Issued 2026-09-16 at $70.95 · now $70.95 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, VSAT has typically landed between $52.63 and $96.39 — a range of −25.8% to +35.9% from the issuance price $70.95.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($70.95) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where VSAT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $70.95 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $70.95 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $70.68 (-0.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $61.41–$79.96
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $52.63–$96.39
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-20 | −51.2% | −51.2% | +2.0% |
| 2020-02-21 | −50.7% | −50.7% | +6.0% |
| 2020-02-18 | −48.6% | −48.6% | +1.9% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-07-29 | +121.2% | +0.0% | +121.2% |
| 2025-07-30 | +109.6% | +0.0% | +109.6% |
| 2025-07-28 | +107.3% | −1.1% | +107.3% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
45%
−0.4%
n=20
Feb
60%
+3.1%
n=20
Mar
60%
−0.1%
n=20
Apr
75%
+2.9%
n=20
May
50%
+3.4%
n=20
Jun
45%
+0.0%
n=20
Jul
65%
+3.6%
n=20
Aug
40%
+1.7%
n=20
Sep
40%
−3.8%
n=20
Oct
60%
+4.6%
n=20
Nov
60%
+0.7%
n=20
Dec
55%
+1.6%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Palmer Benjamin Edward | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $66.75 | $134K | −6.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 30,087 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | STENBIT JOHN P | director | Sale | 705 @ $66.75 | $47K | −56.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 545 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Chase Garrett L. | officer | Sale | 2,040 @ $75.35 | $154K | −7.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 26,239 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Chase Garrett L. | officer | Sale | 1,960 @ $74.45 | $146K | −6.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 28,279 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | BALDRIDGE RICHARD A | director | Sale | 87,238 @ $80.35 | $7.0M | −39.0% of holding | −2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 136,304 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | BALDRIDGE RICHARD A | director | Sale | 79,830 @ $80.40 | $6.4M | −58.6% of holding | −2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 56,474 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | BALDRIDGE RICHARD A | director | Sale | 56,474 @ $81.34 | $4.6M | −100.0% of holding | −2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Blair Robert James | officer | Sale | 27,064 @ $79.76 | $2.2M | −54.7% of holding | −2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,380 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-04 | WISE THERESA | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $84.69 | $212K | −18.5% of holding | −18.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Palmer Benjamin Edward | officer | Sale | 2,400 @ $75.46 | $181K | −10.2% of holding | −19.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,159 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | STENBIT JOHN P | director | Sale | 616 @ $75.46 | $46K | −49.3% of holding | −19.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 634 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-20 | Chase Garrett L. | officer | Sale | 1,900 @ $73.03 | $139K | −5.9% of holding | +6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,339 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-20 | Chase Garrett L. | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $72.25 | $72K | −3.0% of holding | +6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,239 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-20 | Chase Garrett L. | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $70.55 | $71K | −2.9% of holding | +6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 33,239 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-20 | Chase Garrett L. | officer | Sale | 100 @ $73.68 | $7K | −0.3% of holding | +6.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,239 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Palmer Benjamin Edward | officer | Sale | 2,400 @ $88.79 | $213K | −9.2% of holding | −7.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,559 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | STENBIT JOHN P | director | Sale | 528 @ $88.79 | $47K | −42.2% of holding | −7.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 722 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Chase Garrett L. | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $61.80 | $124K | −5.2% of holding | +15.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 36,239 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Chase Garrett L. | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $63.62 | $64K | −2.8% of holding | +15.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 34,239 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Chase Garrett L. | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $62.42 | $62K | −2.8% of holding | +15.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 35,239 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | DANKBERG MARK D | director | Sale | 149,580 @ $64.56 | $9.7M | −10.9% of holding | +5.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,217,581 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | DANKBERG MARK D | director | Sale | 120,895 @ $65.48 | $7.9M | −9.9% of holding | +5.