8M↑ buys↓ salesofficer HUDSON SCOTT A — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Moldovan Kristopher E. — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer HUDSON SCOTT A — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer HUDSON SCOTT A — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Purchase on 2026-09-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Purchase on 2026-08-31, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Purchase on 2026-08-24, filed same daydirector Acosta Arcilia — Sale on 2026-06-18, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Acosta Arcilia — Sale on 2026-06-18, filed 5 days after the tradedirector SULT JOHN R — Sale on 2026-06-18, filed 5 days after the tradedirector HELM SCOTT B — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BARBAS PAUL M — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BARBAS PAUL M — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Montemayor Margaret — Sale on 2026-06-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Montemayor Margaret — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Moore Stephanie Zapata — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 3 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-12-11, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Moore Stephanie Zapata — Sale on 2025-11-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kirby Carrie Lee — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer HUDSON SCOTT A — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-29, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-27, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-24, filed 3 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-23, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-23, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-22, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-21, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-20, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-17, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-13, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-13, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-10, filed 5 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-10, filed 5 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-07, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-03, filed 3 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-03, filed 3 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-02, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-30, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-29, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-29, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-26, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-22, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-19, filed 3 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BURKE JAMES A — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-08HUDSON SCOTT AofficerSale28,826 @ $151.85$4.4M−7.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open338,978Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08Moldovan Kristopher E.officerSale20,000 @ $151.03$3.0M−9.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open199,044Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08HUDSON SCOTT AofficerSale7,841 @ $152.56$1.2M−2.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open331,137Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08HUDSON SCOTT AofficerSale7,777 @ $150.97$1.2M−2.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open367,804Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01BURKE JAMES AdirectorPurchase4,465 @ $135.25$604K+0.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,146,352Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-31BURKE JAMES AdirectorPurchase2,200 @ $135.99$299K+0.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,141,887Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-24BURKE JAMES AdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $135.00$270K+0.2% of holding+1.1%not yet — horizon still open1,139,687Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-18Acosta ArciliadirectorSale7,500 @ $170.00$1.3M−18.7% of holding−0.9%not yet — horizon still open32,607Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-06-18Acosta ArciliadirectorSale7,500 @ $165.04$1.2M−15.8% of holding−0.9%not yet — horizon still open40,107Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-06-18SULT JOHN RdirectorSale6,500 @ $170.00$1.1M−8.4% of holding−0.9%not yet — horizon still open70,714Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-06-16HELM SCOTT BdirectorSale25,000 @ $160.00$4.0M−9.7% of holding−1.2%not yet — horizon still open232,200Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-15BARBAS PAUL MdirectorSale244 @ $153.00$37K−0.5% of holding−0.2%not yet — horizon still open53,006Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-12BARBAS PAUL MdirectorSale244 @ $147.93$36K−0.5% of holding+6.4%not yet — horizon still open53,250Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-02Montemayor MargaretofficerSale4,600 @ $160.00$736K−32.0% of holding−2.6%not yet — horizon still open9,760Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-27Montemayor MargaretofficerSale5,000 @ $164.96$825K−25.8% of holding+4.8%not yet — horizon still open14,360Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-09Moore Stephanie ZapataofficerSale10,000 @ $160.31$1.6M−8.0% of