Issued 2026-09-16 at $37.69 · now $37.69 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, VSNT has typically landed between $31.08 and $44.29 — a range of −17.5% to +17.5% from the issuance price $37.69.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
168 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-12-15 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($37.69) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where VSNT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $37.69 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $37.69 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $38.58 (+2.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $35.36–$41.81
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $31.08–$44.29
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-01-02 | −33.7% | −33.7% | +0.0% |
| 2025-12-19 | −33.2% | −33.2% | +0.0% |
| 2025-12-22 | −32.7% | −33.2% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-02-12 | +38.6% | +0.0% | +39.7% |
| 2026-02-09 | +33.6% | −4.4% | +33.6% |
| 2026-02-11 | +32.2% | −3.5% | +34.9% |
168 overlapping windows · 2025-12-15 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Potter Leonard | director | Purchase | 2,500 @ $37.65 | $94K | +18.7% of holding | +5.6% | −13.4% | 15,878 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Potter Leonard | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $37.88 | $189K | +59.7% of holding | +6.3% | −14.5% | 13,378 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Potter Leonard | director | Purchase | 3,000 @ $38.34 | $115K | +55.8% of holding | +4.1% | −13.1% | 8,378 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | Potter Leonard | director | Purchase | 3,000 @ $37.31 | $112K | +126.2% of holding | +6.4% | −9.4% | 5,378 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | HASSELL GERALD L | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $36.07 | $361K | +373.1% of holding | +6.6% | −6.7% | 12,680 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Conway Michael Aaron | director | Purchase | 1,350 @ $36.14 | $49K | +56.8% of holding | +6.6% | −6.7% | 3,728 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | NOVAK DAVID C | director | Purchase | 143,000 @ $36.85 | $5.3M | +919.0% of holding | +6.9% | −0.4% | 158,560 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
61 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Lazarus Mark H | director | Withheld for tax | 6,200 | 627,018 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Conway Michael Aaron | director | Award / grant | 5,119 | 8,847 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Eun David | director | Award / grant | 5,119 | 7,497 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | HASSELL GERALD L | director | Award / grant | 5,119 | 17,799 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Mahoney William Scott | director | Award / grant | 5,119 | 7,497 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Montiel Maritza Gomez | director | Award / grant | 5,119 | 7,514 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | NOVAK DAVID C | director | Award / grant | 5,119 | 163,679 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Potter Leonard | director | Award / grant | 5,119 | 20,997 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Condon Creighton | director | Award / grant | 5,119 | 7,497 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | Campbell Rebecca | director | Award / grant | 5,119 | 7,497 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-02 | Fasbender Jordan | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,720 | 80,408 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-03 | Wright Gregory Michael | officer | Withheld for tax | 495 | 27,458 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Wright Gregory Michael | officer | Award / grant | 12,238 | 27,953 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Kini Anand | officer | Award / grant | 108,784 | 415,335 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Lazarus Mark H | director | Award / grant | 203,971 | 633,218 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Lazarus Mark H | director | Award / grant | 203,971 | 633,218 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Wright Gregory Michael | officer | Award / grant | 12,238 | 27,953 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Kini Anand | officer | Award / grant | 108,784 | 415,335 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Fasbender Jordan | officer | Award / grant | 27,196 | 84,128 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Fasbender Jordan | officer | Award / grant | 27,196 | 84,128 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | NOVAK DAVID C | director | Award / grant | 2,378 | 15,560 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Fasbender Jordan | officer | Award / grant | 10,786 | 56,932 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Fasbender Jordan | officer | Award / grant | 46,146 | 46,146 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Fasbender Jordan | officer | Award / grant | 10,786 | 56,932 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | HASSELL GERALD L | director | Award / grant | 2,378 | 2,680 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Potter Leonard | director | Award / grant | 2,378 | 2,378 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Lazarus Mark H | director | Award / grant | 287,273 | 294,427 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Lazarus Mark H | director | Award / grant | 134,821 | 429,248 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Kini Anand | officer | Award / grant | 225,153 | 225,661 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Kini Anand | officer | Award / grant | 80,893 | 306,554 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | NOVAK DAVID C | director | Award / grant | 2,378 | 15,560 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Wright Gregory Michael | officer | Award / grant | 11,656 | 11,671 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Wright Gregory Michael | officer | Award / grant | 4,045 | 15,716 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Montiel Maritza Gomez | director | Award / grant | 2,378 | 2,395 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Conway Michael Aaron | director | Award / grant | 2,378 | 2,378 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Mahoney William Scott | director | Award / grant | 2,378 | 2,378 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Eun David | director | Award / grant | 2,378 | 2,378 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Condon Creighton | director | Award / grant | 2,378 | 2,378 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Campbell Rebecca | director | Award / grant | 2,378 | 2,378 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-09 | Wright Gregory Michael | officer | Award / grant | 11,656 | 11,671 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.