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,096,686 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | DANKBERG MARK D | director | Sale | 115,035 @ $63.95 | $7.4M | −7.8% of holding | +5.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,367,161 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | DANKBERG MARK D | director | Sale | 10,390 @ $66.48 | $691K | −0.9% of holding | +5.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,086,296 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | DANKBERG MARK D | director | Sale | 4,100 @ $69.00 | $283K | −0.4% of holding | +5.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,082,196 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | WISE THERESA | director | Sale | 2,500 @ $69.00 | $173K | −18.5% of holding | +5.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | BALDRIDGE RICHARD A | director | Sale | 27,122 @ $71.74 | $1.9M | −11.3% of holding | +20.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 213,355 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Chase Garrett L. | officer | Sale | 2,399 @ $72.65 | $174K | −5.8% of holding | +20.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 38,639 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Chase Garrett L. | officer | Sale | 1,201 @ $71.85 | $86K | −2.8% of holding | +20.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 41,038 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | STENBIT JOHN P | director | Sale | 653 @ $71.74 | $47K | −2.2% of holding | +20.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 29,597 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Chase Garrett L. | officer | Sale | 400 @ $73.54 | $29K | −1.0% of holding | +20.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 38,239 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-02 | Palmer Benjamin Edward | officer | Sale | 21,408 @ $73.09 | $1.6M | −54.0% of holding | +16.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,231 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Palmer Benjamin Edward | officer | Sale | 2,400 @ $80.59 | $193K | −11.6% of holding | +15.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 18,231 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-01 | Palmer Benjamin Edward | officer | Sale | 2,400 @ $66.62 | $160K | −10.4% of holding | +6.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,631 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Palmer Benjamin Edward | officer | Sale | 2,400 @ $47.71 | $115K | −9.4% of holding | +34.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,031 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Miller Craig Andrew | officer | Sale | 5,260 @ $50.00 | $263K | −19.8% of holding | +17.1% | +28.4% | 21,252 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Blair Robert James | officer | Sale | 19,338 @ $46.80 | $905K | −28.2% of holding | +21.2% | +34.8% | 49,181 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Blair Robert James | officer | Sale | 11,073 @ $47.47 | $526K | −22.5% of holding | +21.2% | +34.8% | 38,108 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | Palmer Benjamin Edward | officer | Sale | 2,400 @ $46.21 | $111K | −8.6% of holding | +18.3% | +44.4% | 25,431 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Miller Craig Andrew | officer | Sale | 34,205 @ $45.00 | $1.5M | −55.3% of holding | +1.9% | +30.1% | 27,692 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Miller Craig Andrew | officer | Sale | 1,180 @ $45.81 | $54K | −4.3% of holding | +1.9% | +30.1% | 26,512 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | FitzGerald Camellia E | officer | Sale | 1,119 @ $50.00 | $56K | −11.3% of holding | +7.0% | +38.9% | 8,827 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-28 | FitzGerald Camellia E | officer | Sale | 2,810 @ $48.00 | $135K | −22.0% of holding | −2.4% | +55.9% | 9,946 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-06 | DANKBERG MARK D | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $40.34 | $4.0M | −6.5% of holding | −11.8% | +52.7% | 1,434,993 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Chase Garrett L. | officer | Sale | 5,000 @ $35.05 | $175K | −39.2% of holding | +16.1% | +93.9% | 7,771 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | DANKBERG MARK D | director | Sale | 160,669 @ $35.24 | $5.7M | −9.4% of holding | +22.8% | +73.1% | 1,540,586 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | DANKBERG MARK D | director | Sale | 33,738 @ $34.25 | $1.2M | −1.9% of holding | +22.8% | +73.1% | 1,701,255 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | Chase Garrett L. | officer | Sale | 11,536 @ $34.31 | $396K | −35.2% of holding | +22.8% | +73.1% | 21,235 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | Chase Garrett L. | officer | Sale | 5,904 @ $35.41 | $209K | −27.8% of holding | +22.8% | +73.1% | 15,331 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | DANKBERG MARK D | director | Sale | 5,593 @ $36.00 | $201K | −0.4% of holding | +22.8% | +73.1% | 1,534,993 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | Chase Garrett L. | officer | Sale | 2,560 @ $36.13 | $92K | −16.7% of holding | +22.8% | +73.1% | 12,771 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | Duffy Shawn Lynn | officer | Sale | 39,970 @ $36.28 | $1.5M | −69.5% of