Issued 2026-09-10 at $85.41 · now $85.41 (2026-08-31, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-10 close, VSCO has typically landed between $62.16 and $114.34 — a range of −27.2% to +33.9% from the issuance price $85.41.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,252 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-07-21 – 2026-07-16 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 54.0% (90% CI 51.8–56.2%, ≈1,443 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-10 issuance close ($85.41) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-09, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where VSCO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-10 close of $85.41 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $85.41 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $87.45 (+2.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $75.25–$99.64
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $62.16–$114.34
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-02-06 | −50.1% | −50.1% | +0.0% |
| 2025-02-07 | −49.4% | −49.4% | +2.1% |
| 2025-02-10 | −47.6% | −50.5% | +0.1% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-05-19 | +81.4% | +0.0% | +81.4% |
| 2026-05-18 | +75.2% | +0.0% | +78.6% |
| 2026-05-13 | +74.6% | −0.8% | +77.2% |
1,252 overlapping windows · 2021-07-21 – 2026-08-31 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | BBRC INTERNATIONAL PTE LTD | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 276,171 @ $88.50 | $24.4M | −3.0% of holding | −0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,899,030 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | BBRC INTERNATIONAL PTE LTD | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 27,758 @ $80.03 | $2.2M | −0.3% of holding | +8.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,175,201 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-02 | BBRC INTERNATIONAL PTE LTD | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,107,672 @ $80.11 | $88.7M | −10.7% of holding | −2.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,202,959 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | Sheehan Anne | director | Purchase | 4,842 @ $45.86 | $222K | +16.5% of holding | −0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 34,261 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-02 | JAMES DONNA | director | Purchase | 2,175 @ $46.23 | $101K | +3.6% of holding | −0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 63,097 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-03 | BBRC INTERNATIONAL PTE LTD | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 212,500 @ $16.15 | $3.4M | +2.1% of holding | +24.5% | +70.2% | 10,310,631 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-28 | BBRC INTERNATIONAL PTE LTD | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 584,000 @ $18.48 | $10.8M | +6.1% of holding | +2.8% | +24.5% | 10,098,131 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-27 | BBRC INTERNATIONAL PTE LTD | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 124,326 @ $19.46 | $2.4M | +1.3% of holding | +0.1% | +17.2% | 9,514,131 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-26 | BBRC INTERNATIONAL PTE LTD | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 85,145 @ $19.47 | $1.7M | +0.9% of holding | −2.0% | +14.5% | 9,389,805 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-13 | BBRC INTERNATIONAL PTE LTD | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 49,313 @ $16.99 | $838K | +0.5% of holding | −0.3% | +29.9% | 9,304,660 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-12 | BBRC INTERNATIONAL PTE LTD | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 80,328 @ $16.78 | $1.3M | +0.9% of holding | +8.2% | +38.9% | 9,255,347 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | BBRC INTERNATIONAL PTE LTD | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 480,000 @ $16.52 | $7.9M | +5.5% of holding | +24.0% | +39.9% | 9,175,019 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-10 | BBRC INTERNATIONAL PTE LTD | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 542,000 @ $17.32 | $9.4M | +6.6% of holding | +11.3% | +35.5% | 8,695,019 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
33 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | Super Hillary | director | Withheld for tax | 23,294 | 398,189 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | McAfee Melinda R. | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,445 | 170,817 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | McAfee Melinda R. | officer | Award / grant | 16,546 | 184,262 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Super Hillary | director | Award / grant | 80,662 | 421,483 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Sekella Scott | officer | Award / grant | 30,765 | 61,349 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Borgonovo Lucrecia | officer | Award / grant | 13,444 | 13,444 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Preis Elizabeth | officer | Award / grant | 24,819 | 59,625 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | McAfee Melinda R. | officer | Withheld for tax | 11,679 | 167,716 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | McAfee Melinda R. | officer | Award / grant | 20,256 | 179,395 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-03 | Sekella Scott | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,061 | 30,584 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-31 | McAfee Melinda R. | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,221 | 159,139 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-07 | Super Hillary | director | Withheld for tax | 39,045 | 340,821 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Sekella Scott | officer | Award / grant | 11,161 | 32,645 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | JAMES DONNA | director | Award / grant | 12,739 | 60,922 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | PETERS LAUREN B | director | Award / grant | 7,440 | 27,111 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Sheehan Anne | director | Award / grant | 7,304 | 29,419 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Britt Irene Chang | director | Award / grant | 7,440 | 27,111 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Davis Sarah R. | director | Award / grant | 7,304 | 26,616 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Hernandez Jacqueline | director | Award / grant | 7,304 | 26,616 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | LITTLE ROD R | director | Award / grant | 6,761 | 21,572 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | McCreight David W. | director | Award / grant | 7,304 | 10,550 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Naficy Mariam | director | Award / grant | 6,625 | 22,047 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-02 | Preis Elizabeth | officer | Award / grant | 34,806 | 34,806 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-19 | McAfee Melinda R. | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,764 | 161,360 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-19 | Boyle Dein | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,818 | 146,104 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-19 | Super Hillary | director | Award / grant | 142,066 | 379,866 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-19 | Boyle Dein | officer | Award / grant | 65,729 | 148,922 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-19 | McAfee Melinda R. | officer | Award / grant | 53,621 | 169,124 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-16 | McAfee Melinda R. | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,351 | 115,503 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-16 | Boyle Dein | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,218 | 83,193 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-20 | Boyle Dein | officer | Award / grant | 3,121 | 87,411 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-20 | McAfee Melinda R. | officer | Award / grant | 9,400 | 122,854 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-03 | Sekella Scott | officer | Award / grant | 21,484 | 21,484 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.