holding−4.5%−20.5%114,409Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-11BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale22,251 @ $162.05$3.6M−6.9% of holding−2.6%−22.0%297,998Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-24Moore Stephanie ZapataofficerSale8,219 @ $173.35$1.4M−9.3% of holding−10.9%−21.7%79,854Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-14Kirby Carrie LeeofficerSale58,275 @ $174.75$10.2M−21.1% of holding−1.7%−32.5%218,239Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-14HUDSON SCOTT AofficerSale56,000 @ $168.86$9.5M−15.4% of holding−1.7%−32.5%306,600Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-11BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale21,935 @ $186.53$4.1M−7.5% of holding−3.4%−30.7%271,074Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-29BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale9,641 @ $192.30$1.9M−3.1% of holding−9.7%−27.3%298,967Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-27BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale20,473 @ $203.64$4.2M−6.4% of holding−12.8%−27.1%298,967Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-24BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale19,600 @ $196.46$3.9M−6.2% of holding−11.8%−25.5%297,429Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-10-23BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale17,600 @ $187.25$3.3M−5.6% of holding−10.0%−19.8%297,042Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-23BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale2,013 @ $186.00$374K−0.7% of holding−10.0%−19.8%295,029Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-22BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale19,612 @ $188.30$3.7M−6.3% of holding−4.2%−18.8%292,642Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-21BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale2,005 @ $193.15$387K−0.7% of holding−2.7%−21.8%290,254Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-20BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale21,371 @ $204.57$4.4M−6.9% of holding−8.5%−26.1%287,859Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-17BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale21,367 @ $207.66$4.4M−7.0% of holding−13.3%−29.4%285,230Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-16BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale19,200 @ $215.06$4.1M−6.3% of holding−18.7%−31.8%284,752Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-16BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale2,155 @ $216.58$467K−0.8% of holding−18.7%−31.8%282,597Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-15BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale21,363 @ $209.34$4.5M−7.1% of holding−19.7%−29.6%279,952Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-14BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale19,200 @ $205.68$3.9M−6.4% of holding−16.4%−25.8%279,485Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-14BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale2,170 @ $204.74$444K−0.8% of holding−16.4%−25.8%277,315Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-13BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale39,437 @ $201.12$7.9M−13.7% of holding−17.5%−28.2%248,511Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-13BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale1,989 @ $205.29$408K−0.8% of holding−17.5%−28.2%246,522Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-10BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale19,200 @ $209.76$4.0M−6.5% of holding−8.7%−23.4%274,168Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-10-10BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale2,164 @ $208.50$451K−0.8% of holding−8.7%−23.4%272,004Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-10-09BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale21,365 @ $207.55$4.4M−7.3% of holding−9.0%−27.3%269,368Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-08BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale17,600 @ $201.58$3.5M−6.1% of holding−10.2%−26.4%268,729Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-08BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale1,996 @ $200.13$399K−0.7% of holding−10.2%−26.4%266,733Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-07BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale21,376 @ $201.49$4.3M−7.5% of holding−6.4%−25.5%264,329Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-06BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale21,368 @ $206.94$4.4M−7.5% of holding−7.9%−23.2%261,705Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-03BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale21,282 @ $204.82$4.4M−7.6% of holding−6.5%−22.8%259,162Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-10-03BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale89 @ $205.73$18K−0.0% of holding−6.5%−22.8%259,073Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-10-02BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale21,371 @ $204.06$4.4M−7.7% of holding−9.0%−24.0%256,444Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-01BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale17,600 @ $195.00$3.4M−6.4% of holding−7.6%−23.4%255,820Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-01BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale2,005 @ $192.87$387K−0.8% of