holding | +18.0% | +63.6% | 17,531 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | Duffy Shawn Lynn | officer | Sale | 11,510 @ $36.74 | $423K | −65.7% of holding | +18.0% | +63.6% | 6,021 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | Blair Robert James | officer | Sale | 2,269 @ $35.61 | $81K | −3.2% of holding | −10.7% | +87.5% | 68,519 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-14 | Palmer Benjamin Edward | officer | Sale | 2,780 @ $36.06 | $100K | −9.1% of holding | −5.6% | +86.9% | 27,831 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | Duffy Shawn Lynn | officer | Sale | 50,000 @ $32.88 | $1.6M | −59.0% of holding | +11.7% | +50.4% | 34,764 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | Chase Garrett L. | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $33.33 | $833K | −57.6% of holding | +11.7% | +50.4% | 18,377 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | BALDRIDGE RICHARD A | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $31.00 | $3.1M | −33.7% of holding | +2.6% | +43.3% | 197,161 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
242 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | STENBIT JOHN P | director | Gift | 6,933 | 37,886 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | STENBIT JOHN P | director | Gift | 6,933 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | WISE THERESA | director | Award / grant | 3,485 | 3,485 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | BALDRIDGE RICHARD A | director | Gift | 6,388 | 55,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | BALDRIDGE RICHARD A | director | Option exercise | 6,388 | 61,388 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | YOON JINHY | director | Gift | 1,231 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | YOON JINHY | director | Option exercise | 1,231 | 1,231 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | WISE THERESA | director | Option exercise | 6,388 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | BALDRIDGE RICHARD A | director | Gift | 6,388 | 6,388 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | YOON JINHY | director | Gift | 1,231 | 1,231 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Ayyar Shekar G | director | Option exercise | 1,231 | 1,231 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Ayyar Shekar G | director | Award / grant | 3,485 | 3,485 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Ayyar Shekar G | director | Option exercise | 1,231 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | YOON JINHY | director | Award / grant | 3,485 | 3,485 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | BALDRIDGE RICHARD A | director | Award / grant | 3,485 | 3,485 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | BALDRIDGE RICHARD A | director | Option exercise | 6,388 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Frenkel Barbara L | director | Option exercise | 5,974 | 5,974 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Frenkel Barbara L | director | Award / grant | 3,485 | 3,485 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Frenkel Barbara L | director | Option exercise | 5,974 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | YOON JINHY | director | Option exercise | 1,231 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | LaPlante William Albert | director | Option exercise | 6,388 | 7,388 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | LaPlante William Albert | director | Award / grant | 3,485 | 3,485 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | LaPlante William Albert | director | Option exercise | 6,388 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Pak Sean | director | Gift | 6,388 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Pak Sean | director | Gift | 6,388 | 25,588 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Pak Sean | director | Award / grant | 3,485 | 3,485 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Pak Sean | director | Option exercise | 6,388 | 6,388 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Pak Sean | director | Option exercise | 6,388 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | STENBIT JOHN P | director | Option exercise | 6,388 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | WISE THERESA | director | Option exercise | 6,388 | 17,388 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | STENBIT JOHN P | director | Option exercise | 6,388 | 6,933 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Paull Michael | director | Option exercise | 6,388 | 7,388 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Paull Michael | director | Award / grant | 3,485 | 3,485 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | Paull Michael | director | Option exercise | 6,388 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-03 | STENBIT JOHN P | director | Award / grant | 3,485 | 3,485 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Pak Sean | director | Option exercise | 5,000 | 5,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Pak Sean | director | Gift | 5,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Pak Sean | director | Gift | 5,000 | 19,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Pak Sean | director | Option exercise | 5,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | STENBIT JOHN P | director | Option exercise | 1,250 | 1,250 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.