Issued 2026-09-16 at $18.47 · now $18.47 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, VREX has typically landed between $15.38 and $21.62 — a range of −16.7% to +17.1% from the issuance price $18.47.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,406 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-01-20 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($18.47) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where VREX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $18.47 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $18.47 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $18.25 (-1.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $17.07–$19.43
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $15.38–$21.62
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-03-18 | −44.2% | −44.2% | +1.5% |
| 2025-03-20 | −43.9% | −44.3% | +0.0% |
| 2025-03-19 | −43.8% | −45.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-07-17 | +75.0% | +0.0% | +76.1% |
| 2026-07-14 | +74.6% | −0.2% | +75.8% |
| 2026-07-20 | +73.8% | +0.0% | +75.0% |
2,406 overlapping windows · 2017-01-20 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Kunkel Jay K. | director | Sale | 8,121 @ $18.48 | $150K | −34.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 15,329 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Maheshwari Shubham | officer | Sale | 130,000 @ $18.46 | $2.4M | −48.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 139,972 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-20 | Kunkel Jay K. | director | Sale | 4,510 @ $11.14 | $50K | −16.1% of holding | +4.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,450 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-19 | Aranki Karen L | officer | Sale | 3,174 @ $12.34 | $39K | −94.7% of holding | −6.4% | −11.2% | 177 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-14 | Kunkel Jay K. | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $10.49 | $31K | −13.3% of holding | +4.0% | +19.1% | 19,477 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-18 | Kunkel Jay K. | director | Sale | 2,575 @ $7.77 | $20K | −10.3% of holding | −8.9% | +42.3% | 22,477 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | SANYAL SUNNY | director | Sale | 8,749 @ $11.24 | $98K | −4.4% of holding | −24.2% | −15.5% | 190,193 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-20 | Honeysett Kimberley E. | officer | Sale | 4,007 @ $12.81 | $51K | −50.0% of holding | −35.1% | −22.9% | 4,002 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
160 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Maheshwari Shubham | officer | Option exercise | 160,944 | 269,972 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Maheshwari Shubham | officer | Option exercise | 160,944 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Aranki Karen L | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,145 | 7,748 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Aranki Karen L | officer | Option exercise | 3,974 | 3,975 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Aranki Karen L | officer | Option exercise | 3,974 | 8,893 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Aranki Karen L | officer | Option exercise | 3,974 | 8,893 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Aranki Karen L | officer | Option exercise | 3,974 | 8,893 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Aranki Karen L | officer | Option exercise | 3,974 | 8,893 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Kunkel Jay K. | director | Award / grant | 12,331 | 12,331 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Rosebrough Walter M Jr | director | Award / grant | 14,947 | 14,947 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | TSINGOS CHRISTINE A | director | Award / grant | 12,331 | 12,331 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | GUERTIN TIMOTHY E | director | Award / grant | 12,331 | 12,331 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Bardwell Kathleen | director | Award / grant | 12,331 | 12,331 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | Chertoff Jocelyn D | director | Award / grant | 12,331 | 12,331 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Chertoff Jocelyn D | director | Option exercise | 8,483 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | TSINGOS CHRISTINE A | director | Option exercise | 8,483 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Rosebrough Walter M Jr | director | Option exercise | 10,339 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Kunkel Jay K. | director | Option exercise | 8,483 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | GUERTIN TIMOTHY E | director | Option exercise | 8,483 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Bardwell Kathleen | director | Option exercise | 8,483 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Bardwell Kathleen | director | Option exercise | 8,483 | 12,102 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Kunkel Jay K. | director | Option exercise | 8,483 | 27,960 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | GUERTIN TIMOTHY E | director | Option exercise | 8,483 | 26,777 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Chertoff Jocelyn D | director | Option exercise | 8,483 | 42,194 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | TSINGOS CHRISTINE A | director | Option exercise | 8,483 | 42,655 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Rosebrough Walter M Jr | director | Option exercise | 10,339 | 52,654 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Bardwell Kathleen | director | Option exercise | 8,483 | 12,102 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | TSINGOS CHRISTINE A | director | Option exercise | 8,483 | 42,655 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Chertoff Jocelyn D | director | Option exercise | 8,483 | 42,194 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Rosebrough Walter M Jr | director | Option exercise | 10,339 | 52,654 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | GUERTIN TIMOTHY E | director | Option exercise | 8,483 | 26,777 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Kunkel Jay K. | director | Option exercise | 8,483 | 27,960 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | SANYAL SUNNY | director | Award / grant | 15,394 | 25,075 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Aranki Karen L | officer | Award / grant | 2,155 | 3,510 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Aranki Karen L | officer | Award / grant | 2,633 | 2,633 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | SANYAL SUNNY | director | Award / grant | 18,801 | 18,801 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Jonaitis Mark S. | officer | Award / grant | 2,565 | 4,178 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Jonaitis Mark S. | officer | Award / grant | 3,134 | 3,134 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Hartmann Andrew | officer | Award / grant | 2,565 | 4,178 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | Hartmann Andrew | officer | Award / grant | 3,134 | 3,134 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.