holding−7.6%−23.4%253,815Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-30BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale19,596 @ $199.30$3.9M−7.2% of holding−1.4%−20.1%251,420Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-29BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale19,200 @ $202.19$3.9M−7.1% of holding−7.2%−22.4%251,194Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-29BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale2,178 @ $199.70$435K−0.9% of holding−7.2%−22.4%249,016Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-26BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale21,376 @ $201.18$4.3M−8.0% of holding−7.4%−24.6%246,394Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-25BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale19,200 @ $200.00$3.8M−7.2% of holding−3.0%−19.6%245,949Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-25BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale2,179 @ $199.00$434K−0.9% of holding−3.0%−19.6%243,770Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-24BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale21,371 @ $203.82$4.4M−8.1% of holding−6.9%−22.6%241,149Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-23BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale19,200 @ $210.00$4.0M−7.4% of holding−9.7%−25.2%238,520Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-23BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale2,160 @ $212.11$458K−0.8% of holding−9.7%−25.2%257,720Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-22BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale21,362 @ $210.83$4.5M−8.3% of holding−15.1%−28.2%235,880Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-19BURKE JAMES AdirectorSale21,360 @ $211.50$4.5M−8.4% of holding−9.2%−27.5%233,242Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

213 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-15SULT JOHN RdirectorAward / grant1,26877,214Form 4
2026-05-15Crutchfield LisadirectorAward / grant1,26834,618Form 4
2026-05-15HELM SCOTT BdirectorAward / grant2,008257,200Form 4
2026-05-15BARBAS PAUL MdirectorAward / grant1,26853,494Form 4
2026-05-15Pitesa John WilliamdirectorAward / grant1,2685,898Form 4
2026-05-15Acosta ArciliadirectorAward / grant1,26847,607Form 4
2026-05-15Ackermann Hilary E.directorAward / grant1,26868,852Form 4
2026-05-15Walters Robert CharlesdirectorAward / grant1,2682,431Form 4
2026-05-15Baiera Gavin R.directorAward / grant1,26851,641Form 4
2026-05-15Lagacy Julie A.directorAward / grant1,26821,321Form 4
2026-03-05BURKE JAMES AdirectorWithheld for tax9,380497,863Form 4
2026-03-05Moldovan Kristopher E.officerWithheld for tax4,226245,089Form 4
2026-03-05Dore Stacey HdirectorWithheld for tax4,186184,183Form 4
2026-03-05HUDSON SCOTT AofficerWithheld for tax2,838375,581Form 4
2026-03-05Moore Stephanie ZapataofficerWithheld for tax1,963124,409Form 4
2026-03-05Montemayor MargaretofficerWithheld for tax56119,360Form 4
2026-03-05HUDSON SCOTT AofficerAward / grant6,106378,419Form 4
2026-03-05Moldovan Kristopher E.officerAward / grant10,712249,315Form 4
2026-03-05Montemayor MargaretofficerAward / grant1,98919,921Form 4
2026-03-05Dore Stacey HdirectorAward / grant12,855188,369Form 4
2026-03-05Moore Stephanie ZapataofficerAward / grant5,356126,372Form 4
2026-03-05BURKE JAMES AdirectorAward / grant28,281507,243Form 4
2026-02-24BURKE JAMES AdirectorAward / grant320,000618,002Form 4
2026-02-24Moldovan Kristopher E.officerAward / grant136,888298,967Form 4
2026-02-24Dore Stacey HdirectorAward / grant134,444234,786Form 4
2026-02-24BURKE JAMES AdirectorWithheld for tax125,048492,954Form 4
2026-02-24HUDSON SCOTT AofficerAward / grant117,332423,932Form 4
2026-02-24Kirby Carrie LeeofficerAward / grant79,444297,501Form 4
2026-02-24Moore Stephanie ZapataofficerAward / grant79,444155,696Form 4
2026-02-24Moldovan Kristopher E.officerWithheld for tax53,018245,949Form 4
2026-02-24Dore Stacey HdirectorWithheld for tax52,057182,729Form 4
2026-02-24HUDSON SCOTT AofficerWithheld for tax45,323378,609Form 4
2026-02-24Kirby Carrie LeeofficerWithheld for tax30,418267,083Form 4
2026-02-24Moore Stephanie ZapataofficerWithheld for tax30,416125,280Form 4
2026-02-24BURKE JAMES AdirectorWithheld for tax13,992478,962Form 4
2026-02-24Moldovan Kristopher E.officerWithheld for tax7,346238,603Form 4
2026-02-24Dore Stacey HdirectorWithheld for tax7,215175,514Form 4
2026-02-24HUDSON SCOTT AofficerWithheld for tax6,296372,313Form 4
2026-02-24Kirby Carrie LeeofficerWithheld for tax4,264262,819Form 4
2026-02-24Moore Stephanie ZapataofficerWithheld for tax4,264121,016Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-25 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-16$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-13$1–15K
Julia LetlowHousepurchase2026-03-122026-02-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-05$1–15K
Nancy PelosiHousepurchase2026-01-232026-01-16$100–250K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-11-212025-10-30$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-11-212025-10-30$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-11-212025-10-31$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-08-132025-06-17$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-05-142025-04-01$1–15K
Jefferson ShreveHousesale2025-05-082025-04-07$15–50K
Jefferson ShreveHousepurchase2025-04-112025-03-05$15–50K
Julie JohnsonHousepurchase2025-03-122025-02-12$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.