Issued 2026-09-17 at $31.85 · now $31.85 (2026-09-17, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-17 close, VSH has typically landed between $26.79 and $38.20 — a range of −15.9% to +19.9% from the issuance price $31.85.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,004 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-18 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,377 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-17 issuance close ($31.85) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-16, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where VSH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-17 close of $31.85 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $31.85 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $31.83 (-0.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $29.49–$34.16
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $26.79–$38.2
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-26 | −50.1% | −50.1% | +0.0% |
| 2026-06-29 | −46.8% | −46.8% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-11 | −46.6% | −46.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-05-01 | +111.3% | +0.0% | +111.3% |
| 2026-05-04 | +109.2% | +0.0% | +109.2% |
| 2026-05-05 | +98.4% | +0.0% | +99.3% |
5,004 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-17 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-13 | Cody Michael J | director | Purchase | 250 @ $15.47 | $4K | +0.4% of holding | +8.0% | −11.7% | 60,419 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-11 | Cody Michael J | director | Purchase | 3,500 @ $16.12 | $56K | +6.2% of holding | +6.4% | −13.6% | 60,169 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-13 | Shoshani Roy | officer | Purchase | 10,000 @ $14.95 | $150K | +10.4% of holding | +4.6% | −19.8% | 106,550 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-13 | O'Sullivan Michael Shamus | officer | Purchase | 2,500 @ $14.88 | $37K | +11.9% of holding | +4.6% | −19.8% | 23,573 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-13 | Hackett Robert Barrett II | officer | Purchase | 1,000 @ $14.75 | $15K | +6.2% of holding | +4.6% | −19.8% | 17,255 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-12 | Smejkal Joel | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $14.70 | $147K | +2.7% of holding | +4.7% | −16.7% | 374,434 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | McConnell David | officer | Purchase | 2,000 @ $14.69 | $29K | +3.9% of holding | +4.7% | −16.7% | 53,501 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Henrici Peter | officer | Purchase | 1,430 @ $14.71 | $21K | +4.0% of holding | +4.7% | −16.7% | 37,175 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Tomlinson David L | officer | Purchase | 1,000 @ $14.40 | $14K | +4.4% of holding | +4.7% | −16.7% | 23,526 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | ZANDMAN MARC | director | Sale | 27,176 @ $16.88 | $459K | −26.2% of holding | −3.6% | −22.8% | 76,468 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-02 | ZANDMAN MARC | director | Sale | 20,359 @ $16.71 | $340K | −38.2% of holding | −3.2% | −1.5% | 32,957 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-05 | Cody Michael J | director | Sale | 8,748 @ $18.28 | $160K | −16.1% of holding | −3.2% | −12.1% | 45,551 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
69 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | O'Sullivan Michael Shamus | officer | Withheld for tax | 360 | 35,131 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | McConnell David | officer | Withheld for tax | 260 | 98,263 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Tomlinson David L | officer | Withheld for tax | 257 | 35,548 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Hackett Robert Barrett II | officer | Withheld for tax | 221 | 25,525 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | O'Sullivan Michael Shamus | officer | Award / grant | 14,023 | 35,491 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Smejkal Joel | director | Award / grant | 172,106 | 505,449 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | ZANDMAN MARC | director | Award / grant | 127,486 | 185,399 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Hackett Robert Barrett II | officer | Award / grant | 10,199 | 25,746 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Shoshani Roy | officer | Award / grant | 56,094 | 151,109 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Henrici Peter | officer | Award / grant | 16,573 | 48,289 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | McConnell David | officer | Award / grant | 50,994 | 98,523 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Tomlinson David L | officer | Award / grant | 14,023 | 35,805 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Smejkal Joel | director | Withheld for tax | 41,091 | 333,343 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | ZANDMAN MARC | director | Withheld for tax | 18,555 | 57,913 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Shoshani Roy | officer | Withheld for tax | 11,535 | 95,015 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | McConnell David | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,972 | 47,529 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Henrici Peter | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,459 | 31,716 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | O'Sullivan Michael Shamus | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,171 | 21,468 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Tomlinson David L | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,856 | 21,782 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Hackett Robert Barrett II | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,708 | 15,547 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Kurahashi Michiko | director | Withheld for tax | 65 | 34,581 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Cody Michael J | director | Withheld for tax | 65 | 61,252 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | LUDOMIRSKI ABRAHAM | director | Award / grant | 13,802 | 93,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | ZANDMAN RUTA | director | Award / grant | 13,802 | 102,935 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Kurahashi Michiko | director | Award / grant | 13,802 | 48,383 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Zilberman Raanan | director | Award / grant | 13,802 | 48,512 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Cody Michael J | director | Award / grant | 13,802 | 75,054 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Malvisi John | director | Award / grant | 13,802 | 40,866 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Booth Renee B | director | Award / grant | 13,802 | 48,448 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | ZANDMAN MARC | director | Award / grant | 5,000 | 140,991 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | O'Sullivan Michael Shamus | officer | Withheld for tax | 414 | 21,073 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Tomlinson David L | officer | Withheld for tax | 290 | 22,498 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | McConnell David | officer | Withheld for tax | 260 | 51,501 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-01 | Hackett Robert Barrett II | officer | Withheld for tax | 221 | 16,255 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-26 | ZANDMAN MARC | director | Withheld for tax | 27,177 | 60,133 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-26 | Smejkal Joel | director | Withheld for tax | 3,023 | 156,101 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-26 | ZANDMAN MARC | director | Award / grant | 43,511 | 103,644 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-26 | Hackett Robert Barrett II | officer | Award / grant | 9,722 | 16,476 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-26 | Shoshani Roy | officer | Award / grant | 55,556 | 96,550 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-26 | Henrici Peter | officer | Award / grant | 17,361 | 35,745 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.